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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 24, 2019

Consumer Discretionary Sector and Corporate Bonds On Verge of Sell-off / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I have been warning of a peak in the markets and a continued capital shift in the global economy that continued to push the NASDAQ and DOW towards new all-time highs while the foundations of the global markets continued to weaken. 

I authored dozens of research posts regarding this phenomenon over the past 90+ days.  Yet the clearest signs of this event may already be present in these Consumer Discretionary Sector and Corporate Bonds charts.

Consumers drive economic activity and corporate debt is often a measure of sustainable debt function within a functioning economy.  When consumers tighten their belts and exit the economy in some form and Corporate debt is viewed as “more toxic” than “opportunistic” – something has changed in the global economy where a portion of the active consumer engagement of that economy is waning or has already left the building.

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Politics

Friday, November 22, 2019

The Promise of AI / Politics / AI

By: Richard_Mills

In ‘The Terminator’ series of action films starring Arnold Schwarzenegger, a cybernetic organism (cyborg) is programmed from the future to go back in time and kill the mother of the scientist who leads the fight against Skynet, an artificial intelligence system that will cause a nuclear holocaust. 

Terrifying and at times comical (“I’ll be back”, “Make my day”) The Terminator cyborg was among the first presentations of artificial intelligence (AI) to a global audience. (“C3PO” and “R2D2” of Star Wars fame and “Data” from Star Trek also qualify) The robotic assassin also depicted an extreme scenario of what could happen when “machine learning”, a vital element of AI, runs amok - ie. when machine intelligence surpasses human intelligence to the point when the machines take over and try to eliminate the humans who created them. 

While numerous facets of AI have been developed over the past couple of decades, all with positive outcomes, the fear of AI being programmed to do something devastating to the human race, of computers “going rogue”, continues to persist.   

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Currencies

Friday, November 22, 2019

The Financial Implications of Bitcoin Casinos in Japan / Currencies / Gambling

By: Dylan_Moran

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Commodities

Friday, November 22, 2019

Here’s Why You Must Protect Yourself Outside the Financial System… / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back our good friend David Morgan of The Morgan Report. David, it's good to have you on as always and we appreciate the time today. How are you?

David Morgan: Mike, I'm well. Thank you for having me.

Mike Gleason: Well, we've had a significant correction in precious metals prices, especially in silver, and I wanted to get your thoughts on that to start out here. To us, it looked like the bullion banks sold futures contracts to lots of speculators who got interested in metals. Then as often happens, the speculators got taken out to the woodshed. However, open interest appears to still be rising. We would have expected that to fall after a couple weeks of lower prices and pain pushing those longs out of the market, so maybe something else is going on here. What do you make of the recent price correction and where do you think the markets might be headed in the short term? Do you think the selling might be over for now?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 22, 2019

FOMC Minutes Reveal an Important Shift That’s Key for Gold, Too / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Yesterday, the Fed released minutes from its last meeting. They show an important shift among the meeting participants. In September, the FOMC turned more worried about the state of the U.S. economy, while just six weeks later in October, the Committee felt more optimistic again. Indeed, the central bankers noted that certain downside risks had softened:

Uncertainties associated with trade tensions as well as geopolitical risks had eased somewhat, though they remained elevated (…) Some risks were seen to have eased a bit, although they remained elevated. There were some tentative signs that trade tensions were easing, the probability of a no-deal Brexit was judged to have lessened, and some other geopolitical tensions had diminished.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 22, 2019

Adaptive Predictive Modeling Suggests Stock Market Weakness Into 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system is suggesting the Transportation Index will fall to levels near $10,000 over the next 2 to 3 weeks which would indicate moderate price weakness in the US stock market and the global stock market. 

Our ADL predictive modeling system attempts to model future price activity by finding and mapping critical price and technical elements within the historical price action.  In a way, this is like mapping the future by attempting to learn from the past. You can get all of my trade ideas by opting into my free market trend signals newsletter.

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Commodities

Friday, November 22, 2019

Why You Should “Follow the Money” on The Yellow (and Silver) Brick Road / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Since the Federal Reserve detached the dollar from the gold standard in 1971, the world's central bankers – with the Fed leading the charge, have flooded the world with fiat currency to the point of diminishing its purchasing power to shadow status.

A common belief during the early decades of the former Soviet Union's rise after 1917 was that, according to Marxist-Leninist theory, the West and capitalism would either self-destruct, or be "buried" by the superior economic platform being constructed for the proletariat by the USSR, and later Communist China.

But even the Great Depression, which in the West lasted from the Crash of 1929, and arguably into WWII, failed to do the trick.

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Commodities

Friday, November 22, 2019

The Worst Is Over For Oil Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Some analysts see the world dodging a recession next year, which provides some upward room for oil prices.

Last week, the IEA warned last week that “the hefty supply cushion” building up in the first half of 2020 will cause OPEC+ problems as the group tries to balance the oil market. Part of the reason for another potential surplus is the steep drop in demand growth this year, forcing oil forecasters to make multiple downward revisions to their projections.

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Companies

Thursday, November 21, 2019

This Invisible Tech Stock Threatens Amazon with 800,000+ Online Stores / Companies / Amazon

By: Stephen_McBride

Have you heard of Dollar Shave Club?

It sells razors and other grooming products for men.

In just five years, it has grown into a $1 billion company and one of the biggest “personal care” brands in America… and it’s now threatening giants like Gillette and Schick.

You might be surprised to learn the company pulled this off without selling a single product in a physical store.

You can’t buy its razors or aftershave in Walmart, Target, Costco, or anywhere else in the “real world.” It only sells its products on the internet.

Now here’s the truly shocking thing...

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Commodities

Thursday, November 21, 2019

Crude Oil Price Begins To Move Lower / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, we posted a multi-part research post suggesting a collapse in Crude Oil could be setting up and how we believe this decline in energy prices may lead to a broader market collapse in the near future.  Crude oil fell more than 3% on November 19 in what appears to be a major price reversal.  On November 20, inventory levels and other key economic data will be presented – could the price of oil collapse even further over the next 60+ days?

Here is a link to our most recent multi-part article about Crude Oil from November 13 (just a week ago): https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/what-happens-to-the-global-economy-if-oil-collapses-below-40-part-i/

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Commodities

Thursday, November 21, 2019

Cracks Spread in the Precious Metals Bullion Banks’ Price Management System / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Department of Justice prosecutors charged a sixth JPMorgan executive for cheating in the precious metals markets.

Jeffrey Ruffo stands accused of racketeering and spoofing metals prices from 2008 - 2016, along with other crimes including conspiracy to commit wire fraud.

The indictment outlines nearly a decade spent coordinating with other traders in JPMorgan’s precious metals department to rig prices. The activity includes thousands of fraudulent trades placed for two purposes.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Why Record-High Stock Prices Mean You Should Buy More / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Stephen_McBride

Nobody wants to be the schmuck who bought stocks at the tippy-top.

Did you check your 401(k) this week? If so, you surely noticed US stocks hit new all-time highs. And the S&P 500 is now on track for its best year since 1996.

How does this make you feel in your gut? Are you happy stocks are achieving new highs? Or does it scare you... tempt you to sell all your stocks… and run for cover?

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Companies

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

This Invisible Company Powers Almost the Entire Finance Industry / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

Justin Spittler : The days of going to a bank are coming to an end.

In the past 10 years, 15,000 bank branches have shut their doors for good. And foot traffic to banks has fallen by 50%. Bank branches are shutting down left and right for a simple reason... They’re useless!

These days, you can deposit a check by taking a photo with your phone. You can open a bank account or order a new credit card in five minutes over the internet. You can even take out a mortgage without ever seeing a human banker, thanks to disruptive services like Quicken Loans.

And it’s not just banks. Digital disruption is eating away at every “old” business model in finance. Everyone from stockbrokers to financial planners is under assault.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Zig-Zagging Gold Is Not Necessarily Bearish Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In Friday’s article, we wrote that what comes up must correct and gold has indeed shown to be in a corrective mode. We also wrote that the yellow metal was unlikely to break below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement based on the previous upswing and while gold moved to this level earlier today, it didn’t break below it. At least not in any significant way – the few cents below this level doesn’t really count. Let’s take a closer look at gold’s overnight chart to see what the decline means.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Legal Status of Cannabis Seeds in the UK / Commodities / Cannabis

By: Submissions

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

The Next Gold Rush Could Be About To Happen Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: OilPrice_Com

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Economics

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

China's Grand Plan to Take Over the World / Economics / China US Conflict

By: John_Mauldin

When the US and ultimately the rest of the Western world began to engage China, resulting in China finally being allowed into the World Trade Organization in the early 2000s, no one really expected the outcomes we see today.

There is no simple disengagement path, given the scope of economic and legal entanglements. This isn’t a “trade” we can simply walk away from.

But it is also one that, if allowed to continue in its current form, could lead to a loss of personal freedom for Western civilization. It really is that much of an existential question.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Interest Rates Heading Zero or Negative to Prop Up Debt Bubble / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back the one and the only Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is a frequent guest on the Money Metals Podcast and is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world. And it's always great to have him on with us.

Gerald, thanks for the time again today, and welcome back.

Gerald Celente: Oh, my pleasure. Thanks for having me on.

Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, since we spoke last in August, the Federal Reserve has begun propping up the repo markets, and they resumed buying government debt. They tell us the program on bond purchases should in no way be confused with prior bond purchasing programs, also known as Quantitative Easing. They don't want us to worry about it. Just a little extra boost for an economy struggling with some fears over trade and a minor temporary problem in the repo markets is what they're saying. The only trouble is that hundreds of billions of dollars are involved so far, and it could wind up being trillions. So once again, the Fed is shoveling freshly-printed cash at banks and the Treasury Department. What is your guess as to why the Fed has engaged in this stealth bailout, and why aren't more people talking about it?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Plethora of Potential Financial Crisis Triggers / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The US-based bond market is in tragic condition. All the bonds in US financial markets reek of rigged prices and inflated values. It is not a single bond sector, but rather all bond sectors that are in deep trouble, against a background of multi-year economic recession. The USTreasury Bonds, given the over $1.0 trillion in supply and widespread absence of buyers, deserves a 10% yield. The stolen missing $21 trillion amplifies the vacant value, from a grand crime scene. It is a wonder that investigator Professor Skidmore of Michigan State Univ has not been charged with financial terrorism. The USTBond market is teetering, kept afloat by overnight enormous slugs of fake money, which in early November was over $250 billion on a daily basis. If it was put onto the USFed balance sheet, on an increasingly frequent basis, then it is called QE. Better get real, and call it what it actually is – INFINITE Q.E. FOREVER. The Gold price is preparing the next launch platform.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Trade News Still Relevant? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely building an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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