Sunday, February 24, 2019
Trade Talks Drive Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Long-term trend resuming?
Intermediate trend – Initial rally is likely coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, February 24, 2019
Stock Market Up 9 Weeks in a Row. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow and NASDAQ are up 9 weeks in a row when you compare this week’s CLOSE to the previous week’s CLOSE, while the S&P is up 9 weeks in a row when you compare this week’s CLOSE to this week’s OPEN.
The most likely path forward is a short term pullback, with more gains ahead for 2019. Above all else, remember that the short term is extremely hard to predict, no matter how much conviction you have in it.
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Saturday, February 23, 2019
China-US Rivalry and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
It’s unimaginable what great progress China made in the last forty years. The rise of such economic power triggered many fears (or hopes) about the future international order. We invite you to read our today’s article about the rivalry between China and the US and find whether the Red Dragon will replace America as a global hegemon. And what would such a shift mean for the gold market.
The economic growth of China raises many worries. While some people fear the slowdown or stagnation in the Middle Kingdom, others claim that China will turn the existing international world upside down.
You see, since the end of the World War II, the US has been the most powerful country in the world. The Soviet Union rivaled, but it was too weak, and collapsed eventually. The global hegemony of the US became total then.
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Saturday, February 23, 2019
5 Marketing Trends Every Marketer Should Know About This Year / Companies / Marketing
By: Dylan_Moran
The beginning of the year is a busy time for marketers because it means another set of trends will be released and they have to adjust their existing strategies (or even change them completely) to keep up with an ever-changing marketing landscape. But which trends will really make a huge impact this year? We rounded up five:
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Saturday, February 23, 2019
Sheffield "Mi Amigo" Memorial Event - Fly Past, Tony Foulds, Remembrance at Endcliffe Park / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's what it was like to be at the Mi Amigo Memorial Event, at Endcliffe Park, Sheffield on 22nd of Feb. The event was hosted by BBC Breakfast and featured a 10 plane fly past as the culmination of 3 hours of commemorations for the 10 brave air men who died when their B17 Flying Fortress bomber crashed on 22nd Feb 1944, the crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which the fly past was arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site for decades. The fly past which took place at 8.45am includes an 4 F15 Strike Eagle fighter jets from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft included a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
Gold Bullhorns Quieted for a Day, at Least / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
Over in the gold patch things went from disinterested and downright antagonistic (A Notable Lack of Interest in Gold) to sleepy (Gold “Community” Crickets) to ferociously over bullish.
Any long-time and right minded gold bug will tell you that the latter condition is usually a signal to prepare for some turbulence.
Wednesday and Thursday brought the turbulence in the form of a reversal and pullback for gold, silver and the miners.
Since we became constructive on the gold sector in Q4 2018 (per the links above and especially NFTRH reports/updates) the groundswell of gold boosting (pom poms and all) has steadily risen since it became obvious that something bullish was going on in January. And it appears that last week’s breakout from various daily chart bull flags in gold, silver and the miners finally jerked ’em all in. Enter the Thursday pullback.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
US Auto Loans - Americans Missing Car Payments Is a Symptom of a Much Bigger Problem / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: John_Mauldin
By Robert Ross Transportation is a big issue in most of the US.
It’s so big that for the majority of Americans having a car is a matter of survival. Most people can’t even go to work without a car.
That makes auto payments a high priority. And yet, the number of people who can’t make them is rising fast.
Last week, the Fed warned that auto delinquencies—or missed payments on auto loans—are on a steep rise.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
Stock Traders Must Be Cautious Part III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Welcome back, If you’ve missed any part of this multi-part research post, please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/ to review and read our previous posts. This, Part III, of our multi-part research post where we are attempting to rationalize the continued bearish analysis of some other analysts as well as review some key data that may support our interpretation that the global markets are transitioning through a “revaluation phase” right now – headed for a breakout rally eventually will continue with more detailed information. Our premise is that global investors and traders should stay cautiously optimistic at the moment and prepare for some volatility as this “revaluation phase” continues to play out. Our overall analysis suggests that the US Federal Reserve and global central banks have “primes the cylinders” of the global economic engine sufficiently and that a spark is all that is needed to see massive new valuation and GDP increases within the next 10~20+ years.
Friday, February 22, 2019
Stock Traders Must Stay Optimistically Cautious II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This Part II of our research post regarding the future potential of any very deep market correction and/or a potential new-age market rally based on our presumption that the global market dynamics have changed dramatically over the past 20+ years. Are the market gurus correct in thinking the next big move will be to the downside? Or are they missing key aspects of the global market dynamics that point to a massive upside rally that is setting up for the future. Today, we continue to explore some of the key elements that we believe present a total scope of the potential for the global markets.
In Part I of this article, we highlighted how globalization changed the planet and increased inter-dependence across the globe for economies and governments. The point we wanted to make from the first segment was to highlight the fact that the current world economies are vastly different than the global economy prior to 1980 or 1970. Over the past 20+ years, the world’s economies have become more and more connected and interdependent on one another. Additionally, global investors and financial institutions have become heavily interconnected and reliant on the global market economies of the world. The reality is, the world is vastly different than it was 40+ years ago in terms of finance, banking, and investment objectives.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
Sheffield FlyPast Footage - "Mi Amigo" US Bomber Crash Memorial Endcliffe Park / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
Here is footage of the 10 planes that took part in todays "Mi Amigo" Sheffield Memorial Fly Past.
The fly past was the culmination of 3 hours of commemorations for the 10 brave air men who died when their B17 Flying Fortress bomber crashed on 22nd Feb 1944, the crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which the fly past was arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site for decades. The fly past which took place at 8.45am includes an 4 F15 Strike Eagle fighter jets from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft included a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
This Money-Destroying Policy Could Soon Become a Reality / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: John_Mauldin
It was my first encounter with what I thought was economic insanity.
More than 10 years ago, I came across the ideas of economist Bill Mitchell of the University of Newcastle in New South Wales.
He was teaching what he called Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). I looked into it and quickly dismissed it as silly.
Actually printing money as an economic policy? Get serious.
Fast forward to today, the idea is adopted by new socialist-like movements in the US and abroad. It’s cited by politicians and mainstream media.
There’s a growing number of rationales for adopting MMT into our philosophical base.
Friday, February 22, 2019
This Simple Investing Formula Is All That Most Investors Need / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: John_Mauldin
“Buy and hold” is a great, time-tested investment strategy. It works on two conditions, though.
You have to allow it sufficient time. And you have to stick with it. The problem is very few investors can stick with it.
They see their net worth shrinking, get scared, and bail out. And they do so at the wrong time. Then they re-enter at the wrong time. And the cycle repeats.
Asset diversification doesn’t help here. Because it still leaves you at risk of making a mistake on emotions.
Thursday, February 21, 2019
Sheffield "Mi Amigo" Memorial Fly Past , BBC Crew Setting Up Stage for Breakfast TV Endcliffe Park / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's what it was like at Endcliffe park and memorial site as the BBC crews were busy setting up their cameras and stage which includes a BBC breakfast sofa for tomorrow live broadcast from 6am to 9.15am to cover the memorial to the US B17 Flying Fortress bomber that crashed in the park 75 years ago costing the lives of the 10 air crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which a fly past arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site for decades, will be taking place at 8.45am that will include an F15 Strike Eagle fighter jet from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft to include a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby (weather permitting).
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Thursday, February 21, 2019
Gold Weakens After FOMC Minutes / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The recent minutes show that the Fed is divided over future rate hikes. How should gold investors react?
To Hike, or not to Hike, That Is The Question
As Chairman Powell has been good at communicating the US central bank’s plans, the recent FOMC minutes do not contain too many surprises. In January, the Fed took investors by surprise, saying that it could be patient on interest rates. The minutes elaborated on this, explaining that a patient approach offers many benefits – additional data would shed some light on the recent softness in inflation, would enable the Fed official to observe effects of past rate hikes and would allow time for a clearer picture of trade and fiscal policy, and the state of the global economy – and only few risks, as inflationary pressure is muted, while asset valuations less stretched:
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Thursday, February 21, 2019
Stocks Closer to Medium-Term Resistance Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday's trading session was virtually flat, as investors hesitated following the recent run-up. Will the broad stock market continue higher despite some clear short-term technical overbought conditions?
The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between 0.0% and +0.2% on Wednesday, as investors sentiment remained bullish despite some clear short-term technical overbought conditions. The S&P 500 index retraced more of its October-December downward correction of 20.2% (2,713.88) recently. It got closer to the previous local highs along the 2,800 level. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite was unchanged on Wednesday.
The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index remains at around 2,785-2,800, marked by the previous medium-term local highs. On the other hand, the support level is at around 2,760, marked by the Friday's daily gap up of 2,757.90-2,760.24. The support level is also at 2,720, marked by the last Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,718.05-2,722.61.
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Thursday, February 21, 2019
The Stock Market’s Momentum is Extremely Strong. What’s Next for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500’s nonstop rally continues, and is nearing several resistances at the 2800-2813 level. Meanwhile, the stock market is overbought for the first time in a long time.
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Thursday, February 21, 2019
QE Forever: The Fed's Dramatic About-face / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: Ellen_Brown
“Quantitative easing” was supposed to be an emergency measure, but the Federal Reserve is now taking a surprising new approach toward the policy. The Fed “eased” shrinkage in the money supply due to the 2008-09 credit crisis by pumping out trillions of dollars in new bank reserves. After the crisis, the presumption was the Fed would “normalize” conditions by sopping up the excess reserves through “quantitative tightening” (QT)—raising interest rates and selling the securities it had bought with new reserves back into the market.
Thursday, February 21, 2019
Gold Technical Perspective – Why So Bullish? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Kelsey_Williams
Does technical analysis need to be so convoluted? Here are a couple of definitions from different sources:
1) Convoluted: (especially of an argument, story, or sentence) extremely complex and difficult to follow. (source)
2) Convoluted sentences, explanations, arguments, etc. are unreasonably long and difficult to understand.
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Thursday, February 21, 2019
Why Is Central Bank Buying Of Gold So Important? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
There is an old Yiddish expression called a bubbe meise (pronounced my-seh). I guess the closest English interpretation of this expression would be a grandmother’s tale, or in the common vernacular, an old-wives' tale.
Of late, I am seeing a bubbe meise about the importance of central bank buying of gold, and it is making its rounds on websites all over the internet.
We have been hearing for many years about how gold is supposed to soar because countries and central banks are buying the precious metal. Most of the fundamentalists in this market are convinced that this is a bullish signal. In fact, one article I read explained that central bank buying “is significant, as central banks are the 'smart money' given their influence on global economics and access to non-public information.”
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Wednesday, February 20, 2019
Sheffield "Mi Amigo" Memorial Fly Past at 8.45am on 22nd Feb 2019 / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
February 22nd is the 75th anniversary of the crash of a US B17 Flying Fortress bomber in Endcliffe Park Sheffield costing the lives of the 10 air crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which a fly past arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site, will take place on Friday 22nd Feb at 8.45am at Endcliffe Park that will include an F15 Strike Eagle fighter jet from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft to include a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby (weather permitting).
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