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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, May 14, 2019

As cryptocurrency wallets become more popular, will cryptocurrencies replace traditional payments? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Umer_Mahmood

Across the globe, the number of people who hold cryptocurrency wallets is increasing exponentially. In fact, so far, around 36 million crypto wallets have been created, many for free using a simple download process. Of course, as increasing numbers of people look to buy BCH and other cryptocurrencies, the number of wallets is bound to rise. However, this rise has been very fast. Since early 2016 the number has gone from fewer than 6.7 million to 34.6 million, rising steadily during that time with no real peaks or troughs. Simultaneously, of course, the number of cryptocurrencies available has also increased. In fact, it’s thought that there were around 1,658 cryptocurrencies in existence in 2018, and new ones are being created all the time.

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Currencies

Friday, May 10, 2019

Bitcoin Bull Market Is Back / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

I am hoping that the title to this article will mark the local top to the rally off the December 2018 lows in Bitcoin. (smile) But, that does not change our perspective that it is likely that Bitcoin has resumed its bull market run.

As we came into 2019, Ryan Wilday and I have been publishing articles about Bitcoin, with our ideal targets for the initial rally off its December 2018 lows pointing to the $6000-7000 region before a top forms. And, as we now find ourselves in our target region, we now can count the minimum number of waves in Bitcoin to mark a near term top. Therefore, as I write this article while Bitcoin is hovering around $6,050, we are still looking a bit higher in the near term, but with more caution than prior articles.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 09, 2019

Bitcoin Setting Up For Another Drop / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last year just days before the big Bitcoin breakdown we notified everyone publicly to get ready for a swift drop from $6000 to $4000 which played out perfectly within a few days. Our cycle system and technical analysis skills combined can pack a powerful punch and this one of those incredible moves where the stars aligned for us as traders.

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Currencies

Friday, April 26, 2019

The Euro Is Down. But Is It Really Out? / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

We’ve seen quite decent currency moves in recent days. And the market ain’t exactly sleepy today, either. Let’s put these moves into the picture. The implications lead us to make serious decisions. Is there a more pleasant sound than ringing a cashier’s bell? Ringing YOUR cashier’s bell, that is. Just see what we’ve exactly decided to do right now.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

How Central Bank Gold Buying is Undermining the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Richard_Mills

Ahead of the Herd has been digging into why central banks are buying a lot of gold recently . What we’ve found is eyebrow-raising, to say the least. It may be the best reason you’ve ever read for wanting to buy gold.

Take this headline from the Northern Miner: “Editorial: Central banks are major gold buyers in 2019”. Citing statistics from the World Gold Council, the Northern Miner reports that central banks netted 51 tonnes in gold purchases, the most since October 2018, when they increased gold held in central bank vaults by 105 tonnes. Switching to ounces, the Miner states that gold holdings grew by a startling 2.9 million ounces in January and February 2019, versus 1.9 Moz during the same period of 2018. This is the highest level of gold buying by central banks since the first two months of 2008 - during the financial crisis.

Central banks backed up the truck for gold in 2018, buying 651.5 tonnes versus 375 tonnes in 2017. That’s the largest net purchase of gold since 1967.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 09, 2019

What Does Bitcoin’s Surge Reveal? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Rodney_Johnson

If you went to the store two days in a row and all the prices had gone down by 20% on the second day, would you wonder what was going on?

What if prices jumped 10% one day, then fell 7% the next?

What if, over the course of a year, prices skyrocketed by 400%?

This is what the world is like for those who view Bitcoin as currency.
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Currencies

Monday, April 08, 2019

What’s Next for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

People don’t understand gold. They don’t understand the U.S. dollar either.

Mostly, it’s the same people.

Gold bugs thought we were debasing the dollar by printing our way out of the 2008/9 financial crisis. Ha! Actually, the dollar has been rising since the start of that recession. The dollar, not gold, is actually the safe haven for the markets.

Right now, it’s range bound, but the dollar strengthened as much as 47%, at its best, during the last 11 years.

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Currencies

Monday, April 08, 2019

US Dollar Key Fundamentals / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

A reminder that we are not using the standard gold bug method of evaluating the USD (perma “death to the dollar!!”). We are using fundamentals in evaluating its potential to correct (and launch a global macro trade). The blue shaded boxes on this weekly chart tell the story of Fed policy (Fed Funds/3 mo. T-Bill) that significantly lagged the upturn in the 2yr yield into late 2015. But USD turned up much earlier (in 2014) to follow the 2yr.

Today we have an opposite situation. The 2yr has turned down (putting the Fed in dove mode) but Fed policy is going sideways. We are relatively early in a new blue box and if the correlation between USD and the 2yr holds (in reverse) either USD will correct soon or the 2yr will rise again (and whipsaw an increasingly clownish looking Fed).

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Currencies

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Litecoin – Love It Or Hate It / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Sumeet_Manhas

As the cryptocurrency revolution shows no sign of slowing down, we spoke to a couple of people who have been caught up in the emergence of one particular brand of a coin, Litecoin, all of whom share a few similar experiences, whilst bearing a few contradictions to each other too. We talked to them about everything from usability to litecoin price, to see what conclusions we could draw.

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Currencies

Friday, April 05, 2019

Canadian Dollar May Be Setting Up For An Upside Breakout / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe a current pennant/flag formation in the Canadian Dollar is suggesting an upside breakout move may be setting up over the next 5~7+ days.  Recently, the Canadian Dollar has weakened from 0.76875 to lows near 0.74375.  Current price rotation is almost perfectly aligned with Fibonacci Price theory suggesting that the recent failure to establish any new lower price level (highlighted on this chart in MAGENTA), suggests a tightening price range as the current pennant/flag formation completes over the next 5~7+ days.  It is our belief that as long as the current price level stays above the 0.74375 level throughout the completed pennant apex, an upside price break is very likely.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Euro Dollar Price Bottoming Setup / Currencies / Euro

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The Euro Futures chart is highlighting recent support and our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling systems are suggesting that a current support zone may be setting up for a decent upside move to near 1.15.  Momentum has stalled to the downside after the Brexit kerfuffle.  It is our opinion that this move to near 1.125 will likely hold as support and prompt an upside price move towards the 1.15 price level.

Volatility within the ZE is normal and this type of price rotation appears to continue.  An upside bottom/base near 1.125 may prompt a larger upside price swing in the Euro Futures because it relates a “higher low” price formation following Fibonacci Price Theory.  This set would indicate that a “lower low” attempt has failed and would suggest that the Euro Futures price would now attempt a new Higher High (above 1.155).

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Currencies

Saturday, March 23, 2019

US Dollar Breakdown on Fed Was Much Worse Than It Looks / Currencies / US Dollar

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund explains why the dollar breakdown after the Fed's rate announcement is good news for precious metals.

The Fed statement that it won't be raising rates again this year had a dramatic effect on both the dollar and the precious metals sector. The dollar had been struggling to make further progress for some time and the Fed statement kicked the crutches out from under it, and it broke sharply lower, as we can see on its latest 1-year chart below. It broke below its 200-day moving average, the 1st time it has been below it for almost a year, and it also broke it down below its uptrend. This was a development made all the more serious and decisive by the fact that it is currently tightly bunched with its moving averages, which means that it is at a key inflexion point—it could have broken either way, but the Fed has decided its direction with its stated policy not to raise rates this year.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 23, 2019

Which Currency Pairs Stand to Benefit from Prevailing Risk Aversion? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: P_Radomski_CFA

After the Fed’s surprise move, the dust is getting settled. We are seeing serious reprising across many currency pairs. Sharp movements practically anywhere you look today. Where to start? With the euro, the yen or the Canadian dollar? It’s hard to choose the winner among all the moves in our favor. Let’s shine more light into every pair covered so that you are as prepared for what lies ahead as we are. Our subscribers already are.

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Currencies

Friday, March 22, 2019

March 2019 Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Umer_Mahmood

Although cryptocurrencies lost significant value during 2018, most of the major tokens had a decent performance so far in 2019. Today we’ll look at Bitcoin, Ether, and Litecoin, in order to help you understand the price action context and potentially find some good trading opportunities.

BTCUSD (Coinbase chart)

Those of you familiar with online trading on cryptocurrencies, already know that Bitcoin started to edge higher since December 15th. Widely known as the “Santa rally”, this seasonal occurrence proved to be right for the major cryptocurrency.
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Currencies

Monday, March 18, 2019

Argentina's Peso, Nothing But Trouble / Currencies / Argentina

By: Steve_H_Hanke

This week, Argentina released its February inflation statistics. Inflation spiked, again. Indeed, the official annual inflation rate jumped to 51.3%/yr.

While this spike caught most observers off balance, it didn’t surprise me. Each day, I accurately measure Argentina’s inflation using high-frequency data and Purchasing Power Parity theory. By my measure, Argentina’s annual inflation rate is 100%/yr (see the accompanying chart). That’s nearly double the official rate reported for the end of February.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 16, 2019

Gold – US Dollar vs US Dollar Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Kelsey_Williams

When it comes to analysis of gold, the U.S. Dollar Index finds nearly universal acceptance. Or rather, when most analysts refer to comparison/correlation of the U.S. dollar to gold, they usually illustrate their point with a chart of the U.S. dollar index.

While they won’t say it straight out, most of them see the U.S. Dollar Index as a proxy for the U.S. dollar. But, is it? From Wikipedia…

“The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX, DXY, DX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, often referred to as a basket of U.S. trade partners’ currencies. The Index goes up when the U.S. dollar gains “strength” (value) when compared to other currencies.”

The “basket of foreign currencies” used are: Euro, Japanese yen, Pound sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, Swiss franc.

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Currencies

Friday, March 15, 2019

Best Time to Trade Forex / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

deleted .... Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, March 13, 2019

Is Britain At The Edge Of A Political Cliff? / Currencies / British Pound

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recent news that Theresa May was unable to convince members of Parliament to even consider her current deal as well as the future political and societal consequences of any failure to move ahead with an orderly Brexit deal.  The question before traders and investors is how will this reflect in the global markets and how will currencies react to this new?

The GBP (British Pound) appears to be poised to a breakdown move aligning with our Fibonacci Arc structures.  These arc structures help us to understand where “inflection points” are likely in the markets and where bigger moves may initiate.  The current Arc level, near current price, is indicating that any failure of an upside move will likely prompt a downside move to near 0.739 – or lower.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

Will Cryptocurrencies Replace Gold? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The World Gold Council has issued quite a few interesting papers recently. In this edition of the Gold News Monitor, we discuss the most provocative ones. Such as the money worthiness of gold compared to Bitcoin. Or the ongoing gold repatriation trend as Romania recently joined the fray. What kind of learnings can the precious metals investors draw here?

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

Consequences of US Dollar Lost Global Reserve Status / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The Gold suppression game appears finally to be coming to an end. A Perfect Storm is hitting the Gold market, with an internal factor (QE), an external factor (SGE), and a systemic factor (Basel). All three forces are positive in releasing Gold from the corrupt clutches of the Anglo-American banker organization. They have been willing to destroy the global financial structure and many national economies, in order not just to maintain the political power, but also to continue the privilege of granting themselves $trillion free loans. In the last ten years since the Lehman Brothers failure, all systems have undergone the same reckless treatment that the mortgage bonds endured. They saw corrupted underwriting, corrupted title database, rigged market pricing, and corrupted demand functions. Slowly the realization is coming to the fore, stated by a few astute analysts. In the last decade, the US-UK banksters have created the USTreasury bond as the global subprime bond. This is the result of astounding persistent magnificent QE abuse and hidden corruption. The so-called financial stimulus is actually hyper monetary inflation, which has destroyed the bond market.

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