Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, November 08, 2011
Currency Markets, Aussie dollar slips on poor trade balance data / Currencies / Forex Trading
This morning the Australian dollar is the day's biggest faller, with the AUD/USD and AUD/JPY dropping 0.65%. Worse than expected trade balance figures are the main catalyst for the move.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2011
Perfect Financial Storm; Eight Reasons to be Bullish on the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
One of my much appreciated contacts is Steen Jakobsen, chief economist for Saxo Bank in Copenhagen, Denmark. Today he passed on an "internal note" that he gave permission to share.
For ease in reading, I will not follow with my usual indented blockquote format.
Tuesday, November 08, 2011
The War that Will Kill the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
A war-mongering U.S. government could be less than 18 months away from decimating the last 5% of value left in the dollar, says Richard Maybury, the author of the U.S. & World Early Warning Report. Until some new exchange-traded-fund-like basket of natural resources provides a store of value, this "juris naturalist" has some advice about how to protect your wealth during the coming collapse.
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Saturday, November 05, 2011
Dollar/Yen Bullish Digestion Pattern / Currencies / US Dollar
Although USD/Yen has been trading in a relatively narrow range between 78.40 and 77.80 since mid-session Monday after Sunday evening's BOJ intervention (to sell yen and buy USD), all of the action off of the intervention high impresses me as a bullish digestion period ahead of another up-leg.
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Friday, November 04, 2011
Why Is The USD So Weak / Currencies / US Dollar
With multiple reports of USD shortages including the need for an emergency Fed swap line in September why is it not showing in the DXY? Is the DXY to the USD what the paper market is to the precious metals?
Put yourself back in September 2008. Fannie Mae was bailed out on September 8 followed by Lehman, AIG, etc through September 22. Over that period the DXY falls 5.6%. Think traders were scratching their heads wondering why the USD was so weak? Where’s the fear? Is the USD as a safe haven trade dead?
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Monday, October 31, 2011
Yen plunges on BOJ intervention / Currencies / Forex Trading
The main news this morning is the Bank of Japan's direct intervention in currency markets to haul the yen back from record highs against the US dollar. The intervention sent the USD/JPY soaring with a knock on effect on other yen and dollar pairs. The USD/JPY is up 4.00%, touching a high of 79.53 after the pair hit record lows last week. There are similar moves on other yen pairs with the GBP/JPY up 3.45%.
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Friday, October 28, 2011
High Corn Prices Burning Meat Companies But Agribusiness Will Thrive / Currencies / Agricultural Commodities
David Zeiler writes: High corn prices are creating misery for meat processing companies that are getting squeezed on profits and consumers who are getting squeezed in their wallets.
Just about the only group to benefit from high corn prices will be agribusiness companies that make the equipment and supplies farmers will need to grow more corn.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Bet Against the U.S. Dollar as a Store of Value / Currencies / US Dollar
In this excerpt from the Casey Summit When Money Dies, seasoned resource investor/broker Rick Rule discusses risk management and explains why the greatest risk you face as an investor is located to the left of your right ear and to the right of your left ear.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Is Occupy Wall Street A Threat to the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
On its face, suggesting that the Occupy Wall Street movement may threaten the U.S. dollar may appear like a tall order. However, simply dismissing Occupy Wall Street as a fad may be a big mistake, just as it is a mistake to dismiss the Tea Party movement. Regardless of your political stance, and with no offense intended to supporters of either group, we believe they may be two sides of the same coin – quite literally. To determine where policy makers and with it, the U.S. dollar, may be heading, it is important to understand that the driving forces behind both movements have common roots.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Euro and Forex Markets Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading
Many believe that EUR action is all about Dollar Index. We disagree. The times we live in now are no more led by Dollar action but rather by EUR action given the tremendous implications of what is happening in EU zone. Who would have thought that a disparate group of politicians, each subservient to their political goals and with a tinge in common between them would chart a path to common fiscal union. We had doubts as did markets. But for the first time, we feel that fiscal union and treaty change are now a matter of time rather than whether they will happen!
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
What Do Wave Charts Say About the Euro? / Currencies / Euro
This article is Part 1 of a 3-part interview series with Glenn Neely, founder and president of NEoWave Institute. In these 3 interviews, conducted by blogger Bud Fox, Glenn Neely looks ahead at 3 specific trading markets (Euro, Gold, and Treasuries) through the lens of Wave structure and explores what Wave theory tells us about the next 5-10 years.
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Sunday, October 23, 2011
Yuan Gold Contacts a Step toward Reserve Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
On Monday, the first gold contracts denominated in the Chinese Renminbi (also known informally as “yuan”) came to the Hong Kong market. Analysts have been quick to note the implications of a yuan-denominated contract, realizing that the new contract could drive nearly three times as much demand as the dollar-denominated contract.
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Global Trade and the Yuan Chinese Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
"How soon will the Chinese natural resource demand decrease? The Chinese population is significantly larger than every individual country's population in the world (except India)." Is China the New North? Assessing the Impact of Chinese Trade with Latin America, Brookings Institution
"In terms of long-term structural trends, demand is now driven by an urbanization process that is far more structural than consensus generally believes. On our analysis, China is only 20 to 25 per cent along the path towards being a mature materials market and it may take at least six to nine years before demand intensity peaks." Andrew Keen, Thorsten Zimmermann and Lourina Pretorius, analysts at HSBC
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Friday, October 21, 2011
What Currency Charts Say About European Debt Crisis / Currencies / Global Debt Crisis
We have a pending news driven event out of the EU this weekend or maybe just more extend and pretend. So expect a lot of rumbles into it and of course misinformation and rumors too. What is going to happen is going to happen. We have no clue as to what though with the circus parade over there.
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Thursday, October 20, 2011
Europe still looking for the Bazooka / Currencies / Forex Trading
Title: Europe still looking for the BazookaThis morning financial markets are on the back foot following last night's evening session sell off. Markets are still looking European officials to bring out the 'Bazooka', a plan that will put to bed the Eurozone worries once and for all. Up until now officials have provided solutions that do little more than buy time, but now its crunch time and markets are demanding a meaningful solution. The omens weren't good last night when an FT story suggested that European banks would only have to raise 100 bn euros, less than a third of what the market things they really need. In addition, European lawyers have questioned the legality of proposals to leverage up the EFSF under the 'no bailout' clause.
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Thursday, October 20, 2011
U.S. Dollar Index, The Big Picture / Currencies / US Dollar
When markets are volatile it often pays to take a step back and look at the big picture. A monthly chart shows the Dollar Index ranging between 70 and 90 since 2003, with the 80 level alternating as mid-range support/resistance. The index recently pulled back from resistance at 80 and will now either re-group for another attempt or medium-term support will give way, signaling a test of long-term support.
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Thursday, October 20, 2011
Analyzing the Australian Dollar, Up, Down, and UnderĀ / Currencies / Austrailia
With the Sword of Damocles hanging over the Euro currency by a thread, many speculators in the foreign exchange markets are flocking to the currency Down Under – the Australian dollar, attracted to its free wheeling and dealing, and its heightened volatility. The Aussie dollar offers much higher interest rates than other Asian currencies, such as the Hong Kong dollar and Japanese yen, whose exchange rates are essentially fixed by their governments though daily market intervention, making the Aussie a favorite target for carry traders.
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Thursday, October 20, 2011
U.S. Dollar and Euro Review and Outlook / Currencies / Forex Trading
With so many global dynamics playing out, and the world’s financial markets fixated on the political process (or lack thereof) in the Eurozone, driving market sentiment around the world, it may be a good time to take a deep breath, take a look back at where we’ve come from, and assess the likely implications going forward. Specifically, what are the implications for the U.S. dollar and currencies globally?
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Sunday, October 16, 2011
Currency Intermarket Insights, YEN, UST2Y, DXY, EURO / Currencies / Forex Trading
Key counter trends this week has challened many of the established trends of the last 3 months. We will look at key pairs and intermarket to understand on their trends.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Aussie Dollar Extends Rally / Currencies / Forex Trading
This morning, the AUD/USD is extending the run that has seen it rally over 7.50% since the lows of September. In the same period the NZD/USD has gained 6.5% and the EUR/USD 5%. The Aussie is rallying today after better than expected employment change and unemployment data.
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