Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 13, 2011
Facing the Currency Black Market / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Lonerangersilver writes: In 1980, I was on a three day visit and my first to Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic. I was representing an American fast food chain looking to expand in the Latin Market. I was there to interview a potential franchisee and I was joined by a Food Engineer to evaluate the market for food suppliers, quality of ingredients, prices, marketing, legal work on the brands, real estate, etc. Of special interest was the candidate’s legal and financial standing and his reputation in the business community. I had Interviews with his lawyers, banks, references, etc. We had to do a lot of work in a short time.
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Thursday, June 09, 2011
US Dollar Death Spiral, Economy Hurtles Toward System Failure / Currencies / US Dollar
The combination of $trillion bond fraud, dependence on inflating home equity for economic development, oversized cars, oil dependence, constant market intervention, insolvent banks, insolvent homes, outsourced industry, endless war, budget deadlock amidst runaway deficits, raided US gold treasury, mammoth future benefit obligations, and handing over the keys at USDept Treasury to Goldman Sachs has left the United States to fend off systemic failure. The creeping price inflation that stems from USFed hyper monetary inflation and total ignorance on basics of capitalism like business formation have left the US vulnerable to disorder and chaos. The chaos in fact grows with the passage of time and the ruin of money, against a background of a cruel middle class squeeze. With one citizen in seven on food stamps and over 22% of the population jobless, the sunset of the American Empire is well along. The banker oligarchs are gradually killing the nation, its democracy, and its wealth engines during a sustained strangulation process.
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Saturday, June 04, 2011
Making Cents of the Currency Crisis, Gold's Continuing Ascendancy / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Business Times Singapore Investment Round Table June 2011
It is hardly surprising that at such a time the price of gold continues to break new records, while the IMF's SDR is back in fashion
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Friday, June 03, 2011
Indian Rupee Currency Analysis: INR-USD– Will the Rupee Depreciate? / Currencies / India
During the last decade, among major economies, India has achieved consistently impressive growth, second only to China. In the first half of fiscal 2010–11, the Indian economy grew at a healthy rate of 8.9%, and the majority of global growth going forward is expected to be driven by developing countries, specifically India and China. India is home to a vibrant services economy and a hotbed of outsourcing. Its economy has become increasingly interlinked with global markets as trade has flourished.
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Friday, June 03, 2011
U.S. Dollar Unable to Strengthen / Currencies / US Dollar
The Dollar’s recent rally appears over, or is it?
Until the start of May the Dollar had been under relentless selling pressure that drove it to within a whisker of 1.50 against the Euro. Then suddenly it corrected, very vigorously. The catalyst was a mix of events, but the Portuguese debt crisis was at the centre of the drama weakening the Euro.
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
Washington Killing U.S. Dollar's No1 World Currency Status / Currencies / US Dollar
SO the YIELD offered by 10-year US Treasury bonds just fell through 3.0%, a five-decade low when reached (and then breached on the way down to 2.0%) in 2009.
More telling, the real 10-year yield – the rate of interest paid to new buyers after you account for inflation – just slipped back below zero, even on the official CPI measure of living costs.
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
Where Were You the Day the U.S. Dollar Died? / Currencies / US Dollar
Martin Hutchinson writes: I've dubbed this the "pesofication" of the U.S. dollar.
But we're really talking here about the dollar's long-term demise.
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
What Comes After the U.S. Dollar's Demise / Currencies / Fiat Currency
THE DOLLAR'S TERRIBLE FATE
My readers are familiar with my forecast that the US dollar is in terminal decline. America is tragically bankrupt, unable to pay its lenders without printing the dollars to do so, and enmeshed in an economic depression. The clock is ticking until the dollar faces a crisis of confidence like every other bubble before it. The key difference between this collapse and, say, the bursting of the housing bubble is that the US dollar is the backbone of the global economy. Its conflagration will leave a vacuum that needs to be filled.
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Wednesday, June 01, 2011
Canadian Dollar is No Haven from a US Dollar Collapse / Currencies / Canadian $
We spend a lot of time here at The Dollar Vigilante chastising Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve and preparing our subscribers for a collapse of the US dollar - something which has been paying off very handsomely, with gold and silver at record highs this year - but don't take that to mean that we prefer any other fiat currency. No fiat currency in the western world is any better than the US Dollar. In fact, in every case, they are worse.
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Wednesday, June 01, 2011
Oil Is the Next Big Play for Energy Stocks / Currencies / Oil Companies
Light oil is the sweet spot for Jennings Capital Oil and Gas Analyst Tim Murray. He's finding plays that tap into pools via horizontal drilling. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Tim talks about finding big growth stories in small companies that require investors to take on a bit more risk.
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Wednesday, June 01, 2011
The Breakup of the Euro and Euro-zone? / Currencies / Euro
Last month Iceland voted against submitting to British and Dutch demands that it compensate their national bank insurance agencies for bailing out their own domestic Icesave depositors. This was the second vote against settlement (by a ratio of 3:2), and Icelandic support for membership in the Eurozone has fallen to just 30 percent. The feeling is that European politics are being run for the benefit of bankers, not the social democracy that Iceland imagined was the guiding philosophy – as indeed it was when the European Economic Community (Common Market) was formed in 1957.
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
EUR/GBP Key Reversal Signal / Currencies / Forex Trading
As in the EUR/USD (Update 12/05/11) the EUR/GBP cross recently displayed a key reversal week, which implied at least a temporary halt in the 2011 uptrend. This week’s violation of key support now suggests a weakening in upward momentum.
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Monday, May 23, 2011
Daily Short-term Forex Market Forecasts for 12 Currency Pairs / Currencies / Forex Trading
From the May 4 top near $1.4950, the EUR/USD (the euro-dollar exchange rate and the most actively-traded forex pair) has fallen as low as $1.4050 on May 16.
In other words, the dollar has gained 9 full cents on the euro in less than two weeks. That's a huge move, and people want explanations. And what the media offers boils down to "risk aversion," in light of "the bad news from Greece." And that sounds good -- until you check the timeline.
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Saturday, May 21, 2011
Euro Peering Over the Abyss, What will the E.U. Do? / Currencies / Euro
I have been doing a lot of reading this week, and today we look at some of the thoughts that keep coming to my mind. We'll think about the declining importance of economic theory (which is a tragedy) and then cast our eyes to Europe, where a truely tragicomic drama is being performed. Who needs the movies when you have the EU? There is a lot to talk about.
But first, some of my thinking has been deeply colored by some recent Conversations I have had with Neil Howe, Lacy Hunt, Dylan Grice, and George Friedman. Those audios and transcripts will soon be on the Conversations website, and others will join them shortly.
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Saturday, May 21, 2011
The China Trade / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
In an Undercollateralized World concluded by quoting Michael Lewitt. Lewitt, the proprietor of Harch Capital Management in Boca Raton, Florida, wrote in the May issue of his monthly letter, The Credit Strategist:
Friday, May 20, 2011
U.S. Dollar Index Reversal Signs / Currencies / US Dollar
The 2011 downleg in the US Dollar Index recently violated the 2009 low but has held above the more major 2008 low, finding support on the long term chart and producing an initial reversal sign too.
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Thursday, May 19, 2011
Forex Forecasts, EUR/USD Falling on Risk Aversion? / Currencies / Forex Trading
From the May 4 top near $1.4950, the EUR/USD (the euro-dollar exchange rate and the most actively-traded forex pair) has fallen as low as $1.4050 on May 16.
In other words, the dollar has gained 9 full cents on the euro in less than two weeks. That's a huge move, and people want explanations. And what the media offers boils down to "risk aversion," in light of "the bad news from Greece." And that sounds good -- until you check the timeline.
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Thursday, May 19, 2011
Living Through A Currency Devaluation / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Lonerangersilver writes: In 1976 I was managing an American subsidiary of a successful large US Company in Mexico. It had been a financial turnaround for our team. Cash flow had accumulated in our bank in Mexico and corporate didn’t want the money repatriated to the US. Although we had already paid a 35% income tax to the Mexican government, we would have to pay an additional 30% exit tax to repatriate the money. In addition, we would have to pay high fees for the peso/dollar exchange, in order to make the transfer. The company wanted to expand our successful business and so we decided to keep the money in Mexican pesos to be used for further expansion.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2011
U.S. Dollar Bull Monkey Dance Will End Badly, with a QE3 party? / Currencies / US Dollar
Interesting to watch all of the Silver and Gold Bears running out into the streets from their caves beating their chests due to the silver shellacking we just saw. Getting jiggy with the US Dollar rally is all the rage right now, and stomping on the precious metals Bulls is the hot sport. The only problem is calling for a crash after a crash is kind of like picking the winner of the NCAA tournament at your office the day after the tournament ends. It's rare to get a crash on top of a crash, and trying to predict any crash is a fool's game anyways.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
EUR/USD Negative Key Reversal Gives Bulls Pause / Currencies / Euro
This year’s uptrend recently neared a 76.4% recovery level, but a sell-off last week has stopped bulls in their tracks for now, with current risk of further losses shorter term.
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