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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, April 03, 2017

USD and Gold: Intermediate and Super Cycle Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: SurfCity

Beyond the 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle and Yearly Cycle (2-3 Intermediate Cycle), there are also longer Cycles for all assets. Gold for example has a 4 Year Cycle and the USD has a 3 Year Cycle (measured Low to Low). The USD also has a 15 Year Super Cycle (5 of its 3 Year Cycles).

I have stated that my longer term Cycle analysis indicates the USD should be making its 15 Year Super Cycle top in 2017 but I am not sure just yet if this is behind us or dead ahead. As always, the Price and Time action on the charts will guide me. For now the Wedge in my first chart needs to be watched closely over the next couple of weeks. A break to the upside of my Red down trend line will confirm a new Intermediate Cycle for the USD while a more serious breach of my Blue Uptrend line that goes all the way back to early 2014 would have me strongly consider that the 15 year top is in.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 02, 2017

Time to Repair the Deflating US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Tony_Caldaro

Every century the US has been existence there has been a new USD. And we believe it is time for a new US Dollar in the 21st century. In the following paragraphs we hope to explain why this is required, and how this could be accomplished in the coming years. First a little history.

In the 18th century (1792) the US established the first USD with the one ounce Silver coin. There was no paper currency only Silver and Gold coins. The US was on a Silver standard, and one ounce of Silver was worth $1.

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Currencies

Friday, March 31, 2017

See the Top Forex Markets that are Poised to Move -- Right Now / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Dear Trader,

You saw big moves in forex last year -- and 2017 should be no different.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 30, 2017

USD May Stay Soft in Near Term / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Although the Fed is in the rate hike cycle, USD rally started to lose momentum early this year when market started to realize that monetary policy divergence started to narrow. ECB has started to talk about rate hikes, while China started to tighten monetary policy by raising money market rates early last month. The Fed also sounded less hawkish in their last rate hike as they forecasted only three rate hikes this year and no Fed members agreed to hike rate four times.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

US Dollar and Gold Dumb Market Myths About to Go Up in Smoke… / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Everywhere I look I see talk of a major $USD bull market being underway. I see this coming from CNBC as well as so-called “investment gurus.”

This is odd… because the $USD is DOWN against every major currency thus far in 2017.

I’m not making this up. The $USD is DOWN against the Yen, the Euro, the Swiss Franc, even the British pound.

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Currencies

Monday, March 27, 2017

Top Ten US Dollar Risks / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The USDollar has never been in greater danger for losing its dominant position as global reserve currency and payment standard. Challenges to its supremacy are many and with each passing month, more threats are put in place. While the volumes of trade payment in Chinese RMB grow slowly, and the banking reserves in non-USD bonds grow slowly, the risk for the USDollar to be marginalized has increased significantly in the last two to three years. Basically speaking, a fiat currency run by a corrupt, thieving, and dishonorable hegemonic regime for the sole purpose of exploiting the rest of the world cannot stand the test of time, and will be dismantled. The community of nations gathers momentum and organization with producing an alternative. It has taken time, and will require more time. The scenario is indeed possible of a dual universe has been raised, whereby the West continues under the USD-based system, and the East emerges under a new RMB-based system. However, the Eastern alternative is step by step to emerge with a gold foundation. The USDollar cannot compete with Gold in any way except through continued fraud, intimidation, extortion, and open war. All these topics at high level and ground level are covered with analysis in the Hat Trick Letter.

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Currencies

Monday, March 27, 2017

US Dollar Inflection Point / Currencies / US Dollar

By: SurfCity

This is the first of several updates this weekend and I thought I would start with the USD.

This update has four Charts on the USD starting with longer term charts and then moving in for a close up view on the current price action. My first chart is a long term 20 year weekly chart that shows the USD's breakout above the downtrend line from it's last top in 2001. This chart also shows the current uptrend channel out of the 2008 Low (Green and Orange lines).

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

USD Decline Continues, Pull SPX Down as well? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

USD futures are still on the move as the dollar declined to a low of 99.59 this morning. We are still looking for the expected master Cycle low, but it is late in coming.

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Currencies

Monday, March 20, 2017

AUDUSD Elliott Wave View : 5 Waves Move / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

AUDUSD ended the correction in Intermediate wave (X) after reaching 0.7486 and then started rallying from there. With today’s new high the pair is showing 5 waves impulsive move from 03/09/2017 low and has already reached the minimum target area for Minutte wave (v) to end. The minimum target for Minutte wave (v) can be calculated as the inverse 1.236-1.618 Fibonacci extension of Minutte wave (iv) which comes at 0.7734 – .07753. Short term, an extension higher can’t be ruled out as there are still 2 other methods for calculating the 5th wave and one method of calculating (v) = (i) gives us a higher target around the equal legs area at 0.7765 – 0.7790.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 19, 2017

Crypto Craziness: Bitcoin Plunges on Fork Concerns, Steem Skyrockets and Dash Surges Above $100 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

The last month has not helped bitcoin’s reputation as being a volatile currency.

A month ago bitcoin was trading near $1,000. Two weeks later it sat on the cusp of $1,300. Then, after the SEC turned down a bitcoin ETF, it sank below $1,000 briefly a week ago.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 16, 2017

It’s Time to Stop Putting a Patch on the Euro / Currencies / Euro

By: Rodney_Johnson

Andreas Georgiou can’t catch a break.

The Greek statistician moved back to his home country in 2010, at age 50, to help right the financial ship. He left Washington, where he had spent 21 years working for the International Monetary Fund, to take over the agency that reports Greece’s financial health.

Part of the problem with Greece is that no one knows exactly how big their problems are, since the numbers weren’t exactly accurate.
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Currencies

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

A Response to “Bitcoin Won’t Work When SHTF” / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

I’ve been commenting a lot on bitcoin lately as it has had an amazing and volatile week.

One thing that I keep noticing in the comments, though, is at least one or two people always chime in and say, “Bitcoin is screwed when SHTF”.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Bitcoin Price Returns To All-Time Highs As Cryptocurrencies Explode Higher / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

In the wake of the Winklevoss ETF being shot down by the SEC, bitcoin’s price took a major dive of nearly $300, briefly going below $1,000 last Friday.

Now, just a few days later, the price has nearly made a full recovery shooting past $1240 and surpassing, once again, the spot price of gold.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 11, 2017

Bitcoin Gets WinkleF*ked By the Criminal SEC Organization / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Last week we heralded, “Bitcoin Is Now As Good As Gold, Actually, It’s Better”.

It was a bit tongue-in-cheek, and I knew it’d get the gold crowd whipped into a frenzy. But, the point was, for the first time ever, the value of one unit of bitcoin surpassed the value of one ounce of gold.

At the time it was around $1,250.

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Currencies

Friday, March 10, 2017

Monitoring Rising USD Patterns / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

As we approach Friday's US jobs report, deemed by some as instrumental in determining the already surging odds of a Fed hike next week (and by others as irrelevant), here are a few USD notes worthy of consideration. The 6-currency basket USDX is entering its 5th straight consecutive weekly gain, the longest string of rallies since the 6-weekly gains seen on Dec 2014-Jan 2015 when the Fed ended QE3. Interestingly, we haven't had many uninterrupted weekly USD gains. Here are the most recent ones.

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Currencies

Friday, March 10, 2017

Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ) Warning Stage / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Bitcoin Review

Last year , Bitcoin was still considered as a fading project and many expected its price to keep dropping and break below $100. However in the recent months, the crypto-currency kept rising significantly and finally managed to make new all time high and break above $1200 last week ! That’s only $50 short of the equivalence to 1 ounce of GOLD which could have a big impact in the future .

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Currencies

Thursday, March 09, 2017

Forex Trading Alert: USD/CAD at Fresh Highs / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Forex Trading Alert originally published on March 8, 2016, 9:32 AM

Earlier today, the U.S. dollar extended gains against its Canadian counterpart as declining crude oil prices pushed the Canadian currency lower. As a result, USD/CAD reached the next resistance zone. Will it stop currency bulls in the coming days?

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 08, 2017

EURUSD: When Price Pattern Trumps Other "Reasons" / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

Waves of market psychology often warn of trend changes before the news -- see how

This was an eventful week in politics, monetary policy and the markets -- and to many observers, the three seemed to be linked.

On Wednesday (March 1), the U.S. dollar did something it hadn't done in almost two months: It got stronger. Two reasons were behind the move, said analysts: The Fed's imminent rate hike, and, President Trump's widely-covered address to Congress:

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 08, 2017

Trump's Monetary Intervention, A Repeat of the Plaza Accord / Currencies / US Dollar

By: STRATFOR

Forecast

  • A strong dollar will undermine U.S. President Donald Trump's plans to reduce the United States' trade deficit.
  • If the dollar's value continues to rise, Trump may consider unilateral or, failing that, multilateral currency interventions to bring it back down.
  • Negotiating a new coordinated monetary intervention in the spirit of the 1985 Plaza Accord will be onerous, however.
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Currencies

Wednesday, March 08, 2017

Capital Controls May Be Coming to the US / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Mauldin

Those who hoped President Trump would tone down his protectionist rhetoric will be unnerved six weeks into his tenure. From his meeting with business CEOs, Trump has put trade “front and center.”

So far, all is going well for the president. Markets are inching higher, and inflationary forces have picked up. However, bringing back jobs and reducing the trade deficit will be a tougher task.

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