Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Trump Stocks Bull Market Rolling Over? You Were Warned! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has been on a tear since Donald Trump surprised nearly everyone by winning the November 2016 US Presidential election, including the markets. Since which time the Dow has gone from a November low of 17,883 to an early March high of 21,200. That's a near 19% bull run in just 4 months! During which time America's Alt-Reality thin skinned President has often stepped forward to claim success for the stocks bull market rally under his Presidency.
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
An OPEC Oil Deal Extension Isn’t As Simple As It Sounds / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
It’s been six months now that oil prices have been reacting to OPEC, first to the possibility of an agreement, and then to the production cut deal itself, forged by OPEC to rebalance the market. The deal--initially aired as ‘an agreement to agree on a deal’ in September and signed at the end of November—will likely impact the market for at least the next six months.
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
In Japan, Russia and China Find Common Ground / Politics / GeoPolitics
By: STRATFOR
For the first time in three years, Russia and Japan have revived an avenue of negotiation that had stalled in the face of enduring tension between the two nations. Foreign and defense ministers from both countries met in Tokyo on Monday to hold 2+2 talks on security issues in the Asia-Pacific region. As expected, Japan took the opportunity to question Russia's recent attempts to bolster its defenses on the southern Kuril Islands, to which Tokyo has long laid claim. Russia fired back with its own objections to Japan's desire to build up its ballistic missile defenses as North Korea pushes ahead with its nuclear program.
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Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Stock Market Charts That Scream “This Is It” - Here’s What to Do / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: David_Galland
By Stephen McBride: The S&P 500 and DJIA haven’t seen a 1% drop since October 2016. For some perspective, Hillary Clinton was the presidential frontrunner the last time markets fell 1%. This is the longest such streak for both indices in over 20 years.
In February, the DJIA recorded its longest “winning streak” since 1987. It closed 2,000 points above its 200-day moving average for the first time ever.
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Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Raising the Minimum Wage Is a Jobs Killing Move / Economics / Employment
By: David_Galland
By Stephen McBride: In January, 19 US states raised their respective minimum wages. Washington was among the most generous, hiking by $1.53 (bringing it to $11 per hour). Arizona got an increase of $1.95—their “bottom rung” now sits at $10 per hour.
In all, 4.3 million workers are slated to receive a hike as they earn less than the new minimum wage in their respective states. Well, that’s what’s meant to happen. Judging by the fallout from recent hikes, it seems things aren’t going according to plan.
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Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Potential Bottoming Patterns in Gold and Silver Precious Metals Stocks Complex... / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Rambus_Chartology
There is a combo chart for the PM complex I've been following, on the short term 10 month daily look, which shows a potential H&S bottom forming. I put a neckline symmetry line on the charts to get a feel for where the low for the right shoulder may form. Some are fairly parallel to the neckline like GLD, SLV and the HUI with GDXJ and SIL being the most unparalleled. The CDNX is showing the most weakness as it probably has to do with some of the small cap energy companies.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
UK Stagflation, Soaring Inflation CPI 2.3%, RPI 3.2%, Real 4.4% / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The implications of sterling's sharp drop in the wake of the Brexit vote were inflationary resulting in an an increase the price of imports and therefore has been exerting upwards pressure on shop prices as suppliers restock at the worse exchange rate that already depressed retailers such as the big supermarkets had delayed fully implementing that is likely to result in a crisis for the retail sector during 2017 that literally faces a perfect storm, that could even result in a Woolworth's moment...
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has now violated the neckline. This gives us our sell signal in SPX. Confirmation may come with the violation of the Broadening Wedge trendline at 2345.00.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
The Demise of the Gold and Silver Bull Run is Greatly Exaggerated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Peter_Degraaf
A few analysts are once again beating the drums for much lower gold and silver prices - supposedly just around the corner. They mistake the testing of a recent breakout for a turnaround in the main trend. In the process they are sowing confusion. Here are some charts that show the main trend, along with reasons why the price of gold and silver is on track for a sharp rise, thanks to bullish fundamentals.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
SPX turns at the half-Cycle interval / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s action may add credence to a 43-hour decline from the 2390.01 top and the probable Master Cycle low on Friday morning, as discussed this morning. The SPX turned exactly at the 21.5 hour interval. Wave [iii] may be underway.
There is no signal from the VIX or the Hi-Lo. They will likely be in place as SPX declines through the neckline.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
USD Decline Continues, Pull SPX Down as well? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
USD futures are still on the move as the dollar declined to a low of 99.59 this morning. We are still looking for the expected master Cycle low, but it is late in coming.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Biotech’s had Especially Good Day on Mixed Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started off the day with a little bit of a dip, with lower futures, and then exploded, testing the Nasdaq 100 all-time highs, but could not get through the 5427 area. The S&P 500 rallied sharply as well, but only did 50% of its drop from Friday afternoon, and then both indices rolled over sharply, reaching the Thursday’s lows on the Nasdaq 100 and the gap low on the S&P 500. Late in the day, they rallied, but in the last few minutes backed off again to close mixed on the day.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
How to Protect Yourself from the Looming Pension Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Stephen McBride : Having jumped from one job to another early in life… and with those jobs being across many continents, I haven’t really given much thought to my pension. Looking at the numbers, it seems I’m not the only one. Over 50% of Americans aged 25–34 have no retirement savings. Then again, given the current state of the pension system, it may be a prudent move.
A 2015 from the National Association of State Retirement Administrators estimated that public pension funds are around $1 trillion in the red—but the problem gets worse.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Trump Watershed Budget / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
You have never seen an attempt to change direction in the Federal juggernaut, as outlined in the Trump budget to revamp discretionary spending. Bob Adelmann of The New American provides an apt appraisal in Trump’s “Blueprint” Budget Is a Policy Statement; Real Budget to Follow. For a full reading of this framework review the White House document. OMB Director Mick Mulvaney, has delivered a bold variation from the normal accommodation to the political careerists and influence peddlers.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
SPY Flirting With Near-Term Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Mike_Paulenoff
On Friday, the SPY closed beneath its 20-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since the Dec 28 close at 224.40, which triggered a very minor bout of weakness for two days into a Dec 30 low at 222.73 (0.93%).
Purely from a technical perspective, when the SPY closes beneath the 20 DMA, the ensuing weakness is dependent on the slope of the moving average (MA) at the time. If the MA is sloping upward, then the likelihood is that SPY will endure just a brief, shallow correction prior to a resumption of the underlying uptrend.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
How do Client Acquisition Offers Affect Businesses? / Companies / Business
By: Submissions
When looking to grow a business there are three key things you need to do. Get more clients, get them to visit you more often and get them to spend more each time they visit you. This principal is true for all businesses that's aim is to turn a profit.
The hardest of these three steps to achieve is arguably ‘getting more clients’. One way that a lot of businesses aim to attract more clients is with acquisition offers.
Monday, March 20, 2017
AUDUSD Elliott Wave View : 5 Waves Move / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
AUDUSD ended the correction in Intermediate wave (X) after reaching 0.7486 and then started rallying from there. With today’s new high the pair is showing 5 waves impulsive move from 03/09/2017 low and has already reached the minimum target area for Minutte wave (v) to end. The minimum target for Minutte wave (v) can be calculated as the inverse 1.236-1.618 Fibonacci extension of Minutte wave (iv) which comes at 0.7734 – .07753. Short term, an extension higher can’t be ruled out as there are still 2 other methods for calculating the 5th wave and one method of calculating (v) = (i) gives us a higher target around the equal legs area at 0.7765 – 0.7790.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Crude Oil Price Decline Continuation / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Bob_Loukas
I like this Crude oil decline, and to date, it has been a picture perfect Cycle’s development. Members of The Financial Tap were already tracking that expectation in advance, and positioned well to take advantage. But that big decline, which started on March 7th took many by surprise, judging by the extreme (Long) positioning seen with the COT report. And if you were not already short before the move began, the speed of the decline made it nearly impossible to establish a new position thereafter.
Monday, March 20, 2017
Stock Market Long, Hot Summer / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
It looks like the Dow is due for its first major correction of 2017. While the expected downturn could be “uncomfortable” for many, it is not expected to witness the end of the secular bull market.
Lindsay’s long cycle is expected to count a 15yr interval between point A (10/10/02) and points J or H. That would place the more important high in the period from October’17 until September’18.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Small Business Survey Says… Ignore the Hard Data at Your Peril / Economics / US Economy
By: Michael_Pento
Surveys of both consumers and businesses show there is an extreme level of confidence regarding future GDP growth. Consumer confidence is now at its highest level since 2001. Small and medium-sized business owners, the driving force of growth in the economy, appear downright giddy; as the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index recently soared to its highest level since 2004.Read full article... Read full article...