Monday, March 14, 2022
Washington Enters Full Scapegoat Mode for Brewing Inflation Disaster / Politics / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
First It Was “Transitory,” Then a Sign of Recovery, Then Corporate Greed, Now It’s Vladimir Putin’s Fault!
First, they said inflation was transitory. Then when that line became untenable, they said inflation was a sign of a recovering economy. Then when polls showed most Americans believed they were losing ground financially, the White House blamed corporate greed. Now they’re saying it’s all Vladimir Putin’s fault.
Another volatile week of trading saw precious metals markets rally to new highs for the year on Tuesday before suffering a sharp drawdown on Wednesday and more selling on Friday.
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Monday, March 14, 2022
Copper and Nickel Commodity Market Updates / Commodities / Copper
By: Richard_Mills
Copper
The global copper supply crisis is getting deeper with each passing day.
Even disregarding the military crisis in Europe and the piling sanctions against Russia that have rocked the commodity markets, copper has always been in a tough spot simply because of its fast-rising demand and the critical role in the modern economy.
More than 20 million tonnes of the metal are being consumed each year across a variety of industries; these include building construction, power generation and transmission, and electronic product manufacturing.
Roskill forecasts total copper consumption will more than double and exceed 43 million tonnes by 2035, driven by population and GDP growth, urbanization and electricity demand.
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Sunday, March 13, 2022
Quantum AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Current / Companies / Quantum AI Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here's a quick review of what I have been upto in terms of buying AI tech stocks over the past few weeks, 2 weeks ago my exposure was 22.7% (AI stocks + High Risk + Cash on account =100%)
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Sunday, March 13, 2022
Gold’s next bull leg in progress; but a test is due for the metal & miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Gary_Tanashian
“2022: The Golden Year” activates…
…as gold and the miners hit our short-term upside targets this week.
In August of 2020 we noted the danger signals for gold based on sentiment excess coming out of the acute pandemic fear phase. We also noted the need for a multi-year bullish Cup to build a proper handle after that excess. A Cup’s handle is actually a downward trending bull flag.
In December of 2021we noted that 2022 would be the “Golden Year”.
And so it is. It took 1.5 years of handle-making (see chart below) and that phase, which cast doubt on the monetary metal among the public and even some of gold’s staunchest supporters, was so healthy that words cannot describe. The angst was fueled by gold’s failure to act as an inflation hedge while cyclical commodities flew during the inflation trades of 2020-2021. And thus, an excellent handle to a bullish Cup is in the books.
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Sunday, March 13, 2022
Gold Likes Recessions - Could High Interest Rates Lead to One? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
We live in uncertain times, but one thing is (almost) certain: the Fed’s tightening cycle will be followed by an economic slowdown – if not worse.There are many regularities in nature. After winter comes spring. After night comes day. After the Fed’s tightening cycle comes a recession. This month, the Fed will probably end quantitative easing and lift the federal funds rate. Will it trigger the next economic crisis?
It’s, of course, more nuanced, but the basic mechanism remains quite simple. Cuts in interest rates, maintaining them at very low levels for a prolonged time, and asset purchases – in other words, easy monetary policy and cheap money – lead to excessive risk-taking, investors’ complacency, periods of booms, and price bubbles. On the contrary, interest rate hikes and withdrawal of liquidity from the markets – i.e., tightening of monetary policy – tend to trigger economic busts, bursts of asset bubbles, and recessions. This happens because the amount of risk, debt, and bad investments becomes simply too high.
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Sunday, March 13, 2022
Is Investing In Gold A Smart Decision For Retirement? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Steve_Barker
Whether or not you are investing in gold for retirement, it is always important to be informed. This article will help you decide if investing in gold is the right decision for your retirement.
When deciding on what to invest in, one of the most popular choices is gold. Gold has been used as a currency and an investment for thousands of years, and it continues to be a popular choice for investors today. Here are some reasons why you might want to consider investing in gold for your retirement.
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Saturday, March 12, 2022
THE 2020's INFLATION MONSTER! / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Many investors used to buying the dip are confused as to why rallies from the dip lows keep fizzling out with stocks once more resuming a trend to fresh lows, despite many if not most stocks now trading over 50% off their highs.
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Saturday, March 12, 2022
Ukraine Mobilises Budgies to Dive Bomb Attack Russian Soldiers / Politics / Ukraine War
By: N_Walayat
Ukraine faced with the existential threat that is the Russian invasion has mobilised every able bodies person to take up arms in it's defence which includes the training and deployment of special avionic deviations, where former pets are such as Budgies are being drafted into the dive bombing of Russian troops,
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Saturday, March 12, 2022
Why Silver Is an "Oak-Solid" Investment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: MoneyMetals
Imagine what an oak tree's underground root ball looks like, with supportive tendrils spreading out in all directions, not unlike what the limbs of this magnificent specimen are doing above-ground.
The result is an impregnable presence in all directions of the compass. "Open on strike and at depth" as a mining geologist might say.
Like Mycelium (the vegetative part of a fungus-like bacterial colony consisting of infinitely branching thread-like tendrils that can produce everything from plastics to plant-based meat), silver permeates life across all cultures and climates.
A strong case can be made that a severe and sustained shortage of silver could impede and perhaps even cause an implosion of humankind's technological-quality of life.
Saturday, March 12, 2022
The Ukraine War Is on for Two Weeks. How Does It Affect Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
With each day of the Russian invasion, gold confirms its status as the safe-haven asset. Its long-term outlook has become more bullish than before the war.Two weeks have passed since the Russian attack on Ukraine. Two weeks of the first full-scale war in Europe in the 21th century, something I still can’t believe is happening. Two weeks of completely senseless conflict between close Slavic nations, unleashed without any reasonable justification and only for the sake of Putin’s imperial dreams and his vision of Soviet Reunion. Two weeks of destruction, terror, and death that captured the souls of thousands of soldiers and hundreds of civilians, including dozens of children.
Just yesterday, Russian forces bombed a maternity hospital in southern Ukraine. I used to be a fan of Russian literature and classic music (who doesn’t like Tolstoy or Tchaikovsky?), but the systematic bombing of civilian areas (and the use of thermobaric missiles) makes me doubt whether the Russians really belong to the family of civilized nations.
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Saturday, March 12, 2022
Stock Market S&P 500 – Should We Buy the Dip? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stock prices remain very volatile, as the Ukraine conflict keeps dominating headlines. Will the market reverse its downtrend?
The S&P 500 index gained 2.57% on Wednesday, Mar. 9, as it retraced some of the recent decline. The broad stock market’s gauge got back to the 4,300 level after bouncing from its Tuesday’s low of 4,157.87. On Feb. 24 the index fell to the local low of 4,114.65 and it was 704 points or 14.6% below the January 4 record high of 4,818.62. There’s still a lot of uncertainty concerning the ongoing Ukraine conflict. This morning the S&P 500 index is expected to open 1.3% lower and we may see further consolidation.
Saturday, March 12, 2022
Don’t Panic—here’s how Stock Markets historically perform during Wars / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Stephen_McBride
Last week, I was part of a private discussion with Marko Papic…If you don’t know the name, few people on earth are as qualified to talk about how the war in Ukraine will affect stocks as Marko.
He’s been studying geopolitics and markets for more than a decade. He wrote the book Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future.
During the discussion, he said, “You should just buy every time there is a geopolitical conflict. There’s only 1 out of around 80 events where this isn’t the case.”
That assertion shocked me…
With the war in Ukraine raging on, I wanted to take it a step further, so you know exactly what to expect during these volatile times.
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Saturday, March 12, 2022
Experiences or Assets: HNWIs spending habits post-pandemic / Personal_Finance / Financial Education
By: Submissions
The pandemic affected almost every aspect of life on a global scale. Included in this are the significant changes in individual lifestyles, particularly those of High-Net-Worth Individuals (HNWIs). With such vast adjustments in living conditions, it is not unreasonable to wonder just how these changes are affecting HNWIs’ finances – and whether this is for the best.
According to the Saltus Wealth Index – an extensive and insightful study into the financial positions, prospects and potential of HNWIs – only one-fifth (21%) of respondents said they hadn’t ‘made any lasting changes to [their] lifestyle’.
Thursday, March 10, 2022
Stock Market ‘BUY THE DIP’ or ‘SELL THE RALLY’? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Chris_Vermeulen
To minimize trading risk and grow capital during a global crisis is somewhat hinged on the answers to speculative questions. How long will the Russia – Ukraine war last? How high is the price of oil and gas going to go? How quickly will central banks raise interest rates to counter high inflation? What assets should I put my money into? Knowing what the Best Asset Now (BAN) is, is critical for risk management and consistent growth no matter the market condition!
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Thursday, March 10, 2022
Gold Tries to Hold Above $2000 - Hard Landing Ahead? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold has hit $2,000 but is still struggling to maintain that historical level. It has already tried 8 times - will the ninth attempt succeed? Many indications make this doubtful.
Gold is attempting to break above the $2,000 milestone, and miners are trying to break above their declining resistance line. Will they manage to do so, and if so, how long will the rally last?
Wednesday, March 09, 2022
Quantum AI Tech Stocks Current State of Drawdowns and Buying Levels / Companies / Investing 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
50% DRAWDOWNS ARE THE NORM!
The indices tend to smooth out what is actually taking place in the stock market, as we have had a taste of these past few weeks where some stocks have stuck near their highs, even risen in price, the likes of LMT and GPN, whilst others have crashed and burned all whilst the Dow is currently down barely 5.5% off it's all time high! Try telling that to holders of MOST stocks that are typically down by 50% or more off their highs! And now being joined by FAANGBOOK,
Investors HAVE to expect the potential for 50% draw downs, THAT IS WHAT HAPPENS TO MOST STOCKS MOST YEARS!
That is the cost of investing in the stock market, does not matter that the stock is Google, Apple, Amazon, FACEBOOK!, 50% DRAWDOWNS, IF YOU CANNOT DEAL WITH THIS FACT THEN DO NOT INVEST IN THE STOCK MARKET because it is normal! And why I often say just invest and forget and you'll save yourselves a lot of grief staring at the draw downs that WILL HAPPEN REGARDLESS OF STOCK!
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Wednesday, March 09, 2022
Is Russia Ukraine War Negative for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: EWI
Here's what really drives the trends of global stock markets
Let's first state the obvious: war is tragic as it brings death and destruction.
But does war make the stock market go down?
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Wednesday, March 09, 2022
WARNING FREETRADE TO START LENDING YOUR SHARES TO SHORT SELLERS! / Personal_Finance / Investing 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Freetrade have just sent a message to customers informing them that from the 1st of June they will start lending their shares to short sellers! This despite customer having to pay a £10 monthly fee for freetrades SIPP! Apparently freetrade will keep all of the income whilst YOU the customer carry ALL of the risk! What a load of crap!
My most recent in depth analysis focused on continuing to capitalise on the downward spiral in stock price in response to first Inflation Panic and now added to by War Panic.
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Wednesday, March 09, 2022
Are We Nearing the Final Days of the US Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: MoneyMetals
The dishonest fiat Federal Reserve Note “dollar” is slowly dying and will eventually need to be replaced with something more trustworthy.Perhaps it will be presented to Americans as a series of dramatic monetary reforms. Maybe people will be using something else entirely as money.
Either way, the destruction of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency promises to be a defining moment in the nation’s history and this moment may be growing nigh.
Should historians write a timeline of the dollar’s decline and fall, certain events must be included.
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Tuesday, March 08, 2022
Want to know the Truth? Most Stocks SUCK! / Companies / Investing 2022
By: Stephen_McBride
Today I’m uncovering a “truth” about investing almost nobody understands.This truth explains why most investors struggle to make any real money in the stock market… while a few achieve life-changing gains.
The truth is… most stocks suck.
Forgive me for the crude language.
There’s simply no other word that so accurately sums up my thoughts on the vast majority of stocks:
They suck.
Let me show you what I mean... and how you can turn this truth into an edge that’ll let you beat 99% of investors.
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