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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Personal_Finance

Monday, December 04, 2023

Adapting to the Fast-Paced World of Online Poker / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Online poker has evolved into a dynamic and fast-paced environment in today's digital era. This shift from traditional, slower-paced poker games to the swift and varied online version demands a unique set of skills and adaptability from players. So, how do you keep up with this quickened pace, and what strategies can be employed to enhance performance? Let's dive in.

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Politics

Monday, December 04, 2023

Israeli Prime Minister Confesses to Being a Palestinian / Politics / Palestine

By: N_Walayat

Former Israeli Prime Minister Gold Meir confessed to being a Palestinian, told how an Ukrainian born eastern European migrated to Palestine and was in receipt of a Palestinian passport up until the Jews stole Palestine in 1947 and ever since sought to persecute and murder their way to a Greater Israel.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 01, 2023

The Bond Trade / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Bond Markets look like they have bottomed.

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Commodities

Friday, December 01, 2023

Gold Shines as the Economic Outlook Darkens / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Submissions

While looser monetary policy may seem bullish in the short term, the medium-term ramifications could upend the yellow metal.

Recession Pessimism Ahead

The ‘bad news is good news’ trade continues to dominate the financial markets, as weaker economic data is perceived as bullish for risk assets. In a nutshell: if the Fed pivots and ends QT, all of investors’ problems will disappear. However, while the narrative has helped gold, an ominous economic backdrop should result in much lower prices in the months ahead.  

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Stock Market Santa Rally to S&P 4600+ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

It's your lucky day! You got access to my latest stock market brief that are usually only exclusively made available to patrons.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Stocks and Silver Have Something to Say about Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver just shot up, and given what the stock market is doing, it makes perfect sense.

Namely, it’s most likely the final part of the rally in them both, and the same is the case for gold and mining stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Can A Stock Market Crash Be Averted... For Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Avi_Gilburt

It has certainly been an interesting year or so since we struck the low in October of 2022. If you remember, most were looking for the market to head considerably lower at the time. But, then again, what else is new? Most expect the market to continue linearly in whatever trend is in place at any point in time.

Yet, we were strongly suggesting that most investors begin to look upward, as we maintained that the market would rally to the 4300+ region from the 3500 region lows we expected before we bottomed. In fact, I was even outlining to members that the potential was in place to rally as high as 4505SPX off the 3500SPX region, even before we bottomed. And, amazingly, the market even exceeded my expectations by 100 points.

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Politics

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Taiwan 2024 Election: Militarization or Development / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Dan_Steinbock


Taiwan's elections loom just a few weeks away. Continued militarization would undermine past economic success. Taiwan is at its ultimate crossroads.

Taiwan’s presidential elections will be held on January 13, 2024. Re-elected in 2020, the incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen cannot seek a third term. 

Tsai’s Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has been a divisive force that has benefited from President Obama’s pivot to Asia, Trump’s efforts at effective normalization and Biden’s attempt to capitalize on the consequent tensions to contain China’s economic rise regionally and globally.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

The Stock Market Trend and the Policy Behind it / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Gary_Tanashian

An excerpt from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 785 on the state of the US stock market bubble as developed and sustained by another bubble (in policy-making)

NFTRH 785 started off with a lot of opinions (based on facts and indicators) before settling in to a more normal report covering key markets as usual. Meanwhile, the opening segment is more an unvarnished screed than actual market analysis, which is NFTRH’s normal mode and which we do reliably each week.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Cameco Uranium Stock Hits All-Time High / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

Cameco Corp. (CCO:TSX; CCJ:NYSE) — the godfather of the uranium trade — has moved to all-time highs, with the spot price hitting US$80.00/lb.

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Companies

Sunday, November 26, 2023

TSLA, LRCX, TSMC Stock Earnings and Trend Analysis / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

TSLA $255 AMC - EGF -15% / 2% PE 64, 9% Range

The EV Hype Master with a market cap greater than all other motor corps put together is primed to take a big plunge on earnings which could mark a trend that takes Tesla below $200. There just isn't the growth to justify a PE of 64. Compare ASML's metrics to that of TESLA, half the valuation for far higher growth which is because of TSLA hype. So Tesla should break it's August low to target sub $200, and could go as low as $175.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 26, 2023

A Golden Setup: Gold Price Trend Forecast Report / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: EWI

Hi,

Gold has long been seen as the refuge for investors who are concerned about economic downturns and inflation. And it's tempting to attribute the metal's price movements to factors like supply and demand, the dollar and interest rates.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 26, 2023

Gold Stocks Winter Seasonal Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2023

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have mostly ground lower to sideways since spring, leaving this contrarian sector really out of favor again.  Yet both the metal and its miners’ stocks are early on in their strongest seasonal rallies of the year.  From late October to late February, gold tends to enjoy excellent gains which the gold stocks leverage.  Given 2023’s great winter-rally setup, gold’s bullish seasonals should prove potent tailwinds ahead.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behaviors driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

Gold stocks display strong seasonality because their price action amplifies that of their dominant primary driver, gold.  Gold’s seasonality generally isn’t driven by supply fluctuations like grown commodities see, as its mined supply remains relatively steady year-round.  Instead gold’s major seasonality is demand-driven, with global investment demand varying considerably depending on the time in the calendar year.

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Politics

Sunday, November 26, 2023

Elections in South America and Europe Reveal Backlash against Socialism / Politics / Social Issues

By: MoneyMetals

As markets reopen following the Thanksgiving holiday, investors are feeling thankful that interest rates are no longer rising.

Stocks, bonds, and precious metals have all gained ground in recent days as long-term rates have come down. Meanwhile, expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut its benchmark short-term rate in 2024 have risen.

Minutes from the Fed’s latest meeting were released on Tuesday. They revealed policymakers intend to keep rates “restrictive” at current levels until inflation comes down further.

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Companies

Thursday, November 23, 2023

LMT, JNJ and ASML Stock Earnings and Trend Analysis / Companies / Corporate Earnings

By: Nadeem_Walayat

LMT $441 BMO - EGF -3% / -1% PE 15.9, -21% Range.

LMT is enjoying a price boost courtesy of the latest Middle East war that reversed an earlier downtrend that was targeting $370. Despite all of the wars earnings are not growing, so based on the fundamentals the stock should trade lower, i.e. target $370, but there is war fever inflating the stock price as the market discounts escalation to some degree, though nothing to suggest a major expansion in the conflict is imminent..

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Companies

Thursday, November 23, 2023

When AI Hallucinates - Top AI Tech Stocks / Companies / AI

By: Stephen_McBride

1. Turns out, AI isn’t a fraud.

The AI “App Store” wasn’t the only recent big announcement from OpenAI.

It also revealed GPT-4 Turbo, which is ChatGPT on steroids. The AI chatbot can now analyze more than 300 pages of text in one go. It also seamlessly switches between images, text, and speech.

I was once skeptical about AI. I’m always skeptical about tech that sounds amazing but that no one actually uses. That was the state of AI for a long, long time. As recently as last year, Nvidia (NVDA) was the only company making real money from AI.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 23, 2023

Stock Market Ignoring Hawkish Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2023

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 entered yesterday‘s session on a corrective note, but similarly to recovering from Barkin‘s hawkish message, it did the same following FOMC minutes. Not even NVDA earnings volatility could take the ES below 4,535 – clients‘ long gains whether in swing or intraday publications, are growing – and the result really comes down to when you enter and how you work with risk along the way. Crucial question to ask – are these the circumstances favoring outsized bets, or not?

It boils down to what you think about the bond market – are we see another 10y yield rising episode?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Stock Market Trend Trajectory into Year End 2023 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Are you ready to rumble! Lets see of earnings season volatility can deliver some more buying opps in target stocks over the next couple of weeks.

Where the S&P is concerned the expectation for an early October bottom at just below 4200 was freakily ac hived in terms of price and time and as my market brief illustrated going into October.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Copper/Gold Ratio: Still Counter-Cyclical / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Gary_Tanashian

The Copper/Gold ratio has been indicating an oncoming counter-cyclical environment since breaking down in June, 2022

Copper: Cyclical, inflation sensitive and a material of positive economic progress.

Gold: Much more counter-cyclical, less inflation sensitive and a ‘liquidity haven’ material of long-term monetary value.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Learn to Use the FORCE! - How to Really Get Rich / Personal_Finance / Financial Education

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is where it all begins - NO PAIN NO GAIN! And I promise you there WILL be plenty of PAIN, it IS NECESSARY in ones the journey to becoming rich, it's only how you will really learn. Life is meant to be a struggle, to be painful, miserable even, it's not meant to be full of comfort, warm and fuzzy, it's discomfort that is the fuel that drives change, builds physical and mental toughness, we are all born as wide eyed babies, you have to embrace the pain that will toughen you up, life WILL punch in the face, which is good because that's what's needed, a good punch in the face that you will remember for the rest of your life, that will drive change in ways you cannot imagine as you work your butts off to become rich. I am not going to sugar coat anything, there is NO magic step by step blueprint to follow to get rich, the world is too dynamic and always changing for that. All of these so called get rich quick guides and courses are basically a con! As if it is going to be THAT easy! Getting rich is a not a a few hours, days, weeks or even months of work, getting rich is a function of the way you will live the rest of your life! Where I will do my best to ram home my experience of what I have learned to date, thoughts, ideas and tools for you to utilise to get you started on your OWN path towards getting rich because without wealth your life is going to be pretty crap, a never ending struggle which is why most end up swallowing the cool aide of waiting to live the life they dream of living AFTER they have died!

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