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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Friday, May 22, 2020

China’s ‘Two Sessions’ herald Rebound of Economy / Economics / China Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

As the coronavirus fallout is spreading in Western economies, China’s rebound has begun. Global recovery requires global cooperation, however.     

Today, international interest in the annual Two Sessions of China’s top legislative and political advisory bodies - National People’s Congress, and Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference – which starts on Thursday, is exceptionally high.

Due to the global pandemic, the Sessions take place under strong anti-epidemic measures, including social distancing, and will be significantly shorter and rely more on videoconferences. Such measures are in line with the science-based health policies, which the central government adopted in late January.

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Housing-Market

Friday, May 22, 2020

Signs Of Long Term Devaluation US Real Estate / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Continuing our research into the Real Estate market and our expectations over the next 6+ months or longer, we want to point out the disconnect between the current US stock market rally and the forward expectations related to the real economy.  Our researchers believe the current data from Realtor.com as well as forward expectations suggest a major shift related to “at-risk” real estate (both commercial and residential). 

Unlike the 2008-09 credit crisis, the COVID-19 virus event is quickly disrupting consumer engagement within the global economy and disrupting spending activities.  Spending is shifting to online, fast food, and technology services for those that still have an income.  For those that have lost their jobs, spending is centered around surviving the COVID-19 virus event and hoping to see new opportunities and jobs when things open back up.

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Commodities

Friday, May 22, 2020

Reading the Tea Leaves of Gold’s Upcoming Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

To be bullish or not to be – that is the question. Or it might have been the question, if someone named Shakespeare wrote a piece titled Investhamlet.

The choice whether to be bullish or bearish or neutral on a given asset should be made each day, each time based on the information that is currently available. Let’s check the new signs that we saw yesterday.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 21, 2020

Gold, Silver, Mining Stocks Teeter On The Brink Of A Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This week has been a wild and emotional one and it’s just started!

With Monday’s big pop in the stock indexes, the big rally was based on vaccine news and bullish comments from the fed, convincing most traders and investors to be overly bullish this week.

My volume flow indicator showed a reading of 10 all day yesterday, which means ten shares were being bought on the NYSE at the ask, to everyone share being sold at the bid. Any reading over 3 is considered bearish short term, so ten was extreme. After the pop on Monday, stocks/indices closed lower by 1-2% on the session respectively the following session.

I have reiterated over and over, big moves (and gaps) in the price in the stock indexes that occur from the news are generally given back within a few days. This is still what I feel is going to happen in the coming days, albeit the last hour on Tuesday may have started that retracement.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 21, 2020

Another Bank Bailout Under Cover of a Virus / Interest-Rates / Banksters

By: Ellen_Brown

Insolvent Wall Street banks have been quietly bailed out again. Banks made risk-free by the government should be public utilities.

When the Dodd Frank Act was passed in 2010, President Obama triumphantly declared, “No more bailouts!” But what the Act actually said was that the next time the banks failed, they would be subject to “bail ins”—the funds of their creditors, including their large depositors, would be tapped to cover their bad loans.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, May 21, 2020

Do No Credit Check Loans Online Instant Approval Options Actually Exist? / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: Submissions

...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 21, 2020

An Eye-Opening Perspective: Emerging Markets and Epidemics / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: EWI

People across the entire planet remain very much aware of the COVID-19 health threat.

The global disruption associated with the pandemic far surpasses other major health scares in modern history.

Even so, you may recall 2009 news articles similar to this one from the New York Times (June 11, 2009):

It came as no surprise [on June 11, 2009] when the World Health Organization declares that the swine flu outbreak had become a pandemic.

The disease has reached 74 countries ... .

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Housing-Market

Thursday, May 21, 2020

US Housing Market Covid-19 Crisis / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Continuing our multi-part article related to our belief the Real Estate sector is about become the next big segment to begin to collapse as a result of the COVID-19 virus event and the extended shutdowns taking place throughout the globe, we’ll continue to review the data and explore various options for skilled technical traders.

In Part I, we shared some recent data that suggests the housing market is starting to fracture at quite a fast rate.  Today, we’ll explore additional data that could help us understand where opportunities exist and how to prepare for this potential second phase of a broader financial collapse.

Over the past few years, the housing market has continued to rally past almost everyone’s expectations.  The COVID-19 virus event was simply a catalyst for a revaluation event within a hyper-inflated financial system.  For nearly 20 years, global central banks continued to pour capital in the global markets attempting to spark inflation rates that supported rising interest rates.  This is like pumping Helium into a failing balloon attempting to keep it inflated and floating.  As long as the structure of the balloon does not rupture, it might hold up for a while longer.  Once the structure bursts, it’s all over.

With the housing market, the revaluation event that usually takes place is a contraction in price that usually lasts about 3.5 years.  Are we setting up another revaluation event in the housing market?

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Companies

Thursday, May 21, 2020

The Coronavirus Just Hit the “Fast-Forward” Button on These Three Industries / Companies / Investing 2020

By: Stephen_McBride

I believe the coronavirus is the most disruptive event since WWII. This pandemic will change entire industries forever. It’ll ignite certain ones. And be the final nail in the coffin for others.

Recently, I shared three industries that the coronavirus will wipe out for good. It was one of the most popular essays I’ve written. And the feedback continues to pour in. So today, we’re doing something similar.

I’ll show you how this crisis is speeding up three super-important industries. These three industries were accelerating before this pandemic took over—but now, they all just officially moved into hyperdrive. And now’s the time to take advantage.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, May 21, 2020

AMD Zen 3 Ryzen 9 4950x Intel Destroying 24 core 48 thread Processor? / Personal_Finance / Technology

By: HGR

It's only a few more months to go for our wait for AMD's latest Intel destroying retail processors will be over! It's ZEN 3 4th Gen processors, the 4000 series that look set to do to Intel what the 3rd Gen did last year. Even now Intel's latest offerings, it's 10th Gen processors have NOT managed to catch AMD's 3rd Gen processors up, so AMD looks set to soon widen it's lead over Intel, and thus encourage many more users to make the leap from Intel to AMD. Even the more costly XE's with their 18 cores can't beat the 16 core 3950x so what hope did the 10 core i9 10900k have? Okay maybe for gaming just manages to edge the 3950x by a few percent given the hgiher boost clock speed of 5.3ghz but for productivity it comes nowhere near.

But enough of Intel, what can we expect to start upgrading to from September onwards when AMD is expected to announce the 4900x and then within a couple of months the 4950x, how many cores and what clock speeds?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My last analysis focused on the unfolding economic consequences of the corona catastrophe that really should never have happened. Instead due to gross incompetence and negligence of our governments we are rapidly descending down a black hole the depths of which we can only guess at, as economic contraction numbers for Q2 range from -20% to -40% for the UK and the US. For worse than anyone could have imagined even a few weeks ago as the gauge of possibilities were mostly centered around the Financial Crisis of 2008. Where this crisis apparently looks set to be many times worse! ALL courtesy of the headless chickens in charge with their mad scientists advising them.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

The Credit Markets Gave Their Nod to the S&P 500 Upswing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

Yesterday’s session did away with the non-confirmation of last week’s reversal from the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Junk corporate bonds lent their support to the stock upswing, and the S&P 500 closed above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Will the bulls be strong enough to confirm the breakout, or is a correction next?

S&P 500 in the Short-Run

Let’s start with the daily chart perspective (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com ):

Steadily rising in the runup to the start of the US session, stocks opened with a sizable bullish gap. And they haven’t looked back since, closing on high volume above the key resistance, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Reflecting the upswing, the daily indicators turned largely supportive.

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Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Where to get proper HGH treatment in USA / / Health and Fitness

By: Submissions

There are many adults suffering from issues related to hormone deficiencies and they don't even know it. 

What Do Hormones Do?

Our body's hormones are linked with aging because it is hormones that keep our bodies at their peak levels. The human growth hormone is responsible for making sure children grow taller, muscles grow larger and body organs function properly. It is no wonder science is now looking at HGH as a way to improve people's quality of life as they get older. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Silver Is Ensured A Prosperous 2020 Thanks To The Fed / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

In my previous article, I’ve written about how important US dollar movements are for future Silver prices. The chances of a significant Silver rally during US dollar strength is very low; and it is very high during US dollar decline.

The structure of the Silver bull market since 2001 has a lot in common with that of the 70s bull market. However, one of the important differences pertains to US dollar movements.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

WARNING: Shady “Rare” Gold and Silver Coin Dealers Are Circling Like Vultures / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Nervous investors have been pouring into the gold and silver markets over the past two months.

Money Metals Exchange is proud to have helped almost 20,000 new customers with a precious metals purchase in recent weeks, many of whom came over from other dealers struggling with inventory shortages and ridiculous delivery delays.

A new wave of investors is getting the message; the Federal Reserve will never stop printing currency units and punishing savers with lower interest rates, Congress will never put deficits under control, and the government-terminated U.S. economy may not recover for years.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

It’s Not Only Palladium That You Better Listen To / Commodities / Palladium

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Whenever one hears the words precious metals, gold and silver spring to mind. But this world is much richer, and precious metals don’t end with the yellow or white metal. The less well known cousins, platinum and palladium, can and do send valuable signals too. Before we examine silver, let’s take a look at something interesting in palladium.

The interesting detail is palladium’s weakness. This precious metal was the one that soared most profoundly in the past few years and while it recovered some of its 2020 declines recently, it appears to be back in the bearish mode as its unable to keep gained ground, even despite the move higher in the general stock market.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

It’s Make Or Break For the Crude Oil Bulls / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Just like the precious metals market, black gold ended the previous week with a sizable upswing. The rally continued in the early Monday trading, as crude oil moved decisively above its previous April highs.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

DJIA Stock Market Technical Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dow Short-term Analysis

The uptrend off the March 23rd low appears to be tiring, running out of steam, as evidenced by the MACD that is showing early signs of starting to roll over after having unwound ALL of it's earlier over sold state. So as I warned last week the Dow does appear to want to go lower rather than higher in the immediate future.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

US Real Estate Showing Signs Of Covid19 Collateral Damage / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we continue to digest economic and global data, our researchers have focused on Real Estate as we believe the contraction in the US economy, spanning corporate, main street, and millions of Americans, will quickly reflect in a slowing Real Estate market.  Our researcher attempted to dive into the most recent data from Realtor.com (https://www.realtor.com/research/) to identify any trends or insights we could find to prepare for a broader contagion event.

Current data suggests the US Real Estate market has begun a dramatic slowdown even though the listing and pricing data does not reflect this data yet.  In short, more homes are being pulled from active listings and those that are still listed are sellers that can wait out their price or are under pressure to sell because of other factors. Historically, Summer months typically result in a moderate decrease in price levels as more homes get listed for sale and “Days On Market” (DOM) lengthens.  Something big is starting to take place almost everywhere in the US as current data suggests inventory is shrinking, price levels are still moderately high and DOM level has increased dramatically.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Gold Stocks Fundamental Indicators / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

So here we are, with the sector leading the recovery out of the March crash during still-deflationary times. Inflation? It is not yet anywhere to be found, and that probably has a lot of inflation-centric would-be gold boosters on the sidelines. Someday, when these ladies are in full cheer with inflation signals rising, it will be time for caution.

Meanwhile, for years we have stuck to the real fundamental backdrop that would produce a real bull market in the gold stock sector (ref. the 2001 and Q4 2008 time frames).

Our handy ‘Macrocosm’ generally shows the most important considerations as the larger planets and the least important as the smaller ones. As the gold stock bull market starts to gain attention beyond we gold lunatics and enters the mainstream, I thought I would update each component of the Macrocosm.

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