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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

ConsumerWatch

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Avoiding Hype-Burn Amidst IPO Stock Mania / ConsumerWatch / IPOs

By: Harry_Dent

Given that we’re in the greatest global bubble in history, almost everything is overvalued. We’re expecting central banks to keep printing money, interest rates to stay near zero, growth to continue “into a plateau of prosperity.” Just like 1929.

Dare us to say: it’s hard to find good value investments out there.

Look at this chart of accelerating IPOs at higher and higher prices, most often from companies that have no or little profits. People are buying into the bubble at prices that companies could not possibly fulfill even in many years, if ever. They don’t call these companies “unicorns” for nothing.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Stock Market Sell In May and Go Away / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Plunger

In this report we will look at the state of the stock market and update the condition of a potential bottom in the gold space.

Sell in May and Go Away

You have all heard this Wall Street ditty before and it is now upon us at this moment.  Despite this old market rule being an established truism, few actually use it to make money.  Instead the daily market action draws investors back into the market typically in search of that illusory “Summer Rally”.  Instead they typically find themselves in the stock market’s “Summer Doldrums”.  I can’t quote the exact statistics, however if one was to simply sell in May and stay out of the market until the typical October weakness, then go back in whole hog his returns would greatly outpace the returns of the market itself.  So the sell in May phenomenon is real.  Let’s try to use it to our advantage.

Time to Start Sharpening our Knives

This means it’s time to begin shorting the market… selectively that is.  I have shown in the past that shorting is most profitable if one holds off until the second half of a bear market.  That’s because the market starts providing decent follow through on the downside.  We are not there yet since it’s still early on in phase I of the bear market, however selective shorts can be taken when a set-up presents itself. Later on in this report I will present a few short sale set-ups.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Getting Your Money Out For Retirement / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement

By: Rodney_Johnson

We’re in the thick of the real estate game now. Our home is on the market, which means it’s much cleaner, and more spare, than usual. When we have showings, we vacate the premises, and of course need to take the dog. That’s more of a challenge than we’d thought, but she’s gotten used to sitting with us in the car at the nearby Sonic, and the crew on roller skates thinks she’s adorable. I hope they wash their hands after petting her.

All of this comes out of our talks about where, and what kind of life, we should live. The house is fabulous, but big, and on open water in a flood prone area. With taxes and flood insurance moving higher, the cost of carry is on a one-way train uphill. In our early 50s, this looks like a good time to sell while there are still buyers for this sort of property.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Don’t Check Your Investments P&L More Often than Once a Month / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Jared_Dillian

When you check your brokerage statement, how does it make you feel?

If it’s up since the last time you looked, it probably feels pretty good.

If it’s down, it makes you feel bad.

People don’t like to feel bad. So if the market has been going down for a while and they think they’re losing money, they’ll stop checking it.

If the market has been going up for a while, they’ll check it every day. In fact, most people will check it multiple times a day.

For all the spreadsheet jockeys out there, you know that if you press the “F9” key then it recalculates the spreadsheet.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

This 1 Investment strategy could change your future - eBook inside / Stock-Markets / Investing 2019

By: Submissions

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Companies

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Top 10 AI Stocks Investing to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend (6-10) / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my latest analysis in my machine intelligence investing mega-trend series that warns to prepare for EVERYTHING to change EXPONENTIALLY when average machine intelligence surpasses average human intelligence following which it will be off to the races. When the pace of change will leave everything that has happened before far behind. And in my opinion that key date will occur sometime during 2022, i.e. in less than 4 years time! Which means if you have not already got your act together by getting onboard this investing gravy train then you really need to take action or kick yourself many years down the road, when you will be asking yourself why I did not invest in those AI stocks before they went stratospheric!

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Companies

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

FACEBOOK - FB - Investing in Artificial Intelligence Stocks / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Where to invest to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend. I have ranked these stocks in in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. Do remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!

If you've not already done so then watch my following video from November 2016 which illustrates why everything will start to change exponentially by 2022.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 27, 2019

US Memorial Day Weekend Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US Memorial Day weekend is set up to become a very interesting time for investors.  The EU voting is complete and the change in EU leadership may move the markets a bit.  China appears to be playing a waiting game – attempting to hold the US/Trump at bay until after the 2020 US elections.  This week is certain to be very interesting for traders/investors.

The European stocks moved higher in trading on Monday as the relief from the EU election event and support for auto shares pushed the markets higher. The transition in the EU over the next few months will solidify into a political and social agenda.  The EU leadership must acknowledge these future objectives of all parties in order to maintain some level of calm.  It is evident that many EU nations are relatively satisfied with the current leadership while others are transitioning into more centrist leadership.  The next 4+ years will be full of further transition in the EU.

China is another global issue that is relatively unsettled.  We’ve been doing some research with regards to China and the potential future political and economic pathways that may become evident in the near-term future.  Our biggest concern is that China has been inflating their economic levels for decades and the true scope of the Chinese economy may be much weaker than everyone expects.  If our suspicions are correct and China has been inflating economic levels for many years, then the transition to a consumer/services-driven economy may be dramatically over-inflated and the US/China trade issues could be biting much harder than the Chinese want to admit.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, May 27, 2019

Things That Make the Best Stock Trading Apps Really Worth Your Time! / Personal_Finance / Mobile Technology

By: Submissions

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Personal_Finance

Monday, May 27, 2019

The End of Risk-Free Retirement / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement

By: John_Mauldin

In the last 150 years, we’ve had a number of innovations that radically changed the way we live.

You can tick off the list: electricity, the automobile, refrigeration, TV, the Internet. But one innovation rarely makes those lists. It is just as significant if not more so…

Retirement.

The idea that people can stop working in their fifties or sixties and then enjoy 20+ years of relative leisure is actually quite new.

For most of human history, most people worked as long as they were physically able to and died soon after.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 27, 2019

Is the Stock Market Making a Long Term Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market has been choppy over the past 3 weeks, with trade-related sectors and markets much worse-off than the overall U.S. stock market. From a longer term perspective, the U.S. stock market has gone nowhere since 2018. This begs the question “is the market making a long term top??

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Politics

Monday, May 27, 2019

War and Young Americans / Politics / US Military

By: Raul_I_Meijer

So we’re going to do this all over again? Well, not if I can help it. Not that I have much hope that I can, mind you. As the bastions of war chime on, my voice, like so many others, will be drowned out. The military industrial complex knows how to do propaganda, better than anyone. But I’ll try.

Vietnam gave the US its biggest ever defeat, both militarily and morally, and yet mere years after its deeply humiliating withdrawal was put into action, the country was back at sending its promising young boys and girls not to its school systems, but to far away battle fields to be crippled, traumatized and slaughtered.

I know, I know, the UK and France do that too, but few other places do. Russia today uses its troops to defend its territory, China has yet to reveal its intentions. But the intentions of the US have been known ever since WWII ended.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 27, 2019

Stock Market Rally Over – Downtrend Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend Final long-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The anticipated intermediate-term correction has started.  Can’t tell yet if it’s a C-wave or something less. 

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 27, 2019

Stock Market Crash Warning - The Trap Door Has Opened / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

I love reading about all the good news in the market. This past week, we saw U.S. jobless claims dip to 211,000, and they are now near half-century lows. We also saw U.S. consumer sentiment reach a 15-year high. So, what could go wrong?

Well, as Professor Hernan Cortes Douglas, former Luksic Scholar at Harvard University, former Deputy Research Administrator at the World Bank, and former Senior Economist at the IMF, noted:

. . . financial markets never collapse when things look bad. In fact, quite the contrary is true. Before contractions begin, macroeconomic flows always look fine. That is why the vast majority of economists always proclaim the economy to be in excellent health just before it swoons.

Moreover, the fact that consumer sentiment is hitting major highs is often a warning to the financial markets.

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Housing-Market

Monday, May 27, 2019

How to Choose a Good Online Estate Agent / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Traditional high street estate agents still control around 95% of the market, but in recent years a newer type of intermediary, the online estate agent, has gained a significant foothold in the sector. Using an ever-expanding range of technological options, a reliable online agency can now offer a similar level of service to their high street equivalents. And because an online operator has substantially lower overheads, homeowners are usually charged a fixed fee which may be just a fraction of the price charged by a bricks-and-mortar estate agent.

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Currencies

Monday, May 27, 2019

Bitcoin Price Stalls Near $8100 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After an incredible 7+week rally in Bitcoin, from $3700 to above $8000, the current price action is setting up for what may become an extended Pennant/Flag formation with quite a bit of sideways trading ahead.

Our researchers believe the past 7+ weeks rally in Bitcoin was prompted by a shift away from risk in Asia/China and into more suitable protection assets.  Cryptos appear to be the easy choice for many as this rally coincided with the April 3rd through 6th US/China trade talks in Washington, DC (https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3004961/us-says-theres-still-significant-work-be-done-trade-talks).  It appears that many investors were preparing for a difficult deadline after the March 1st deadline for a deal was pushed back.  These early April trade talks may have been interpreted as a “do or die” effort from both sides.  Again, shortly after the May 1st US/China trade talks in Beijing, Bitcoin began another rally from the $5200 level all the way up to the $8000 level.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, May 27, 2019

UK EU Election Results, Brexit Party Victory, Labour and Tory Bloodbath, UKIP and ChangeUK Die / ElectionOracle / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's ruling establishment has been delivered another bloody nose, even worse than the mainstream establishment press had been expecting that the REMAIN parties would do far better than the LEAVE parties with Brexit party typically expected to win about 24 seats i.e. similar to that of UKIP total in 2014.

However, this is set against my long standing forecast of 10th May with expectations that the Brexit Party would win at least 30 seats with the most probable number being 32 seats as my following video illustrates:

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Economics

Sunday, May 26, 2019

The Three M's of Hyperinflation : Milosevic, Mugabe, And Maduro / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Steve_H_Hanke

What do Slobodan Milosevic, Robert Mugabe, and Nicolás Maduro have in common? Other than being leaders who kept the Communist Manifesto at their bedside, all three ushered in devastating hyperinflations.

Hyperinflations are rare. They have only occurred when the supply of money has been governed by discretionary paper money standards. No hyperinflation has ever been recorded when money has been commodity-based or when paper money has been convertible into a commodity.

The first hyperinflation occurred during the French Revolution (1789-96) when the mandat collapsed and the monthly inflation rate peaked at 143% in December of 1795. More than a century elapsed before another episode of hyperinflation occurred. Not coincidentally, this period of currency tranquility occurred during the heyday of the gold standard. With the emergence and adoption of fiat currencies, the 20th century ushered in currency instability and inflation. Indeed, since 1900 there have been 57 episodes of hyperinflation. And, five of those episodes can be claimed by Yugoslavia, Zimbabwe, and Venezuela. All are featured in the Hanke-Krus World Hyperinflation Table below, which first appeared in The Routledge Handbook of Major Events in Economic History (2013).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 26, 2019

Global Multi-Market / Asset Charts Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Gary_Tanashian

First off, a wish to all readers for a happy Memorial Day weekend as we remember loved ones lost in battle and otherwise. Memorial is not a US thing, it’s an everybody thing.

Today we take a look at various markets and assets using daily charts of the associated ETFs.

The real work in determining the state of the markets going forward will be done by evaluating internals measures like sector leadership (e.g. our SOX>NDX>SPX leadership chain), inter-market and inter-asset ratios (e.g. our ongoing gold ratios analysis), macro indicators (e.g. the recent notable drop in inflation expectations) and a whole host of other hidden markers to be tracked and updated (NFTRH is constantly on that job looking forward to the potentials, as opposed to in review or in rear-view). Also, let’s not forget sentiment analysis, which led us to the current correction. It will also come into play going both ways in the weeks and months ahead.

But sometimes it’s fun to just check out the charts and see what we see.

Beginning right here in the US with the broad market, SPY is in a small potential Head & Shoulders pattern, with an alternate left shoulder should it turn out to be what self-important TAs like to call a “complex H&S”. That would create a larger H&S scenario with a lower target, which we’ll reserve for NFTRH if the time comes to activate this still unconfirmed H&S. The dashed neckline is shown for the little guy and should the big one come into play the black SMA 200 could act as a neckline there.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 26, 2019

An Oil Shock Could Be the Black Swan That Finally Drives Gold Higher / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up the top trends forecaster Gerald Celente of the Trends Journal joins me to discuss a myriad of topics. Gerald gives us more insight on why the precious metals are struggling, why he recently changed his economic forecast and also shares why he believes a continuation of the rising tensions in both Venezuela and the Middle East could lead to a spike in oil prices that the world simply cannot afford. Don’t miss another wonderful interview with the great Gerald Celente, coming up after this week’s market update.

As global stock and commodity markets gyrate, gold and silver markets are gaining some safe haven strength.

Gold prices moved back into positive territory on Thursday but is little changed for week now. The yellow metal is up a slight 0.4% since last Friday’s close to trade at $1,284 per ounce.

Silver has been beaten down this spring but is at least showing some signs of life here during the later part of the week, or at the very least has appeared to stabilize a bit. The white metal is now up a 0.9% for the week to bring spot prices to $14.61 an ounce.

Turning to the platinum group metals, platinum registers a weekly loss of 2.2% to trade at $805. And finally, palladium shows a 0.7% decline to come in at $1,332 per ounce as of this Friday morning recording.

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