Monday, November 26, 2018

Stock Market Sentiment Improves - Upward Reversal or Just Another Bounce? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks slightly extended their downtrend on Friday despite a long-holiday-weekend shortened trading session. The S&P 500 index traded closer to its late October low. Will it reverse upwards off the support level?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.5-0.7% on Friday, as investors' sentiment remained bearish following the recent declines. The S&P 500 index fell slightly below its Tuesday's local low. It got closer to the late October low of 2,603.54. The index is currently trading 10.6% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.5% on Friday.

Monday, November 26, 2018

Trading Charts and Setups: Chances of a FED Interest Rate Hike Falling / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: FXCOT

As equity markets make a topping formation and US 10 year yield retest 3% level, the chances of a FED hike in 2019 is declining. Govt pressure will build up on Powell into 2019 and we believe this will damage FED ability to freely raise rates even if they wish to. We highlight a few key charts and setups to watch out for as you start a new trading week.

2018 has been a difficult years for every single asset class. The mutual fund industry is bleeding and hedge fund managers are struggling to stay afloat. Traditional investment models do not work any more. This is a year in which both bonds and stocks fell together. Traditional models work on shifting money from one asset class to another. However this year, all classes bled. This year, set apart the genius managers from the ordinary. Fxcot trading system which is primarily a EURUSD, USDJPY trading system has made over 90% this year which is truly incredible given the performance of hedge funds.

Monday, November 26, 2018

Trump’s Next Target: World Trade Organization / Politics / Global Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the past few months, the Trump White House has started trade wars against its major trade partners, particularly China, and security allies. Without international opposition, the next target will be the World Trade Organization.

As the White House began to escalate the U.S.-Sino trade war last spring, President Trump’s trade adviser Peter Navarro was asked on CNN whether the United States is planning to leave the World Trade Organization (WTO).

Monday, November 26, 2018

These 'Facts' About The Stock Market Will Continue To Get You Whipsawed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

I have been getting such a chuckle from the market of late.

As the market made its way down to our 2600 target region towards the end of October, more and more market participants and analysts became more and more bearish. In fact, the bearishness was palpable as we approached 2600SPX.

However, our analysis suggested that the market should bottom in the 2600SPX region, and begin a corrective rally, which then topped at 2815SPX.

Monday, November 26, 2018

What Is the Stock Market Trying to Tell Us? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, co-founders of Seabridge Gold, explore what’s next for the stock market and how that will affect gold.

First and foremost, valuations are too high. Third-quarter results have been disappointing. Investors are realizing that sales and earnings cannot grow fast enough to keep the market at record valuations.

Second, the stock market is telling us that its advance has been too narrow. . .too dependent upon a handful of stocks driven higher by the herding effect of passive ETF and index investing where the winners win more because they are winners, boosted by their celebrity status than fundamentals. These market leaders have now been rounded up and summarily shot.

Monday, November 26, 2018

Stock Market Approach Neckline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX advanced during the short holiday week, making a new high and higher low, closing above its weekly Cycle Top at 20.63.  Note the Head & Shoulders formation which may give it more impetus in the next week.  VIX is also positioned for a triply-indicated surge of strength through mid-December.

Monday, November 26, 2018

5 Online Gambling Industry Trends to Watch Out for in 2019 / Companies / Gambling

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Monday, November 26, 2018

Stock Market Short-term Panic! Santa Rally Still a GO to Dow 27,000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Virtually immediately after I posted last weeks Dow trend forecast update that we were a GO for the Santa rally, the Dow decided to take a tumble by falling to a low for the week of 24,285 a sizeable 1100 point drop since my last update. So is the the Santa rally still a go or has fundamental damage been done for the prospects for a Santa rally?

Monday, November 26, 2018

Bitcoin Crashes Over 50% From Recent Highs / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Crypto enthusiasts were crushed over the Thanksgiving holiday when a fight over Bitcoin Cash and very thin liquidity prompted a massive price breakdown from recent highs.  This downside move reflects a true price breakdown where Bitcoin bulls have to rethink their future strategies.

Back in October 2018, we warned that price MUST rally above the support level near $6986 in order for any future upside advance to take hold.  The following week, we saw a massive price rally that lasted only a few hours and trailed off back below the $6986 support level.  While we waited to see if any future price move would prompt a rally above this level, the Bitcoin price levels continued to congest.

Monday, November 26, 2018

Most Stock Market’s Around the World are Falling. What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. stock market has made a 61.8% bounce and now retested its lows, which is the standard pattern for these fast 10%+ corrections. “Drop, pop, and slop”

Now that the stock market has almost retested its exact October 2018 lows, what’s next?

Monday, November 26, 2018

Warning - Morethan Hits Non Fault Motorists With 42% Car Insurance Premium Hike / Personal_Finance / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

Warning for motorists that auto renewing your car insurance could prove costly. For instance renewing your car insurance with Morethan could see you pay as much as 42% more than last year, even if you have not been involved in an accident that was your fault.

Whilst motorists understand that if you are involved in an accident that is your fault then your insurance premium will rise at time of renewal. However, what many may not beware of is that some insurers such as Morethan will seek to penalise innocent NO FAULT motorists by hiking premiums by nearly 50%! This despite the fact that the insurer will have been fully reimbursed for costs incurred in the handling any claim. Effectively the same hike in premium as if the motorist had been at fault. So motorists really need to choose their insurance company wisely else face being hit with an extortionate price hike!

Sunday, November 25, 2018

Stock Market New Low in Store? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Bullish, but correcting within the long-term bull market trend.

Intermediate trend –  bearish correction which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, November 25, 2018

Precious Metals Moving In Unison For A Massive Price Advance: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we continue to explore our custom research into the metals markets and our presumption that the metals markets are poised for a massive price rally over the next few months/years, we pick up this second part of our multi-part article illustrating our research work and conclusions.  If you missed the first part of this article, please take a minute to review it by before continuing further (Link to Part I).

We left off in Part I showing a number of supply and demand components and briefly highlighting our newest research using a custom Gold/Silver/US Dollar ratio index.  Our attempt at finding anything new that could help us determine the future outcome of the metals markets and to either support or deny our future expectations that the metals markets are poised for a massive price advance was at stake.  This new research would either help to confirm our analysis or completely blow it out of the water with new data.  Let’s continue where we left off and start by showing even more data related to our new custom metals ratio.

Sunday, November 25, 2018

US Government Works Better When Divided / Politics / US Politics

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The results of the U.S. mid-term elections were good news for not only the winners, but for most Americans. Yes, the federal government works better when divided, not unified. The 116th Congress—with the House of Representatives controlled by the Democrats and the Senate and White House under Republican command—may work better than the unified 115th Congress did.

The idea and evidence supporting this somewhat counter-intuitive idea was first presented to me many years ago by my good friend and collaborator, the late William A. “Bill” Niskanen. Bill was sharp as a tack. Indeed, he was one of Secretary of Defense McNamara’s “Whiz Kids” during the Kennedy-Johnson years. At the ripe old age of 29, Bill had a civilian rank equivalent to that of a brigadier-general. Bill was one to speak his mind, too. His sharpness and outspokenness occasionally landed him in hot water. Famously, while operating as the director of economics at Ford Motor Company in the mid-1970s, Bill publicly opposed U.S. government restrictions on the imports of Japanese automobiles, demonstrating why the restrictions would hurt Ford. For that infraction, Bill was sacked.

Sunday, November 25, 2018

Theresa May To Resign as Prime Minister When MP's Vote NO to EU BrExit Deal / Politics / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The next major crisis point in Britain's continually thwarted attempts to LEAVE the European Union will probably be in Mid December when MP's are expected to give their consent to the so called 'BrExit deal' which in reality is a 585 page suicide note aimed at keeping Britain permanently within the EU, effectively remaining in the EU in all but name which was the EU's objective from the outset, the signs for which were obvious for which we only needed to look at how the EU managed economic austerity across the South of Europe, creating defacto colonies out of the southern states ruled from Brussels which is destined to be the fate for the UK.

Saturday, November 24, 2018

BrExit WAR - Theresa May's Government Betraying BrExit New Dawn for Britain / Politics / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Where BrExit is concerned the middle path is turning out to be the worst path to follow, the path that pleases neither LEAVERs or REMAINER's, which is precisely the path that Theresa May's government remains determined to put Britain upon as she is wined and dined by Britain's new colonial masters in Europe. If Theresa May gets her way Britain would become a defacto colony of the European Union, subservient to EU Laws and regimes all without political representation. Effectively Britain coming full circle from the world's premier colonial master of a century ago to soon to become an in consequential periphery at the boundaries of a German Economic Empire.

Saturday, November 24, 2018

Trump's America, Front and Center / Politics / US Politics

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Public infrastructure in the U.S. is in bad shape and has been so for many years. Washington has fingered the importance of doing something about the decrepit state of America’s infrastructure for decades. It’s the bipartisan thing to do.

President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers devoted a lengthy chapter in its 2016 Annual Report to the Nation’s infrastructure problems. Enter President Trump in 2017. The first thing out of his box was infrastructure. But, the “i” word faded away as rapidly as it entered President Trump’s lexicon. There was a little problem: the White House didn’t really have a fully developed infrastructure plan and most certainly had no legislative action plan. With last week’s elections, President Trump once again trotted out infrastructure, as did Nancy Pelosi—the most likely Speaker of the House, which will be controlled by the Democrats in the 116th Congress.

Saturday, November 24, 2018

Time to Start Charging Your iPhone and Samsung Galaxy Phones Wirelessly / Personal_Finance / Mobile Technology

By: HGR

Here's a review of a relatively low cost phone charger by HBorna bought from Amazon, to see how convenient wireless charging is compared to regular cable charging which we all know is prone to failure of both the cable and the phones charging port. This is the HBorna Wireless Charger, that works for iPhone XS/XR/X/8/8 Plus, Ultra-Slim and Samsung Galaxy Note 9/ S9/S8/S7/S7 Edge/Note 8/5 series of phones, and probably for others that have wireless charging capability, the HBorna currently costs £18.99 from Amazon (Direct amazon page link).

Saturday, November 24, 2018

Don’t Ditch These Traditional Marketing Methods Just Yet / Companies / Marketing

By: Dylan_Moran

It’s no secret that digital marketing has dominated businesses since the turn of the century. With the dawn of computers and smartphones, digital marketing methods have been a huge part of most business strategies and a lot of marketers have abandoned traditional methods thinking they’re already outdated.

Saturday, November 24, 2018

Key factors to take in to account when buying your first home / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions