Sunday, December 16, 2018
SMIGGLE Advent Calendar 2018 UK Contents - What You Get Look Inside Review / Personal_Finance / Money Saving
Considering buying the SMIGGLE advent calendar for 2018 but wondering exactly what's inside, whether its worth the £25 price tag or not (discounted to £22.50 and £20 in places). Well wonder no more as we open up TWO SMIGGLE Advent Calendars to see what goodies are inside. We open two calendars just to make sure that they all contain the same items and vary from calender to calendar.
So find out in our latest SMIGGLE video exactly what's inside the 2018 Advent Calendar as we uncover to reveal ALL 25 gifts!
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Sunday, December 16, 2018
Is there a Lump of Coal in Santa's Stock Market Bag? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
VIX eased down to challenge the weekly short-term support at 20.48 on Thursday. On Friday it bounced to close above its Cycle Top support/resistance at 21.25. Wall Street doesn’t seem to be alarmed.
(Bloomberg) Wall Street is making peace with the new normal of higher volatility as stocks careen between agonizing sell-offs and sudden rallies.
After the gut-wrenching $2.5 trillion wipeout in the S&P 500 since early October, traders are resting at relative ease as they prep for market bumps down the road.
Sunday, December 16, 2018
This Market Will Drive Gold in 2019… / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
If we want to know where Gold is going we should follow Gold. Right?
How about following gold stocks? At times, they lead Gold.
What about the US Dollar? Wrong!
In 2019, one market more than any other will impact Gold.
That is the stock market.
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Sunday, December 16, 2018
Gerald Celente:Central Banks Can’t Stop a 2019 Debt Disaster / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2019
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason. Coming up the one and only Gerald Celente joins me to talk about the upcoming trends for 2019 both geopolitically and economically. Gerald breaks down the chaos in Europe, tells us whether or not major protests are likely to break out here in the states and shares his outlook for the metals. Don’t miss a tremendous interview with Gerald Celente, publisher of the Trends Journal and top trends forecaster in the world, coming up after this week’s market update.
Well, as Democrat leaders face off against President Donald Trump over the federal budget, bulls and bears in the gold and silver markets are facing off at key price levels.
The gold market attempted to rally above the $1,250 level this week but ran into some selling pressure. As of this Friday recording, gold prices come in at $1,236 per ounce, off 1.0% for the week.
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Saturday, December 15, 2018
Market Confusion About the Yield Curve Inversion / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve
Last week, the 5-year Treasury note fell below the 2-year note causing many market watchers to suggest the US Yield Curve is inverting. And as the Curve is a leading indicator to the stock market, the bears came out in force declaring the party has ended.
Nothing could be further from the truth.
The more important yield comparison to watch is the 2-year Treasury note versus the 10-year note.
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Saturday, December 15, 2018
Gold Stocks Triple Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
The beleaguered gold stocks are recovering from their late-summer capitulation, enjoying a solid young upleg as investors gradually return. Their buying has pushed the leading gold-stock ETF near a major triple breakout technically. That event should really boost capital inflows into this sector, accelerating the rally. A major gold and gold-stock buying catalyst is likely imminent too, a more-dovish Fed next week.
The gold miners’ stocks have always been a small contrarian sector, a little-watched corner of the stock markets. But they’ve been even more unpopular than usual in recent months. That pessimistic sentiment is driven by price action, which has mostly proven poor in 2018. That’s really evident in the performance of the flagship gold-stock investment vehicle, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF which is struggling.
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Saturday, December 15, 2018
Bitcoin Important Levels Ahead / Currencies / Bitcoin
These are strange times. Bitcoin is a long way from its all-time high, the market situation resembles the dotcom bubble on steroids and yet there’s not that much information on Bitcoin and we are yet to see the sort of panic that accompanies major crashes. Yet, the sentiment is shifting.
As Bitcoin has been going down for a year now, the sentiment surrounding the currency is shifting, as evidenced by the fact that the media has picked up on the depreciation in the Bitcoin market. Some analysts go even further than that. In an article on the MarketWatch website, we read:
Stephen Innes, head of Asia Pacific trading at Oanda, is arguing that the bitcoin bear market is far from over because the No. 1 digital currency has yet provide a significant use case. “Bitcoins have gone well beyond the ridiculousness of tulip bulb mania,” he said on Monday.
Saturday, December 15, 2018
‘Hard’ Brexit Risk Sees Gold Gain In Euros and Pounds – Nears £1,000/oz & €1,100/oz / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Gold was lower today in dollars but saw slight gains in pounds and euros. It was supported by increasing concerns about the likelihood of a ‘hard’ Brexit, about global economic growth and uncertainty around the Fed’s interest rate policies in 2019.
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Saturday, December 15, 2018
Will Central Bank Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Central banks’ purchases create a floor for gold prices. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about the central banks’ demand for gold and find out whether it will save gold.
Gold is an important part of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. As of H1 2018, they hold about 34,000 tons of bullion worth $1.36 trillion, or 10.3 percent of the total reserves, according to the World Gold Council.
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Friday, December 14, 2018
The stock market fails to rally each day. What’s next for stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The U.S. stock market has been been gapping up on the open and selling off later in the day recently.
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Friday, December 14, 2018
How Low Could the S&P 500 Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Our target for the first half of 2019 is and has been the 2100 to 2200 area for the S&P 500. A friend asked…
I’ve been meaning to ask (and possibly) know the answer, 2100-2200 for H1 2019 is your ultimate bear market target or opening act?
Opening act. It could be the ultimate target because there is a lot of support at that area and a good solid bear phase could put the Fed on ice and impose some changes to Donald Trump’s bull in a China shop policy style.
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Friday, December 14, 2018
If You Aren’t Making Music with Commodities, Try This Song Instead / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Cocoa's 2016-7 bear market reversal was in total harmony with one kind of analysis
If financial markets were styles of music, equities, especially the most stable Big Board stocks, are like great classical compositions: They're made up of consistent, steady tempos you could listen to all day with the occasional booming or crashing note.
Commodities are different. They're the jazz players delivering choppy, frenetic tunes with jolting chord changes.
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Friday, December 14, 2018
An Industrial to Stock Trade: Is Boeing a BUY Here? / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By EWFJames : BA and the Trade Tensions Between China and Elliott wave
As we all are well aware there are definitely heightened tensions on the global trading playing field these days. The markets have been whipping back in forth in exacerbated moves. Every hint or tweet about anything to do with trade, specifically, trade and China causes fireworks in the market. Boeing Co ( NYSE: BA ) has been in the news as well for numerous reasons about trade. Boeing is being accused of circumventing U.S. trade regulations by means of entertaining a controversial satellite order. The order was financed by a Chinese government-owned firm.
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Friday, December 14, 2018
Gold GDX Cycles from the January 2016 Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
EWF Lewis : Firstly, the GDX ETF was created in 2006. From there it bounced higher into the September 2011 highs. This not shown on the chart however the price trend was obviously up. The pullback lower into the January 2016 lows corrected the cycle from the all time highs. The bounce from the January 2016 lows was strong enough to suggest it was no longer pulling back lower. It ended that bullish cycle August 2016. I give Elliott Wave benefit of the doubt that was a lead diagonal up. The January 2016 low should hold in any further dip.
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Friday, December 14, 2018
Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) – Bullish Trend is Still Intact / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
Ayoub Ben Rejeb : Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) established a new multi-year bullish trend which managed to break above 2007 peak after just 10 years joining the list of many other stocks which already achieved new all time highs in the previous years.
GS has been moving within a bullish channel making higher highs and higher lows. Every correction took place in a form of 3 swings lower into a blue box which is a High-frequency area where the market is likely to end cycles and make a turn. Now, the stock is approaching the lower end of the channel from where ideally the stock will be able the resume the move to the upside as long as the trend remain intact.
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Friday, December 14, 2018
Will the Arrest of Huawei Executive Derail Trade War Truce? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
EWFHendra: The market celebrated the trade war truce between U.S. and China after the successful meeting last week between President Trump and Xi. Unfortunately, it only lasted for about 24 hours as news came in with the arrest of Huawei top executive Meng Wanzhou in Canada. Meng faces an extradition to the U.S. on the allegation that she committed fraud to avoid sanctions against Iran. This arrest opens a new chapter in escalating battle between the U.S. and China to gain tech supremacy.
Huawei is the world’s largest telecoms equipment provider and also the second largest mobile phone manufacturer. The founder Ren Zhengfei is a former military officer and Meng Wanzhou is his daughter. Huawei is one of the pillars in China’s ambition to be an independent technology powerhouse. The arrest happened on December 1, the same day that President Xi and Trump had the dinner meeting in Buenos Aires.
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
Does Flat CPI in November Imply Flat Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Zero. The US inflation rate was unchanged in November. What does the flat CPI mean for the gold market?
What Happened With Inflation?
The CPI was unchanged in November, following an increase of 0.3 percent in October. It was the weakest number since March 2018, when monthly inflation fell about 0.1 percent. However, the flat reading was caused by a sharp decline in the price of gasoline – that subindex dropped 4.2 percent in November, offsetting increases in an array of prices including shelter and used cars and trucks. But the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased 0.2 percent last month, the same change as in October. So, don’t worry about the upcoming deflation.
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
Trump vs the Fed: Who Wins? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
Who controls the US economy? The “power of the purse” resides within the US Congress and the powers to set fiscal and monetary policy are delegated to the US Central Bank, otherwise known as the Federal Reserve.
While the success of US Presidents often depends on how well the economy does during their terms, in fact they have little direct influence on it. The President can guide the economy and put his stamp on unlimited pieces of legislation, but he must work with Congress and the Federal Reserve in order to execute his agenda.
To demonstrate just how powerless the President is over the economy, you need only look at Article II of the US Constitution which outlines the responsibilities of the Executive Branch:
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
Expect Gold & Silver to Pullback Before the Next Move Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Our team of researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believe the recent upward price move in Gold has reached a level where prices will pause and retrace a bit before the next big leg higher begins.
The recent downward pricing pressures in the US and global stock markets have prompted Gold to move well above recent highs near $1242. We predicted this move over 40 days ago with this research post. We still believe Gold and Silver are setup for a bigger move higher, yet we believe the recent upswing will briefly pause and retrace to levels we are showing, below, before attempting a bigger move to the upside.
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
Dollar Index Trends, USDJPY Setting Up / Currencies / Forex Trading
Risks and markets events continue to aid trading. Volatility is helping our trading system make tremendous returns. FXCOT system is able to use high volatility and low volatility to its advantage. Returns are summed at the end of post.
U.S. stocks rebounded Wednesday, extending a recent stretch of volatility as signs of easing trade tensions boosted the outlook for global economic growth. Afternoon trading was again rocky for major indexes, which eased well off their intraday highs in the final 90 minutes of the session. Stocks have been hypersensitive to trade-related headlines in recent days, with the Dow swinging more than 550 points from its high to its low on both Monday and Tuesday.
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