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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Politics

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Medicare Premiums Are A Shared Pool - Coming Changes That Will Transform Retirement / Politics / Government Spending

By: Dan_Amerman

A critical component of financial planning for retirement is that many healthcare expenses are a shared expense for those 65 and older, as a matter of current law and design. A 65 year old pays the same Medicare Part B premiums as a 95 year old, and someone in perfect health pays the same premiums as someone with multiple serious health issues.

By law, 25% of total Medicare Part B expenses are funded by Medicare premiums, which are usually withheld from monthly Social Security benefits. So, when the average expenses of Medicare increase on a per person basis - then so do the premiums.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

First-time Buyer Mortgage Interest Rates Recover from Base Rate Rise / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

While the majority of rates in the mortgage market have started to edge up, research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that some higher loan-to-value (LTV) mortgage rates have actually fallen since the base rate rise.

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Local

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Charged Atmosphere of Heavy Police and Security Presence at Sheffield Street Tree Felling Protests / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

Something bad appears to be brewing at Sheffield's street trees felling sites 2018 as already heavy HiViz security presence as of November 2017 has now been joined by heavy police presence. The immediate effect has been to embolden hired security and Arb's to become more 'aggressive' towards tree protestors which is creating an increasingly charged atmosphere that appears to be building towards an negative event of some kind as the following video illustrates.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Stocks Bull Market Appears to have a Destiny With 1929 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stocks bull market continues to confound my expectations for a significant correction which is just failing to materialise! Firstly understand this, I AM a stock market bull i.e. I am net long of the stock market, so a rising stock market is good for my portfolio. BUT, for a while now I have not considered this ongoing rally to be healthy for the life of the stocks bull market, and why despite being a bull I am BEARISH for its prospects.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 22, 2018

Pension Crisis And Deficit of £2.6 Billion At Carillion To Impact UK / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement

By: GoldCore

– Carillion collapses leaving a £900 million debt pile and 30,000 pensions at risk
– Carillion PLC share price has collapsed 94% in last twelve months
– Private analysis of Carillion’s pension deficit reveals it to be as high as £2.6 billion
– Figure adds to the UK’s ongoing pension crisis, both private and state are severely underfunded
– UK’s Private Pension Fund already has a levy of £550 million for next twelve months
– UK state pension crisis as state fund to be ‘exhausted by 2033’
– Ensure your pension is funded and properly diversified with gold

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Commodities

Monday, January 22, 2018

Two Factors for Gold That You Don’t Want to Miss / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Even though mining stocks closed last week below the Jan. 2 close and silver even declined below the Dec 31, 2017 close, gold moved higher. It’s not far from this year’s top either. So, is all well and are bullish gold price forecasts justified? Not necessarily. In today’s article, we show you two reasons why it’s a good idea to think twice before opening long positions in gold.

Some time ago we discussed the apex technique for the HUI Index and it worked perfectly, triggering a reversal right at the apex of the triangle. Today, we can see something very similar on the long-term GDX ETF chart and in light of the mentioned performance, it shouldn’t be ignored. Let’s take a look at the details (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Monday, January 22, 2018

Gold Price Is Facing Triangle Pattern Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Franco_Shao

XAUUSD is facing the resistance of the upper trend line (now at around 1343.00) of the triangle pattern on its weekly chart once again. Being contained by the trend line, the gold price pulled back from 1344.65.

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Commodities

Monday, January 22, 2018

Who Will Take Control in Crude Oil Market? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Although the EIA weekly report showed that crude oil inventories dropped for a ninth straight week and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected, U.S. production outweighed positive news. But did yesterday price action change anything in the technical picture of black gold?

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Commodities

Monday, January 22, 2018

Why You Must Own Silver in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

While Gold is very close to a major breakout (in price) its strength has not filtered down to Silver yet. Gold is 3% away from a major breakout and comfortably above its long-term moving averages. However, Silver is well below its 2016 high and is currently battling its 200-day moving average. But that is okay. Silver typically lags and underperforms Gold until Gold gains momentum or breaks key resistance. A major breakout in Gold this year and its effect on Silver is just one reason why Silver could have a big year.

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Commodities

Monday, January 22, 2018

This Could Be The Hottest Mining Stock Of 2018 / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: OilPrice_Com

...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, January 22, 2018

Stock Index Trend Trade Setups for the SP500 & NASDAQ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Over the past few weeks, we have been writing about our US major price predictions for the beginning of 2018 and how they have played out.  If you have been following our analysis, you have already learned that we predicted a 3~5% price increase in early January 2018 for most of the US major equity indexes as well as a period of brief stagnation near the middle of February.  Today, we are going to revisit these predictions to attempt to provide you with our updated price expectations.

As you read this article and review our analysis, please keep in mind that we are showing you an advanced price modeling system that is capable of learning from historical price activity as well as illustrating the highest probability outcomes of price based on its analysis of key “genomic” price patters and technical patterns.  The reason this is so important to understand is that we are illustrating 2~3+ month in advance based on our modeling systems interpretation of price action.  Imagine having the ability to predict 2 to 3 months in advance with a relatively high degree of accuracy for any stock symbol you like?  This is a very powerful analytical modeling system and we are happy to be sharing this research with our readers.

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Currencies

Monday, January 22, 2018

Eroding Petrodollar Versus Rising Petroyuan / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the late 20th century, US petrodollar dominated the world economy. In the 21st century, we are witnessing the rise of the Chinese petroyuan. The former grew on the back of postwar growth in the advanced economies; the latter is fueled by industrialization in emerging and developed economies.

According to SWIFT, US dollar still accounts for 39% of international payments, as opposed to the euro (33%), the English pound (7%), Japanese yen (3%) and Chinese yuan (28%). But times are changing.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 22, 2018

Stock Market Deceleration / Distribution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
 Intermediate trend – A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 22, 2018

US Markets vs Govt Shutdown: Stock Markets at all time highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Submissions

ARB Cap writes: As US government shuts down, markets march higher. Political turmoil does not seem to immediately affect equity bulls. Much of it has o do with the US bond market selling off with 10 year rising over 3% mark only for the second time in the last 5 years. As money pours out of bond markets, it is rolling into equity markets. Are we on the cusp of a super inflation cycle of the likes seen in 1980s ?

The 10 year US treasury bond yield is at 2.64% but it is breaking above the long term bear trend existing since 1994. Money is pouring out of bond markets as the carnage is about to begin. As yields rise, markets start to expect higher inflation cycle which in turn raise rate hike expectation. It is worthwhile to remind the last it did flirt with breaking out of the bear trend in 2014, yield fell back sharply down again.

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ConsumerWatch

Monday, January 22, 2018

Land Rover Discovery Sport - 1 Month Driving Test Review / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

This is my review of driving a Land Rover Discovery Sport over 1 month, of what to expect if your considering buying one as it does take a few weeks of driving before one is fully aware of the cars good and bad points, such as the pretty feeble plastic trim that tends to surround Discovery Sports, the knocking sound that many experience again from poor quality trim. So whilst the Discovery Sport looks great and general drives well, in many respects my 11 year old Zafira was actually better i.e. space for the back two seats! And what's worse of all is you will all likely fall for Land Rovers sales pitch of the Discovery Sport doing 53.3mpg which is not going to happen given real world driving. So watch my most recent video of buying and owning a Land Rover Discovery Sport, where this HSE Black was bought from Hunters in Chester.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, January 22, 2018

Why should you use high-quality YouTube to mp3 converter? / Personal_Finance / Internet

By: Kavinesh_A

There are several reasons to convert YouTube videos into mp3 files. As you enter the URL of the video, you will get stripped down mp3 files. Upon successful transformation of the video, you can download the audio file in a very efficient manner. The operation can be performed by as no technical expertise is required to perform the step. You will want to open the required file on the YouTube. The link should be copied in the tool and the conversion will take place by clicking on the button. As you click on the ‘download’ button, you will be able to copy the mp3 file in a location of your choice.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 21, 2018

Central Banks Are Going to Have to “Pull the Plug” on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

It’s no secret that Central Banks have been funneling liquidity both directly and indirectly into stocks. However, what most investors don’t realize is that this liquidity pump is about to end.

Why?

Because the endless streams of liquidity (Central Banks continue to run QE programs of $100+ billion per month despite the global economy stabilizing) have unleashed inflation.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 21, 2018

Silver As Strategic Metal: Why Its Price Will Soar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The arguments in favor of silver as an investment asset are growing rapidly. In the opinion of the Jackass, silver is the most under-valued hard asset in existence, with the highest potential for price appreciation on the globe. To begin with, central banks own no silver, but do own huge tracts of gold. Industry has huge demand for silver, but a trifling amount for gold demand. The investment demand is another key factor in favor of silver, but also for gold. Ever since the tech telecom bust in 2000, the precious metals growth curve has been evident. Ever since the subprime bond disaster in 2007, followed by the Lehman strangulation in 2008, the precious metals growth curve has continued. It is suppressed like holding back a team of six stagecoach Clydesdale horses by simple leather straps held by mere men with computers on their backs. Ever since the QE inflation policy of monetizing the USGovt debt, the monetary role of Gold & Silver has never been more acute in modern history. But silver offers much more.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 21, 2018

Stocks, Gold and Interest Rates Three Amigos Ride On / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

As symbolized by the 3 Amigos, the macro backdrop is riding on to its destiny. That forward destiny is a top in stocks vs. gold (Amigo 1), a rise in long-term interest rates to potential if not probable limits (Amigo 2) and an end to the yield curve’s flattening trend (Amigo 3).

When our zany friends complete the journey, big changes are likely in the macro markets.

Let’s take a checkup on each Amigo and consider some implications as well.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 21, 2018

Why Sometimes, "Beating the S&P 500" Isn't Good Enough / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI


How money managers who beat a benchmark can still "ruin your retirement"

Would you like to invest with a money manager who has a track record of "beating the market"?

"Who wouldn't" you might reply. But, hold onto your horses -- or, in this case, onto your portfolio.

Even a professional manager who "performs" the S&P 500 can financially ruin you.

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