Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, March 17, 2015
The New London Gold Fixing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The Heart of the Gold Price - The "Fix"
The London Gold Fixing, the twice daily gold pricing mechanism at which the bulk of physical gold transactions take place is changing dramatically. In the past five London Based gold bullion banks on a direct telephone link to their clients established a price at which these transactions took place. This was an efficient way to establish an accurate price for gold deals done outside of the contracts used to supply the bulk of gold deals.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 17, 2015
Why Lower Crude Oil Prices Could Drive Gold Higher / Commodities / Crude Oil
We view gold as monetary asset; therefore our directional views on the yellow metal are primarily a function of our expectations of monetary policy. After being very bullish on gold in the years following the global financial crisis as the Fed pursued highly accommodative monetary policy and quantitative easing, we turned bearish on gold at the end of 2012 as the period of easing monetary policy appeared to be coming to an end. We have maintained our bearish stance as the Fed has moved towards tightening monetary policy, however the recent fall in oil prices has caused us to question our view, and whilst we remain bearish over the longer term, we now think that gold prices could bounce from current levels.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2015
Ireland’s Minister of Finance Dumps Stocks to Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Ireland’s Minister of Finance shifted personal wealth out of stocks and into gold
- Minister invested in SPDR Gold Shares ETF, Portuguese government bonds and other ETFs
- Maintained holdings in bank and agricultural commodities ETFs
- Gold ETF not a safe haven asset – much unappreciated counterparty risk
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2015
Gold Trading Week Ahead - 16 March 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Late last week gold managed to stem the recent losses as the dollar rally paused. An 8 day run of consecutive losses on gold came to an end on Thursday, not before posting a new 4 month low.
Last week we saw solid buying from our clients at the low US$1,150’s/oz levels.
Sunday, March 15, 2015
Gold And Silver - When Will Precious Metals Rally? Not In 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
If one addresses what is going on between China and the IMF, while keeping an eye on the Federal Reserve's fiat debt instrument, incorrectly called the "dollar," then the likelihood of a significant rally in gold and silver may not develop this year. Those believing the fiat "dollar" is on its currency deathbed and about to implode to its true intrinsic worth, zero, are not paying enough attention to realize that the elite's are still in control while in the process of merely switching horses: to China from the US.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 14, 2015
Gold Price Short-Term Respite but Danger Looming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The precious metals sector is oversold and due for a bounce. Miners and metals have endured severe declines in recent weeks and are likely to rebound from the 2014 lows. The miners are just starting to rebound and the metals should follow. However, until proven otherwise this appears to be an oversold bounce that could last only a few weeks. Potential danger lies ahead before a sustained turnaround.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 14, 2015
Natural Gas Price Forecast / Commodities / Natural Gas
Natural gas has been absolutely pummelled for the last decade after making an all time high in 2005 at US$15.78. Price now sits around US$2.75. What a spanking!
So, does there look to be an end in sight to this devastating downtrend? Yes and no. Let's begin with the "no" which involves the big picture yearly chart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 14, 2015
Gold Price Slumps as US Dollar Soars, What's Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Within weeks of the start of 2015, the Gold price had soared to nudge above $1,300 prompting many gold bugs to start proclaiming that the long anticipated resumption of the gold bull market had begun after a 3.5 year bear market. However, the gold price raally proved short lived as the January peak of $1,308 was followed by a relentless grind lower to $1,150, that is even lower than where Gold began the year at $1,183.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2015
Gold and Currency War Chaos / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
This week has been all about currencies, with a weak euro grabbing the headlines. At one point yesterday morning, the euro was 3% down from last Friday's close, hitting a 12-year low against the US dollar. The yen was also weak, challenging its multi-year low point established last December. However, there are signs that gold and silver are being accumulated in the futures markets, and at GoldMoney we have seen a pick-up in demand for physical gold this week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2015
Will Warren Buffett Really Let Gold Stocks Deep Value Slip By? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Right now, even the staunchest gold investors are weary of the years-long drubbing the gold price has taken since its $1,921 peak in August 2011. Whether the frustrating experience is the work of a market-rigging conspiracy, government manipulation of data to hide inflation, those blindingly loyal Keynesians who keep pounding us with messages that gold is nothing but a “shiny bitcoin,” or the gullibility of mainstream investors who tell themselves that, gee, since Warren Buffett is a billionaire, his “gold has no utility” mantra must be right, it hasn’t been fun. The nasty downcycle has offered no respite.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2015
How Apple’s Gold Watch Will Keep the Bull Market Ticking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
An interesting message hit the news wires around the world in late February. Among many others, Mining.com announced breathlessly, “Apple buying a third of world’s gold to meet demand for iWatch.” The text continued with:
Read full article... Read full article...Technology giant Apple may soon buy up one third of the world’s gold in order to meet the demands of its highly anticipated Apple Watch, according to reports. Interest in the high-end model, featuring 18-karat gold casing, is picking up and the firm is already taking the necessary steps to have enough of them in stock.
Friday, March 13, 2015
Gold Price Up 2% In Sterling, 11% in Euro As Single Currency Plunges / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Gold has risen 11% versus the euro in 2015
- Builds on 12% gains against the euro in 2014
- Sentiment poor despite reasonable performance
- Gold performing well considering significant gains in stocks and dollar
- Dollar centric view misleading
- Currency wars intensifying
- Complacency and hubris rife
Friday, March 13, 2015
On the Silver Highway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
I’ll fly a starship across the Universe divide
And when I reach the other side
I'll find a place to rest my spirit if I can
Perhaps I may become a highwayman again
Or I may simply be a single drop of rain
But I will remain
And I'll be back again, and again and again and again and again. - The Highwayman
Friday, March 13, 2015
Gold Price Bull Market 2015 Annihilated by Strong U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Within weeks of the start of 2015, the Gold price had soared to nudge above $1,300 prompting many gold bugs to start proclaiming that the long anticipated resumption of the gold bull market had begun after what had seemed like an never ending 3.5 year bear market that had contained many false dawns which had greatly demoralised many gold bugs and even worse for precious metal stock investors.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2015
Gold Sucks! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Ben Kramer-Miller, a fundamental gold stock analyst who I keep an eye on, recently had an article at SeekingAlpha called Gold’s Bull Run Has Not Yet Begun. I remember taking note of the title when it came out, but as is usually the case I did not have the time, nor the inclination to read it. I like to keep my own thoughts square and balanced and don’t need other peoples’ thoughts on gold clouding my own.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2015
How to Make Money in the Chaos of Oil and Gas Markets / Commodities / Oil Companies
Operating in difficult conditions—whether political, logistical or technical—comes with the oil and gas territory, but the collapse in oil and gas prices has added further complexity and risk to the space. Though many companies have lost half or more of their share price in the debacle, Stephane Foucaud of FirstEnergy Capital tells The Energy Report how to find value in small-cap exploration and production names, and provides several examples of companies poised to rebound on the upturn.
The Energy Report: Stephane, do you think the oil price has hit bottom and is now recovering?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 12, 2015
Silver Price Projection, U.S. Dollar Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Take the S&P Index and multiply by the US dollar index. This removes most of the currency variation. Do the same with silver. The chart of silver times the dollar looks very much like silver priced in euros.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 12, 2015
Why You Should Listen to This Man About Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Would you like your advice from someone who has been successful or from someone who’s failed? I’d prefer to hear from a winner.
Now that the gold market has been mauled by a bear, we can sort out the pretenders from the contenders in the mining industry. After all, there’s nothing like a major down cycle to reveal which companies are run by people who know how to prepare for bad weather.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 12, 2015
Consumers Winning With Low Oil Prices, For Now / Commodities / Crude Oil
Lest we be too quick to forget whence we came, America is now 9-months into lower gasoline prices, which started their swoon the week of June 30, 2015 from a lofty national average just under $3.70, tumbling almost every subsequent week before bottoming and bouncing from $2.02 the end of January, according to gasbuddy.com.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 12, 2015
Simple Test to Determine if Gold Price Is at a Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold investors have been through a nuclear winter, but the future looks bright as mining companies bask in the glow of lower costs, better exchange rates and a flurry of mergers and acquisitions. In this interview with The Gold Report, Tocqueville Asset Management fund managers Doug Groh and John Hathaway share the names of mid-cap companies that could emerge successfully and one truly contrarian play that could be a tenbagger if their forecasts are correct.
Read full article... Read full article...