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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

The Limits of Empirical Economics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

Two separate economic developments over the last 100 years have caused macroeconomics to regress instead of progress. The first is the Keynesian, or more accurately Malthusian, notion of aggregate demand. The second is Friedman’s positive empiricism emphasising the importance of empirical verification of economic theory.

According to positive empiricism, adherence to economic facts is the only way to validate economic theories.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

‘Trumpophobia’ and the American Election - Impacts on Global Peace and Development and Islamic World / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

Hillary Clinton has a long association with   the corridors of Power and she is well-versed in the art of Statecraft as the brain of Obama Administration,  besides her background as a lawyer for her advantage in this election.   Above all, she has a wonderful capacity to mobilize billions as election fund even using the influence of Barrack Obama. Obama has a vested interest in placing Hillary in his position, as he aims at putting his wife as the Secretary of State besides mobilizing billions for his foundation. That is why; the Obamas have so aggressive to attack Donald Trump.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

How Will the Election Outcome Impact Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

By Clint Siegner writes: Metals investors wonder what this presidential election will mean for gold and silver markets. Since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971 and the years of price inflation that followed, presidents have largely ignored gold, the Federal Reserve, and other issues related to sound money. Today, the devaluation of the Federal Reserve Note – the explosion of debt and the eternal deficits which enrich bankers and the political class at the expense of the rest of us – is getting harder to ignore.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Stock Market Short Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

We have been waiting for a bounce into the high forecast by the Hybrid Lindsay model and it looks to have come on Tuesday. Cycles warned that the high might come on the late side of the margin of error but internals now appear set-up to give us that rally early this week. Bears don't have much to worry about, however, as the high is expected no later than Wednesday.

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

How to Successfully Trade a Stock Market Crash - Black Monday October 19th 1987 / InvestorEducation / Financial Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October the 19th, the 29th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday stock market crash that few saw coming but ever since many expect to repeat. So regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far, by this point of the year the perma bears can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent as they point to a myriad of harbingers of the stock market apocalypse. So it is no wonder that October tends to be an unusually irrational month for where stock market expectations are concerned, and never more so than for this year given the chaos of this years US election election cycle that probably features the worst two candidates in US election history which ensures that America loses no matter who wins.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Tesla, Apple and Uber Push Lithium Prices Even Higher / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

After more than tripling in price this year, Lithium is no longer that dull commodity we take for granted in our consumer electronics: It’s the commodity powering the next, undeniable energy revolution. The tight supply picture emerging as electric cars, mega-batteries and massive energy storage solutions become the cornerstones of our lives could be on the edge of turning new lithium explorers into the next barons.

Lithium now appears to be at a crucial moment in time: The moment when profits in the industry begin to elevate market valuations, and when consolidation starts to boost gains for all those junior explorers who have been scooping up land in the world’s lithium sweet spots.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Silver Price Discovery – It’s Still a Fixing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Absurdities continue in the world of derivative or electronic or paper silver. In what will someday be viewed as the monumental public relations miracle that it is, the silver fix has been transplanted into just another body riddled with cancer.

Below I’ve collected and commented on one of the most prevalent stories characterizing the announcement.

The essence of this is moderately transparent. The banks need to avoid more public relations disasters. They are certainly in for enough as it is.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Silver, Debt, and Deficits – From an Election Year Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

It is an election year. We should anticipate 8 years of upcoming trauma, following nearly 8 years of “hope and change,” after 8 years of “no nation building,” after 8 years of “I did not have sexual relations with that woman.”

Examine the official US national debt in 8 fiscal year increments (10/1/84 – 9/30/92 etc.) using linear and log scales.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

SPX Making Irregular Waves, Making Another Large Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Premarket appears to be headed for the 50% retracement level for the prior decline and the probable top of Wave (a) at 2142.45. We have a probable repeat of Wave 1, where the impulse is smaller than the total decline, including Wave [b].

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

UK Property Market: Slow Growth Does Not Equate To Decline / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

The property market is one of UK’s main economic drivers given the clear link to the financial industry. Right now, several people have expressed doubts on how the UK economy could fair following the separation from the EU single market. And as analysts have pointed out, the most problematic aspect comes from the uncertainties surrounding the separation process.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Euro “Will Collapse” – Is “House of Cards” Warns Founder of Euro / Currencies / Euro

By: GoldCore

The Euro “will collapse” as it is a”house of cards” warned Otmar Issing, the founder and creator of the euro in an extraordinary interview on Monday.

In the explosive interview with the journal Central Banking, Professor Issing, said “one day, the house of cards will collapse”  as the European Central Bank (ECB) is becoming dangerously over-extended and the whole euro project is unworkable in its current form.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Savers have Little to look forward to as Interest Rate Cuts Keep Coming / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that rate reductions in the savings market have now outweighed rate rises for 12 consecutive months.

In September, Moneyfacts recorded 29 savings rate rises. Disappointingly, rate reductions over the same period completely outshone this figure, with the number of rate decreases standing at 164 – which translates to around six cuts to every rate rise – with some deals falling by as much as 0.75%.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the week off on a poor note. They dropped sharply at the opening, tested support, and rallied sharply, but could not get through resistance. During the next couple hours, the indices went in a downward drift, taking the lows out on the S&P 500, but not so on the Nasdaq 100, a positive divergence resulted, and after a late bounce, they pulled back into the close and closed negative on the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 51.98 at 18,086.40. The S&P 500 was down 6.48 at 2126.50. The Nasdaq 100 was down 12.32 at 4796.17.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Trump Election Victory is in Your Power / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: BATR

The world has been fed a false narrative as the average brain washed victim of mass distortion is led to the slaughter house. The looking glass of cultural perversion has never been more prominently on display then during this presidential election mind melt. If there was even a question about the gullibility of the electorate, just examine the sentiments of political party stalwarts that rush to influence the voting choices of their neighbors and communities. Listening to these factions of the failed established order is like believing that accepting a poor future is actually better for you.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market More to Come! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market 20/50 Cross Down...20/50 Headache....Big Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

When one studies the market it's important to study moving average crosses on all time frames, but particularly the daily charts. If you were to study the S&P 500 daily chart you would see the 20-day exponential moving average has crossed down below the 50-day exponential moving average. It's by a hair, but for now a cross. When the 20's at below the 50's that can often mean the market will struggle for appreciable upside action. It can also mean downside action can accelerate. It's never easy to tell when the cross is so minor, such as it is now. The reason for wondering about it now though is easy. The cross up took place in early March. We're now in mid-October. Over seven months above with the action mostly on the positive side of the ledger.

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Commodities

Monday, October 17, 2016

This Past Week in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in gold and silver markets, noting COT data is showing signs of a bottom.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

A Falling Stock Market Cannot Be Allowed - Financial Repression Is Now “In-Play”! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

A FALLING MARKET CANNOT BE ALLOWED – at any cost!

The Central Bankers have clearly painted themselves into a corner as a result of their self-inflicted, extended period of “cheap money”.  Their policies have fostered malinvestment , excessive leverage and a speculative casino approach to investments. Investors forced to take on excess risk for yield  and scalp speculative investment returns, must operate in an unstable financial environment ripe for a  major correction.  A correction because of the  high degree of market correlation that likely would be instantaneously contagious across all global financial markets.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

Stock Market Bubble Has Run Out of Excuses and Time / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Michael_Pento

It is finally going to be a make or break earnings season for stocks. This is because the justification for record high stock prices that have been perched atop extremely stretched valuation metrics has been the following false assumptions: the hope that the Federal Reserve will not resume its interest rate hiking cycle, the U.S. dollar stops rising, the price of oil enters a sustainable bull market and long-term interest rates continue to fall.

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Commodities

Monday, October 17, 2016

December Might Be the Next Buying Opportunity in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: John_Mauldin

By Jake Weber, Garret/Galland Research

There’s no doubt gold has had a good run in 2016. Its recent selloff has caused it to give up most of its post-Brexit gain. Still, the yellow metal is up nearly 20% on the year. And a new buying opportunity may be on the horizon.

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