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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, November 24, 2014

All Hail the King U.S. Dollar - Trend Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

In part two of this Weekend Report I want to take an indepth look at the US dollar as many of the important currencies of the world all seem to be making important moves right now. If that is true then the US dollar is also in the process of making an important move in the opposite direction.

Below is a long term monthly chart for the US dollar that shows black and white candlesticks. In a strong impulse move down you will see a string of back candles all in a row and in a strong impulse move up you will see a string of white candles all in a row. If the US dollar doesn't crash and burn during this last week of trading for November, it will have completed it sixth month in a row of white candles sticks. This is telling us the breakout move from the massive ten year base is underway and is looking healthy. Remember big bases equals a big move and a small base equals a small move. It's all relative.

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Currencies

Friday, November 21, 2014

Currency Wars, the Ruble and Keynes / Currencies / Currency War

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The specter of currency wars once again haunts the international chattering classes. Remember back in 2011, when Brazilian finance minister Guido Mantega blamed the U.S. for deliberately weakening the greenback to gain a competitive advantage? Well, now the shoe is on the other foot.

The Yen — an important regional currency — recently sank to a sevenyear low against the now mighty U.S. dollar (USD). This is putting downward pressure on the Korean won and other Asian currencies. The situation is similar in Africa where the Kenyan shilling has hit a three-year low against the USD; the Nigerian naira recently set an all-time low against the dollar; the Ghanaian cedi has shed over 25 percent of its value against the greenback this year. The big Latin American loser is the Venezuelan bolivar, followed by the hopeless Argentine peso. Moving to Europe, Ukraine’s hryvnia has lost over 88 percent of its value against the USD this year, while the Russian ruble has racked up a loss of over 43 percent against the greenback in the same time span. The list could go on, but let’s focus on Russia and the travails of the ruble.

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Currencies

Friday, November 21, 2014

Paper Money Yielding Madness / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The mainstream investor (with any time and "money" left), wielding an internet connection, and hell bent for yield is about to feel the temperature drop despite a thousand reminders that the cold winter is coming. (Or perhaps not - if you are in South Florida.)

Zero interest policy scorches the planner and the saver, rotting the seed corn while providing fuel for speculation, breeding the trading culture pestilence we see today. Yet again, another tiresome cycle appears. More bubbles to end all bubbles.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Bitcoin Price Did We Just See an Important Slump? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) expressed an opinion it does have authority over Bitcoin, at least as far as investigating any possible price manipulation is concerned, we read on The Wall Street Journal website:

A commissioner at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission said Monday that the agency was authorized to intervene with enforcement actions against price manipulation in bitcoin markets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

How High Could USD/JPY Go? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Nadia_Simmons

Yesterday, official data showed that annualized Japan's gross domestic product dropped by 1.6% in the third quarter, missing economists‘ forecast of a 2.3% growth and following a 7.3% drop in the second quarter, which puts the country in a recession. In these circumstances USD/JPY extended gains and hit a fresh multi-year high of 117.04. How high could the exchange rate go?

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Currencies

Friday, November 14, 2014

Plunging EUR & JPY Could Trigger Regional Currency Wars / Currencies / Currency War

By: MahiFX

The good news about a soaring USD is that it eases global trade tensions as it is the world's main currency. But systematic devaluations of EUR and JPY are another matter and will force neighbouring countries to respond by pushing down the value of their currencies.

Japan and the Eurozone have become like black holes in the global economy desperate to suck in growth from where ever they can find it. Both struggle to grow domestically, suffer deflationary pressures and also want to tap into the greater economic vitality of their neighbours via exports.

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Currencies

Friday, November 14, 2014

The Return of the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

Two years ago, my friend Mohamed El-Erian and I were on the stage at my Strategic Investment Conference. Naturally we were discussing currencies in the global economy, and I asked him about currency wars. He smiled and said to me, “John, we don’t talk about currency wars in polite circles. More like currency disagreements” (or some word to that effect).

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Currencies

Friday, November 14, 2014

Currency Wars Next Phase - Yen Plunge, Yuan Devaluation, Tidal Wave of Deflation / Currencies / Currency War

By: Mike_Shedlock

The Yen currently trades about 115 to the US dollar. At the end of 2011 the Yen was about 77 to the dollar. That is a decline of roughly 33%.

Yet, Japan's inflation barely budged. Japan's prime minister Shinzo Abe is not pleased.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

British Pound Breaks Channel Support Following BOE Inflation Report / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD is mixed across the board but we see in a strong shape against the pound after BoE forecasts that the inflation rate will fall below 1% within 6 months, and rise toward the 2% target by the end of the 3-year forecast period. The bank also cut the GDP forecast by 0.2% for both 2015 and 2016 (to 2.9% and 2.6%, respectively), and cited a weaker Europe, which was the reason for weaker GBPUSD as well as lower prices on FTSE100.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Russia's Central Bank Sets Ruble Free / Currencies / Russia

By: Pravda

The Central Bank of the Russian Federation canceled the corridor of the currency basket, as well as regular interventions at the boundaries of the corridor and beyond them, an official statement from the Bank said, TASS reports.

"The Bank of Russia, from November 10, 2014, abolished the acting mechanism of exchange rate policy, reversing the interval of admissible values of the bi-currency basket (operating range) and regular interventions at the boundaries of this range and beyond," the statement said.

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Currencies

Monday, November 10, 2014

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/JPY... Forex Forecasts Last Chance / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

This is your last chance to access free forex forecasts week.

During FreeWeek, you get unrestricted, 24/7 access to intraday, daily, weekly and monthly forecasts -- including charts and videos -- for these FX markets:

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Currencies

Monday, November 10, 2014

Fiat Wealth Illusion - We Don't Need Your Stinking Principles / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“Nobody can predict how long governments can get away with fake growth, fake money, fake financial stability, fake jobs, fake inflation numbers and fake income growth. Our feeling is that confidence, especially when it is unjustified, is quite a thin veneer. When confidence is lost, that loss can be severe, sudden and simultaneous across a number of markets and sectors.” - Paul Singer

I noticed the following financial cartoon was making its rounds over the weekend.  Particularly this section. In case you can't see the image, the quote that stood out was this one:

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Currencies

Saturday, November 08, 2014

When Deflation Comes Knocking at the Door / Currencies / Deflation

By: Alasdair_Macleod

There is little doubt that deflationary risks have increased in recent weeks, if only because the dollar has risen sharply against other currencies. Understanding what this risk actually is, as opposed to what the talking heads say it is, will be central to financial survival, particularly for those with an interest in precious metals.

The economic establishment associates deflation, or falling prices, with lack of demand. From this it follows that if it is allowed to continue, deflation will lead to business failures and ultimately bank insolvencies due to contraction of bank credit. Therefore, the reasoning goes, demand and consumer confidence must be stimulated to ensure this doesn't happen.

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Currencies

Friday, November 07, 2014

Bitcoin Price Volatility / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $377, take-profit at $307.

Mark Wetjen, a member of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), wrote an opinion piece for The Wall Street Journal in which he highlighted the potential of Bitcoin:

With a market capitalization of around $4.4 billion, Bitcoin represents a tiny fraction of the U.S. financial system. But as Jerry Brito, director of the think tank Coin Center, said at our public meeting, Bitcoin has the potential to provide tremendous benefits to the under-banked and un-banked, particularly in emerging markets where traditional financial services often are not available. Bitcoin is likely to be an especially powerful resource for people who rely on mobile-payment systems on their smartphones.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 06, 2014

Forex vs. Stocks: What's "better" to Trade? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

As of 2013, the daily trading volume in foreign exchange was more than $5 TRILLION a day. EWI's currencies expert, Jim Martens, discusses the pros and cons of trading forex vs. trading stocks.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 05, 2014

Ron Paul Says: Watch the Petrodollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno, Senior Editor, InternationalMan.com

The chaos that one day will ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or euros. The sooner the better.—Ron Paul

Dr. Paul is referring to the petrodollar system, one of the main pillars that’s been holding up the US dollar’s status as the world’s premier reserve currency since the breakdown of Bretton Woods.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 05, 2014

AUD/USD - Double Bottom / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, official data showed that retail sales in Australia increased by 1.2% in September, beating expectations for a 0.4% rise. As a result, AUD/USD bounced off a one-month low and came back above the short-term support. Will we see a post-double bottom rally?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 04, 2014

Bitcoin Price Move to $300 Might Be Closer Than It Appears / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $377, take-profit at $307.

The British government is looking to have a discussion with the Bitcoin community on how to deal with the cryptocurrency, we read on the Guardian website:

The Treasury will be looking at examples of regulation in other countries, but emphasises that the lead will come from responses to its own call for information. "Digital currencies and digital currency exchanges are currently unregulated in the UK," said a Treasury spokesman.

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Currencies

Monday, November 03, 2014

Forex Markets Chart Analysis for USD, GBP, JPY, CDW, XAD... / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

In light of the news from the land of the rising sun and the sinking currency, let's reserve NFTRH 315's only real charting for a big picture monthly view of currencies, to which we usually give just a brief update, and then some misc. big picture monthly charts [not included in this excerpt] as we try to gain perspective on things that may seem illogical to our rational minds.

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Currencies

Friday, October 31, 2014

More Weakness in Bitcoin Price / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

To the point: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $377, take-profit at $307.

Jon Matonis, the executive director of the Bitcoin Foundation has resigned, we read on the NY Times website:

The Bitcoin Foundation announced on Thursday that Jon Matonis, one of the foundation's founding board members, was stepping down as its executive director, effective on Friday. Mr. Matonis will remain on the foundation's board until Dec. 31.

Mr. Matonis, who was named executive director in July 2013, will be succeeded by Patrick Murck, the foundation's general counsel.

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