Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 14, 2014
Bitcoin Trading Maybe Flat but Not Flatlined for Good / Currencies / Bitcoin
To the point: we don’t support having any short-term positions in the market now.
We wrote yesterday that Bitcoin’s future holds promise and that the system has the potential to revolutionize payments. In an article from its print edition, the Economist also comes to the conclusion that the characteristics of Bitcoin may as well outweigh the recent disastrous shutdown of Mt. Gox over the long term. What is more, the applications of Bitcoin or its underlying general ledger (blockchain) system might not be restricted to money transfers:
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Tuesday, March 11, 2014
USD Remains In Bearish Mode / Currencies / US Dollar
Markets are still very slow and in tight ranges since start of the week. The USD however is showing some recovery now, but only on the intraday basis. Generally speaking USD remains in bearish mode, while stocks remain up.
On EUR/USD we can see wave c now moving south that we highlighted it yesterday. Fibonacci ratios shows a nice support around at 1.3830/40 where pair may find a new base again. Rally back above 1.3880 will open door for new highs.
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Saturday, March 08, 2014
Alleged Bitcoin Creator Denies Any Involvement / Currencies / Bitcoin
To the point: we don't support having any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market.
The media frenzy surrounding the supposed discovery of the Bitcoin creator continues. Dorian Satoshi Nakamoto, the man Newsweek claims to be the creator of the currency, denied having any involvement with Bitcoin and claimed he hadn't heard of Bitcoin until recently.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Why Bitcoin Prices Are Rising Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
The mainstream media has put out a lot of stories detailing the demise of the Mt. Gox exchange, but they haven't had nearly as much to say about why Bitcoin prices are rising again.
Maybe that's because so many of them are rooting for Bitcoin to fail, especially if they're on record having written off the digital currency as a bubble. But reality keeps interrupting that narrative - and rather rudely.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Bitcoin Creator Satoshi Nakamoto Found - Worked on Secret Government Projects / Currencies / Bitcoin
Russia Today writes: A reporter for Newsweek says she’s unmasked the mysterious Japanese-American man responsible for inventing Bitcoin, the world’s most widely used digital cryptocurrency.
In an article published on the magazine’s website Thursday morning, Leah McGrath Goodman recalled the events of a two-month investigation she undertook recently in an attempt to unearth facts about Satoshi Nakamoto, the man who invented Bitcoin in 2008 but has avoided the media entirely ever since.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Mario Draghi Boosts Euro, Rebuffs Disinflation / Currencies / Euro
Another euro-positive ECB presser highlights the reasons for lower inflation, with the implication that low prices are of temporary nature. The conference re-affirms the ECB is in no hurry to use up its eroding interest rate armory to tackle disinflation risks without first considering unsterilising its money market operations.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
U.S. Dollar's Long Term Decline / Currencies / US Dollar
The cleanest of the dirty shirts doesn’t necessarily preserve your purchasing power. Sure, the U.S. dollar has beaten the Russian Ruble and some others of late, but when it comes to real competition, the U.S. dollar has taken a back seat. The U.S. dollar’s long-term decline may be firmly in place and investors may want to buckle up to get ready for the ride.
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Monday, March 03, 2014
U.S. Dollar Erases Losses, Forex Trading Alerts / Currencies / Forex Trading
Earlier today, the U.S. dollar moved higher after positive economic data. The Commerce Department reported that personal spending rose 0.4% (above expectations for an increase of 0.1%) and personal income rose 0.3% (also above expectations for a 0.2% increase. Additionally, the core PCE price index rose 0.1% in line with expectations. What impact did it have on major currency pairs? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.
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Sunday, March 02, 2014
Bitcoin the Perfect Scam, Price Does Not Reflect True Dangers of Holding Bitcoins / Currencies / Bitcoin
The Bitcoin USD price has recovered strongly by more than doubling from the crash low of $240 of 16th February in the wake of the collapse of the worlds largest Bitcoin exchange MTGox (Magic the Gathering) that declared bankruptcy a couple of days ago, though the current Bitcoin market price of $560 is still half the $1250 high of less than 3 months ago.
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Friday, February 28, 2014
Legal Tender, Gold, Silver and Alternative Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
History does not repeat; it rhymes.Current stability comes from confidence and force. We've all heard that cliché over and over. But to rhyme is to the use any words you choose. We can rhyme in paper or digits, but it is all backed by nothing.
There is a not-so-subtle difference between currency and legal tender. Legal tender implies both force and control. And it's worthwhile to explore how far history can be re-expressed through technology.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
Bulgaria’s Currency Board versus Ukraine’s Chaos / Currencies / Fiat Currency
When Communism inevitably and finally collapsed, Bulgaria’s economy was a basket case – behind almost all other communist basket cases, including Ukraine’s. Indeed, Bulgaria defaulted on its debt in 1990. By February 1991, Bulgaria had broken out in a bout of hyperinflation, with the inflation rate at 123% per month. And in February 1997, Bulgaria experienced the agonies of hyperinflation again, with the inflation rate reaching 242% per month.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
U.S. Dollar Gains - Forex Trading Alerts / Currencies / Forex Trading
The U.S. dollar extended gains after stronger-than-expected U.S. home sales data. Earlier today, the Commerce Department showed that new home sales rose 9.6% to 468,000 units in January, while analysts had expected a 1% drop to 400,000. What impact did this largest increase in five-and-a-half years has on major currency pairs? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Stay Ahead of This (Massive) Currency Shift / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Peter Krauth writes: China's political and economic presence surges daily. Lockstep with that surge is the growing significance of its currency.
Along with China's emergence as the world's second-largest economy, its yuan recently displaced the euro and became the second-most used currency for international trade.
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Friday, February 21, 2014
All Currencies Are an Inverse Pyramid Based on The Dollar / Currencies / Fiat Currency
When US money supply measured by M2 stood at $11 trillion in December 2013, I calculate that total broad money of the next largest 50 countries ranked by GDP amounted to the equivalent of a further US$67 trillion at current exchange rates. And that's only on-balance sheet: we must add in global shadow banking, estimated by the Financial Stability Board to have been an extra $67 trillion in 2011, probably about $75 trillion today, given its recent rapid growth in China. So when we look at US broad money supply, we should be aware there is a further mountain of money thirteen times as big ultimately based on the dollar.
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Friday, February 21, 2014
Currency Wars the Great Destabilizer / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Dr. Karl Schiller, West Germany’s Economics Minister between 1966 and 1972, pithily pronounced that: “Stability is not everything, but without stability, everything is nothing.” I agree. In the economic sphere, instability is usually a “bad”, not a “good”.
The world’s great destabilizer is the United States. How could this be? In the post-World War II era, the world has been on a U.S. dollar standard. Accordingly, the U.S. Federal Reserve is the de facto central banker for the world.
Friday, February 21, 2014
How China Fooled the World with Fiat / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The Chinese financial system, along with the rest of the emerging market, exist as an extension of "the world is flat monetary policy" on a scale never seen before. It is equally a giant leverage play on the last remaining resources for a population that has overproduced its stay.
The financial blog Zerohedge.com recently presented a summary of a BBC program featuring a report from Robert Peston, who traveled to China to investigate how the mighty economic giant could actually be in serious trouble.
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Friday, February 21, 2014
Friedman and Hanke on Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
In 2008, Bitcoin was mysteriously introduced to the world in an obscure, technical paper written under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. By late 2013, the financial press was filled with reportage on Bitcoin and its dramatic price increase.
Well ahead of Satoshi Nakamoto, Nobelist Milton Friedman, champion of free market economics and noted expert on money and banking, anticipated the coming of digital currencies, and foresaw the potential impacts that they would have on finance and economics.
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Thursday, February 20, 2014
Return of Goldilocks Economy Means a Weaker USD, but Beware the 3 Bears / Currencies / US Dollar
Central banks are shifting their policies in response to signs that economies are returning to growth. In many ways it looks like a comforting return to the 'old normal' when a broad range of indicators influenced currencies. If so that suggests USD weakness, but beware the three bears.
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Tuesday, February 18, 2014
U.S. Dollar, Major Forex Market Forecasts for 2014 and 2015 / Currencies / US Dollar
It has been awhile since I have posted on the web and thought this was an appropriate article to share. This article focuses on technical analysis of 3 currencies and the US Dollar Index. A lot of the technical indicators I follow are universal, but the way in which they are modified and put together will not be found anywhere else. Developing the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral and the inverse chiral inversion that happened last summer have played a role in the forecast of this article. As unbelievable as the forecast may seem by time the end of this article, there is a significant amount of logic that went into this and may even defy logic. There is a mathematical basis to this pattern and hopefully it will be understood somewhat by the end of this article...
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Monday, February 17, 2014
U.S. Dollar Remains Mixed / Currencies / US Dollar
The U.S. currency was little changed near recent lows against major currencies as U.S. markets are shut for the President’s Day holiday and trade volumes remain thin. Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that the greenback declined to a four-year low against the British pound earlier today. What is the current outlook for major currency pairs? We invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.
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