Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 13, 2010
U.S. Dollar Forecast 2011, Ways to Profit Despite the Greenback's Expected Struggles / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
By Larry D. Spears writes:
The U.S. dollar faces a long list of challenges in the New Year.
The U.S. greenback could strengthen in 2011-but only against the European euro and other currencies with heavy exposure to the European debt crisis, including the British pound sterling. Against virtually every other currency, however, the U.S. dollar is likely to be the loser.
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Sunday, December 12, 2010
The Debt-Dollar Discipline: Part II - Conservation & Release / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ashvin_Pandurangi
Part I in this series introduced Michel Foucault's theory of disciplinary society, laid out in his book Discipline and Punish, and the application of this analysis to the "debt-dollar discipline" formally imposed on global society by the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945 (establishing the dollar as the global reserve currency). It should come as no surprise that this global financial discipline is currently in the process of being revoked.
Friday, December 10, 2010
Ominous Euro Divergence From Rising US and European Equities / Currencies / Euro
By: Ashraf_Laidi
China's latest action to raise banks' reserve requirement ratios is no longer weighing on market sentiment as participants expect the more aggressive option of higher interest rates (borrowing and lending). The overnight decision to hike RRR for the 6th time this year is seen as part of a broader tightening.
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Friday, December 10, 2010
Can Fiat Paper Currency Bring Prosperity? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Mike_Hewitt
A short description of money and historical examples where forms of which were not a good store of value ended in economic disaster.
Friday, December 10, 2010
Will Aussie Dollar Overtake U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Bari_Baig
Green back was not strong nor weak it was neutral at best with mild bias towards the red territory a perfect example of undergoing consolidation. However, the U.S Dollar really was materially weak against the Aussie Dollar as the data out from Canberra of employment beat not just the streets estimates but also beat previous induction of “full time” workers. The employment rose by 54,600 for the month of November for full time workers. Australia has the highest interest rates of all the developed nations and keeping in view such high employability the already tight monetary policy would certainly have to be tightened even further.
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Thursday, December 09, 2010
Why the Eurozone and the Euro Will Not Collapse, But Will Change / Currencies / Euro-Zone
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
There appears to be just over one week left for the Eurozone Finance Ministers to resolve the Eurozone debt crisis or face a collapse of confidence in it and the euro. This need not lead to a collapse of the two though. In perhaps an underestimated situation, the discord among the members of the "Europe United" bloc, the seeming inability to permanently resolve the crisis is well on the way to that end.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
U.S. Dollar and Euro, Two Flawed Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: John_Browne
Despite America's economic problems, the US dollar has maintained its respected status the world over - and has even managed to maintain value in comparison to other currencies. It appears that the dollar will likely finish 2010 at the same levels that it started. Even today's announcement of more tax cuts and stimulus, which will guarantee widening federal deficits for years to come, could not put a dent in the dollar. The dollar's charmed life stands in strong contrast to the euro, which is currently suffering from its internal flaws and the Europeans' unfortunate recognition of reality.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
What Happens When Currencies Go Bust? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Richard_Daughty
I was telling the doctor that I distinctly heard a popping sound inside my head when I saw that the foul Federal Reserve had created, last week alone, another $24.2 billion in Fed Credit, which was instantly turned into money when the Fed bought $24.2 billion of US government securities, and all in One Freaking Week (OFW)! It made a kind of "sizzling" sound.
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
EUR/USD Targets 1.25 / Currencies / Euro
By: Bari_Baig
Last week on Dec 2nd after the ECB’s press conference Euro found additional strength on news that three months were being extended in the QEI program and by Friday’s close Euro had traded upward to 1.343s. Euro then rallied from 1.298s to 1.343s which is 5 Big figures and we had termed the move a bounce even before it took place as we wrote in our article [The Good Days [Euro] dated Dec 1st on www.marketprojection.net and [Euro, USD, Gold, and Stock Index Analysis] on Dec 1st on www.marketoracle.co.uk that “Edited note “summary”: coming two days would be good for Euro and we are “Bulls” as we find Euro extremely over sold at this point however, after 2 days the downside opens up even more and we’d therefore sell on strength” regardless of what we had anticipated we are willing to give all this credit to Mr. Trichet. Why? Because the only obvious effect of Mr. Trichet’s statement was on Euro and it too was further aided by weak employment data from the U.S on Friday which resulted in U.S Dollar falling fast.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
Recovery in USD/CHF at Key Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
After reaching a high for the year in May USD/CHF slipped steadily back, piercing the major 2008 low in Oct. Subsequent recovery has been relatively modest so far, and key resistance is currently holding the bulls back.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
Collapse of the Debt Dollar Discipline: Financial Discipline & Punish / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ashvin_Pandurangi
*The following is Part I in a two part series of articles on the relatively rapid emergence and collapse of the "debt-dollar discipline" imposed on our global society. It is being done in two installments mainly due to my current time constraints, but also for the sake of shorter length and targeted focus. This part will introduce Michel Foucault's (renowned french philosopher, 1926-1984) analysis of "discipline" and "punish" in the modern state, and apply it to the global debt-dollar reserve system. The next part will focus entirely on the ongoing collapse of this disciplinary system, as it such an important and far-reaching topic.
Friday, December 03, 2010
Is Euro really that Strong or it’s just a Bounce? / Currencies / Euro
By: Bari_Baig
Okay, let’s be fair, past two days have been wondrous for Euro without a doubt! It is difficult to understand how quickly war wounds are forgotten when the going gets “simple” and [apparently] things are going smooth, word of focus is “apparently”. Euro Bulls are cheering and well they have all the right to do so but should we also cheer with them? To an extent, yes as we wrote in our article [Euro, USD, Gold and Stock Index Analysis] dated Dec 1st on www.marketprojection.net that “We say [Go Bulls] for 2 days” and we further went on to define the move that Euro would take in coming two days with the top side at 1.337s as the Single European currency seemed too oversold to us.
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Thursday, December 02, 2010
ECB Will Do Whatever it Takes to Save the Euro / Currencies / Euro
By: Axel_Merk
The one thing worse than a fire in a building is a fire in a building when emergency exits are bolted shut: a panic in the market is exacerbated when liquidity dries up. It appears the European Central Bank (ECB) embraces this view: in today's press conference by ECB head Trichet, he re-iterated a number of times that non-standard measures are there to permit appropriate transmission of standard measures. In plain English, this means that whatever emergency support is given to the market is a) temporary in nature and b) designed to allow monetary policy and thus economies to function.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
China and Russia Trade Agreement: More than Meets the Eye / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Direct trade between China and Russia may be less than $50 billion annually, but it's not the numbers that matter. Under the new agreement, China and Russia have decided that they will use their own local currencies to settle bilateral trade. Previously, both countries used the United States dollar as an intermediary for settling delivery payments.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Fiat Currencies Versus Gold: Will China and Russia Quit using the US Dollar? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Bob_Chapman
The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet grew a 4th straight week to $2,328 trillion, up $31 billion in a week. In May the balance sheet was $2,333 trillion.
Holdings of government securities totaled $901.24 billion, and rose $27.62 billion. Mortgage holdings were unchanged and Agency holdings fell slightly.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
U.S. Dollar USD Index Deja-Vu from 52 Weeks Ago? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ashraf_Laidi
US dollar stabilizes up as US bond yields push higher following the 93K increase in Nov ADP (highest since Nov 2007) and the October revision to +82K from +43K. US 10 year yields jump to 2.91% from 2.79% earlier, further boosting the "good-data-is positive-for-USD" reaction, which was not always apparent. Although the euro is holding firm, general FX dynamics are increasingly similar to exactly a year ago when USD strengthened in early December 2009 on a combination of strong US Nov jobs report (released on December 4, 2009 at -11k vs expectations of -130K) and the triple downgrades of Greece later in the month (Fitch, S&P and Moodys). Are we witnessing a Déjà vu from exactly 52 weeks ago? Such would be the case in the event of double positive surprise (strong NFP, falling unemployment rate) and possibly upside revisions.
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
U.S. Dollar's Rally From the End of Inverted Parabolic Formation is Bearish for Gold and Silver / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Really need to start drinking more coffee, perhaps. Must have fallen asleep and missed the demise of the U.S. dollar. For when we looked this morning, it was still there trading away. Something must have happened while we were nodding off.
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Could Gold Replace the Euro? / Currencies / Euro
By: Bari_Baig
The pace at which things are changing in this ever changing world is very interesting. Less than two weeks ago Irish government was reluctant to admit to a problem with the Irish Banking system. Outcome; Mr. Cowen panicked he did not just agree to the bailout package but to keep the fragile coalition in place he announced re-elections in January. Everyone touts about being democratic however, coalition governments seldom work [well] even when all seems to be going fine whereas Mr. Cowen has work cut out for him as he’s frantically juggling to keep things in place most importantly the Budget.
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Why I Still Like the U.S. Dollar in a Crisis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: DailyWealth
Jeff Clark writes: "Where the heck is our emergency cash?" I asked, looking squarely at my wife...
The mountain of $20 bills I stashed away last year was now nothing more than a mole-hill.
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Four Ways to Monitor the U.S. Dollar and Risk Trade / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Chris_Ciovacco
With European debt markets getting little relief thus far from the Ireland bailout, we need to keep a continued eye on the U.S. dollar. A weaker U.S. dollar tends to provide tailwinds for stocks, commodities, gold, and silver. Therefore, a longer-than-expected rally in the greenback may provide headwinds for these assets, with gold being the possible exception in the near-term.