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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

Bitcoin Price On The Brink of a Possible Reversal / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: we don't support any short-term position in the Bitcoin market at the moment.

Yesterday, Bitcoin crashed temporarily on BTC-e. We described this in our last alert:

(...) earlier today we saw a massive sell-off which brought the price of Bitcoin down from around $460 to $309 (!) in a matter of minutes. The currency erased most of the losses in the subsequent quarter of an hour and has stabilized around $440 since then.

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Currencies

Monday, August 18, 2014

Intervention and The Misery of Fiat Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“This is a very important lesson. You must never confuse faith that you will prevail in the end - which you can never afford to lose - with the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be.”
-U.S. Naval pilot and prisoner of war, James Stockton

Black swans have taken flight. World war is imminent as one new geopolitical flash point develops each week. Slowly, the underlying struggles are fomented by the greatest monetary intervention the world has ever seen.

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Currencies

Monday, August 18, 2014

No Escape from The Dollar as The Currency Standard / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Alasdair_Macleod

All commodities and near-commodities are priced internationally in dollars, and the dollar is used for over 80% of cross-border trade settlements. Consequently the dollar is the base currency for all countries' foreign reserves, giving it its reserve status. However, there are now challenges to the dollar's hegemony, with Russia, China as well as the other members, dialog-partners and associates of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), taking deliberate steps towards doing away with the dollar entirely for pan-Asian trade. Recent developments setting up a rival to the IMF by the BRICS nations is part of this challenge.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 14, 2014

Putin And The Petrodollar Card Castle / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Andrew_McKillop

The End of The Petrodollar
Googling my name and petrodollars may be useful – the petrodollar paradigm has been alive, but never well since the early 1970s quick-fix of Nixon and Kissinger to cut US trade and budget deficits, bolster the US dollar, and stroke Saudi royal fur in the right direction. The Nixon-Kissinger quick fix was to use the “windfall gains” of Arab Gulf oil producers, and especially Saudi Arabia to enable their early form of quantitative easing.

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Currencies

Monday, August 11, 2014

Monetary Versus Political Stability - When Day Turns into Night / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Wherever plunder is less burdensome than labor, it prevails; and neither religion nor morality can, in this case, prevent it from prevailing. - From Bastiat's "The Law"

Representing all things big, institutional investors believe there is no inflation.

The market "behaves" as if there is none. This undercuts value at risk.
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Currencies

Monday, August 11, 2014

AUDUSD Setting Up For Big Reversal / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Austin_Galt

The AUDUSD has lost a couple of cents over the last few weeks. So is this the beginning of the next leg down? I doubt it. On the contrary, I believe a big reversal higher is just around the corner. Let’s investigate.

First, let’s refresh ourselves of the big picture to help put it all in perspective.
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Currencies

Saturday, August 09, 2014

EURUSD Time For A Bear Rally / Currencies / Euro

By: Austin_Galt

Recently I've been a bit out of whack on this pair, the EURUSD. I feel confident in the longer term projections. It's the daily machinations that I'm still trying to get in-synch with. Sometimes you just need to step back and let the market do its thing, not forcing the issue. And then out of the blue, that desired clarity appears. And that just may be happening now.

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Currencies

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Bitcoin Price at Beginning of a Move up? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In not too many words: we support long speculative positions in the market, stop-loss at $550, take-profit at $880.

Coinbase, a San Francisco based Bitcoin exchange, announced yesterday that the Wikipedia Foundation had received over $140,ooo in Bitcoin donations during the first week this option was available to donors:

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Currencies

Friday, August 08, 2014

Forex Dark Clouds Hang Over AUD/USD / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

The Australian dollar declined to a two-month low against its U.S. counterpart after official data showed that the number of employed people in Australia fell by 300 in the previous month, missing expectations for an increase of 12,000. Additionally, Australia's unemployment rate rose to 6.4% last month, from 6.0% in June. Later in the day, AUD/USD extended losses after the Labor Department said in its report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending Aug. 2 fell by 14,000, beating analysts’ expectations for a 2,000 increase. Because of these numbers, the pair declined to the long-term support line. Will it be strong enough to stop currency bears’ charge?

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Currencies

Thursday, August 07, 2014

U.S. Dollar Index Looks For Correction Within The Uptrend / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

The US Dollar Index found 81.70 which has been expected as the rally from around 79.90 has unfolded in five waves. We know that after every five waves trend will reverse, either into a new trend or just into a correction. In our case we believe that market is now falling in another fourth wave, but of a higher degree that may find a base around 81.20, but after a three wave fall.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 06, 2014

Bitcoin Price Strong Move Possible / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: we still support long speculative positions, stop-loss at $550, take-profit at $880.

The Bitcoin market is changing every day. We’ve read an article on CoinDesk about yet another exchange expanding its services to offer Bitcoin derivatives. OKCoin, a Chinese exchange, made an announcement today on the subject:

Chinese exchange OKCoin announced today it will add futures trading to its platform, saying it is one of the first major exchanges in the world to offer users the chance to trade futures denominated in bitcoin.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 05, 2014

Commodity Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ed_Carlson

Keeping an eye on the currencies of big commodity producing nations not only provides us insight into demand for commodities but the health of emerging markets as well.

Canadian Dollar (CAD) was turned back at the 38.2% retracement of the 2012 decline (part of the 2011 bear market). With the break of the bear flag last week it appears the bear market rally is over.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 05, 2014

British Pound GBP/USD Impulse Wave Weakness / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBPUSD accelerated down to 1.6800 at the end of last week, so we suspect that pair is falling within an extended impulse. Ideally price is now recovering in wave (iv) that is part of an extended and ongoing wave 3 that may reach levels around 1.6700 by the end of the week. Only rally back above 1.6955 will invalidate the current count; so until then trend is down.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 05, 2014

EUR/USD - Time for Rebound? / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Friday, the common currency rebounded sharply after disappointing U.S. employment data, which showed that the U.S. economy added 209,000 jobs in July, missing expectations for an increase of 233,000. As a result, EUR/USD erased over 20% of recent declines and came back above 1.3400. Will currency bulls manage to push the pair higher?

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Currencies

Saturday, August 02, 2014

Significant Day in the Bitcoin Market / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: we still support long speculative positions, stop-loss at $550.

We read a piece on Businessweek on the Bitcoin Foundation’s recent foray into politics:

The Bitcoin Foundation’s executive director, Jon Matonis, travels the world to promote the virtual currency as a replacement for traditional money. Some of his members want him to focus on a less lofty goal: helping them make lots of old-fashioned cash.

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Currencies

Friday, August 01, 2014

USD Topping Out – Nikkei Weekly Pin Bar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Forex Kong writes: The other day’s 100 pip ramp up in USD/JPY has stuck – so far.

Sitting up here at the top end of the range it’s obvious that The BOJ did everything it could “pre U.S GDP debacle” to keep the status quo and defend the line at 101.20.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 31, 2014

The Cleanest Dirty Shirt / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

All modern currencies are fiat. The numeraire of the moment floats in a cesspool of policy designed for management and intervention.

Money and value become hollowed out concepts.

The eventual return to a sound relationship between human productivity and the value of money will be unloved, to say the least.
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Currencies

Thursday, July 31, 2014

USDJPY Big Bear Market / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Austin_Galt

The USDJPY has jumped higher recently so I decided to investigate and the findings are quite interesting. An opportunity may well be approaching. Let's take a look at the charts to find out more about it.

First, let's begin by looking at the big picture. The yearly chart no less.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

AUD-NZD Pullback Opportunity / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Austin_Galt

Well, the AUDNZD absolutely exploded out of that false break low pattern identified a few weeks ago. I was hoping to add more long positions at the start of last week but wasn't nimble enough. I may just get another opportunity shortly albeit at higher prices but sometimes you just gotta roll with the punches. The market is the big boss and I am but its mere minion. Let's take a look at what's currently being offered up with the daily chart.

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Currencies

Monday, July 28, 2014

AUD-JPY - Watching Commodity Currencies – What Can Be Learned / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

ForexKong: It’s pretty common knowledge that the currencies of countries with “commodity related economies” such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada are seen as the “darlings of the currency markets” during times when investors feel safe.

Simply put, large institutional investors are able to borrow money such as U.S Dollars or Japanese Yen at extremely low rates of interest, then use these funds to invest in currencies / countries where higher yields and greater opportunities can be found. Australia with its mining / gold related businesses, as well Canada with its oil as a couple of good examples.

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