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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Gold Long-Term Trend Is Bullish Despite Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

Gold rallied $26.50/oz. last week closing at 1,252.70 and above the 200-dma. Gold is finding resistance from the December trendline and the detrended oscillator is overbought warning of a pullback. Gold priced in Euros (lower) isn’t very bullish on gold’s prospects either. Cycles have us looking for a decline into mid-May and possibly as early as last week.

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Politics

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Manchester Bombing - ISIS Islamic Terrorist Attack Attempt to Influence BrExit Election / Politics / ISIS Islamic State

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The people of Britain are waking up to a terrorist bomb attack on young people attending an Ariana Grande concert at the Manchester Arena at 10.33pm killing 22 people, including children and injuring 59, Britain's worst terror attack since the London 7/7 bombings nearly 12 years ago. A suspected suicide bomber detonated a device at 10.33pm last night in the foyer as concert goers were leaving. The response of politicians has been to suspend election campaigning for at least 24 hours.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 22, 2017

Stock Markets Should Fear Central Banks More Than Trump / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Michael_Pento

Trump’s economic agenda has become further delayed by what seems like daily leaks from the White House. This may finally bring about the long-awaited equity market pullback of at least 5 percent. However, what will prove to be far more troubling than Trump’s ongoing feuds with the DOJ and the press, is the upcoming market collapse due to the removal of the bids from global central banks.

The markets have been feeding off artificial interest rates from our Federal Reserve and that of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan for years. In addition, the global economy has been stimulated further by a tremendous amount of new debt generated from China that was underwritten by the PBOC. After it reached the saturation point of empty cities, China is now building out its “Belt and Road Initiative” that could add trillions of dollars to the debt-fueled stimulus scheme that has been spewed out over the world-wide economy.

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Commodities

Monday, May 22, 2017

What an America First Trade Policy Could Mean for the US Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

JACOB L. SHAPIRO : It was only a few months ago that OPEC, once the de facto arbiter of oil markets, seemed to have a plan to inflate the price of oil: The cartel, along with several non-OPEC members, agreed in December to cut production by roughly 1.2 million barrels per day.

And for the first quarter of 2017, OPEC largely made good on its pledge. It produced 1.1 million fewer barrels of oil per day in the first quarter of 2017 than it did in the final quarter of 2016. Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s largest producer, accounted for 55% of the cuts.

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Commodities

Monday, May 22, 2017

James Rickards: Gold’s “Decisive Turn Around” – “Next Stop Is $1,300 Or Higher” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

James Rickards via Daily Reckoning

But the most important development this week may be the one you never heard about on the news or the internet.

On May 10, gold launched a decisive turnaround from its most recent decline.

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Currencies

Monday, May 22, 2017

US Dollar 3 Year Cycle Low Charts / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Savage

The dollar is now 4 days into its final bloodbath phase. This phase usually lasts 5-7 days. We should get a bottom this week.

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Housing-Market

Monday, May 22, 2017

Buy-to-Let Mortgages for Limited Companies Double / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The Buy-to-Let (BTL) market has faced extra scrutiny recently as landlords have been hit by several BTL tax changes in recent years. As tax reliefs are being cut, landlords are looking at their options, with many considering incorporation. Luckily for them, research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the proportion of BTL deals available to limited companies has doubled in just one year.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 22, 2017

Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs - Topping Pattern Or Just Pause? 22nd May / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Commodities

Monday, May 22, 2017

Gold and Sillver Markets - Silver Price Sharp Selloff - 22nd May / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the precious metals market, noting a price bounce off positive divergence

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Currencies

Monday, May 22, 2017

An Ethereum Price Forecast For 2017 / Currencies / BlockChain

By: InvestingHaven

The price of cryptocurrency Ethereum in 2017 is going through the roof, similar to the price of Bitcoin and several other cryptocurrencies. Our Ethereum price forecast for 2017 and later is very bullish.

Interestingly, there are no Ethereum price forecasts available on the web. So we are among the first ones to forecast the Ethereum price for 2017 and later. There is even no Ethereum price forecast on the official Ethereum site ethereum.org.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 22, 2017

Stock Market Volatile C-Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend:  The correction from 2400 on 3/08 continues, with the B-wave now in place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 22, 2017

Stock Market Trend Forecast and Fear Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The broad US stock market last week took a tumble sending a massive wave of fear through investors’ minds. On Wednesday May 17th the S&P 500 index plummeted 1.7% causing the fear index to jump a whopping 48% in a single session.

What does this mean and what should we expect going forward? I don’t see the recent drop as being anything to worry about at this point. It’s important to remember that some of that larges drops in stocks happen during a bull market (rising trend). In fact, these stand out sharp drops on the charts are nothing more than the market trying to buck investors out of the bull market (scare them out) before it continues higher.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 21, 2017

THREE Charts That Tell Us the Next Financial Crisis is Closer Than Most Think / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The election night bull market trendline is about to break. The only reason stocks have held up is hype and hope for Trump’s economic agenda. With the entire MSM, establishment shills, and deep state operatives trying to derail this, the market is about to lose this prop.

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Currencies

Sunday, May 21, 2017

US Dollar Cycle : Deep Dive / Currencies / US Dollar

By: SurfCity

I thought I would start off this weekend by recapping one of the most important aspects of Walter Bressert’s Cycle Theory. Very simply put, it is that Longer Cycles almost always dominate the shorter Cycles. This is Huge because if you understand where you are in the Longer Cycles, trading the shorter ones becomes much easier.

Is the USD really topping here? This is an extremely importing Cycle call here because if it is, Gold and the broader Commodity Complex may well be ready to become much more bullish going forward. There is no doubt that the USD has been very bullish since 2014 but this post and related charts will provide you with why a trend change maybe upon us.

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Currencies

Sunday, May 21, 2017

Euro Remains Bullish Above 1.11 / Currencies / Euro

By: Richard_Cox

The EUR/USD experienced major upside moves last week with prices moving forcefully ahead of the psychological mark at 1.10. The moves are significant because the suggest that we are now seeing an end to the previous downtrend that had been in place since June 2016. 

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 21, 2017

Stocks Bull Market and Donald Trump's Death Knell / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Clif_Droke

In the minds of many investors, the election victory of Donald J. Trump to the United States Presidency was nothing short of a miracle.  Following his shocking victory, expectations were high that Trump would, with the help of Congress, fulfill his promises of tax reform and infrastructure spending.  The lifting of the heavy penalties associated with Obamacare was another hope that investors cherished.  Many hailed his victory by declaring that it was “morning in America” again.  But after only six months since the election, Trump's presidency has hit a potentially fatal obstacle and he now faces the growing possibility of impeachment. 

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Currencies

Sunday, May 21, 2017

Bitcoin Breaks the $2,000 Mark as Cryptocurrencies Continue to Explode Higher / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Bitcoin has just broken through the $2,000 level according to the CoinDesk Price Index.

The last time it traded below $1,000 was on March 26th, meaning it has doubled in the last two months. And the last time it traded below $500 was less than a year ago, on May 26th, 2016, meaning it has quadrupled in the last year.

Of course, we’ve been talking about it since it was $3 in 2011.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 21, 2017

Stocks, Commodities and Gold Multi-Market Status / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

It has now been exactly 10 months since we established 2410 as the measured objective for the S&P 500. In forming a potential double top this week at 2405.77 I’d say we are close enough to call the target in (as we did in February when the first top was made on what we called “peak Trump” day, post-congressional address).

Now, a target is not a stop sign; in this case it was a long-term objective based on a chart pattern, period. It could make me look like the genius I certainly am not, or it could just pause at the target on its way to further upside mania and a potential market blow off. Don’t let ’em baffle you with bullshit, nobody knows which of those, or whatever else may be in store.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 21, 2017

Stock Market Day Trading Strategies and Brief 20th May 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Christopher_Quigley

Technically Speaking

1.         Technical Summary:

Short Term Trend:                            Consolidating.

Medium Term Trend:                      Bullish.

Long Term Trend:                            Bullish.

28 Day Stochastics:                         Overbought.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 20, 2017

DOW Needs to Rally Big or Correction is Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2391. The market rose on Monday, hit an all-time high on Tuesday at SPX 2406, then started to pullback. On Wednesday the market had a gap down opening, hit SPX 2353 on Thursday, then rallied to end the week at 2382. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.60%. Economic reports were mostly positive. On the downtick: the NY FED, housing starts, building permits, and the WLEI. On the uptick: the Philly FED, the NAHB, industrial production, capacity utilization, leading indicators, the Q2 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by: Q1 GDP, durable goods, FOMC minutes, and housing.

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