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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Share Buybacks: Destructive Innovation That's Keeping Stock Market Bull Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A man sits as many risks as he runs." ~ Henry David Thoreau

Robin Hood robbed the Rich to help the poor; in the modern day version the Rich rob both Robin Hood and the poor to become even richer. The rich in this case are the greedy corporations and the officers that run the show behind the scenes. In this lazy world, the only thing that matters is money and how to make as much of it as fast as possible. Hence, the best way to boost earnings without doing anything is to buy back boatloads of shares and in doing so artificially boost earnings. It is a perfect scam.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Stock Market Uptrend Reversal Or Just Downward Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Housing-Market

Thursday, March 24, 2016

BBA statistics show that UK mortgage borrowing is 33% higher than a year ago / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Charlotte Nelson, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, comments: “Mortgage borrowing has shown yet another year-on-year rise, which is unsurprising considering that rates in the mortgage market are still falling to new all-time lows. For example, the average two-year fixed mortgage rate has decreased from 3.06% to 2.56% in just 12 months, while the average five-year fixed rate has dropped from 3.60% to 3.20% over the same period.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase.

U.S. oil production has steadily lost ground over the past two quarters, with production falling more than a half million barrels per day since hitting a peak at nearly 9.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in April 2015. American oil companies have gutted their budgets and have put off drilling plans, with many projecting absolute declines in 2016.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

GLX, GLDX, Baby Gold Bull Market Stillborn? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today felt like a short covering rally during the bear market years in the PM complex only in reverse. Days like today can make one think that the rally over the last two months is all she wrote for the new bull market.. Did the baby bull die at birth ? Maybe , but I’ll need to see more proof that the bear market for the precious metals stocks, that ended on January 19th of this year is back.

During a bull market it’s nice to see new highs being made even if it’s for the short to intermediate term time frame. Then to confirm a new uptrend we need to see higher highs and higher lows being made. Since the January 19th low we’ve seen the PM stock indexes making higher highs but we’ve not seen a higher low put in yet because the rally has been so strong. Tonight I would like to show you the new bull market for the GLDX, global explores, using horizontal support and resistance lines. You can apply the same principal to the other precious metals stock indexes like the HUI or the GDX.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Stock Market Unwinding...Market Environment... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market finally fell a little bit today. Are the bulls ok? I want to be sure you're handling it well. I wouldn't want any of you to feel someone is messing with you. I know it seems inappropriate for a down day, but it does happen every once in a while. Sometimes it's actually even a good thing. It helps to work off overbought conditions. I know it doesn't feel good, but that's the way it is. A day off from upside happens. Today was that minor down day and it did its job for the short term. A lot of solid unwinding for the short-term sixty-minute charts. The stochastic's, MACD, and RSI all having a nice move lower to allow the charts to reset themselves. The only problem the bulls will be facing will be yet another negative divergence will form on the next attempt higher since the MACD and other oscillators did impulse lower yet again on the selling.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

A Love Affair: India and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

India has had a long-standing love affair with gold. At Indian weddings, some of the brides get so much gold jewellery that it weighs them down. There are upwards of 15 million weddings every year in India. According to the World Gold Council, upwards of 50% of Indian demand for gold is destined for weddings. Gold is ingrained in the culture and a part of their belief system. Not only is it integral to weddings, gifts of gold are common for anniversaries, birthdays and religious festivals. Gold jewellery is not regarded solely as adornment. It is a store of wealth. At one time it was widely accepted that women could not own anything except for their gold jewellery. That custom still prevails outside the major cities. Gold has spanned centuries and millennia in India.

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Politics

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Brussels Terror Attacks, Death of the European Union, BrExit Wake up Call / Politics / European Union

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Syrian civil war is coming home to roost to a fatally flawed European Union for the fundamental fact every EU nations borders begin with the borderline third world state of Greece, which along with the rest of eastern europe should never have been allowed to join the European Union as this weeks Brussels terror attacks just represent the tip of the ice-berg of full spectrum instability that is the European Union.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

The Next Financial Crisis Will Be THE Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For six years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis

All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. If the below chart was a problem BEFORE 2008… there is no way that things are better now. After all, we’ve just added another $20 trillion in debt to the US system.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

The ONLY Buyer of Stocks Just Stopped Buying… Buckle Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The rally of the last month has many scratching their heads.

That is, until you realize:

  • Most of it was driven by “short-covering.”
  • The primary buyers of stocks today are corporations buying back their stock to juice EPS, not actual investors.
  • Actual investors have been selling the farm.
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Economics

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Fed's Bullard: We Are Overshooting on Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Bloomberg

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard spoke with Michael McKee and Tom Keene on Bloomberg TV and Bloomberg Radio this morning. He discussed Fed policy, the U.S. economy global inflation, and moving toward a more normal nominal interest rate structure.

Bullard said policy makers should consider raising interest rates at their next meeting: "You get another strong jobs report, it looks like labor markets are improving, you could probably make a case for moving in April."

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Bullard Gives Stocks Bears a Boost / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This is a close approximation of the trendlines that SPX is dealing with.  Fortunately, SPX has made a declining impulse (5 waves) to the 4.3-year trendline.  It is now in a bounce that may take it back to yesterday’s close or the shorter-term trendline, depending on how long it takes.

Confidence in the reversal rises once the retracement is complete, preferably beneath the short-term trendline. 

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Two Short-Term Forex Market Trading Strategies That Can Make You Money / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

There is much debate amongst experts about whether a buy-and-hold strategy or active short-term trading will earn you higher returns in the long run. There are numerous stories about people successfully turning a few thousand dollars into over a million dollars, by sitting at home in front of their computers and actively trading the market every day. On the other hand, many financial experts believe that buy-and-hold is the way to go as the majority of actively managed funds do not outperform their benchmark indices.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Federal Reserve's Policy Forecasts Two Down - Two to Go / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

The Federal Reserve's years-long campaign to sheepishly back away from its own policy forecasts continued in earnest last week when it officially reduced the four expected 2016 quarter point hikes, suggested back in December, to just two. Given the deteriorating economic outlook, I believe there can be little doubt that the Fed will soon complete the capitulation process and remove all expectations for additional hikes this year. Even before that happens, savvy observers should have already concluded that the Federal Reserve is stuck in the monetary mud just as firmly now as it has been since the dawn of the financial crisis back in 2008.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

The Greatest Stock Market Crash Of Your Life Is Just Ahead… – Warns Harry Dent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: GoldCore

Harry Dent, best-selling author and economist, has warned that the stock bubble in the U.S. today is the biggest in history and that the “greatest crash of your life is just ahead…”

Writing on his website EconomyandMarkets.com, Dent warned that

The story on Wall Street and CNBC continues to be that we’re in a correction and this is a buying opportunity. Even Warren Buffett joins the chorus of stock market cheerleaders for the skeptical public. Well, I agree with the skeptical public, not the experts here!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Stock Market Trendlines May be Crossed Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket attempted to stay above the trendline in overnight action. However, it has lost upward momentum without making a new high and is threatening to cross beneath the short-term rally trendline.

The larger 4.3-year trendline is still the most important, so a decline below 2040.00 may indicate that the longer trendline is also being taken out.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

GBP/USD - Currency Bears in Charge / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, official data showed that the U.K. rate of consumer price inflation increased by 0.3% in Feb, missing analysts' forecasts. Additionally, although month-over-month consumer prices rose by 0.2% in the previous month, the data disappointed market participants, which pushed GBP/USD under 1.4300. How low could the pair go in the coming days?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda: Deranged Lab Rats / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: James_Quinn

The stock market has regained all of its loses year to date as economic indicators continue to flash red, corporate profits continue to plunge, consumers continue to spend less at retailers, real wages continue to fall, and housing sales continue to decline. The entire dead cat bounce has been generated through corporate stock buybacks, Wall Street lemmings trying to make up for their terrible year to date investing performance, and central bankers who will stop at nothing to verbally manipulate markets higher - since their monetary machinations over the last seven years have been a miserable failure in reviving the real economy.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Brexit Defiance of the EU / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: BATR

The UK media is out in force to scare Brits from voting to leave the European Union. Thursday June 23: Date of the in/out referendum is set for the vote. Just the notion that an actual plebiscite will take place on such an important issue, is encouraging. Proponents of exiting the EU are natural allies in the struggle to promote national populism. The long and distinguished history of England has an opportunity to show the world that the voice of the people can register a resounding repudiation against the technocrats of an unelected European Union.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

UK House Asking Prices Break Above £300k! Housing Market Paralysis / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Apparently according Rightmove average UK house asking prices (for England & Wales) have now breached the £300k price level for the first time ever, currently standing at £303,190 against Februarys 299,287. And for comparison the previous bull market peak was £236k, whilst asking prices bottomed out in 2009 at £215k and where most of the surge higher has come during the past 3 years, a rise of 24%.

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