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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Subprime Auto Loans: the Next Financial Crisis Shoe to Drop? / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

Booming auto sales have more to do with low rates and easy financing than they do with the urge to buy a new vehicle.  In the last few years, car buyers have borrowed nearly $1 trillion to finance new and used autos.  Unfortunately, much of that money was lent to borrowers who have less-than-perfect credit and who might not be able to repay the debt. Recently there has been a surge in delinquencies among subprime borrowers whose loans were packaged into bonds and sold to investors. The situation is similar to the trouble that preceded the Crash of 2008 when prices on subprime mortgage-backed securities (MBS) suddenly collapsed sending the global financial system off a cliff.  No one expects that to happen with auto bonds, but story does help to illustrate that the regulatory problems still haven’t been fixed.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

U.S. Monetary Policy Kaleidoscopic Context / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Mike_Shedlock

Dennis Lockhart, Atlanta Fed president, made a speech today trumping up the possibility rate hikes as soon as April.

In his speech, Lockhart cited "sufficient momentum evidenced by the economic data to justify a further step at one of the coming meetings, possibly as early as the meeting scheduled for end of April."

Let's dive into his speech and also put a spotlight on his claim of "sufficient momentum."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Stock Market Drilling down to see what's going on / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Sometimes it helps to “drill down” to a smaller scale to see if we may make some sense out of where this rally may be leading us. The first thing to check is the Wave relationships. Wave A = Wave C at 2027.60. At this point, Wave C is 121% the size of A.

We drill down a little further and find that Wave [iii] is 107% the size of Wave [i]. Wave [iii] times 1.07 equals a target of 2052.18 for Wave [v]. That is why it is easy to mistake Wave b of (iv), which happened near yesterday’s close, as the probable top. It wasn’t, but now we appear to be getting closer in our calculation of the size of this rally. Let’s go a step further.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Is This The End for Crude Oil? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

"The end is never as satisfying as the journey. To have achieved everything but to have done so without integrity and excitement is to have achieved nothing." ~ Anonymous

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Bitcoin Trading Alert: $400 Level Becoming More Important / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: short speculative positions, target at $153, stop-loss at $515

It has been known for some time that Bitcoin transactions are not really anonymous. Now, a company focused on Blockchain surveillance has received significant venture capital funding, we read on The Telegraph website:

A British technology company that attempts to fight crime by spotting suspicious Bitcoin deals has raised $5m (£3.5m) as banks and regulators begin to take the blockchain technology that backs up the virtual currency seriously.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Brussels Attacks Tear at the Fabric of the European Union / Politics / European Union

By: STRATFOR

The March 22 terrorist attacks in Brussels come as the European Union is still reeling from the November Paris attacks and scrambling to solve the migrant crisis. More important, they come as nationalist forces are challenging key principles of the Continental bloc, including the free movement of labor and the Schengen Agreement, which eliminated border controls among several member states. The atmosphere of fear and suspicion that is sure to follow will only worsen these social, political and economic crises.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Stock Market 4.3-year Trendline is at SP 2040 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This morning’s trendline shown on the Premarket report missed an important detail that I though should be filled it. The 4.3-year trendline is at 2040.00 as well.

It is possible that the panic decline starts beneath that level, so it follows that aggressive short positions may be taken there.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

The Financial Crisis Has Just Begun; Is The American Dream Is Over? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Global Central Banks have run out of ‘ammunition’. Since March 2008, Central Banks have cut interest rates 637 times and have purchased a staggering $12.3 trillion dollars’ worth of assets. There is not much more that they can do, and currently, the next ‘great crisis’ is upon us.

The global economy and the global financial system will continue to weaken before our very own eyes.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

The Chinese Economic "Miracle" Evaporates / Economics / China Economy

By: Rodney_Johnson

There’s no doubt that the Chinese economic miracle is real. When you move 500 million people from rural to urban settings, taking them from small farms and putting them in a specialized labor force, the economic dividend is massive. That’s how you keep GDP growing more than 7% for 25 years. But along the way, they wanted more.

Beyond building factories and housing for new arrivals, local politicians started building massive, wasteful projects.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

A Big Reason Why Silver Price Is Set To Soar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

There is only so much value in the world economy, and it is split between all the different instruments (like gold, silver, stocks, bonds, commodities, etc.) where value resides.

For silver and gold to rise significantly, relative to other instruments of value, value will have to be diverted away from those other competing instruments. The stock market, in particular, has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up most of the available value on global markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Global Stocks Fall, Bonds and Gold Rise After Terrorist Attacks In Brussels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Safe haven assets, gold, silver and German bonds rose, while European stocks and global stock futures fell, after explosions rocked Brussels airport departure hall and a subway station near the EU parliament and other important EU institutions. At least 26 people are reported to have been killed after the explosions which the Belgian prosecutor has alleged are terrorist attacks.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Everything You Need To Know About Binary Options Trading Signals / InvestorEducation / Options & Warrants

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Binary options trading is highly popular at the moment and it is not at all difficult to understand why since the premise is incredibly simple and you can end up making a lot of money in a very low period of time. The problem is that most people end up not being properly informed. They end up using specific strategies that are way too advanced for the education they have. With binary options trading signals this is exactly what tends to happen.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Gold Holds on to Gains Despite Rollercoaster Ride on Rate Hike Rumors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Gold has an interesting relationship with the U.S Federal Reserve – we all know the Fed has huge gold reserves. However, the relationship between the Fed and gold extends beyond the huge stockpiles of gold that the Fed hoards. The fed often wields the power to determine the trading price of gold and you can record massive gains or huge losses on your gold investments depending on what the fed does at any point.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

BitGoldā€™s Secret: A Taxation Time Bomb / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Schiff

Gold is not only the world’s best performing asset so far in 2016, but it’s also off to its strongest annual start since 1980. A key difference is that 1980 was the end of a bull market, while this is the beginning of a new one. Actually, it’s the beginning of the second leg of a long-term bull market that began over 15 years ago, which I believe will be even more powerful than the first.

But today, I am warning potential gold buyers about another gold ripoff. 

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

UK Savings Interest Rate Landslide / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that rate reductions in the savings market have now outweighed rate rises for five consecutive months.

In February, Moneyfacts recorded just 12 savings rate rises. Disappointingly, rate reductions over the same period completely outshone this figure, with the number of rate decreases over the month standing at a staggering 235, with some deals falling by as much as 0.74%.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Expect the Unexpected! Don't Ever Underestimate What Central Bankers & Government Will Do / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

Falling Progits and Weakening Markets

The full report explores falling corporate profits, slowing cash-flow levels and weakening market breadth.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Greenspan Now Worried About Inflation, Says 'Entitlements Crowding Out Investment, Productivity is Dead' / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan spoke with Tom Keene and Mike McKee for Bloomberg TV & Radio. He discussed the ramifications of negative interest rates, entitlement spending, and declining productivity.

On the state of the U.S. and global economy, he said: "We're in trouble basically because productivity is dead in the water."

On whether he is optimistic going forward, Greenspan said: "No. I haven't been for quite a while. And I won't be until we can resolve the entitlement programs. Nobody wants to touch it. And that is gradually crowding out capital investment, and that's crowding out productivity, and it's crowding out the standards of living where do you want me to go from there."

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Economics

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Here We Go Again: U.S. Government Ramps Up Borrowing As Private Sector Slows / Economics / Government Spending

By: John_Rubino

This morning, US existing home sales plunged and the Chicago Fed’s national activity index turned negative. Both are obvious signs of a slowing economy.

Anticipating this kind of news, Credit Bubble Bulletin’s Doug Noland in his most recent column analyzed the Federal Reserve’s quarterly Z.1 Report for signs of changing financial trends, and found something potentially serious. The following three charts tell the tale:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Stock Market Refusing To Sell At Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market was overbought on many of the index charts going in to the weekend. One would expect the market to pull back from overbought, especially when the overbought conditions were on both the short-term, sixty-minute charts and the daily charts. When that happens it's usually a short-term top and down we go. Not today. The market is refusing to fall with any force. The bulls are back and back in full force, and dare I say, full froth. Markets are all about emotion as we all know by now. It's not about truth or reality. It's about the flavor of the day, regardless of what may be happening in the real world. The flavor of every day seems to be BUY!!! No matter what, BUY!!!!!

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Legoland, Alton Towers... Grown Ups Go FREE 2016, 2017 on Kellogg's, Crunchy Nut, Rice Krispies... / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: Anika_Walayat

The easter school holidays have just begun with parents seeking ways to keep their kids entertained during the 2 week holiday that will likely include a trip to a major UK theme park. We'll here is some great news, Kellogg's are running a promotion that allows entry into the UK's top theme parks until June 2017! So plenty of time to use the vouchers to gain entry into 14 UK theme parks that include Alton Towers, Legoland, Chessington, the Dungeon, Sea Life, Shreks Adventure and Madame Tussaud's.

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