Friday, August 16, 2019
When the US Bond Market Bubble Blows Up! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Gary_Tanashian
Amazing isn’t it? It was only back in H2 2018 when everybody but you (because you are as smart as I think you are or because you read NFTRH or nftrh.com) and me was unbelievably bearish about the TREASURY BOND BEAR MARKET!!!
Today… not so much. The herd is absolutely pile driving bonds right now.
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Friday, August 16, 2019
Dark days are closing in on Apple / Companies / Apple
By: Stephen_McBride
What’s the most successful product in history?
Chances are pretty good you’re holding one in your hand right now...
Apple (AAPL) has sold roughly a TRILLION dollars’ worth of iPhones since 2007.
If the iPhone were a company, it would rank #30 on the Fortune 500 list of the world’s biggest businesses.
Since the iPhone debuted in 2007, Apple’s sales have jumped 10X...
It became the first public company to ever achieve a trillion dollar valuation...
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Friday, August 16, 2019
Epstein Is Like JFK All Over Again / Politics / Conspiracy Theory
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It’s been a few days since I did anything but my news aggregator, and that’s not so strange, since so much of it ‘encircled’ Jeffrey Epstein. Now that he’s supposedly died, though we have no proof of that, from an ‘apparent suicide’, there are other topics as well that we can turn to.
But let’s start with Epstein just for good measure. We still don’t have an autopsy report, though New York City Chief Medical Examiner Barbara Sampson apparently performed one on Epstein on Sunday, which private pathologist Michael Baden “observed on behalf of Epstein’s representatives”.
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Friday, August 16, 2019
Precious Metals Gone Wild! Reaching Initial Targets – Now What’s Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We have heard from so many of our followers and members regarding our precious metals calls and research articles. Additionally, many of our members and followers have recently asked us about our August 19 breakdown prediction for the US/Global markets. In this research post, we’ll highlight some of our expectations for the precious metals and how that relates to the potential August 19 breakdown expectations.
October 5 ADL predictive modeling forecast chart
Our incredible October 5 ADL predictive modeling chart, below, highlights just how powerful some of our proprietary price modeling tools really are. Imagine having the ability to look 10+ months into the future to be able to attempt to understand exactly what price may attempt to do and to be able to plan and prepare for these moves well ahead of the “setup”. So far, our analysis of the precious metals has been spot on and we’ll continue to try to update our members and followers as this movement continues.
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
Is Widening Yield Curve Inversion Lifting Gold Prices Up? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The yield curve inversion just got more pronounced. Not only the spread between 10-year and 3-month Treasuries, now also the spread between 10-year and 2-year turned negative. That sends a warning signal about the state of the real economy. About a recession on the horizon. Some might argue that the yield curve’s predictive power has diminished with all the unorthodox monetary policies since the Great Recession. Yet, it’s a valid reason to worry – how does gold welcome this message?
Thursday, August 15, 2019
US Government Is Beholden To The Fed; And Vice-Versa / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Kelsey_Williams
We hear quite a bit today about the issue of Federal Reserve independence. The crux of the argument usually centers on monetary policy executed by the Fed versus opinions of politicians and others who want and expect something different, which they believe will provide more favorable results.
President Trump has been ardently vocal in demanding that the Fed be more aggressive in cutting interest rates. He also wants, and is encouraging, action that would result in a weaker US dollar. He believes that it would be good for American businesses. His reasoning is that a weaker US dollar would make American-made goods more competitive.
Whether or not the President is correct doesn’t matter for purposes of this article. What is important is that there is a wide difference of opinion between the Federal Reserve and its current policies (re: Jerome Powell) as compared to the wishes of the United States government (re: President Trump).
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
GBP vs USD Forex Pair Swings Into Focus Amid Brexit Chaos / Currencies / British Pound
By: Submissions
On July 16th Sterling hit its 2019 low of $1.24 against the US Dollar. It wasn’t the biggest surprise, as GBP has been bouncing around the $1.25-$1.26 mark for most of July, and, indeed, sits around that mark at the time of writing one week later.The drop in Sterling’s value prompted a bit of a reaction on social media, which soon snowballed into hysteria and misinformation. The latter came from a widely shared story on Twitter, which claimed that GBP had reached its lowest rate against USD since 1985. That was, in fact, incorrect, as the Pound was buying $1.22 in January 2017.
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
US Negative Interest Rates Go Mainstream - With Some Glaring Omissions / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates
By: Dan_Amerman
The discussion of negative interest rates in the United States has now officially gone mainstream, with the front page of the August 12, 2019 print edition of the Wall Street Journal carrying a prominent discussion of the possibility.
Most of the article consists of various institutional investors talking about why this could be a real possibility. However, as will be explored herein, there were three glaring omissions in the article.
1) What the real source of the negative interest rates would be.
2) The historically unprecedented profits that would be created by such a move.
3) Who those unprecedented profits would mostly go to (and it isn't to the average investor).
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
GOLD BULL RUN TREND ANALYSIS / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 2/2 of my Gold price forecast update Gold Price Breakout - Trend Forecast 2019 July Update.
So the gold price has broken out of it's long-term trading range of $1370 to $1150. Which means $1370 should now act as a floor under the Gold price, else it's back into the range for several more years! Next resistance is at just above $1500 and then $1800 which is my long-term target for the Gold price as of December 2016.
Therefore, as I stated in my May analysis, as the Gold price has now overcome resistance of $1350 to $1370 then the Gold price should be propelled higher towards a target of between $1500 to $1530.
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
US Stock Market Could Fall 12% to 25% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this last segment of our multi-part research post regarding the US Fed and the global central banks, it is becoming evident that the fear of a further market contraction is resulting in the decrease in rates and the push for additional QE functions. Our research has shown that the global economy has partially recovered from the 2008-09 credit market collapse, but the process of the recovery has resulted in a “blowout” type of event where shifting capital intents and the transition from the 19th century economic model towards a new 21st century economic model is setting up the global markets for a massive rotation event over the next 12 to 24 months – possibly longer.
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
A Level Exam Results School Live Reaction Shock 2019! / Personal_Finance / Education
By: Adnaan_Walayat
It's A Level results day today that sees over 200.000 students across England and Wales off to their local school and colleges to pick up their results, to see if they have met the conditions for their University offers or not. If not then it will spark a series of frantic calls to UCAS clearing in an attempt to get a place at likely a different University.
So we were off early to School to see what Adnaan got, will he get his predicted grades? Will he get enough to get into Warwick University? Or will the results turn out to be a shocker! Find out if it's a good or bad shock!
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
It's Time to Get Serious about Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
The World Silver Survey 2019 Review, the institute’s annual World Silver Survey said that global silver demand hit a three-year high in 2018, surpassing more than one billion ounces, an increase of 4% from 2017.
At the same time, global silver mine production fell for the third straight year, dropping 2% in 2018 to 855.7 million ounces.
The top 10 silver producing countries are: Peru, Bolivia, Australia, Argentina, Mexico, Chile, Poland, China, Russia and Guatemala.
And get this... in every one of these countries, silver production has been falling for the last 4 consecutive years!
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
The EagleFX Beginners Guide – Financial Markets / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
A financial market is a market where derivatives at low transaction costs, commodities, foreign exchange and financial securities (bonds, precious metals and stocks) are traded by people. In elementary terms, they can be described as markets where investors make money, companies reduce risks and businesses approach to raise funds for growth. Bonds and currency trading are done mainly on bilateral basis even though some trade on a stock exchange, also recently electronic systems are being built for stock exchange purposes.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Central Banks Move To Keep The Global Markets Party Rolling – Part III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This section of our multi-part article regarding current and past central bank actions, we are going to attempt to look at key elements of the past and present to highlight what we believe may turn out to be an incredible “setup” in the global markets.
This setup is almost like a complex chess game where two skilled players battle for control and near the end of the game, one player is left with the King, a Rook, and a Pawn while the other player has a dramatic advantage with stronger chess pieces. Yet, as the game continues, the weaker player is able to remove one or two of the stronger players key pieces and move his pawn to his opponent’s side to recover his Queen – thus altering the dynamic of the game and eventually winning.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Fool’s Silver: Why Most “Silver Miners” Don’t Live Up to Their Name / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
If you buy shares in a silver mining company, you will have to assume additional market risks compared to ownership of silver bullion. You may wish to do so in order to potentially gain leveraged exposure to silver prices.
What you may not realize, however, is that most of the publicly traded “silver” stocks out there are primarily in the business of mining other metals – sometimes gold, often copper, zinc, lead, and other base metals.
Consider Pan American Silver (NYSE:PAAS), a $3.6 billion company that makes up the largest weighting (13.5%) in the Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSE:SIL).
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
You Have to Buy Bonds Even When Interest Rates Are Low / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Jared_Dillian
Interest rates are currently low.That is by far the biggest concern among bond investors. They are drowning in worry about low interest rates and their effect on bonds. So let’s address that.
Saying interest rates are currently low is another way of saying that bonds are expensive—which makes people not want to invest in bonds. Fair enough.
Stocks are also expensive—but you invest in those!
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Gold Near Term Risk is Increasing / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Last week was another strong one for the precious metals sector.
Gold gained a whopping $51/oz or 3.5%. The gold stocks (GDX, GDXJ) advanced by roughly 6%. Silver gained 4%.
Momentum in the sector began to build once Gold surpassed resistance at $1420-$1425/oz. We had noted the lack of resistance from $1425 to $1525-$1550/oz.
Gold has not reached $1550/oz yet but as it inches higher, some technical and sentiment indicators are urging caution.
Gold’s net speculative position of 54% is very close to the peaks of 55% to 60% seen since 2000. It’s possible the commercial hedgers will start covering at somepoint like they did in 2006 and 2010 but for now we have to assume they won’t if $1550/oz holds as resistance.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Installment Loans vs Personal Bank Loans / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: Hillary_Walker
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
ROCHE - RHHBY Life Extension Pharma Stocks Investing / Companies / Life Extension
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.
My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Gold Bulls Must Love the Hong Kong Protests / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
It appears that the two steps forward, one step backwards approach of mainland China isn’t working as Hong Kong citizens are protesting again. The increasingly violent protests have plunged Chinese-ruled Hong Kong into its most serious crisis in decades, and the situation appears to be getting worse every week. What does it imply for the gold market?
Hong Kongers Protest
On Monday, Hong Kong’s Airport Authority canceled flights as demonstrators poured into its main terminal. What is going on in Hong Kong? The protests began over plans that would have allowed extradition from Hong Kong to mainland China. Although the bill was suspended, the protests continue, as people demand democratic reforms. The problem is that although Hong Kong – as a former British colony – still enjoys freedoms not seen in mainland China, they are on the decline. The protesters say that mainland China is meddling in Hong Kong, citing examples such as legal rulings that have disqualified pro-democracy legislators.
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