Sunday, July 21, 2019
What’s With all the Weird Weather? / Politics / Climate Change
By: Richard_Mills
In January 2018, something strange happened in the Sahara Desert: it snowed. The Algerian town of Ain Sefra, named the “Gateway to the Sahara”, reportedly received up to an inch, barely enough to get the average North American out of bed early to scrape the car, but for North Africans, the outlier snowfall would have been magical; it was only the third time in 40 years that the Sahara Desert, one of the hottest places on earth, has received snow. (the desert gets very cold at night but even if it dips below freezing, any precipitation that crystallizes to snow usually melts right away)
A year later, extreme heat and cold were experienced in Australia and Russia. Temperatures at Port Augusta, South Australia, shot up to 49 degrees Celsius, on the same day, Jan. 7, as the mercury plunged to -56 in parts of Russia. That’s numbingly cold, but not as bone-chilling as in January 2018, when a blast of -67 cold air hit Russia’s remote Yakuta region - low enough to freeze eyelashes.
Can these outlier weather events be explained by climate change?
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Halifax Bank Branch Staff Shockingly Incompetent / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: N_Walayat
Bank with the Halifax? Then If for whatever reason you find that your access to online banking has been limited or even blocked, then on calling the requisite number are asked to pop down to the local branch with ID.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Halifax Stopping Customers Withdrawing Funds Online - UK Brexit Banking Crisis Starting? / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
At least some customers attempting to transfer funds OUT of the Halifax are being met with automatic rejections of their transfer requests in apparent attempts by the Halifax to hold onto customer funds which could be an early sign that the UK is experiencing a new banking crisis starting in the tax payer bailed out bank.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 20, 2019
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the final analysis in my US housing market series that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast.
- Current State
- Momentum Analysis
- US ECONOMY - GDP
- Unemployment
- Inflation
- Producer Prices Index
- Yield Curve
- US Debt
- QE4EVER!
- DEMOGRAPHICS
- US Home Builders Index (XHB)
- US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
- US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
- Peering into the Mists of Time
Saturday, July 20, 2019
MICROSOFT Cortana, Azure AI Platform Machine Intelligence Stock Investing Video / Companies / Microsoft
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?
In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend.
My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 20, 2019
Africa Rising – Population Explosion, Geopolitical and Economic Consquences / Politics / Africa
By: Richard_Mills
A lot of resource investors stop listening to corporate presentations when they learn the company’s project is in Africa.
More often than not the country risk of exploring for minerals in the “dark continent” (as Africa was known to 19th century European explorers) is just too big a gamble for retail investors’ hard-earned capital.
Development projects are hi-jacked by rebels, or over-run by artisanal miners. Operating mines get expropriated by governments that can’t resist the temptation to raid a foreign company’s coffers. And African miners frequently see their profits reduced by corrupt officials intent on re-negotiating royalty contracts.
All of these things are true, yet in the long run, Africa cannot be ignored. The hammer-shaped continent is expected to drive global growth over the next several decades, as populations there climb, but dwindle elsewhere.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 20, 2019
Sahm Unemployment Index and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
What is the difference between a recession and a depression? When your neighbor loses their job, it’s a recession. When you lose your job, that’s a depression! Not funny? Do not worry, we won’t make more jokes. Instead, we’ll analyze a new, but very important and powerful recessionary indicator. We invite you to read our today’s article, which discusses the Sahm Unemployment Index, and find out what does it say about the US economy and the gold market.
What is the difference between a recession and a depression? When your neighbor loses their job, it’s a recession. When you lose your job, that’s a depression!
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 20, 2019
Gold Mining Stocks Q2’19 Results Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks continue to rally on balance, after a major upside breakout extended their strong upleg. That’s driving mounting interest in this recently-forsaken sector. With the latest quarterly earnings season underway, traders will soon enjoy big fundamental updates from the gold miners. They are likely to report good Q2 results, with improving operational performances supporting further stock-price gains.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 40 calendar days after quarter-ends. The gold miners generally release their quarterly reports in the latter half of that window. So Q2’19’s will arrive between late July to mid-August.
After spending decades intensely studying and actively trading this contrarian sector, there’s no gold-stock data I look forward to more than the miners’ quarterly financial and operational reports. They offer a true and clear snapshot of what’s really going on, shattering the misconceptions bred by ever-shifting winds of sentiment. Nearly all fundamental analysis is based off the data gold miners provide in quarterlies.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 19, 2019
This Is Your Last Chance to Dump Netflix Stock / / Corporate News
By: Stephen_McBride
As you may have heard, Netflix (NFLX) bombed on earnings results this week.The company fell short of its growth target by more than two million subscriptions. And for the first time in eight years, it reported a subscriber loss in the US.
The stock plunged more than 10% on the news.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 19, 2019
XAU, Newmont, Dollar, DOW RTT Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: readtheticker
The magic of support and resistance channel lines and how they direct price. Here are some chart disclosed to members via the RTT Plus service. All charts are a few weeks old.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 19, 2019
Gold and US Stock Mid Term Election and Decade Cycles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently I have been trying to show all the different angles to look at and analyze the US stock market and the precious metals sector. At the end of this report, I will share with you several crucial angles and charts you must see for our self. There are several very intriguing things unfolding right now which are interconnected in ways you may not have known.
Gold Midterm Years and Seasonality
Let’s start off with the price of gold and what it typically does each month during the presidential midterm year, which is this year 2019. The graph below shows the average price movement during the midterm election since 1971 and I think the chart speaks for its self.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 19, 2019
Silver Seems To Shock The Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
This article was first written for members on Tuesday July 16: The talk of the metals market on Tuesday was silver. It seems many were shocked and surprised by this rally in silver on Tuesday. And, I am sitting here scratching my head as to why all the shock.
Well, as I think about it, I am starting to understand the shock if you had been reading what everyone has been writing about silver. Whereas the rest of the complex has already moved strongly higher, silver has been significantly lagging. And, I have been hearing one excuse after another as to why it is lagging, such as silver “has been acting as an industrial metal.”.
But, last I looked, the economy was humming along. So, why would an industrial metal be lagging? Moreover, it certainly did not act like an industrial metal on Tuesday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 19, 2019
Precious Metals Big Picture, as Silver Gets on its Horse / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
While many are talking about major new bull markets in gold, silver and the miners I find it safer to set realistic goals within a still very bullish outlook. After all, we became bullish in November, had to retrench due to over-bullish sentiment and fading fundamentals in February (both situations linked here) and then have been back in the bull seat since the gold stock launch as noted on June 3rd.
The point being, I have nothing to prove to you; nothing to woo you and tempt your greed impulse about. NFTRH has simply called the sector in line with its fundamentals and technicals, and that is what we continue to do as of this day. We chart 20 quality miners () each week and note short-term targets, resistance, etc. for the miners, gold and silver routinely.
The other priority is to stay on top of the still-bullish fundamentals. Most recently silver joined the party and is probably slamming our favored theme into gear, which is for it to take over leadership from gold and potentially lead the macro to a future inflationary cycle. Easy now, that is still in the realm of potential, not yet reality. But all of this fun – and it has obviously been fun lately – takes place against a big picture that is lumbering along at its own pace.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 19, 2019
This Technology Everyone Laughed Off Is Quietly Changing the World / Companies / 3d Printing
By: Stephen_McBride
One of my most painful memories as a kid was having my braces tightened.
The orthodontist would grip his pliers, clamp down on the metal wire cemented to my teeth, and crank.
I’m happy to have straight teeth today... but man did those things hurt.
And they were embarrassing too. Especially during those young teen years when self-confidence is fragile. There was just no good way to hide a mouthful of metal...
Friday, July 19, 2019
Green Tech Stocks To Watch / Companies / Renewable Energy
By: Joshua_Rodriguez
Technology is a space that has printed millions upon millions for investors and continues to do so quite regularly. Within this industry, there are several sub-sectors, many of which are experiencing strong gains in demand, growth across the sector, and opportunities for investors. One of these areas is green tech.Over the past decade or so, an incredible amount of light has shone onto the carbon footprint that the current infrastructure of human civilization is creating and the devastating effects that this footprint may have on the environment. As a result, we’ve seen a global push for green and clean across various sectors, including not just energy, but automobiles, construction, and many other facets of business.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Who is Lying: Gold or the Dow? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Hubert_Moolman
Both Gold and the Dow has in recent times made significant bull market signals.
The Dow in 2016 when it broke out of a rising resistance line:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Double Top In Transportation and Metals Breakout Are Key Stock Market Topping Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers identified this critical Double-Top pattern in the Transportation Index after a very strong price rally on Friday, July 12. Double-Top patterns are very important in terms of Fibonacci price structure because they reflect a complete price rejection at a certain price level. In this case, the TRAN Double Top level is $10,655 and our research team believes weakness at this level will push a downward price swing which should attempt to break through the $10,250 level and possibly attempt to move much lower.
The Transportation Index reflects future expectations for shipping of goods and raw materials across the US and, of course, is somewhat related to global economic activity. If the Transportation Index falls in price, then future expectations are for weaker economic activity. If it rises, then investors expect the economy to continue to strengthen.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 18, 2019
AI Machine Learning PC Custom Build Specs for £2,500 - Scan Computers 3SX / Personal_Finance / AI
By: HGR
My existing primary desktop PC that I had custom built by Scan Computers at a cost £2400 is now nearly 5 years o;d, where something with a similar spec would still cost at least £1000 today so whilst it still has some life left in it. Nevertheless it is time for my next generation custom built PC to cover computing for the next 4-5 years for both for continued use in data analysis, video and graphics work where my existing machine is not upto handling 4k footage properly. That and my latest analysis project of building a deep learning environment under microsoft windows via utilisation of Google's tensor flow, python and other libraries and toolkits such as by Nvidia, so the starting point for my build is for at least one good Nvidia graphics card with a large number of cuda cores, over 2000, that are basically 2000 mini cpu's.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 18, 2019
The Best “Pick-and-Shovel” Play for the Online Grocery Boom / Companies / Retail Sector
By: John_Mauldin
By Justin Spittler :Everyone knows online shopping revolutionized how we buy clothing, electronics, and other merchandise.
Many malls across the country have closed their doors because people simply don’t shop at malls like they once did. Instead they buy things online. After a few days, the things show up at their doorstep.
The media nicknamed this phenomenon the “Retail Apocalypse.” And it has led to…
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Is the Stock Market Rally Floating on Thin Air? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market went nowhere today. Today’s headlines:
- S&P internal weakness
- Low volume vs. high volume rallies
- Short term, medium term, and long term trend
- Mean reversion
- Consumer discretionary on fire
Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day.
Read full article... Read full article...