Thursday, August 15, 2019
GOLD BULL RUN TREND ANALYSIS / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 2/2 of my Gold price forecast update Gold Price Breakout - Trend Forecast 2019 July Update.
So the gold price has broken out of it's long-term trading range of $1370 to $1150. Which means $1370 should now act as a floor under the Gold price, else it's back into the range for several more years! Next resistance is at just above $1500 and then $1800 which is my long-term target for the Gold price as of December 2016.
Therefore, as I stated in my May analysis, as the Gold price has now overcome resistance of $1350 to $1370 then the Gold price should be propelled higher towards a target of between $1500 to $1530.
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
US Stock Market Could Fall 12% to 25% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this last segment of our multi-part research post regarding the US Fed and the global central banks, it is becoming evident that the fear of a further market contraction is resulting in the decrease in rates and the push for additional QE functions. Our research has shown that the global economy has partially recovered from the 2008-09 credit market collapse, but the process of the recovery has resulted in a “blowout” type of event where shifting capital intents and the transition from the 19th century economic model towards a new 21st century economic model is setting up the global markets for a massive rotation event over the next 12 to 24 months – possibly longer.
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
A Level Exam Results School Live Reaction Shock 2019! / Personal_Finance / Education
By: Adnaan_Walayat
It's A Level results day today that sees over 200.000 students across England and Wales off to their local school and colleges to pick up their results, to see if they have met the conditions for their University offers or not. If not then it will spark a series of frantic calls to UCAS clearing in an attempt to get a place at likely a different University.
So we were off early to School to see what Adnaan got, will he get his predicted grades? Will he get enough to get into Warwick University? Or will the results turn out to be a shocker! Find out if it's a good or bad shock!
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
It's Time to Get Serious about Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
The World Silver Survey 2019 Review, the institute’s annual World Silver Survey said that global silver demand hit a three-year high in 2018, surpassing more than one billion ounces, an increase of 4% from 2017.
At the same time, global silver mine production fell for the third straight year, dropping 2% in 2018 to 855.7 million ounces.
The top 10 silver producing countries are: Peru, Bolivia, Australia, Argentina, Mexico, Chile, Poland, China, Russia and Guatemala.
And get this... in every one of these countries, silver production has been falling for the last 4 consecutive years!
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
The EagleFX Beginners Guide – Financial Markets / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
A financial market is a market where derivatives at low transaction costs, commodities, foreign exchange and financial securities (bonds, precious metals and stocks) are traded by people. In elementary terms, they can be described as markets where investors make money, companies reduce risks and businesses approach to raise funds for growth. Bonds and currency trading are done mainly on bilateral basis even though some trade on a stock exchange, also recently electronic systems are being built for stock exchange purposes.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Central Banks Move To Keep The Global Markets Party Rolling – Part III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This section of our multi-part article regarding current and past central bank actions, we are going to attempt to look at key elements of the past and present to highlight what we believe may turn out to be an incredible “setup” in the global markets.
This setup is almost like a complex chess game where two skilled players battle for control and near the end of the game, one player is left with the King, a Rook, and a Pawn while the other player has a dramatic advantage with stronger chess pieces. Yet, as the game continues, the weaker player is able to remove one or two of the stronger players key pieces and move his pawn to his opponent’s side to recover his Queen – thus altering the dynamic of the game and eventually winning.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Fool’s Silver: Why Most “Silver Miners” Don’t Live Up to Their Name / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
If you buy shares in a silver mining company, you will have to assume additional market risks compared to ownership of silver bullion. You may wish to do so in order to potentially gain leveraged exposure to silver prices.
What you may not realize, however, is that most of the publicly traded “silver” stocks out there are primarily in the business of mining other metals – sometimes gold, often copper, zinc, lead, and other base metals.
Consider Pan American Silver (NYSE:PAAS), a $3.6 billion company that makes up the largest weighting (13.5%) in the Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSE:SIL).
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
You Have to Buy Bonds Even When Interest Rates Are Low / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Jared_Dillian
Interest rates are currently low.That is by far the biggest concern among bond investors. They are drowning in worry about low interest rates and their effect on bonds. So let’s address that.
Saying interest rates are currently low is another way of saying that bonds are expensive—which makes people not want to invest in bonds. Fair enough.
Stocks are also expensive—but you invest in those!
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Gold Near Term Risk is Increasing / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Last week was another strong one for the precious metals sector.
Gold gained a whopping $51/oz or 3.5%. The gold stocks (GDX, GDXJ) advanced by roughly 6%. Silver gained 4%.
Momentum in the sector began to build once Gold surpassed resistance at $1420-$1425/oz. We had noted the lack of resistance from $1425 to $1525-$1550/oz.
Gold has not reached $1550/oz yet but as it inches higher, some technical and sentiment indicators are urging caution.
Gold’s net speculative position of 54% is very close to the peaks of 55% to 60% seen since 2000. It’s possible the commercial hedgers will start covering at somepoint like they did in 2006 and 2010 but for now we have to assume they won’t if $1550/oz holds as resistance.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Installment Loans vs Personal Bank Loans / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: Hillary_Walker
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
ROCHE - RHHBY Life Extension Pharma Stocks Investing / Companies / Life Extension
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.
My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Gold Bulls Must Love the Hong Kong Protests / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
It appears that the two steps forward, one step backwards approach of mainland China isn’t working as Hong Kong citizens are protesting again. The increasingly violent protests have plunged Chinese-ruled Hong Kong into its most serious crisis in decades, and the situation appears to be getting worse every week. What does it imply for the gold market?
Hong Kongers Protest
On Monday, Hong Kong’s Airport Authority canceled flights as demonstrators poured into its main terminal. What is going on in Hong Kong? The protests began over plans that would have allowed extradition from Hong Kong to mainland China. Although the bill was suspended, the protests continue, as people demand democratic reforms. The problem is that although Hong Kong – as a former British colony – still enjoys freedoms not seen in mainland China, they are on the decline. The protesters say that mainland China is meddling in Hong Kong, citing examples such as legal rulings that have disqualified pro-democracy legislators.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Gold, Markets and Invasive Species / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger draws connections between nefarious non-native species in the natural world and in the world markets. Invasive species: Any kind of living organism—an amphibian (like the cane toad), plant, insect, fish, fungus, bacteria, or even an organism's seeds or eggs—that is not native to an ecosystem and causes harm. They can harm the environment, the economy, or even human health.
In the 1830s, a creature called the "sea lamprey" was first detected in Lake Ontario after it was able to migrate from the Finger Lakes of upstate New York by way of the Erie Canal, which was constructed in 1825. In the 1800s the Great Lakes fishing industry harvested over 100 million pounds of fish for both domestic consumption and export before this incredibly creepy creature laid virtual waste to the fishery stock. Within one hundred years, the harvest had dwindled to approximately one-third of its peak as the absence of natural predators allowed it to feast on the Great Lakes fisheries with reckless abandon and unopposed execution.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Cannabis Stocks With Millennial Appeal / Companies / Cannabis
By: Joshua_Rodriguez
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Tuesday, August 13, 2019
August 19 (Crazy Ivan) Stock Market Event Only A Few Days Away / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers have created this research post to highlight a big price move based on super-cycle research and patterns that should begin on or near August 19, 2019. Back in April/May 2019, we started warning of a critical top formation we believed was aligned for July 2019. In May/June, we altered this date to align more closely with our super-cycle research and determined the August 19, 2019 date.
It is our belief that this date will initiate a breakdown price move that may align with external news related or economic related data. Our research continues to point to the potential for a large global breakdown in equity prices related to some type of near-crisis event. It could be related to something within the US or outside the US – but either way, we slice it, August 19 looks to be the date we need to focus on.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2019
This is the real move in gold and silver… it’s going to be multiyear / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up David Morgan of The Morgan Report joins me to break down the recent move in the metals, explains why he believes the move is a result of something no one is talking about – and he also gives us some key levels for silver, as it looks to gather strength from here. So don’t miss another must-hear conversation with David Morgan, coming up after this week’s market update.
What a wild week it’s been for investors.
The threat of global trade wars and currency wars sparked big swings across all major asset classes. Bond yields dove toward historic lows. Stocks plunged earlier in the week before rebounding sharply by Thursday. And precious metals rode a huge safe-haven wave higher.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2019
Global Central Banks Kick Can Down The Road Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As we continue to explore the events of the past 10 to 20+ years and how the global central banks continue to attempt to navigate through these difficult times, we want to take a few minutes to try to understand and explain how the capital that has exploded into the global markets has been deployed and used to chase returns, risk and opportunity and may continue to be deployed more efficiently going forward.
Read Part I of this series here: https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/...
The recent news that the global central banks may begin a new round of stimulus and easing got us thinking – “what next?”. Over the past 10 to 20+ years, global central banks have attempted to prompt an economic recovery that seems to slip past economic planners and we believe that is because core functions of the global economy are weaker than many expect. We’re going to try to explore some of these factors and prepare traders for what may come in the future months.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2019
Stock Market Bears Critically Endangered / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
The second week of August played out to the extreme levels accordingly as the market found the temporary bottom at 2775 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), at around the macro 200 day moving average. This level also acted as a higher low relative to the March/June 2019 bottom. Then, the bulls' counterattack against the bears was life threatening as price action retraced 61.8% of the entire 3029.5-2775.75 range and wrapped up the week around the highs in the 2920s.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2019
US Dollar Finally the Achillles Heel / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
All important factors are finally putting tremendous pressure on the USDollar. The weak economy will result in lower interest rates, thus more downward USD pressure. The enormous USGovt debt will result in further bond dumps in addition to trade settlement outside the USD, thus more downward pressure. The resentment for threatened hot wars, trade wars, economic sanctions, and SWIFT obstructions will result in amplified resentment. They will respond with a global boycott of the King Dollar, dumping of USTreasury Bonds, and thus more downward pressure. Worse, a global currency war might erupt in the very near future, which might have basis in competing interest rates from monetary policy in addition to competing bond yields. The remarkable fact that has come to the table in the last few weeks is that foreign sovereign bond offerings are having strong demand despite lower bond yields offered than USTreasurys. However, the USTreasury auctions are being gradually noticed as failures, despite higher bond yields offered. The message is crystal clear, that collateral for the huge debt is far more important than the carry, namely the bond yield. Finally the USGovt debt is being questioned, as it rises past the $22 trillion level, as the debt limit is suspended, and as the over $20 trillion in missing funds is publicized. The USGovt financial room is a recognized crime scene.
Tuesday, August 13, 2019
Financial Success Formula Failure / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Patrick_Watson
The US economy grew at a 2.1% annualized pace in the second quarter, according to data released last week. That was better than economists expected but hardly impressive.
Even President Trump recognized this, tweeting the growth rate was “not bad considering we have the very heavy weight of the Federal Reserve anchor wrapped around our neck.”
That’s the same Federal Reserve of which Trump himself appointed the chair and a majority of board members. But I guess he has to blame somebody.