Saturday, December 15, 2018

Will Central Bank Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Central banks’ purchases create a floor for gold prices. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about the central banks’ demand for gold and find out whether it will save gold.

Gold is an important part of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. As of H1 2018, they hold about 34,000 tons of bullion worth $1.36 trillion, or 10.3 percent of the total reserves, according to the World Gold Council.

Friday, December 14, 2018

The stock market fails to rally each day. What’s next for stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. stock market has been been gapping up on the open and selling off later in the day recently.

Friday, December 14, 2018

How Low Could the S&P 500 Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

Our target for the first half of 2019 is and has been the 2100 to 2200 area for the S&P 500. A friend asked…

I’ve been meaning to ask (and possibly) know the answer, 2100-2200 for H1 2019 is your ultimate bear market target or opening act?

Opening act. It could be the ultimate target because there is a lot of support at that area and a good solid bear phase could put the Fed on ice and impose some changes to Donald Trump’s bull in a China shop policy style.

Friday, December 14, 2018

If You Aren’t Making Music with Commodities, Try This Song Instead / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Cocoa's 2016-7 bear market reversal was in total harmony with one kind of analysis

If financial markets were styles of music, equities, especially the most stable Big Board stocks, are like great classical compositions: They're made up of consistent, steady tempos you could listen to all day with the occasional booming or crashing note.

Commodities are different. They're the jazz players delivering choppy, frenetic tunes with jolting chord changes.

Friday, December 14, 2018

An Industrial to Stock Trade: Is Boeing a BUY Here? / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: ElliottWaveForecast

By EWFJames : BA and the Trade Tensions Between China and Elliott wave

As we all are well aware there are definitely heightened tensions on the global trading playing field these days. The markets have been whipping back in forth in exacerbated moves. Every hint or tweet about anything to do with trade, specifically, trade and China causes fireworks in the market. Boeing Co ( NYSE: BA ) has been in the news as well for numerous reasons about trade. Boeing is being accused of circumventing U.S. trade regulations by means of entertaining a controversial satellite order. The order was financed by a Chinese government-owned firm.

Friday, December 14, 2018

Gold GDX Cycles from the January 2016 Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: ElliottWaveForecast

EWF Lewis : Firstly, the GDX ETF was created in 2006. From there it bounced higher into the September 2011 highs. This not shown on the chart however the price trend was obviously up. The pullback lower into the January 2016 lows corrected the cycle from the all time highs. The bounce from the January 2016 lows was strong enough to suggest it was no longer pulling back lower. It ended that bullish cycle August 2016. I give Elliott Wave benefit of the doubt that was a lead diagonal up. The January 2016 low should hold in any further dip.

Friday, December 14, 2018

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) – Bullish Trend is Still Intact / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: ElliottWaveForecast

Ayoub Ben Rejeb : Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) established a new multi-year bullish trend which managed to break above 2007 peak after just 10 years joining the list of many other stocks which already achieved new all time highs in the previous years.

GS has been moving within a bullish channel making higher highs and higher lows. Every correction took place in a form of 3 swings lower into a blue box which is a High-frequency area where the market is likely to end cycles and make a turn. Now, the stock is approaching the lower end of the channel from where ideally the stock will be able the resume the move to the upside as long as the trend remain intact.

Friday, December 14, 2018

Will the Arrest of Huawei Executive Derail Trade War Truce? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: ElliottWaveForecast

EWFHendra: The market celebrated the trade war truce between U.S. and China after the successful meeting last week between President Trump and Xi. Unfortunately, it only lasted for about 24 hours as news came in with the arrest of Huawei top executive Meng Wanzhou in Canada. Meng faces an extradition to the U.S. on the allegation that she committed fraud to avoid sanctions against Iran. This arrest opens a new chapter in escalating battle between the U.S. and China to gain tech supremacy.

Huawei is the world’s largest telecoms equipment provider and also the second largest mobile phone manufacturer. The founder Ren Zhengfei is a former military officer and Meng Wanzhou is his daughter. Huawei is one of the pillars in China’s ambition to be an independent technology powerhouse. The arrest happened on December 1, the same day that President Xi and Trump had the dinner meeting in Buenos Aires.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Does Flat CPI in November Imply Flat Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Zero. The US inflation rate was unchanged in November. What does the flat CPI mean for the gold market?

What Happened With Inflation?

The CPI was unchanged in November, following an increase of 0.3 percent in October. It was the weakest number since March 2018, when monthly inflation fell about 0.1 percent. However, the flat reading was caused by a sharp decline in the price of gasoline – that subindex dropped 4.2 percent in November, offsetting increases in an array of prices including shelter and used cars and trucks. But the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased 0.2 percent last month, the same change as in October. So, don’t worry about the upcoming deflation.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Trump vs the Fed: Who Wins? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Richard_Mills

Who controls the US economy? The “power of the purse” resides within the US Congress and the powers to set fiscal and monetary policy are delegated to the US Central Bank, otherwise known as the Federal Reserve.

While the success of US Presidents often depends on how well the economy does during their terms, in fact they have little direct influence on it. The President can guide the economy and put his stamp on unlimited pieces of legislation, but he must work with Congress and the Federal Reserve in order to execute his agenda.

To demonstrate just how powerless the President is over the economy, you need only look at Article II of the US Constitution which outlines the responsibilities of the Executive Branch:

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Expect Gold & Silver to Pullback Before the Next Move Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our team of researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believe the recent upward price move in Gold has reached a level where prices will pause and retrace a bit before the next big leg higher begins.

The recent downward pricing pressures in the US and global stock markets have prompted Gold to move well above recent highs near $1242.  We predicted this move over 40 days ago with this research post.  We still believe Gold and Silver are setup for a bigger move higher, yet we believe the recent upswing will briefly pause and retrace to levels we are showing, below, before attempting a bigger move to the upside.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Dollar Index Trends, USDJPY Setting Up / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: FXCOT

Risks and markets events continue to aid trading. Volatility is helping our trading system make tremendous returns. FXCOT system is able to use high volatility and low volatility to its advantage. Returns are summed at the end of post.

U.S. stocks rebounded Wednesday, extending a recent stretch of volatility as signs of easing trade tensions boosted the outlook for global economic growth. Afternoon trading was again rocky for major indexes, which eased well off their intraday highs in the final 90 minutes of the session. Stocks have been hypersensitive to trade-related headlines in recent days, with the Dow swinging more than 550 points from its high to its low on both Monday and Tuesday.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

While The Stocks Bulls Fiddle With The 'Fundamentals,' Rome Burns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

In the past, I have outlined why fundamentals look best at market highs, and worst at market lows. And, just like we normally experience, as we were soaring over 2900, I am sure many of you were convinced that this was one of the best economies we have seen in quite some time. But, we seem to have topped on those great expectations.

As the market continued to chop around near the lows this past week, I saw an article entitled “The Steep Stock Market Sell-off Does Not Make Sense.” Within that article, the author highlights the fact that earnings growth remains healthy, the economy continues to grow, and that equity valuation are at the lower end of their historical range.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

The Historic Role of Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the role of silver historically as well as recent moves in the market. Could there have ever been constructed four finer sentences strung together for the purpose of defining eight items related to money and social standing than the following?

"Gold is the money of kings. Silver is the money of gentlemen. Barter is the money of peasants. And debt is the money of slaves."

While they sound impressive, and while I understand the reason for their construct, I actually take umbrage with the linkage of debt to slavery because slavery is a man-induced condition whereby one man is responsible for the enslavement of another while debt is often (but not always) a choice made by the individual. If that were a paragraph to which I could be allowed to impart my name, I would say "And debt is the money of sloth", rather than "slave," where those that opt for debt over savings wind up with an unfavourable outcome, one connoted by the original sin of "sloth." Ergo, the alteration. . .

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Natural Gas Price Setup for a Big Move Lower / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our proprietary Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting Natural Gas is about to break down below the $4.30 level and move aggressively toward the $3.05~3.25 level.  This could be an incredible move for energy traders and a complete bust for existing longs.

This Weekly Natural Gas chart is showing our Fibonacci Predictive modeling system and highlighting the lower support price targets just above $3.00.  We believe price weakness will break the $4.30 level very quickly and drive prices well below the $3.40 level – very likely towards support near $3.25 over the next few weeks.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

How to Get 20% Off Morrisons Weekly Supermarket Shopping / Personal_Finance / Shopping

By: HGR

In this video I explain how we are currently achieving a 20% discount / rebate on our weekly shopping at Morrisons, steps that you too can replicate to experience similar savings in the future.

Furthermore, we also show how to get upto 15% off your weekly shop at Tesco! So watch the video for the steps to achieve savings of as much as 20% on your weekly groceries bill virtually every year!

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Is the Buyer’s Market for Silver Coming to an End? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Few markets are as depressed – and, as many analysts argue, suppressed – as silver. Prices for the white metal continue to languish in a low-level trading range amidst lackluster demand.

The upshot for investors is that they can now obtain silver bullion at both a low spot price and a low premium above spot.

How long this buyer’s market will is unknowable last. But given silver’s manic-depressive personality, prices could launch explosively higher at any time.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Gold Price Analysis: Closer To A Significant Monetary Event / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

Previously, I have shown how we could be close to major financial crisis with the monetary system at the center. The following chart that shows the ratio of gold to the monetary base was used:

The chart shows the ratio of the gold price to the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base back to 1918. That is the gold price in US dollars divided by the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base in billions of US dollars. (from macrotrends.com)

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Where is the Stock Market Santa Claus Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

With the S&P 500 down so far in December, some investors and traders are asking “where’s the Santa Claus Rally”?

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Politics and Economics in Times of Crisis / Politics / Social Issues

By: Raul_I_Meijer

The news still isn’t the news, and I’m getting afraid it never will be again, because not the news just simply sells so much better than plain old real events. Maria Butina suddenly popped back into the public eye, because she was either charged with something or confessed to it. And I’m thinking, excuse me, but that poor girl has been kept in isolation for how long now? And for what reason exactly?

I vividly remember thinking that when she first became ‘news’ for ‘infiltrating’ the NRA, for which there were plenty cute pictures taken, I remember thinking she would have been 22 or 23 years old when as a super- devious Russian redhead she allegedly penetrated the trillion dollar NRA, and the trillion dollar Republican Party, and the Trump campaign, which according to some people is now worth negative $1 trillion.