Friday, June 01, 2018
Once Again, Gold Is Not Commodit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
We know this… we really know it. This is awkward. Gold is a metal. This is why it used to be money for thousands of years: it was rare, tangible and its supply couldn’t be increased at will. An ideal store of value. So why are we saying that gold is not commodity?
We mean here not the physical attributes of gold, but the approach to valuing it. You can model it either as a currency, or as a commodity. From the investment point of view, we always treated gold as a currency, so in the previous part of this edition of the Market Overview, we discussed – in line with that approach – the three most important drivers affecting the price of gold. Now, we will present the final critique of treating gold as a commodity.
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Friday, June 01, 2018
Gold Stocks Back in the Volatility Saddle Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger dissects his volatility trades.
One week ago today, I made the following commentary:
Read full article... Read full article..."Finally, I am officially revisiting the "volatility trade" (VIX: CBOE Volatililty Index) but unlike February where I used the UVXY (ProShares Trust Ultra VIX Short) as my proxy for the increase in volatility, I am using the TVIX (VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX ST ETN) because it is a double leverage ETF for the VIX but has better leverage than the UVXY. UVXY used to be a triple-leverage play on volatility but the slippage due to its dependence on futures became too difficult to navigate and they cut the leverage from 3:1 to 2:1. I had a 250% gain on this in February but gave back 9.84% in April. I am long 50% of the TVIX position from yesterday at $4.95 and am using the opening this morning to add another 25% in the $5.25 range. I will again use a 10% stop-loss but since the 52-week low is $4.60, that will be the exit level. Upside target will be $8.00 remembering of course that the 52-week high was $26.56.
The month of May is rapidly coming to a close, which starts what is historically the worst six months of the year. With the situations in Turkey and Italy worsening, with the North Korean summit in question, central banks engaged in "quantitative tightening," rising oil prices, and the possibility that the China-U.S. trade talks go south, markets are going to be in peril as summer illiquidity arrives. For this reason, gold "should" be the go-to asset, but I am banking on volatility rather than gold as the preferred method of riding the correction."
Friday, June 01, 2018
Here Is Next Week's News In Advance -- How Will You Trade It? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Avi_Gilburt
The great majority of market participants believe that "the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics." So, if I share with you “secret” news that will hit the wires next week, you should be able to make a killing with such information. Right?
While I strongly disagree with this proposition, at least based upon my in-depth study of decades of stock market history, this perspective is so engrained in the investment process of advisors and analysts alike that it is followed even more than the Bible.
So, let’s test this proposition.
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Friday, June 01, 2018
A Purrrfect Gold Price Setup! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Peter_Degraaf
Featured is the weekly gold chart. The green arrows point to ‘upside reversals’, developing after price dropped below the 50WMA. The blue arrows point to a positive follow-through, following an upside reversal. A similar situation back in December enabled gold to rise for 5 out of 6 weeks! The current rise has the potential to jump above the $1365 resistance area with a target at $1395. The RSI is neutral, but the A/D line is positive. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 01, 2018
What is More Reliable than the Andrews Pitchfork? / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis
By: Ron_Jaenisch
When my friend Professor Alan Hall Andrews was most active as a trader and writer it was prior to 1980. After examining his writings and use (in the 1970’s) of the various lines related to the median lines verses the action reaction lines, it is easy to come to the conclusion that he favored the Action Reaction lines over what is commonly referred to as the Andrews Pitchfork. To answer this question for myself I examined various concepts that Andrews taught in his writings, shortly prior to his passing on found that most of them were median line related. This was when he came up with the modified Schiff line which is actually a derivative of a trend line. Trend lines are lines he advocated using along with the Action Reaction Lines in the 1960’s and 1970’s.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
Emerging Market Meltdown Could Undermine Oil Price Rally / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Saudi Arabia and Russia just destroyed the oil price rally, potentially putting an end to all the speculation about what the group might do next. But higher production doesn’t necessarily mean higher oil prices are entirely out of the question, and in fact, the oil market is still faced with a ton of uncertainty.
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Thursday, May 31, 2018
What Happens Next When the Euro Falls 6 Weeks in a Row / Currencies / Euro
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Euro has been going down recently.
- The EURUSD is already down 6 weeks in a row.
- If it closes lower this Friday than it did last Friday, the EURUSD will be down 7 weeks on a row.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
Phantom Blips On The Stock Market Chart – Don’t Lose Focus - Free Silver! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent news seems to have everyone concerned about Italy, global debts, Europe and the potential for a debt contagion exploding into the markets. Yet, our research into price activity says this market is just getting started with an upside swing that could be massive. Take a few minutes to review our current research to see why we believe the extended level of fear in the markets is related to the recent February price rotation and a generally accepted erroneous Elliot Wave Count.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
Topping USD’s Implications for Gold Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The euro plunged, the USD Index soared and gold… just stayed put. There was no meaningful action except for the big intraday volatility that ended in a rather small decline. Can one infer anything at all from the above combination of factors? Yes, if one knows where to look.
Let’s start by recalling what was the likely reason behind the recent strength in the precious metals in the first place and why did gold move (a bit) higher along with the USD Index.
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Thursday, May 31, 2018
UKGC Set to Make Online Gambling Industry More Risk-Free / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Varun_Kumar
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Thursday, May 31, 2018
This is When Gold Will Soar… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Despite the insistence of some, precious metals have not been in a bull market. After a big pop at the start of 2016, the sector has trended lower. Sure, Gold has traded up towards a major breakout but Silver and the gold stocks have trended lower. When the US Dollar corrected significantly, the stock market outperformed precious metals. Does that sound like a Gold bull market to you? The moribund performance has left us wondering what could turn the tide. A quick study of Fed history with the context of current conditions is very instructive as to when Gold could begin a true bull market.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
Italy Roils Global Capital Markets – What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
After a fairly solid rally took place over the past few weeks in the US majors, fresh concerns originating from Italy roiled the markets early on Tuesday, May 29. The concern is really related to the formation of a coalition government in Italy and the excessive debt issues plaguing Italy and many other European Union countries. In our opinion, the European Union has a number of issues that are rearing their ugly heads and most of these are related to disparities between opportunities, capital flows, debt and consumer optimism related to the parity of the EU economic activities. In other words, the squeaky wheel gets the grease. Right now, Greece and Italy are the two squeaky wheels with Portugal, Cyprus and Belgium following right behind.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
What Happens Next When Stock Market Volatility (VIX) Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market’s volatility index (VIX) spiked today from a very low level (from less than 14 to 17).
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Thursday, May 31, 2018
If Bitcoin Is A Fraud, So Too Is The Dow Jones Industrial Average / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Below is a chart of the ETF that tracks the value of bitcoin, GBTC, and the Dow Jones Industrial average for one year ending 4/29/18. One can easily see the correlation. They are the same chart. Maybe GBTC leads the Dow in direction. If so, GBTC is going lower while the last Federal Reserve instigated rally only turned ugly today with a near 400-point selloff. Let’s review.
As I have been writing, America has been stripped of everything including a ‘market’ of stocks and the ability of investors to realize price discovery. The Fed is in charge of that. Forget Elliot Wave or fundamentals or anything else. That stuff only applies to real market behavior. Technical patterns only matter because the Fed manipulates them to keep us playing along.
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Thursday, May 31, 2018
Free Entry to Merlin Theme Parks Such as Legoland and Chessington With Kellogg Serials / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks
By: Anika_Walayat
Summers has arrived and families are busy planning their holidays that usually include many trips to Britain's Theme parks where the king of UK attractions is Merlin with it's 32 theme parks spread out across the UK. We'll here is some great money saving news for you all as Kellogg's are running their theme parks promotion for another year that allows entry into the UK's top theme parks for the whole of 2018 for FREE! So plenty of time to use the vouchers to gain entry into 14 UK theme parks that include Alton Towers, Legoland, Chessington, the Dungeon, Sea Life, Shreks Adventure and Madame Tussaud's etc...
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
Beginning of the end for the EURO Project / Currencies / Euro
By: Enda_Glynn
Fundamental analysts are all scratching their heads these days!
How can USDJPY be declining rapidly,
All the while EURUSD and GBPUSD are accelerating lower also.
So the USD is both weakening and strengthening at the same time!!
This does not compute in fundamental analysis.
However,
It is perfectly acceptable, and even predictable, with Elliott wave analysis!
And the reason is simple;
The USD is correcting lower against the YEN,
While;
The EURO and Cable are both declining against the USD in a trend move.
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
Debilitating Inflation Is Like an Army of Termites Eating Away Your House / Economics / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, Senior Analyst at The Morgan Report, and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com.
David, thanks for joining us again, how are you?
David Smith: You bet, Mike. It's great to speak with you again.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2018
Outlook Shifting in Predictable Ways for Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
As Bitcoin is going down, we’re seeing more and more information on how the currency is in a precarious position or how the prospects of the currency is bleak. But what interests traders the most is if the recent developments have changed anything in the current outlook. And we provide you with our answer to this question. One our readers have known for some time now.
The media seem to have noticed that Bitcoin has depreciated. More Bitcoin-oriented outlets might even focus on market-specific events such as technical developments. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Bitcoin risks closing below the 50-week moving average (MA) – an important long-term support not breached for over two-and-a-half years.
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
How Far Is it from North Korea to Italy? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Almost 5500 miles ( 8,800 kilometers ) . That’s the distance between Pyongyang and Rome. It seems a lot, right? But not for gold, the truly global monetary asset. In recent days, the price of the yellow metal has immediately reacted to the developments around both North Korea and Italy. What has happened?
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
What Happens Next when the Stock Market Consolidates in a Very Narrow Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market (S&P 500) has been swinging in a very narrow range over the past 12 days. The range is less than 1% when using CLOSE prices.