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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, January 22, 2016

Crude Oil Price Bear Market Bottom? As WTIC Pops Back Over $30 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price hit a new low on Wednesday of just under $27, prompting many doom merchants to emerge to proclaim / reaffirm that $20 and even $10 is on the horizon. However, on following day the oil price rallied strongly to just shy of $30 to end Thursday at $29.85 and this morning has popped just above $30 to currently stand at $30.20. With the key question being asked is are we witnessing the early stages of an oil price bottom (WTIC) or is this just a few days of calm before the next oil price crash storm?

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Commodities

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Gold Stock Set Up In 1 Chart Cartel~Buster® !, For You / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Denali_Guide


LAST time we got a very nice signal, say Nov 5-9th, we spent about 5 or 6 market sessions in limbo before the GDX (dashed gold line) price responded fully, although individual stocks responded, some faster (AEM), some slower (AUY).

         Today provisional signal is not really any different.   Each panel on this chart of my proprietary measure “CARTEL~BUSTER® !, contains its own Tripwire Zones, for buying and selling.  Either or both works well.   Thus the bottom panel is a bit faster for shorter trades.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Crude Oil Foretells Additional Ruble Losses / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: AnyOption

Warnings from the IEA and new lows in key global benchmarks continues to weigh on the outlook for energy prices, hurting the foremost global oil and gas exporters.  Russia has experienced a reversed rags to riches tale over the last two years as the impact of sanctions and the slump in the energy patch have kept the Ruble under extreme pressure.  The underperformance continues to echo the losses in oil prices as the supply and demand imbalance remains largely unchanged, only set to grow in coming months with the expansion of Iranian crude oil exports.  With market dynamics expected to be weak and existing projections forecasting no rebound in prices, the weakness in the Ruble is only likely to accelerate over time, matching losses in oil prices.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 21, 2016

US Dollar Drop Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Toby_Connor

Once the dollar starts to drop into its intermediate cycle low in earnest gold should produce an intermediate degree rally

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Will the Crude Oil Price Crash become even Worse in 2016? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

A patient mind is the best remedy for trouble- Plaut

2015 was not a good year for speculators trying to time the oil markets.  Oil kept cutting through each support level like a hot knife cutting through butter. It would give the appearance that it was ready to mount a rally, but that rally would fade, and oil prices would drift lower.  We penned an article in Nov of last year, where we stated that oil would have to close above $50 on a weekly basis for it to see higher prices.  However, it failed to do that and drifted lower.  When it closed below $32 on a weekly basis, it neutralized any tiny bullish signals it was issuing in 2015.  Is oil close to putting in a bottom or will it once again let everyone down and plunge into a series of new lows.  There is a saying that the cure for low prices is lower prices and vice versa; having said, that we expect one final wave of selling before oil bottoms out and starts to trend slowly upwards.  We do not expect any violent upward reversals unless the situation between Iran and Saudi heats up to the point that a new war breaks out.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Marc Faber Warns Invest In Gold Now As Stock Market To Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Marc Faber, editor of the “Gloom, Doom & Boom Report,” has advised investors that now is a good time to invest in gold  because stocks will crash over 40% and the world is on the verge of a new liquidity and debt crisis.

Faber says investors would be prudent to diversify into safe haven in gold bullion which has risen 3% this year and is currently at $1,096 an ounce.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Silver Price Hitting Major Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: InvestingHaven

The long term silver chart is truly spectactular. It has basically 3 time periods since it started its bull market.

Phase I started in 2003 and lasted till 2010. Phase II was a trend change, indicated with the rectangle below, between 2011 and 2013, an extremely volatile period. Phase III is the current phase, and is basically a clear downtrend.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Chinese Volatility Could Fuel a Lithium-Price Rocket Launch / Commodities / Lithium

By: The_Energy_Report

When China's stock market started cratering at the beginning of the year, veteran investor and newsletter writer Chen Lin was rubbing his hands in anticipation of the opportunities that would be opening up, particularly in lithium and natural gas. In this interview with The Energy Report, the author of What is Chen Buying? What is Chen Selling? shares his insights on what pushed battery-grade lithium prices up fourfold and which companies could benefit from a continued supply-demand imbalance. As a bonus, he also lists the three companies he thinks could take advantage of high overseas natural gas prices to actually return money to investors in the energy space.

The Energy Report: The year started with a very volatile Chinese stock market. Are we in crisis mode?

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Crude Oil Hit $32... But The Worst Is Yet To Come / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Harry_Dent

On August 5 last year I forecast that oil would hit $32 or a bit lower by January.

And it’s happened right on cue!

Along with iron ore and coal (down 70%-plus), oil has been one of the worst-performing commodities – down 80% from its 2008 top. And ultimately it’s headed lower, all the way to $10 or $20. I’ve been saying this since oil was $115, and look where we are now!

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Central Planners Freaking Out about Discussion of Gold’s Role / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Growing Support for Sound Money Rankles Fed Apologists

Sound money issues make for good politics these days. The leading Republican candidates have all suggested reforms to our monetary system. The topic is popping up in debates as well as interviews. Predictably, Fed worshippers and proponents of central planning everywhere are snickering and trotting out the usual responses.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Gold Deficits and T-Bond Fantasies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

Fantasy #1: 

My name is John Q. Public.  I live a good life, make lots of money (never mind how) and have debts such as a mortgage on a great house – $375,000, a Cessna – $150,000 (my air force), and a sweet little two mast sailing ship – $78,000 (my navy).  Also my wife and children (my army) spend a lot of money.  My total credit card debt is $97,000.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Oil price Slump Leads To Shale 2.0, The Great Crew Change, And COP21 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Submissions

Alfidi Capital writes: The oil sector's bear attack shows no signs of abating. OPEC's Saudi-led push for huge overproduction is driving the US shale sector to the brink of collapse. The post-crash survivors can benefit from "Shale 2.0" technologies that keep their costs down. They will need every advantage they can get when the "Great Crew Change" makes finding human talent harder and the UN's COP21 protocols make hydrocarbon production less desirable.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Crude Oil Price Stabilises above $30 Following New U.S. Sanctions Imposed on Duped Iran / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price reversed direction Monday to climb back above $30 (WTIC) as the market has started to discount the probability that the Iranians have been duped into given up nuclear weaponry, in a perpetual U.S. game of sanctions for ever for the purpose of Iran being systematically disarmed of it's military capacity much as Iraq was disarmed before a pretext for invasion was manufactured by the Intelligence Agencies all to appease the Saudi and Israeli fundamentalist states (Islamic and Jewish).

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Commodities

Monday, January 18, 2016

Gold Price Has Passed the Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Bob_Kirtley

We preface this article by stating that we are neither gold bears nor bulls. We traders and we target trades with the best possible risk reward dynamics, regardless of market direction. At the founding of our service, SK OptionTrader, we were bullish on the yellow metal and banked considerable profits as gold rallied to all-time highs. Beginning in 2013 we took a heavily bearish view, and again banked triple digit returns on gold as it declined. Now, we believe we have seen the lows and are preparing to get long gold once again.

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Commodities

Monday, January 18, 2016

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2016 - Video By Nadeem Walayat / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

After a savage bear market for the oil market for the whole of 2015, the crude oil price has got 2016 off with a bang by plunging to just below $30 before recovering at the last close to $30.68 (WTIC). One does not need to look far for the negative fundamentals that are driving the oil price into dust. Fundamentals such as the sharp slowdown in the Chinese economy, fundamentals such as the apparent oil war that Saudi Arabia is engaged in with the United States shale oil industry and now added to are fundamentals of lifting of sanctions against Iran that can literally immediately flood the oil market with 50 million barrels of crude oil in storage and looks set to up its output by 1m b/d this year.

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Commodities

Monday, January 18, 2016

Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Bottom ?..Do they Ring a Bell ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to take a look at the PM complex as there are some interesting charts building out. Please don’t confuse this report with what Sir Spock, Sir Norvast and others are doing at the Chartology Forum as they’re looking for undervalued PM stocks that will be ready to buy when the time is right. In some cases the time might be now as a few of the PM stocks are holding support. In the vast majority of the cases though, excluding some of the Australian and a few South African PM stocks, most are still under pressure. So for some folks who like to get in a little early and have the patience to wait for the bear market to exhaust itself, one can start picking up a few shares of their favorite PM stocks and see what happens. There won’t be a bell go off at the bottom I can assure you of that.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 17, 2016

Gold and Silver Rally, Miners Spanked on Stock Option Expiry / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

"Price discovery is not a sexy function of markets, but it is critical to the efficient allocation of scarce capital and resources, and to the preservation of the long term wealth of investors and the economy as a whole. If price discovery is compromised by manipulation, then we will all be gradually impoverished and the economy will be imbalanced and unstable."

London Banker, Lies, Damn Lies, and Libor

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Commodities

Sunday, January 17, 2016

California Major Catastrophe: Major Media Problem / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Walter_Brasch

On Oct. 23, Southern California Gas technicians discovered a leak of methane from a failed casing on one of the pipes in its Alisa Canyon storage facility, about 30 miles northwest of Los Angeles.

The company estimates it will be the end of March until it can plug that leak from the pipe that is about 9,000 feet deep.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 17, 2016

Crude Oil Price Crash Triggering Global Instability, Trend Forecast 2016 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price collapse of 2015 has continued into 2016 with the price of oil plunging to a 12 year low of just under $30 per barrel as a consequence of a perfect storm of falling demand, primarily due to the slowing Chinese economy and relentlessly rising output that is not just limited to the usual OPEC suspects but is as the natural consequences of the fracking boom that continued to ripple out from the US to across the world during 2015.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Gold And Silver: New World Order: Public Be Damned, Preferably Dead / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

In the midst of this political and economic maelstrom that appears to be reaching its peak since the pivotal 9/11 "attack" on the US, when the twin towers of the World Trade Center were destroyed, partially by an airplane flying into each tower, then more fully by the detonation of all the explosives planted in the buildings to insure their destruction. Should there be any question as to that assessment, which has gained greater acceptance by those willing to do their due diligence, the unprovoked destruction of building seven [WTC 7] adds proof of how these buildings were planned for certain demolition, in advance.

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