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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2014

Bullish Record Gold and Silver Futures Shorting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The precious metals plunged last week, knifing through key support zones to unleash an explosion of bearish sentiment.  This troubling heavy selling wasn’t news-driven, it emerged out of the blue.  Who was dumping gold and why?  Later data confirmed it was American futures speculators short selling gold and silver at record levels.  Extreme shorting is very bullish, as these bets soon have to be covered.

The gold and silver price action has been exceedingly anomalous since early 2013.  That’s when the Federal Reserve fomented a melt-up in the general stock markets, through both monetizing debt and jawboning implying it was backstopping stock prices.  The levitating stock markets gradually sucked all life away from alternative investments including gold, which was crushed by epic selling of gold-ETF shares.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2014

Crude Oil Prices, Opec And Other Peak Oil Stories / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

When In Doubt, Worry About Oil
One of the starkest oil worry pot pourri presentations – ruthlessly mingling fact, fiction and fantasy (but pretending its all fact) – can be had here http://energypolicy.columbia.edu...

Steve Kopits is the Managing Director of a known and still-in-business oil and energy forecasting firm, Douglas-Westwood. Both Kopits and D-W would appear to be (still) employable, but for how much longer we can only guess. The Kopits presentation is showcased by the Dublin sustainable economy and development firm FEASTA, with an even more ghastly presentation by David Knight called 'Peak Oil and Climate Change – Two Sides of the Same Coin?' FEASTA says that, as it perceives things,  Global Warming and Peak Oil are the two largest threats to the planet, human life and civilization.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2014

Clarifying Asian Gold Strategy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The Russians came up with an extraordinary statement recently, central to why Russia and China are buying gold, the importance of which was missed by the media. President Putin said that “Russia and China need to secure their gold and foreign reserves.” He may have been overstepping the mark in making comments about China’s monetary policy, but he was unlikely to have done so without good reason. Furthermore it is impossible to secure foreign currency reserves, because they are at all times under the control of the issuing central banks. So what Putin was actually implying was that China and Russia need to secure their gold.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2014

Gold in Near-Death Experience on Comex / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Well, it's a bit of an exaggeration, but for the first three days of this week daily turnover in the gold future fell to about 80,000 contracts, compared with a more normal level of 120,000. At the same time volatility fell to as close to zero as you can get. The week started with the gold price at $1241 and until yesterday at 1.00pm UK time stuck to a tight range of $7 centred on $1244. Open interest picked up a little, as shown in our first chart.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2014

Solar Roadways: Turning Pavement into Power / Commodities / Solar Energy

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: If you haven’t heard of Scott and Julie Brusaw yet, chances are you will before too long.

They are the founders of a crowd-funded idea that may just revolutionize both transportation and energy.

It is the coolest idea I’ve seen in quite some time. It’s so inventive it could flat-out change everything we think about power.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2014

Gold Price Key Fundamental Driver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Barry Ritholtz is out with another article spelling more doom for the precious metals sector and the gold bugs. The self proclaimed “Gold Agnostic” penned a 2500 word missive in January which followed a blog post amid the spring 2013 collapse titled “What are Gold’s Fundamentals.” For the record, Ritholtz’s calls on the markets and Gold have been very good. He was bullish during most of the 2001-2011 advance and sold out prior to the 2013 breakdown. Give credit where credit is due. Yet, while the anti-gold and anti-gold bug mainstream eat up his gold analysis like a lap dog we have to mention some errors and a startling omission of Gold’s key driving force.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2014

The Platinum Supply Shock / Commodities / Platinum

By: Peter_Schiff

Even investors who typically eschew precious metals have been hard-pressed to ignore the platinum industry this year. The longest strike in South African history paired with surging Asian demand is set to push the metal back into a physical deficit in 2014 - and could have repercussions for years to come. While gold remains the most conservative choice for saving, the "industrial precious metal" platinum is a compelling investment for those, like me, who are bullish on global net economic growth.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 05, 2014

Gold - Possession is Nine-Tenths of the Law / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

"...Even though the property was originally stolen, that if the victim or his heirs cannot be found, and if the current possessor was not the actual criminal who stole the property, then title to that property belongs properly, justly, and ethically to its current possessor." - Murray Rothbard

If you don't hold it, you don't own it. This should be the soothing mantra for all long term precious metals holders. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 04, 2014

Gold and Crude Oil Commodities Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

Gold broke to the downside last week, out of triangle pattern that was placed in wave (b) so current leg down should be wave (c) as part of D of a big triangle from a daily chart. We know that wave (c) is impulsive wave so we need to be aware of a bullish reversal after a five wave drop from wave e) swing high. In the last few sessions market slowed down around 1240-1245 so it's probably wave iv)so decline could extend down to 1230 by the end of the week.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 04, 2014

The Effect of Monetary Policy on Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
Gold prices have fallen for 6 days in a row taking the price down to $1243/oz and it now stands about $60/oz above the 2013 June lows. Silver prices suffered the same fate falling from $19.50/oz to $18.75/oz. The gold producers as represented by the Gold Bugs Index the HUI is down to 204 which is lower than the 2013 June lows. We can look to the summer doldrums or the ‘sell May and go away’ investors when we try to account for these falls but the truth is that this tiny sector has been suffering for a couple of years now.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

When Will Gold Price Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Ed_Carlson

Gold lost $46/oz. last week to close at $1,245.60 and, while it might not feel like it, gold is still up $43.70 for the year. My price forecasting model generates a target of 1,206 for this decline. Seasonally, gold tends to make a bottom of undetermined degree in the period from June to July.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Russian Roulette – Derivative Style / Commodities / Derivatives

By: DeviantInvestor

Russian Roulette: Put one bullet in the cylinder of a revolver, spin the cylinder, point the gun at YOUR head, and pull the trigger. Most revolvers have 6 chambers, so your odds of surviving are 5 in 6, IF you quit after pulling the trigger once.

Press your luck, spin the cylinder, point the gun, and pull the trigger again. It might be okay. Try for a third time?

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Gold and Wheat Commodity Futures Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

CPI in Euro zone came lower again which goes in favor of ECB reaction. I wanted to show you here one more option on GOLD in anticipation of a downside correction on US indices. We expect flat correction which means 5 waves down after 3-3 up. So same on GOLD is possible to the upside in attempt of investors to seek refuge from falling stock market. We need 5 waves up to confirm low signature.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Gold and Silver Cap and Fear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

There are some very significant events happening behind the scenes, even though the markets would seem to hide this with their sleepily accommodative nature to the status quo.

I thought Volcker's call for a new Bretton Woods agreement was significant, in a Chamberlain-like manner. Volcker is certainly out of power, riding the tide of events more than shaping them now. But he certainly still has insights into what is going on.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Canadian Law Makes It Cheaper To Prevent Oil Sands Leaks Than Clean Them Up / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

As the Canadian government pushes a new law rendering pipeline companies liable for all damages from leaks and spills, the only friend to both sides in this polarized world of dirty oil sands is leak prevention technology.

On May 14, amid heightened opposition to two planned pipelines, Canada's Natural Resources Ministry unveiled a new law making pipeline operators liable for all the costs and damages related to oil spills, regardless of whether the operators were at fault or demonstrated negligence.
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Commodities

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Gold Price Slipping Again While Silver Sees Further Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Gold: Slipping again

Gold Spot price (GOLDS-1,249.73, see Figure 28) retained a tight trading range through April and May, allowing speculation as to resolution. We have been neutral awaiting technical evidence of a directional move which has now taken place to the downside, breaking the lower band of the tight trading range and failing under the 2012 downtrend again.

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Commodities

Monday, June 02, 2014

Gold Mining and Environment—Facts vs. Myths / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Casey_Research

By Laurynas Vegys, Research Analyst

“I would NEVER invest in a mining company—they destroy land, pollute our water and air, and wreck the habitat of plants and animals.”

These were the points made to me by a woman at a social gathering after I told her what I do for living. She prided herself on her moral high ground and looked upon me with obvious disdain. It was clear that as a mining researcher, I was partly responsible for destroying the environment.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, June 02, 2014

Crude Oil Price for the Bulls or Bears? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Friday, crude oil lost 0.61% as disappointing U.S. economic data and profit taking weighted on the price. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude declined below $103, approaching its first downside target. What’s next?

On Friday, the data showed that the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index ticked up to 81.9, disappointing  analytics expectations for a reading of 82.5. Additionally, the Commerce Department reported that personal spending in the U.S. dropped 0.1% last month, also below expectations for a 0.2% rise, while U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (without food and energy) rose 0.2% in April, in line with expectations. These disappointing data fueled worries that demand in the largest oil-consuming nation wouldn't be strong enough to reduce high supplies.

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Commodities

Monday, June 02, 2014

Gold Price Short-Term Bottom Coming Due / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jim_Curry

In light of the recent developments in the Gold market, I wanted to post an article on the current cyclic configuration - and what we can expect in the very near future. Since my prior article back in December of last year, we have seen the expected larger countertrend rally with the combination of the 72 and 154-day cycles, which were able to take the metal up to a mid-March peak of 1392.80. The chart below shows the larger 154-day component, which is seen as heading lower into the month of August, which is plus or minus a month in either direction:

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Commodities

Monday, June 02, 2014

Axel Merk - Why I launched OUNZ, the deliverable Gold ETF / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Axel_Merk

InvestmentNews calls it "the gold bug's dream ETF" -- well, gold bugs come in various shades of gold, and some of them may be difficult to please. I had the more modest goal of bringing to market a physical gold ETF that addresses some of the perceived shortcomings of other ways of investing in gold. I'll share some of the amazing journey behind the new Merk Gold Trust, a gold ETF that allows investors to take physical delivery of the gold represented by their shares, recently launched on the NYSE.

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