Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Decade of Lost Jobs, Worst Since the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Mike_Shedlock
Before taking a look at the worst 10-year job growth record since the Great Depression, let's take a look at the unexpected rise in weekly unemployment claims.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
U.S. Federal Budget, Where Do The Dollars Drain? / Economics / US Debt
By: Global_Research
Emily Spence writes: In order to raise sales and personal royalty gains, Alan Greenspan, just prior to the release of his book The Age of Turbulence, carried out a public relations blitz dragged out for a whole week in which he made remarks similar to those conveyed in his hardback. These included statements such as “I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.”
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Not Green Shoots of Economic Recovery, Just Falling Leaves / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Browne
While corporate earnings fell by some 38 percent in the first quarter, a dismal performance by just about anyone's reckoning, Wall Street took heart that the results were not as bad as the consensus estimates had predicted. Straws were frantically grasped. Buoyed by the resulting talk of “green shoots” and the hope of a relatively quick economic recovery, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged nearly 40% from its lows.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Inflation or Hyperinflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Axel_Merk
Inflation is dead – long live inflation! We hear about the threat of hyperinflation in the media – is this for real, can it happen in the U.S.? Are we hyping up the word inflation, is it an inflationary play of words to grab attention to discuss the threat of hyperinflation? Let’s deflate the hype and put inflation where it belongs… at the forefront of your concerns.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Bankrupt Banking System Bailouts & Stimulus , You Can't Borrow Your Way Out of Debt / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: James_Quinn
“Rather than love, than money, than fame, give me truth.” - Henry David Thoreau
Time is running out. The public relations campaign being conducted by the Obama administration, Federal Reserve and nation’s largest banks is beginning to fail. The lies, half-truths, and cover-up regarding the solvency of the largest banks in the U.S. will be revealed as reality interrupts their master plan. The politicians and government bureaucrats know that 80% of the population don’t understand or care about economic issues. The plan is insidious, systematic and deceptively simple:
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
What the Index of Leading Economic Indicators is Really Telling Us / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Claus Vogt writes: The Conference Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) is an outstanding tool to predict recessions. This index is reported monthly and is made up of economic components that can reflect upcoming changes in the overall economy. Since 1960 it has been extremely reliable, and it played an important role in my 2007 recession forecast.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Don't Count On Asia To Lead Worldwide Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Those who think Asia is going to lead the recovery need to think again. Please consider Japan Export Slump Deepens, Casting Doubt on Recovery.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
The Great Depression Revisited / Economics / Economic Depression
By: MISES
Hans F. Sennholz writes: Although the Great Depression engulfed the world economy many years ago, it lives on as a nightmare for individuals old enough to remember and as a frightening specter in the textbooks of our youth.
Some 13 million Americans were unemployed, "not wanted" in the production process. One worker out of every four was walking the streets in want and despair. Thousands of banks, hundreds of thousands of businesses, and millions of farmers fell into bankruptcy or ceased operations entirely.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
The Miracle of the Market / Economics / Economic Theory
By: LewRockwell
Ludwig von Mises didn’t like references to the "miracle" of the marketplace or the "magic" of production or other terms that suggest that economic systems depend on some force that is beyond human comprehension. In his view, we are better off coming to a rational understanding of why markets are responsible for astounding levels of productivity that can support exponential increases in population and ever higher living standards.
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
U.S. Economic Indicators Rise Showing the End of Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
The index of U.S. leading economic indicators rose in May for a second consecutive month and a regional factory gauge climbed more than forecast in June, showing the worst recession in five decades may soon end.
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Unemployment Crisis Grips U.S. States / Economics / US Economy
By: Global_Research
Tom Eley writes: The unemployment rate increased in 48 of 50 states and Washington, DC, in May, according to US Department of Labor statistics. For the year as a whole, the jobless rate has increased in every state, and in eight states it is now at its highest level since 1976, when monthly state-level statistics were first issued by the federal government. The national jobless rate in May rose to 9.4 percent.
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
A Tale of Two Economic Depressions / Economics / Economic Depression
By: John_Mauldin
This week's Outside the box looks at some very interesting research done by two economic historians, Barry Eichengreen of the University of California at Berkeley and Kevin O'Rourke of Trinity College, Dublin They give us comparisons between the Great Depression and today's downturn. They continue to update their data from time to time, the link to their work is at http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3421. I have not previously heard of www.voxeu.org, but it is a collection of the work of well regarded international economists that seems quite interesting for those who enjoy readings in the dismal science.
Monday, June 22, 2009
The Big Inflationist Scare / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are reading Pushing on a String by Gary North.
Gary always writes an interesting column. Indeed, there is too much to excerpt that I suggest reading it. Gary has many of his facts correct, yet still manages to come to the wrong conclusion.
Monday, June 22, 2009
California's Economy Collapsing / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: Washington and Wall Street seem to be treating California as if it were a sideshow in the financial circus of these turbulent times.
It’s not.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
A High Unemployment Rate Correlates to a High Rate of Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
It absolutely amazes me how sanguine the Fed, Treasury and Administration are about the prospects for subdued inflation. What they and many economists like to point to as the source of their optimism is the high rate of unemployment, which is currently 9.4%.
Monday, June 22, 2009
The US Economy: Recession, Depression and Monetary Mismanagement / Economics / US Economy
By: Gerard_Jackson
The Institute for Supply Management reports that May was the "16th consecutive month of contraction in the manufacturing sector". Even though the contraction appears to be slowing the demand for capital goods continues to drop with no sign of a reversal in sight as of yet. Of course, this fall in demand has hit the producers of capital goods. In the meantime unemployment continues to rise with some commentators expecting it to reach 11 per cent before the year is out and maybe even climb to 12 per cent next year. Therefore the current signs suggest the US could be sliding into an actual depression, if it isn't there already.
Monday, June 22, 2009
Deflation vs Hyperinflation, Déjà Vu All Over Again. Once More / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: LewRockwell
Bill Bonner writes: Rarely have we been criticized for understating trouble. But trouble keeps getting ahead of us. We can barely keep up with it. So often have we anticipated “disaster” or “catastrophe” that the words now fall like empty shells. We light the fuses; they don’t go off. Alas, we have become alarmists with no bell or siren. We break the glass and pull the lever every week, but no sound is heard…except the familiar words whispered with in a hoarse, weary voice…watch out!
Monday, June 22, 2009
Is the Economic Rebound For Real? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon III writes: U.S. stocks suffered their first weekly loss since May last week, further exacerbating trader concern that the bullish surge that sent share prices up as much as 40% from their March lows may have been overdone.
Monday, June 22, 2009
No Green Shoots of Economic Recovery with US Debt at 700% of GDP / Economics / US Debt
By: Phil_Williams
What have we learned in 2,000 years?
"The budget should be balanced, the Treasury should be refilled, public debt should be reduced, the arrogance of officialdom should be tempered and controlled, and the assistance to foreign lands should be curtailed lest Rome become bankrupt. People must again learn to work, instead of living on public assistance." -Cicero - 55 BC
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Sunday, June 21, 2009
Inflation or Deflation, Which is More Likely? / Economics / Deflation
By: Brian_Bloom
“Hyperinflation” in the USA is a concept which has been freely bandied about in recent weeks, and a friend – who lives in Switzerland – recently queried this analyst’s view that deflation is the more likely eventual outcome for the world economy as a whole. In the conversation which ensued, what finally emerged was that communication on the subject is fraught with definitional issues.