Friday, July 01, 2016

Italian Banks & Moving The Risk During Crisis / Companies / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Dan_Amerman

Europe is changing by the hour and the day at this point. In this analysis, I'm going to take a quick look at critical events that have happened in Italy in the last day or so, and how they relate to my recent Video Guide To Bail-Ins series. I will be using three current Bloomberg articles that came out in the space of about 7 hours as references.

Italy did a bail-in of four banks at the end of 2015, which inflicted bail-in losses on many individual savers, using the process explained in Video #2 of the series, "Comparison Of Bail-Outs vs Bail-Ins For Banks", linked below.

Friday, July 01, 2016

Gold-to-Palladium Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Just behind the podium of precious metals (occupied by gold, silver and platinum) is palladium – an important, but often overlooked investment commodity. Like in case of silver and platinum, the gold-to-palladium ratio indicates the current state of the precious metals market. Investors may benefit from watching a ratio, as it helps to determine the strength of gold compared to palladium. Technically, the number is the price of gold divided by the price of palladium. It shows how many ounces of palladium one ounce of gold can buy.

Friday, July 01, 2016

Will PayPal Ever Hit Its Stock Price Target? / Companies / Corporate News

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Can shares of PayPal, which began trading as an independent company last year after its spinoff from eBay, manage to reach its share price target estimated by analysis at $45 a share? According to comments on Twitter and StockTwits, a financial social media platform from back when PayPal first began trading, many thought that this was certainly possible. Right at the beginning, PayPal shares were closing at around $40, valuing PayPal at $49.4 billion. However, currently, PayPal share prices are valued at $35.08, just under $10 less than their share price target for 2016.

Friday, July 01, 2016

SPX testing critical resistance...again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

You may remember the Expanded Flat level at 2116.00, representing the November 3 high. The June 8 high slightly overshot it at 2120.55. Well, today’s target happens to be…2116.00 again! You simply cannot make this up. It may slightly overshoot (again), but this may be the most critical resistance that we have seen.

Friday, July 01, 2016

Gold's Final Warning of Impending Monetary Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

Gold is currently trading in excess of $1300 an ounce. This is well above the 1980 all-time high. However, this is an incomplete representation of what gold is trading at relative to US dollars. When you look at the gold price relative to US currency in existence (US Monetary Base), then it is close to the lowest value it has ever been.

This in itself is a major warning regarding the sustainability of the current monetary system. In other words, the monetary system is the most debased it has ever been. Furthermore, not only is the monetary system at an all-time high stress-point, but also, this comes at the worst possible time relative to other key conditions.

Friday, July 01, 2016

China Can and Will Confiscate Gold When it Suits Them! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

China can and will confiscate gold from the SGE, banks and Chinese citizens, when it suits them

By far the greater bulk of gold owned in China is under the control of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and they are controlled by the Chinese Central Bank, the People's Bank of China. Should they wish to confiscate their citizen's and institution's gold, it can be done overnight. This includes gold held in Hong Kong. We see Singapore bowing to the will of China in such an event too.

Friday, July 01, 2016

Barclays Doesn’t Need More Capital Even With Brexit, Staley Says - Video / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: Bloomberg

Barclays CEO Jes Staley says in a Bloomberg Television interview with Erik Schatzker that the bank didn’t see stress in funding during market volatility.

He says:

- No agreed-upon sales of non-core assets had clauses that would cancel them because of Brexit.

- Stock decline prompted by earnings concerns, not capital or liquidity questions.

Friday, July 01, 2016

Carney Sparks More RISK ON Market Trades / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Consider this a follow up to my earlier post about the Bank of England’s Mark Carney’s rescue of the financial stocks and the overall stock indices.

We have reached a point where these Central Bankers can move markets at will, merely by uttering the magic words. ” PRESTO – CHANGO; ABRACADABRA! The Central Banks have plenty of tools at their disposal to combat those things which might hamper growth prospects or stock value prospects”.

TRANSLATION – More liquidity – even lower rates – more bond buying, etc.

Friday, July 01, 2016

Reviewing the Basics of the Elliott Wave Principle: The Triangle - Video / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Free Lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom

The Wave Principle classifies price action as either motive or corrective. Corrective waves move opposite the direction of the primary trend and include the zigzag, flat, triangle and combinations of these patterns. They offer traders an opportunity to rejoin the larger trend. Today, you can watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom in which he teaches you the basics of the triangle, a sideways correction, and shows an example in the chart of Pfizer, Inc. (PFE).

Friday, July 01, 2016

Gold, Silver Reaction Following Brexit, Central Bank Desperation Never More Evident… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses market reactions post-Brexit vote.

Friday, July 01, 2016

Stock Market Rally is Wearning Thin / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is pulling back from a 21-wave impulse to 2096.68. The rally cannot get any steeper than this as the rally made 5.27% in three days. An 86.3% retracement.

For simplicity sake, I am labeling this Wave C of (2), which makes this an irregular correction. For political sake, this quarter needed to close above the March 31 closing price of 2059.74, about a 1.5% gain (with lots of volatility) for the past quarter. The trendline may be crossed at or below 2090.00.

Friday, July 01, 2016

UK Interest Rate Cut to 0.25% Imminent and More QE Money Printing / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The establishments operation fear had painted a relentless propaganda picture all year for a significant rise in UK interest rates following a Brexit outcome that was destined to send consumer borrowing rates soaring, which at the time I repeatedly warned was just NOT going to happen for the fundamental reason that BrExit induced uncertainty would make a rate hike LESS likely as the last thing the Bank of England would want to do is to add to market uncertainty i.e. the complete opposite to REMAIN propaganda. In fact I stated that a BrExit could even result in a rate CUT as the following excerpt illustrates:

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Michael 'Little Finger' Gove Slays Boris 'Baratheon' Johnson in Game of Thrones for Next Tory PM / Politics / UK Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

David Cameron's announcement to step down as Prime Minister by early September propelled Brexit Leader Boris Johnson to become the favourite to takeover as Britain's next Tory Leader and Prime Minister. However, the great game for the Tory 'iron throne' was on, as Michael Gove today both discredited Boris Johnson whom he was supposed to be the campaign manager for and then went against EVERYTHING he has stated during the EU Referendum Campaign, in fact against everything he has been saying for the past 4 years by declaring that he himself would now stand for the Tory Leadership, so it looks like Gove, just like 'Little Finger' has apparently been manoeuvring towards the Tory 'iron throne' all along!

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Gold, Silver, Bonds and Stocks Path Towards Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Yes, it’s another inflation post going up even as inflation expectations are in the dumper and casino patrons just cannot get enough of Treasury and Government bonds yielding 0%, near 0% and below 0%.

Feel free to tune out the lunatic inflation theories you’ve found at nftrh.com over the last few weeks.  But if by chance you do want to look, here’s a visual path we have taken to arrive at the barn door, behind which are all those inflated chickens, roosting and waiting.  All sorts of animals will get out of the barn if macro signals activate.

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Silver Surges, Up 16% In Dollars In Month as Breaks Out Above $18 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Silver is another 0.5% higher today after yesterday’s 3% gains when silver flew through resistance at the $18 level to close at $18.26/oz. Silver has surged by similar amounts in euros and by 22% in beleaguered sterling.

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Stock Market SPX Rally Nearing its End as DB Gets Slammed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is up just a point. The rally may be over, or nearly so. There is a 50% probability of a last probe to the 50-day Moving Average at 2076.45 or slightly higher. Today has a minor pivot, but tomorrow’s pivot is very strong. My best analysis suggests a flat to mildly down day with the fireworks beginning tomorrow.

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Brexit & The Precipice / Politics / European Union

By: Dan_Amerman

With the victory of the "Leave" camp in the June 23rd referendum in the United Kingdom, the world finds itself on the edge of a financial precipice.

Crucially - we are not over the edge, not yet. But it is right in front of us.

This is far more serious than anything that we have seen since 2008. And if we go over that edge then something potentially much worse than 2008 is in front of us. Which is exactly why Alan Greenspan is saying this is the worst financial situation of his lifetime, and why George Soros is now predicting that the disintegration of the EU and the euro is "practically irreversible".

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Gold and Silver Precious Metals Bull Market Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to update some of the precious metals stock indexes as they have been basically consolidating for the last couple of months. This has been healthy for this sector which has been on fire since the middle of January of this year.

The first chart for tonight is one of the laggards but you couldn't tell it by looking at the daily chart. The $CDNX, which is a Canadian small cap index, is made up of many precious metal and oil stocks. We've been following this one since it broke above the S&R line back in February. In March it built out its first consolidation pattern for its new bull market which was the blue expanding rising wedge. The blue arrows measures the first impulse move up. After the initial price objective was hit in early May the $CDNX built out another bullish consolidation pattern which was the bullish rising wedge. The price objective for the blue bullish rising wedge is shown by the red arrows. On Monday of this week there was a fairly strong backtest to the top rail but today's price action has now cleared the top rail again after forming the red bull flag as the backtest. It's always a good sign when you see a consolidation pattern sloping in the direction of the main trend.

Thursday, June 30, 2016

S&P 500 Gets Back Above 2,050 Mark, As Investors Shrug Off Brexit News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, June 30, 2016

14 Signs the World Is on the Verge of Generational Chaos / Politics / Social Issues

By: John_Mauldin

It is one of the great ironies of life that each generation believes its experiences are unique. The reality is that we have seen this movie before—with different actors, plot twists, and technological advancements.

The basic plot seems to push along a hauntingly familiar path.

In 1997, Neil Howe and William Strauss introduced the concept of Fourth Turning. They divided the population into four generational archetypes: Hero, Artist, Prophet, and Nomad. (read more about the archetypes and their characteristics here)

Each generation consists of people who were born and came of age at the same period in history. They had similar experiences and thus gravitated toward similar attitudes.