Thursday, June 16, 2016
The US Consumer-Driven Economy Has Hit a Brick Wall / Economics / US Economy
By: John_Mauldin
Tony Sagami writes: Get a load of this headline from a German newspaper, which translates into “Extreme Low Interest: Who Saves Is the Fool.”
Thursday, June 16, 2016
Bitcoin Price Going Parabolic Again, Now At $730 and Up 60%+ In Last Three Weeks / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
Bitcoin has soared more than 60% in the last three weeks, from $450 to above $700 in a parabolic move.
Thursday, June 16, 2016
How Will a Brexit Vote Impact Gold and Silver Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jason_Hamlin
The June 23 referendum on whether or not the UK should leave the EU is fast approaching. New polls show that those favoring a leave vote or “Brexit” are leading by 10 to 20 points.This has sent ripples through the markets, as a Brexit is likely to cause economic chaos in the EU, cripple European banks and lead to a Recession.
It is not that voters in the United Kingdom want nothing to do with the EU. Instead, they prefer a mutually-beneficial economic relationship, rather than an economic and political arrangement with the Europenan Union:
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Thursday, June 16, 2016
FED Leaves US Interest Rates Unchanged, Gold and Silver Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jason_Hamlin
Gold and silver both erased morning declines and pushed higher today after FED chair Janet Yellen announced they would leave interest rates unchanged. Policy makers gave a mixed picture of the U.S. economy, citing growth in some sectors but slowing job gains. While the median forecast of 17 policy makers remained at two quarter-point hikes this year, the number of officials who see just one move rose to six from one in the previous forecasting round in March. The market now sees less than a 50 percent chance of even one rise by year-end. I also expect a maximum of one rate hike this year from the Fed Chair Who Keeps Yellen’ Wolf.
Thursday, June 16, 2016
China's Hard Landing Has Already Begun! / Economics / China Economy
By: Gordon_T_Long
The Financial Repression Authority is joined by Richard Duncan, an esteemed author, economist, consultant and speaker. FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long discusses with Mr. Duncan about the current Chinese situation and the ramifications being imposed on the global economy.
Richard Duncan is the author of three books on the global economic crisis. The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures (John Wiley & Sons, 2003, updated 2005), predicted the current global economic disaster with extraordinary accuracy. It was an international bestseller. His second book was The Corruption of Capitalism: A strategy to rebalance the global economy and restore sustainable growth. It was published by CLSA Books in December 2009. His latest book is The New Depression: The Breakdown Of The Paper Money Economy (John Wiley & Sons, 2012).
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Thursday, June 16, 2016
Fed Does Nothing As Expected.... Stock Market Nowhere As Always....Brexit on Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market, for the most part, has been trading down lately due to the uncertainty the Euro zone is facing once next Thursday comes and goes. That's when we find out if Britain stays or goes out of the Euro zone. Fear of them leaving has the market mostly on the down side with the banks the most vulnerable and overall taking the hardest hits lower. They rebounded from very oversold today but they have the most risk ahead of and after the vote. If the vote is to stay they should have quite a rebound higher, but again, the unknown is having a very short-term adverse-affect for them, and, thus, the market overall. The banks are also vulnerable because, as we saw today, Fed Yellen is once again in no rush to raise rates, even though they badly need to do so. If rates stay down, and Brexit is a negative, the banks are in big trouble. Yellen is totally dependent on future Jobs Reports, with regards to deciding when to raise rates one more time for 2016.
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Thursday, June 16, 2016
Crude Oil Price - Oil Bears vs. Support Zone / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Tuesday, crude oil lost 1.36% as rising uncertainty around Brexit weighed on investors' sentiment (leaving the European Union by Britain could trigger a recession and slow demand for crude in Europe). In these circumstances, light crude declined under the short-term support line and approached the Jun lows. Will we see lower prices in the coming days?
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
The Rush to Gold: A New Respect Is Growing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
You didn't come here today for bad news. There's plenty of that everywhere you look, and even where you don't look.
So here's the good news. A new rush to gold has begun. To see where we're headed, let's first see where we've been.
Gold and silver owners in the first ten years of this new century were in for quite a ride, watching gold soar to $1,895 and silver to $49 by 2011. Even those who jumped in midway saw their paper money values zoom.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Central Bankers Are Wrong About Inflation and Deflation / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: Frank_Shostak
The majority of economists view deflation as a general decline in prices of goods and services. This is viewed as a major threat to the public’s well-being for deflation is seen as a major factor that plunges the economy into an economic depression. Most of them are of the view that central banks and governments’ worldwide must aggressively fight the possible emergence of deflation. This way of thinking stems from an erroneous view of what deflation is. As a result, it is overlooked that it is not deflation but rather monetary pumping which is the root of economic hardship.
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
During the Next Financial Crisis, Entire Countries Will Go Bust / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For seven years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.
All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. Similarly, anyone with a functioning brain could tell you that a bunch of academics with no real-world experience, none of whom have ever started a business or created a single job can’t “save” the economy.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Alignment Of The Dow, Interest Rates, Debt and Silver Cycles Will Deliver A Fatal Blow / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
Since the inception of the debt-based monetary system (with its fractional-reserve banking), the banks have been playing a nasty game of Russian roulette. The only reason that the system has not blown-up is because the relevant cycles have not adequately lined up to deliver a fatal blow.
They have been allowed to play it long enough, and it now appears that the fatal blow will be delivered soon (just like Russian roulette when you play it long enough). The coming Dow crash is the likely trigger that will deliver this blow.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX may have met its match with the Broadening trendline at a 35% retracement. The peak came at 10:13 am, just 7 minutes over the 30.1 hours required to complete the Cycle.
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Bollinger Band Trading Strategy / InvestorEducation / Trading Systems
By: Chris_Drinkwater
John Bollinger developed what was to become known as Bollinger Bands as a useful measurement of volatility. It is I think unnecessary to go into the maths of the Bollinger Band as they can be found on every trading platform.
As John Bollinger himself noted low volatility begets high volatility so it is useful to have a graphic representation of low volatility so that we can look for our entry in that area to take advantage of the high volatility that must come.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
EU Referendum: Have the Bookmakers Got it Wrong? LEAVE Opinion Polls Lead / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A string of recent opinion polls such as Opiniun giving LEAVE a 19 point lead or ORB's giving LEAVE a 10% lead are not being reflected by the bookmakers betting odds. And even if we ignore some of these more extreme polls because there is no way LEAVE is going to win by 19% or even 10%, then still as my recent analysis illustrates that LEAVE have been nudging into the lead which is just NOT being reflected by the betting that is still heavily skewed in favour of REMAIN.
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
The Lies That Sustain US / Politics / US Politics
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
America has one of the best and fastest growing auto manufacturers in the world and no one seems to know the company. Let me explain.
The US D.O.P.E. (Department Of Pathological Embellishment - a.k.a. the ‘Commerce Department’) just put out some great news that was so obviously meant to stem the now 3-day selloff in stocks. The great news is americans are spending money like drunken sailors on leave. Of course, anyone with a brain cell knows very well that the DOPE is simply a vestige of Nazi-ism in that it is a propaganda wing of a regime intent on deceit. So, to make us happy, or to make us believe all is well, we are told that consumers are spending money and the economy is about to take off!!! Isn’t ‘next quarter’ always going to be the quarter the economy heats up?
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Gold Bull Or Bear Market: Why June 2016 Is The Most Important Month Of The Decade / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Gold is said to be in a bull market again, but we disagree with that. According to our methodology, gold will only enter a bull market if it will trade for at least 5 consecutive days above $1291. So far, that has not happened, but could happen in June of 2016.
The reason why $1291 is such a hugely important price point for gold can be derived from gold’s long term chart seen below. Basically, $1291 is both a key Fibonacci retracement level for gold’s secular uptrend (from 2001 till 2011) and the resistance line of the bear market. The combination of both has an extremely high importance.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
EUR-USD : Strong Jobs Numbers Suggest Fed Reluctance to Raise US Interest Rates / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Submissions
Options Shark writes: In spite of currently dismal employment numbers, Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chair, has announced that federal interest rates will increase. Economists expect to see changes as late as September or July of this year; some believe the rate could be raised as much as twice. Prior to December, the federal interest rate was a steady 0% for the previous seven years; the current rate is 0.5%. The raise in December was monumental after the economy steadily climbed thanks to the central bank’s decision to lower the rate to zero.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
A solid bid returned to the Gold sector this past week as the market saw a solid Gold Rally. And the GLD ETF alone added more than 15 tons of Gold. The precious metals Miners, which had fallen 10% from their recent Cycle highs, rallied to recover all of their losses, and to print new 2016 highs.
Considering that the Dollar also moved sharply higher last week (and continued to start the week) out of its own Cycle Low, the action in the Gold market is surprisingly bullish. If Gold were destined to decline for one more Daily Cycle into an Investor Cycle Low (ICL), I would have expected a rising Dollar to be the catalyst to send it lower.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
How to Invest for Brexit Report / Stock-Markets / EU_Referendum
By: EWI
Dear reader,
If you follow Europe's major financial news networks, you're no doubt inundated by all the rumor and conjecture surrounding the Brexit referendum -- it dominates the headlines.
Back across the pond, the Washington Post calls it the "most important vote in Europe in a half-century."
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Stock Market Short of the Decade? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has completed two impulses down. Wave [i] ended at 2088.30. The second impulse ended at 2064.18. If it is Wave [iii], then Wave 1 may end near 2035.00 to 2040.00, a bit short of our initial target. The second impulse has filled its only gap this morning, so it is not acting like a Wave [iii]. That suggests something else is going on.
If this is a {i]-[ii], (i)-(ii) combination, then Wave (iii) may be a multiple of the two combined waves (56.37 points).
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