Saturday, March 26, 2016
Who Sets the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
How is the price of gold established? Scratching the surface, the answer seems obvious: it is a result of a free interplay of market forces. However, there is no single gold market; the yellow metal is traded in many places. Who then sets the price of gold? London or New York? Which of them shapes the price discovery process? What is the relationship between the LBMA Gold Price and Comex futures and spot prices? As the chart below shows, there is an almost perfect correlation between London and New York prices; but which leads the dance?
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Saturday, March 26, 2016
Stock Market SPX & Crude Oil at Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The SPX at the 2050 level looks like a great place for a ‘pullback’ to begin as indicated in the chart below. There is a potential “distribution topping phase” in which the SPX may pull back to 2000. I see a potential target at 1890.
The price has made a series of lower swing highs and lower swing lows since topping in 2015. There was a big August 2015 sell-off, followed by a rally to a lower high in November 2015, then a sell-off to a lower low in January 2016. The rally currently is still at a lower high than the November 2015 high.
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Friday, March 25, 2016
Gold Stocks Spring Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The red-hot gold stocks have spent most of March in consolidation mode, grinding sideways near their 2016 highs. Interestingly this month’s rally pause is par for the course seasonally in gold-stock bull markets. Like gold itself, this sector tends to slump to a seasonal low in mid-March before embarking on a strong spring rally in April and May. With gold stocks back in a bull, their seasonality warrants consideration.
Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year. While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals. We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions. The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.
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Friday, March 25, 2016
BEA Revises U.S. GDP Economic Growth Upward to 1.38% for Q4 2015 / Economics / US Economy
By: CMI
In their third and final estimate of the US GDP for the fourth quarter of 2015, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the economy was growing at a +1.38% annualized rate, up +0.38% from their previous estimate for the fourth quarter, but still down -0.61% from the third quarter.
The improvement was broadly based, with the revision to consumer expenditures for services having the greatest impact (+0.34%). Exports (+0.09%) and imports (+0.02%) also improved, as did commercial fixed investment (+0.04%) and governmental expenditures (+0.03%).
Friday, March 25, 2016
Fiscal and Monetary Madness / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: DeviantInvestor
Global Currencies Madness:
When central banks and politicians “manage” global currencies, we can expect:
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Friday, March 25, 2016
Pre-1965 Silver Pocket Change Provides Investors With an Economic Future / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Among all the choices you have for gold and silver bullion, genuinely historic metal is still around at reasonable prices. The runaway classic is ninety-percent U.S. silver coinage.
The lyrical ring of a handful of silver coins speaks not only to the history of the United States but also the entire heritage of sound money. Simply put, pre-1965 silver used to be called "pocket change." Everyone had some, saved some, spent some. Silver money was a natural part of everyday life.
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Friday, March 25, 2016
Belgium Has Fallen, Will London be Next to Fall if BrExit Fails? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The terror attacks on Belgium following a few months on from the Paris outrage are as a consequence of several reasons topped by the catastrophe in Syria that is sending out ripples of chaos that in the first instance are hitting neighbouring countries such as Turkey and Lebanon and increasingly Europe as a consequence of having sent 10,000 disaffected and marginalised muslim youth with little to live for to Syria to seek a way out of the void of their meaningless lives that the Islamic State seeks to fill with promises of instant rewards for eternity in paradise.
Friday, March 25, 2016
Don't Be Fooled: News Does NOT Drive the Markets - Elliott Wave Crash Course / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
See a fresh example in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, explains how using the news to predict the markets is "meaningless."
Friday, March 25, 2016
UEFA Champions League 2016 PepsiCo Walkers Prizes Delivery 3 / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
By: Adnaan_Walayat
Its time to find out what's in our THIRD batch of prizes delivered, won in the easy to to win UEFA champions league PEPSI and walkers crisps promo, see the tallys for whats recieved and what's still pending as clues of what to expect. The comp's still running so make sure to check out our other videos giving tips on how to maximise wins.
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Friday, March 25, 2016
Dow Transports and Utilities Suggest Stocks Bull Market Is Back / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Austin_Galt
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) and Dow Jones Utility Average (DJU) indexes are often seen as leading indicator of the overall stock market. With that in mind, let's analyse the technicals of each index.
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) is a stock market index of the American transportation sector. Price last traded at $7957.
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Friday, March 25, 2016
EUR/USD Likely to Fall Back Below 1.10 / Currencies / Euro
By: Richard_Cox
The EUR/USD has fallen under the radar in recent weeks, as overall volatility in the currency space as slowed significantly. There are a few different reasons for why this is happening, as recent central bank statements have clarified what we are likely to start seeing from both the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB). To some extent, we are seeing dovish alterations in many of the previous expectations that most analysts had for both central banks. So, it would not be entirely surprising to see some accompanying trend changes in the weeks ahead.
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Thursday, March 24, 2016
US Economic Growth Remains Sluggish…Markets Remain Uninspired / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
This morning’s Durables Goods report underscored just how moribund economic growth in the US remains.
Additionally we learn that US business investment remains lackluster at best.
While Central Banks are spiking the punch bowl, it appears the party goers are not imbibing.
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Thursday, March 24, 2016
The 'Dangerous Obsession' with Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
"Gold has worked down from Alexander's time. When something holds good for two thousand years I do not believe it can be so because of prejudice or mistaken theory." Bernard Baruch
"The commerce and industry of the country, however, it must be acknowledged, though they may be somewhat augmented [by paper money], cannot be altogether so secure, when they are thus, as it were, suspended upon the Daedalian wings of paper money, as when they travel about upon the solid ground of gold and silver." Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations, p. 262
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Thursday, March 24, 2016
US Dollar Rebound Spells Further Downside for the Kiwi Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: AnyOption
With rhetoric for US rates hikes ramping higher while other advanced economies across the globe consider the merits of additional accommodation, the US dollar has found itself on the mend after several weeks of softness. Even though US macroeconomic data has been mixed and at times disappointing, first quarter growth is projected to be strong, paving the way for additional tightening while countries such as New Zealand contemplate lowering benchmark rates even further. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 24, 2016
FT Misinterprets Sterling Market Action on BrExit Fears, EU Referendum Propaganda? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A recent article in the FT's EU Referendum fear campaign is concerned with the rise in the cost of insuring against a fall in sterling as a consequences of the increasing risks of BrExit that it attributes to the Brussels terror attacks. The story is a continuation of operation Fear that began with Boris Johnson's declaring to join the LEAVE / BrExit campaign.
Thursday, March 24, 2016
Stock Market SPX May Gap Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX crossed another short-term trendline in the Premarket and appears to be challenging its Short-term support at 2020.07. Should SPX gap beneath that level at the open, we may be in for a fast ride to Intermediate-term support at 1854.42. It is my opinion that 2040.00 was the most important support of the rally.
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Thursday, March 24, 2016
Share Buybacks: Destructive Innovation That's Keeping Stock Market Bull Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"A man sits as many risks as he runs." ~ Henry David Thoreau
Robin Hood robbed the Rich to help the poor; in the modern day version the Rich rob both Robin Hood and the poor to become even richer. The rich in this case are the greedy corporations and the officers that run the show behind the scenes. In this lazy world, the only thing that matters is money and how to make as much of it as fast as possible. Hence, the best way to boost earnings without doing anything is to buy back boatloads of shares and in doing so artificially boost earnings. It is a perfect scam.
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Thursday, March 24, 2016
Stock Market Uptrend Reversal Or Just Downward Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, March 24, 2016
BBA statistics show that UK mortgage borrowing is 33% higher than a year ago / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
Charlotte Nelson, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, comments: “Mortgage borrowing has shown yet another year-on-year rise, which is unsurprising considering that rates in the mortgage market are still falling to new all-time lows. For example, the average two-year fixed mortgage rate has decreased from 3.06% to 2.56% in just 12 months, while the average five-year fixed rate has dropped from 3.60% to 3.20% over the same period.
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Thursday, March 24, 2016
The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase.U.S. oil production has steadily lost ground over the past two quarters, with production falling more than a half million barrels per day since hitting a peak at nearly 9.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in April 2015. American oil companies have gutted their budgets and have put off drilling plans, with many projecting absolute declines in 2016.
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