Monday, December 07, 2015
The NYA Index is in a Triangular Pattern ... Very Close to a Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A money battle is going on as Inflowing Liquidity levels are trying to keep the market up and Institutional Investors are resisting by staying in low Distribution and not taking Inflowing Liquidity's direction yet.
This should be a volatile week with higher than normal risk levels.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Soros' Financial Markets Reflexivity Gone Too Far / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Evidence of Soros' Theory of Reflexivity remaining prevalent in financial markets re-emerged this week as the euro made its biggest single day advance since the Fed's announcement of QE in 2009. Simply put, the euro soared 4% due to misplaced and unfulfilled market expectations that the ECB would increase the size of its monthly asset purchases. The crowding out of euro-short algos was pivotal in the magnitude of the resulting short squeeze. But questioning the intensity of euro shorts deserves more time and attention than criticizing or doubting a central banker's decision.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Popular One-year Pensioner Bond is Coming to an End / Personal_Finance / Saving Bonds
January marks the one-year anniversary of the launch of the 65+ Guaranteed Growth Bonds (also known as the Pensioner Bonds), which means that those who invested in the one-year fixed version would be wise to start looking for a new home for their cash.
It’s estimated that over a million older savers snapped up the one and three-year bonds paying 2.80% and 4.00% respectively last year. According to calculations by Moneyfacts.co.uk, savers will have earned £280 in interest before tax if the maximum of £10,000 was invested over the one-year term.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Stocks Retraced Thursday's Decline - New Rally or More Sideways Action? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
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Monday, December 07, 2015
How To Calculate VoIP Costs And Bandwidth In Order To Save Money / Personal_Finance / Money Saving
There are various different reasons why you would want to take advantage of VoIP (Voice Over Internet Protocol) services. We can say that there are numerous advantages that instantly appear when you compare with the regular telephony models. However, this does not mean that you can simply go to the first VoIP provider and get a wonderful deal that you are going to love. You want to be sure that you save as much as possible and that you make a good decision.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 07, 2015
Will The Fed Hurt The S&P 500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stock markets have had a very interesting year in 2015, and many investors have viewed some of the activity with a high degree of skepticism and uncertainty. There are good reasons for this, as it has been very difficult to assess whether or not the US Federal Reserve is actually prepared to start raising interest rates. Without solid information in this area, it can be difficult to start identify the true directional trend that is present in the market. Luckily for investors, these scenarios have started to change.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Silver Rides Along with Gold Price Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Silver broke out with gold on Friday, following an extraordinary plunge in the dollar on Thursday. On its 3-month chart we can see that the ground had been well prepared for this move, with an intermediate base pattern having formed above support for about 3 weeks prior to the breakout. The preceding persistent decline included an extraordinary 15 days down in a row. There were various indications of an impending upside breakout, including the appearance of a bull hammer at the support and a bullish cross by the MACD indicator above its moving average, the large gap with moving averages, and, in the background, silver's COT was improving and gold's COT had become remarkably bullish by last week.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Gold Price Convincing Upside Breakout Triggering Start of Intermediate Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
On Thursday the dollar reversed dramatically to the downside and on Friday gold broke out upside, with both developments being predicated by the most bullish gold COTs for 14 years.
On gold's 3-month chart we can see that, after trying the patience of bulls for weeks as the COT pressure cooker intensified, gold finally broke out on Friday. This was a big decisive breakout on strong volume which COTs indicate is "the real deal". Fortunately the COTs were already so bullish a week ago that we went long ETFs, stocks and Calls before the breakout. As we can see, even after Friday's big move, there is lots more upside potential here, as gold is still heavily oversold on its MACD and way below its 200-day moving average.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Shaking the Stock Market Bush / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
First I would like to apologize for not having any posts on Friday as I had a previous commitment made several weeks ago. I told Fullgoldcrown Thursday night, of all the days to miss work it would have to be Friday. That’s one of the reasons I exited the stock market trades as I know how volatile these 3 X etf’s can be and with the numbers coming out Friday morning I wanted to play it safe right or wrong.
All in all we had some pretty interesting price action in the stock markets on Friday that was very positive. Lets start by looking at the INDU which I’ve been showing a H&S consolidation pattern forming. Thursday’s the price action closed below the 200 dma which is another reason I exited the stock market trades but Friday’s rally closed the day just below of the neckline and back above the 200 dma. What I find interesting is Thursday’s low was a reverse symmetry low taken from the left shoulder’s higher low on the far left hand side of the chart that matches the higher right shoulder low on the right side of the chart, Friday’s price action. We now have two neckline symmetry lines. The neckline symmetry lines are just parallel lines taken from the big neckline that sometimes shows us where to look for the lows for the right shoulders. So at this point the reverse symmetry is as pretty as it gets as shown by the S’s.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Wild Week for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX has resumed its uptrend in order to complete the last phase of the bull market.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, December 07, 2015
Downsizing the News Staff; Downsizing Quality and Credibility / Politics / Mainstream Media
On Monday, Nov. 2, every National Geographic staffer was told to report to the magazine’s Washington, D.C., headquarters the next day to await a phone call or e-mail from Human Resources.
Ever since Rupert Murdoch’s 21st Century Fox corporation bought the magazine in September, there were rumors the new owner would maximize profits by terminating employees. Those predictions came through when Management fired 180 people, and told dozens of others they were being offered “voluntary buy-outs.”
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Stock Market Déjà Vu, Santa Rally New All Time High Forecast After FOMC Meeting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It's Déjà Vu for the stock market following another bumper US Jobs report of +211k that beat the academic economist average expectations of 180k that follows hot on the heels of the November US Jobs positive surprise that once more prompted the consensus to quickly conclude that a Fed December US interest rate hike was a near certainty and likely to result in strongly negative consequences for stocks. However, this is the same consensus that has been blindly betting against the stock market rally for at least the past 3 months.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Is the Stocks Bull Market Over? These Charts Say So / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
For weeks we have been warning not to trust the bounce in stocks. We were worried that a Bear Market had begun.
The most critical item we were concerned with was the fact that the S&P 500, despite its massive bounce, had failed to regain its former trendline. This would suggest a Bear Market was possibly about to begin
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
The Fed, Lindbergh and Scientifically Created Depressions / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
Transcript: non-farm payroll came out yesterday on Friday iraqi amount of 211,000 was expected 200,000 so it better than expected number unemployment rate stayed at five percent in the previous number was revised higher to 298,000 from 271 so it's a good number stock market went there and finish up just under three hundred and seventy points to sense and yeah gordon supra surprisingly went up more than 2% gold was up 25 bucks and it closed above he 1070 level finish around 1086 silver finish more than 40 cents at 14 goals 25 I think so yeah pretty encouraging buy...
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Biotech Stocks Continue to Offer Huge Returns for Investors / Companies / BioTech
Rachel Gearhart writes: Earlier this year, we argued investors should snatch up biotech bargains while they were hot.
And, boy, were we right.
This week’s chart looks at the performance of the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index (NYSE: BTK) and the S&P 500 since the beginning of the year.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Erdogan Blackmails NATO Allies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
You know the country has really gone to the dogs when Washington’s main allies in its war on Syria are the two biggest terrorist incubators on the planet. I’m talking about Saudi Arabia and Turkey, both of which are run by fanatical Islamic zealots devoted to spreading violent jihad to the four corners of the earth. Not that the US doesn’t have blood on its hands too. It does, but that’s beside the point.
The point is that if you’re trying to sell your fake war on terror to the public, then you might want to think twice about lining up with Grand Sultan Erdogan and King Chop-Chop of Riyadh. The optics alone should have sent the White House PR team running for cover. I mean, couldn’t they have hired squeaky-clean Iceland to join the fray just to persuade the public that the ongoing proxy war wasn’t a complete sham. Which it is.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
More Wild Swings Ahead For Stock and Gold Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week saw the SPX drop more than I thought it would (Dec 3 has been on my radar for a couple of weeks, the 7 week low) on the Drahgi speech that strengthened the Euro vs. the Dollar causing gold to spike. The short euro/$ pair was too heavily tilted in that direction causing a reverse of positions.
The stock market's "come back" on Friday did not surprise me, however, gold's strong spike caught me off guard. The recent action in GDX has been corrective, but in E-wave terms it is turning out to be a 'rare' running correction. I have been looking for a gold low on December 2nd, but this kind of move off a bottom is rare.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Greece Is A Nation Under Occupation / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Perhaps the best way to show what a mess Europe is in is the €3 billion deal they made with Turkey head Erdogan, only to see him being unmasked by EU archenemy Vlad Putin as a major supporter, financial and who knows how else, of the very group everyone’s so eager to bomb the heebees out after Paris. It could hardly have been more fitting. That’s not egg on your face, that’s face on your egg.
But Brussels thinks it’s found a whipping boy for all its failures. Greece. It’s fast increasing its accusations against Athens’ handling of the 100s of 1000s of refugees flooding the country. Everything that goes wrong is the fault of Greece, not Brussels. The EU has so far given Greece €30 million in ‘assistance’ for the refugee crisis, while the country has spent over €1.5 billion in money it desperately needs for its own people. But somehow it’s still not done enough.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Stock Market Primary V Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A wild week! The market started off the week at SPX 2090. After a tick up to SPX 2094 Monday morning the market pulled back to 2080 by the close. Tuesday we had a gap up to SPX 2099, a drop to 2087, then a rally to end the day at 2103. Wednesday the market ticked up to SPX 2104, then started to sell off. On Thursday the selloff hit a low of SPX 2042, and then the market rallied into a Friday high of 2094 before ending the week at 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.55%, and the DJ World index was down 0.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the WLEI and the ADP. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing/services, monthly payrolls, the GNP, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Gold And Silver – Hope And Change From Last Week? Little Hope, Little Change / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Was last week the start of something big? You be the judge of what the market is saying.
There is a reason and purpose why we always use and refer to the weekly charts, and the monthly at the end of each month. These higher time frames are more controlling over the lower time frames, particularly the daily chart upon which most rely. From the daily, many then choose to view the markets from an intra day perspective, as though a closer time frame will give better results. That is not the case.
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