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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Personal_Finance

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

AMD Ryzen Overclocking Guide - 5900x, 5950x, 5600x PPT, TDC, EDC, How to Best Settings Beyond PBO / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

How best to overclock your Ryzen 5000 series processors such as 5900x, 5950x and 5600x beyond PBO so as to maximise performance whilst minimising power used and temperatures produced through fine tuning PPT, TDC and EDC settings either in the Ryzen Master software or from within bios. Find out how you can boost your systems performance at a lower power consumption and temps then through use of Ryzen Precision Boost Overdrive.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Stocks Bear Market / Crash Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Current Risk Remains VERY LOW at 5%, Recent highest reading was 15%.

This Indicator is one of the neural nets I am working on as my AI takes baby steps into understanding how to interpret the stock market. It's task is to state the current risk of a bear market or crash being imminent i.e. within the next couple of weeks or so. So an independant technical indicator that acts as a warning to HEDGE stock portfolios ahead of further high probability drops in the market. Where my preferred hedging tool is to go short stock index futures so as to capitalise on any drop without selling any stock holdings, and delivering fresh funds to buy more AI stocks at deep discounts just as I did during March 2020. The last time this indicator triggered a warning was late February 2020, so it is NOT a trading indicator but instead advance warning that a correction already underway could turn into something worse so I need to hedge my stocks portfolio to some degree.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

No Upsetting the Apple Cart in Stocks or Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

The tax hike proposal shock is over, and S&P 500 took again on the ATHs on Friday. Buying pressure throughout the day lasted almost till the closing bell, and is likely to continue this week as well. And why shouldn‘t it – has anything changed? The artificial selling any capital gains tax hike would generate, is likely to come before year end – not now:

(…) Look still though how little has changed, as if the tax raising plans haven‘t been around since the infrastructure bill or implicitly even before. It‘s still April, and markets are pricing in not only this select reality, but broader tax increases coming. Yes, they have woken up, and the reflation paradigm is getting an unwelcome companion. This hit won‘t bring down the bull, but will slow it down – and the implications for broader economy will only hasten the pronounced advent of the commodities supercycle (well underway since the corona deflationary crash last year).

The move towards risk-on was clearly there, overpowering the USD  bulls yet again as the dollar bear market has reasserted itself. It‘s not just about EUR/USD on the way to its late Feb highs, but about the USD/JPY too – the yen carry trade is facing headwinds these days, acting as a supportive factor for gold prices. While these went through a daily correction, commodities pretty much didn‘t – lumber is powering to new highs, agrifoods didn‘t have a down day in April, copper and oil scored respectable gains. The market is in a higher inflation environment already, and it will become increasingly apparent that commodity-led inflation is here to stay.

Back to stocks and bonds, the S&P 500 took well to a daily rise in Treasury yields – and that‘s the key factor overall. The turnaround was most clearly seen in tech heavyweights but defensive sectors such as consumer staples or utilities didn‘t do well (they‘re interest rate sensitive, after all), and Dow Jones Industrial Average traded closer to the optimistic side of the spectrum. The second piece of the puzzle came from value stocks and financials, which are working to put an end to their own shallow correction – just as you would expect when rates take a turn higher.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Is The Covaids Insanity Actually Getting Worse? / Politics / Coronavirus 2021

By: Jeff_Berwick

Here’s a message to all the Safe & Sanitary Statist Snitches, Covidians, Fraudci Followers, Masked Masses, Voluntary Vaxxers…

Can you tell me if this sounds abusive?

My wife has a friend whose husband won’t let her visit any friends or family. He has made her stop all contact with them unless it’s on the phone or computer. He reads and censors her comments on social media.

He makes her feel like she’s going crazy for thinking he’s controlling, and that she is being ungrateful. (After all, he’s only doing this because of how much he cares about her.)
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Politics

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Dogecoin to the Moon! The Signs are Everywhere, but few will Heed them / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

“Fools, as it has long been said, are indeed separated, soon or eventually, from their money. So, alas, are those who, responding to a general mood of optimism, are captured by a sense of their own financial acumen. Thus it has been for centuries; thus in the long future it will also be.” ― John Kenneth Galbraith, A Short History of Financial Euphoria

The signs of an epic bubble of historic proportions are everywhere. The stock market is a bubble, with valuations exceeding 2001. Margin debt is at all-time highs. The bond market is a bubble, with the Fed artificially suppressing rates and pumping trillions of QE into Wall Street. Housing is experiencing another bubble, with prices now far exceeding the 2005 peak. Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto-currencies are a bubble, being driven by the excess liquidity sloshing around the system. A joke crypto currency like Dogecoin soars into the stratosphere because money has no meaning anymore.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

SPX Indicators Flashing Stock Market Caution / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before major cycles take over and it comes to an end.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX has completed the next phase of its intermediate uptrend and should correct.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Gold Prices – Don’t Get Too Excited / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Kelsey_Williams

GOOD NEWS… The rebound in gold prices from their recent low has awakened new fervor among those looking for the elusive moonshot. The ‘obvious’ signs of much higher inflation have emboldened those who are inclined to predict ever higher gold prices.

Contrastingly, the chart of GLD prices pictured below doesn’t look all that great…

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Companies

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

6 Challenges Contract Managers Face When Handling Contractual Agreements / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

No matter how small a business is, it may require entering into contractual agreements from time to time. Contracts are an inevitable business process if a company is looking to expand outreach and to adopt more growth opportunities.

Contractual agreements are sensitive. As such, entrepreneurs appoint contract managers, tasking them with the responsibility of handling these agreements. Contract managers are more than the heads of company contracts. They must often collaborate with both individuals and companies to draft and negotiate agreements, control and review contract results, document key milestones, and perform a variety of other tasks.

Contract management is one of the most crucial business operations due to the impact it has on various companies. Small businesses can leverage the benefits of meaningful contracts with reputable companies. It is a critical job, but one that comes with a slew of challenges due to the complexities of managing many contracts.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Corsair H150i Pro iCUE Firmware Update Says Bye Bye - H100i, H115i, Bricked Jet Engine Fans Fix / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Corsair's iCUE software is buggy, you soon realise this when you install it on your system and see cpu usage jump as it hogs the processor. You can test this for yourself ny monitoring CPU temps by exiting the software and see the CPU temps drop a few degrees! So software that's supposed to keep your CPU cool actually results in an increase in temps! BUT, that's not the worst of it! The ICUE software alerts users of pending updates such as a firmware update for your water cooler. And as was the case for my H150i triple fan cooler. So thinking, this MUST be safe, one clicks the button to start the firmware update, fans ramp up to 100%, and that's basically where one is stuck! Having an irritating jet engine blowing at full speed makes it very irritating to work. So REBOOT, and your stuck! as corsairs software not only fails to update the firmware but BICKS the cooler! So your stuck with fans at 100% with no way of changing anything, not from iCUE not from Bios.

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Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Bude Cliff Walk and Secluded Pebble Beach Tour in VR 360 - Cornwall UK Holidays 2021 / / Travel & Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

The virus means it's unlikely most of us will be able to travel abroad for holidays 2021, still there are plenty of beauty spots in the UK, such as CORNWALLS beaches. Here after a long 6.5 hour drive down to Bude on the North coast of Cornwall and a restful night at a local caravan park it's time to hit the beaches, starting with Bude beach just north of Bude town, a small secluded pebble beach surrounded by high cliffs. Next it's off on a 2.5 hour drive down to Lands End for a couple of hours before we stop off at Newquay on the way back to Bude to cut Eliza's birthday cake on the beach.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 27, 2021

The Top 3 CBD Oils with Anti-Inflammatory Properties for Stopping Pain / Commodities / Cannabis

By: Submissions

...

 


Economics

Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Biden’s Green New Deal / Economics / Renewable Energy

By: Richard_Mills

Joe Biden came to power as the 46th US president expecting to spend more on green energy and clean technology. Just how much more is starting to be revealed.

Doubles down on emissions

This week Biden fulfilled a campaign promise in convening a “global climate summit” within his first 100 days in office. The two-day virtual meeting, attended by the leaders of a number of US allies and two of its adversaries — China and Russia — appears like many of these gatherings to be mostly a talking shop.

But a decision on Thursday is substantive, and therefore bears examination. The president committed the US to reducing its greenhouse gas emissions by 50 to 52% below its 2005 emissions levels by 2030, without revealing any details as to how this would be achieved.

The announcement also brings GHG reduction targets 20 years forward from what is set out in Biden’s $2.3 trillion infrastructure/ clean energy proposal unveiled in March. That plan commits to net-zero emissions by 2050 (net-zero refers to balancing the amount of emitted greenhouse gases with the equivalent emissions that are either offset or sequestered).

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Gold Stocks Upleg Accelerates / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: Zeal_LLC

This young gold-stock upleg is accelerating, with fast-rising prices enticing in more capital.  This sector has surged sharply to multiple major upside breakouts in recent weeks, which is starting to turn skeptics into believers.  Despite their strong upside momentum being chased, gold-stock prices remain far from overbought levels warning of impending selloffs.  This mounting upleg still has great room to power way higher.

Gold miners’ earnings are highly leveraged to prevailing gold prices, which drive this sector’s upleg and correction cycles.  In early March as the last extended gold-stock correction was bottoming, I wrote an essay on gold’s momentum selloff.  It concluded with “the gold-futures selling that ignited all this is finite, and is likely nearing exhaustion.  After that, gold should rally hard.”  We were positioned for a new upleg.

At that major bottoming, the trading books in our newsletters were full of fundamentally-superior gold miners’ stocks.  We added and recommended them leading into that at low prices, when they were deeply out of favor.  A few weeks later, I wrote another essay analyzing the latest quarterly results from the mid-tier gold miners.  They are in the sweet spot for stock-price appreciation potential when gold powers higher.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 26, 2021

The Tax Plan to Slay the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

A day like almost any other – S&P 500 about to take again on the ATHs until the capital gains tax hike proposal came, shaving off 50 points in stocks within an hour. The 4,415 support held though, both before and after the closing bell. Are we ready to shake off the cold water and resume running higher again?

Depends on where you look – stocks have quite some recovering still to do, and it‘s the precious metals and commodities that are performing best today. Both as an index and sectoral collection, the S&P 500 sustained broad damage, concentrated in the tech heavyweights. The volatility spike has been partially repelled but option traders seem expecting another shoe to drop, which attests to us better dampening expectations of a fast return above 4,170.

Look still though how little has changed, as if the tax raising plans haven‘t been around since the infrastructure bill or implicitly even before. It‘s still April, and markets are pricing in not only this select reality, but broader tax increases coming. Yes, they have woken up, and the reflation paradigm is getting an unwelcome companion. This hit won‘t bring down the bull, but will slow it down – and the implications for broader economy will only hasten the pronounced advent of the commodities supercycle (well underway since the corona deflationary crash last year).

As the Chinese say, may you live in interesting times, and I am glad to have caught the April 2020 turnaround reasonably well.  I‘m bringing this up just to say that this isn‘t the time to turn bearish on stocks yet – not in the least. The initial panic is over, real economy keeps recovering (amazing how fast were the reasonably good unemployment claims of yesterday forgotten, right?), inflation expectations aren‘t running progressively hotter, and Treasury yields continue retreating.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 26, 2021

See What’s Next for European Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: EWI

Dear reader,

"Will it break above $1?" That’s the question millions of crypto watchers are asking now.

Dogecoin may be on your watch list, too. After all, its 9000%+ rally year-to-date is no longer “funny.” What started as a joke is now very serious.

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Commodities

Monday, April 26, 2021

Gold's Perfect Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Richard_Mills

US Treasuries are as much sought-out by investors in a crisis or pending crisis, but lately, Treasuries have become much less popular as a means of storing wealth.

The reason is simple: T-bills don’t offer a good return, and neither do other sovereign debt instruments. Although US Treasury yields have been climbing, owing partly to expectations of inflation, in recent weeks this trend has reversed, amid renewed concerns about the pandemic.

On Tuesday, the World Health Organization warned that global infections were reaching their highest levels, prompting many fund managers to rotate money into safe-haven bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury slid to 1.5% while the 30-year yield was reduced to 2.26%.   

Looking at the 10-year chart, we see the yield starting to climb in January, reaching as high as 1.74% on March 19 before falling from 1.69% at the start of April to the current 1.5 %.

Subtract 2.6% inflation and the real yield is negative 1.1%.

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Commodities

Monday, April 26, 2021

Biden’s ‘Green Reset’ Could Be Great for Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

As top officials around the world convene this week for a “climate summit,” President Joe Biden’s administration is planning the most radical expansion of government’s role in the economy since FDR’s New Deal.

The objective is nothing short of transitioning the entire U.S. and world economy to “clean energy” – as determined and directed by central planners.

Vice President Kamala Harris vowed, “We are not going to take it slow. We are not going to take it one step at a time. We are going to take one giant leap.”

First it was a Green New Deal, then it was a Great Reset. Now, apparently, it is a Giant Leap.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 25, 2021

SPX Stock Market Short Squeeze – Here Or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 turned around at the open, and didn‘t look back. Is the selling over, have the markets turned the corner? Buy the dip looks to have won the day, VIX has been beaten back, and corporate credit markets scored strong gains. The benefit of the doubt would go with the bulls as the Russell 2000 and emerging markets joined in the buying spree. Heck, even the option traders turned more complacent again.

The table looks set for brighter days, but it‘s the odd performance in value (the reopening fireworks don‘t seem to go stale ever really) ignoring retreating yields, which the tech heavyweights strangely neither rejoiced. That reminds me of the dog that didn‘t bark story. I‘m thus looking for a daily consolidation of surprisingly easily gained ground without ruling out a weak downswing attempt – but it‘s the upside potential that‘s looking short-term limited here. The daily SPX chart doesn‘t give me confidence yet to declare this correction as not returning next week.

Nominal yields have again retreated a little, and inflation expectations are sending inconclusive messages – but don‘t forget that inflation is what the Fed ultimately wants. It just has to balance that with the Treasuries market not going into a tailspin – for now, mission accomplished, inflation expectations have peaked, move along, nothing to see here.

But the higher commodity prices are sending a clear message to the contrary – look for the PPI readings to be affecting CPI increasingly more. Markets aren‘t waiting for the Fed, and have been transitioning to a higher inflation environment already, even though the Fed sold the transitory talking points quite well – it would indeed be a 2022-3 story when inflation supported by the overheating job market would kick in. That‘s the context decreasing nominal yields should be interpreted in.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 25, 2021

Fiscal Guilt: What a Shift in Monetary Policy Portends for Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger describes how he is protecting his portfolio as political and financial fortunes begin to change.

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
—from the poem "In Flanders Field;" 1915

I have a confession to make: I am reaching the end of my personal level of nonviolent tolerance when being forced to listen to non-elected "authorities" standing in front of TV cameras reading their "prepared notes" from teleprompters without the vaguest clue as to what they are talking about.

Worse still are the elected "representatives of the citizenry" of any country, state or province, standing in that very same spot ordering the populace to "stay indoors" while warning that the police have been instructed to issue citations (or arrest) those in violation of an order that has never been enacted into law.

Whether they are politicians or bankers or bureaucratic buffoons of questionable agenda, all of them should be gagged and bound and carted off to a facility of incarceration with zero chance of release back into the "general population." They all represent an ever-increasing threat to not only my sanity but also, and more importantly, to my personal liberty.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Tesla's BIG MISTAKE! Free Charging for LIFE! $700bn Stock Bubble Mania about to BURST! S 85D / Personal_Finance / Motoring

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Tesla's stock price has soared into the stratosphere, touching $900 a share earlier this year with the over hyped Autonomous EV, solar energy stock still trading over $700 a share that values the company at close to $700bn, MORE than ALL of the other auto manufacturers put together! Don't get me wrong, I like Tesla and would invest in Tesla for the long run, but NOT on a market cap $700bn that puts Tesla on a PE of over 1100! For instance Toyota makes 20 times more profit than Tesla yet Tesla is value near 3 times Toyota, what are the investors smoking? Tesla is a auto manufacturer! It should not be valued at about 60X Toyota! That is insane!

Anyway in this video I took a look under the hood at what it's like to own and drive a Tesla partying up with someone who has owned and driven one for 3 years.

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