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Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, February 02, 2015

What Comes After Paper Money, Part 1: Fiat's Obvious Failure / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Rubino

Business Insider just posted a Deutsche Bank chart that illustrates the difference between life under the Classical Gold Standard and today's "modern" forms of money. It's for the UK only but is a pretty good representation of the world in general:

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Currencies

Saturday, January 31, 2015

Swiss Franc’s Euro-Peg Post Mortem / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Frank_Shostak

On January 15, 2015 the Swiss National Bank (SNB) announced an end to its three-year-old cap of 1.20 franc per euro. (The SNB introduced the cap in September 2011.) The SNB has also reduced its policy interest rate to minus 0.75 percent from minus 0.25 percent. The Swiss franc appreciated as much as 41 percent to 0.8517 per euro following the announcement, the strongest level on record — it settled during the day at around 0.98 per euro

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Currencies

Thursday, January 29, 2015

The Raging Currency Wars Across Europe / Currencies / Currency War

By: Gary_Dorsch

The theater of the absurd became even more bizarre on Jan 22nd, when the European Central bank <ECB,> desperate to extract the Euro-zone’s economy from the quagmire of deflation and stagnation, decided it would try its hand at the magic elixir of “quantitative easing,” (Q€). Starting on March 1st, the ECB will inject 60-billion of liquidity into the Euro-zone’s money markets, each month until the end of Sept 2016. The ECB is the last of the Big-4 central banks to unleash the nuclear option of central banking – QE, - starting about six years after the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and the Fed began flooding the world markets with $7-trillion of British pounds, Japanese yen and US$’s.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 29, 2015

The End of Currency 'Safe-Havens' / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Swiss - Negative rates

In the past [even the recent past] investors have often 'parked' their funds in a 'safe-haven' currency, when fears about the dollar or other currencies rose. The leading candidates have always been the Swiss Franc and the Yen, with gold, in the last three years usually being excluded, because of its declining trend against the dollar and the limited amount of stock relative to the availability of these currencies. While gold's trend seems to have changed to the upside now, the developed world is still 'out of gold'.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

EUR, AUD, GBP USD – Invalidation of Breakdown / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the U.S. Commerce Department showed that total durable goods orders dropped 3.4% last month, missing expectations for a gain of 0.5%, while core durable goods orders (without volatile transportation items) dropped by 0.8% in the previous month, disappointing forecasts for a 0.6% gain. Thanks to these numbers, AUD/USD extended gains, invalidating a breakdown below an important support level. Is it enough to trigger further rally?

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Bitcoin Price Tense Days Ahead / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

The Winklevoss twins seem to be connected to everything about Bitcoin that has hit the media recently. This is an exaggeration but the brothers have been reported to be working on a new regulated Bitcoin exchange, on a Bitcoin ETF. It turned out that they were beaten to opening the first regulated exchange by Coinbase but the brothers seemed undeterred as they spoke with CNN Money:

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Gold And Silver - Around The FX World In Charts / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Michael_Noonan

There has been some discussion about how the Swiss National Bank breakaway from the 1.20 peg to the Euro was a shot to the upside for gold. It appeared to us that the rally may have been sparked a few days ahead of the announcement, and last week's mostly sideways aftermath was the froth on the rally. It may continue, but the narrower range could just as well lead to a pullback, discussed in last article, Timing Is The Most Important Element, [paragraph above each weekly chart of silver and gold].

It made sense to compare the leading currency charts on the Foreign Exchange markets [FX], to see a) does a correlation exist, and b) take an overview of a market we rarely visit. As the SNB decision to make an apparent[?] independent break from the rest of the central banks, the risk exposure in trading in the bank-[rigged]-dominated FX markets is far greater than any occasional rewards.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 24, 2015

Safe Haven 101 For Investors Concerned About the Future / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Ron_Holland

Dictionaries broadly define a safe haven as a place of refuge or sanctuary. I'm using the term to describe a hoped for place of security if a future catastrophe should take place. Possibilities include a major natural disaster, the coming end of the forced petrodollar scam, an unexpected major new war or civil disruption as the United States makes the always difficult transformation from leading world empire to a has-been nation heading downward on the stage of world history.

This has happened to all great empires that have gone this way before the Washington Empire and will eventually happen to all future global empires. It is the nature of all aggressive empires to overreach politically and militarily as well as in the economic sphere.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 24, 2015

U.S. Dollar Denial Ain't Just a River / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Safe to say, with oil cut in half, precious metals prices contained below $20, and both housing and equities booming on little to no real economic growth, we are at peak ignorance in terms of monetary understanding.

This cannot end well.

And yet for many who see the injustice, the inequality, or have dared witness the raping of justice on the way to this perception, the blame is too often misplaced.  The sad reality is that those who are left to think about it come to the conclusion that the problem is capitalism - that more of the same should be implemented.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 22, 2015

The U.S. Dollar Has Peaked / Currencies / US Dollar

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "Today may be the very top in the U.S. dollar," I told Liz Claman on Fox Business' "Countdown to the Closing Bell" last Friday.

The U.S. dollar has soared over the last several months. And it has now become a crowded trade. I told Liz that no one expects the dollar to fall today... but that's what I'm betting on.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

China's Yuan Enters the Currency "Big Leagues" to Take on the Dollar / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: I've been following one of the biggest "stealth" stories of the year: the rise of China's yuan as it gears up to take its place on the world stage.

Towards this very goal, China has taken steady, calculated steps for some time.

It's also no secret that China and Russia have a "special relationship" that will drive this trend.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

The Swiss will not have more EU QE / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: BATR

In the ridiculous charade that passes for the foreign exchange currency markets, the ease upon which a 39% spike in the Swiss Franc to the EU has most financial journalist puzzled. A flagship of establishment journalism like the Washington Post provides a quaint explanation in Why Switzerland’s currency is going historically crazy. The Swiss intend to keep their exchange rate at 1.2 Swiss francs per euro caused unsustainable negative competiveness in Swiss exports to EU customers. How many times have you heard that same old song? Corporatist media consistently spins a yarn that suppressing one’s own currency is good for business.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Switzerland Wins As Its Central Bank Surrenders / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Peter_Schiff

If anyone had any doubt how severely the global economy has been distorted by the actions of central bankers, the "surprise" announcement last week by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to no longer peg the Swiss franc to the euro should provide a moment of crystal clarity. The decision sent the franc up almost 30% in intraday trading, a scale of movement that is unprecedented for a major currency in the modern era. Although very few in the media or on Wall Street fully understand the ramifications, the situation that forced the Swiss to abandon the peg will soon be faced by bankers of much larger countries in the coming years, the implications of which can have more profound implications for global financial markets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Bitcoin Price Still in a Bearish Environment / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

The price of Bitcoin is not all that matters in the Bitcoin community. Developments in the protocol and particularly in the ease-of-use and security departments are extremely important, in our opinion, for the success of the cryptocurrency. A new feature for the Bitcoin system, called Bitcoin Box, has recently come out. This is a kind of terminal that allows to process Bitcoin transaction without the access to the Internet, we read on CoinDesk:

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

The Swiss Release the Kraken! / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Mauldin

“Below the thunders of the upper deep,
Far far beneath in the abysmal sea,
His ancient, dreamless, uninvaded sleep
The Kraken sleepeth: faintest sunlights flee….

“There hath he lain for ages, and will lie
Battening upon huge sea-worms in his sleep,
Until the latter fire shall heat the deep;
Then once by man and angels to be seen,
In roaring he shall rise and on the surface die.”

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Currencies

Saturday, January 17, 2015

Switzerland Frees the Swiss Franc / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

You can fix your currency or you run independent monetary policy. But you cannot do both at the same time. In spectacular fashion, the Swiss government finally capitulated and decided control over the money supply was more important than a fixed rate against the euro. The Swiss franc rocketed up 30 percent in value minutes after the central bank’s decision to let the currency float.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 15, 2015

What About the Russian Ruble? / Currencies / Russia

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The Russian ruble ended 2014 in bad shape. Not as bad as the Ukrainian hryvnia or the Venezuelan bolivar, but bad, nevertheless. For most of 2014, Russia faced an ever-increasing ratcheting up of economic sanctions. These set the stage for what was to come late in the year: the collapse of oil prices and the announcement on November 10th that the ruble would be allowed to float. When combined, these three ingredients created a perfect storm.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Bitcoin Price Pause in the Decline Might Be Close / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Another slide in the price of Bitcoin, another day of more negative news on the cryptocurrency. Quite interestingly, we saw the "Bitcoin crash" news on the main page of the New York Times' Dealbook. The article "As Bitcoin's Price Slides, Signs of a Squeeze" also made it into the "Most Viewed" section of the website. In the piece, we read:

The price of Bitcoin slid further on Tuesday, dipping to its lowest level since the spring of 2013. The downward spiral, which began early last year, suggests that confidence in the virtual currency may be dwindling.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

EURUSD and GBPUSD Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

EURUSD is higher after worse than expected Retail Sales data in the US. USD sold-off across the board, in-line with US stocks in pre-market trading while metals found a support. Well, EURUSD turned up from a new low, that could be treated as a low of a fifth wave. But we always have to try to label the wave count so that we stay with a trend, which is still down. Also, another thing is that red wave 5) would be very small which would not be so typical if we consider that red impulsive red waves 1) and 3) were much larger. With hat said, I suspect that EURUSD is still making either a flat correction in red wave 4) or a triangle if price will stay sideways.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Bitcoin Price in Tense Territory / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

We read on Reuters that BitStamp had confirmed their exchange would go online during the day today:

Bitstamp, one of the largest exchanges for the digital bitcoin currency, said it would resume trading later on Friday after suspending operations because of a security breach on Sunday.

Bitstamp had suspended its service after the breach resulted in the loss of around 19,000 bitcoins with a value of some $5 million.

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