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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Liftoff Setback Leads to U.S. Dollar Pullback / Currencies / US Dollar

By: AnyOption

The US dollar has experienced a tremendous rally over the last year as the end of quantitative easing and prospect of interest rate normalization led to upside momentum in the currency.  Expectations were largely set for a September rate hike with many FOMC voting members forecasting two rate increases before the end of 2015.  However, with recent inflation data and the growing emerging market turmoil, the Federal Reserve might be forced to hold off with its most well intentioned plans, sapping downside strength and building the case for a deeper technical pullback in the US dollar index.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Asia's Whirling Dervish of Devaluations Has Encircled China's Exports / Currencies / Currency War

By: Keith_Hilden

Much digital ink has been spilled to the catalyst of China's sudden thrice devaluation of the CNY, a move trumpeted to be a unilateral action by China. It makes for good headlines, but this simply is not the case: China has been responding to stealthy and not-so-stealthy devaluation of its Asian neighbors, and is responding to these actions to maintain competitiveness of its exports. Hence a whirling dervish of devaluations has started in unlikely small countries such as Malaysia and Thailand, as well as larger economies like Japan, and China has only recently taken its place in the spiraling revelry that is set to ensue. And this has effectively economically encircled China's exports-- and the balance sheets of Chinese companies show it.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Who Wins in a Currency Devaluation War? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: BATR

The paradox in the question of who wins in a currency war presupposes that any participating combatant can actually claim victory. If winning means ending up with the most cash, when the value of the money as a store of tangible wealth is debased, it is doubtful anyone can be declared the victor.  The absurdity of lowering the purchasing power of a countries currency to enable exports to be more competitive is economic sacrilege that the heretical “Free Trade” mythos is based upon. Without a reliable standard of objective comparison, floating currencies maneuver their exchange rates to disguise internal imbalances in their own political and economic expenditures.   

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

UK CPI and GBPUSD vs TWI Divergence / Currencies / British Pound

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Sterling hit fresh 2-month highs as UK inflation improved in July, with headline CPI edging up to 0.1% y/y from June's 0.0%, and beating the Bank of England's 0.0%. The notable increase was in core CPI, which rose to a 5-month high of 1.2% vs expectations of 0.9% and a June reading of 0.8%.

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Currencies

Monday, August 17, 2015

USDJPY At Critical Juncture / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Previously, I thought the high for the USDJPY was in place and a correction was now underway. It still may be. Price is now at a critical juncture and the potential exists for one last marginal false break high. Let's examine the situation using the weekly chart.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 16, 2015

The World's Most Hated Major Currency Hits an 11-Year Low / Currencies / Canadian $

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Crashing oil prices, crashing commodity prices, and a super-strong U.S. dollar – these three have been the trifecta of pain for the Canadian dollar in recent years.

All three of these together have pushed the Canadian dollar to an 11-year low.

In today's essay, I'll show you why the Canadian dollar could bottom out soon and start a solid rally...

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Currencies

Saturday, August 15, 2015

The China Dollar Shot Not Heard Around the World / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

China's recent move to devalue the yuan has sent shock waves through the global financial markets and has convinced most observers that a new front in the global currency wars has begun. The move has caused many observes to envision a new round of competitive devaluations around the globe in which the race to the bottom will intensify. In this scenario they envision that the U.S. dollar will solidify its standing as the only strong currency. This misses the point entirely.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 13, 2015

The Fiat Yuan / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Seth Lipsky/The New York Sun/8-11-2015

“If the Communist Chinese devalue the yuan against a dollar that is appreciating against gold, has the yuan gone up or down? We ask because the leading story on the New York Times Web site this morning reports not only that the Chicom authorities ‘sharply devalued’ the renminbi but also that the move ‘could raise geopolitical tensions and weigh on growth elsewhere.’ We ran the Times’ entire text through the Sun’s old hand-crank Von Mises brand language-specie prose separator. It failed to find any mention of — or even allusion to — gold.”

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Currencies

Thursday, August 13, 2015

U.S. Dollar/Chinese Yuan (USD/CNY) Surges Following China’s Devaluation / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: MarketsToday

Following China’s devaluation on Tuesday of the yuan, the U.S. dollar/Chinese yuan currency pair (USD/CNY) has surged, reaching as high as 6.4485 so far today (Wednesday). It has now reached the most overbought level on a weekly basis since 2001 (based on weekly 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator), and is extremely overbought based on the daily chart, getting close to the maximum reading of 100.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 04, 2015

EURUSD: An Ending Diagonal Triangle in Action / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

See how beautifully recent trading in the euro followed a high-confidence Elliott wave pattern

Remember how during the time of the Greek bailout a couple of weeks ago, the euro didn't seem to "know" which way to go next? There is a reason for that, says The Wall Street Journal -- carry trade:

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Currencies

Monday, August 03, 2015

Five Currencies' Positioning in One Chart / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Combining the net speculative futures positions of all 5 major currencies against the USD, we find CHF positioning to remain the only net long against USD, ever since the SNB decision end its EURCHF peg in January. GBP positioning is the only currency to show steady improvement against USD. Currency-by-currency analysis below.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

China Major Devaluation Coming / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: John_Rubino

The whole “market economy” thing is turning out to be a little trickier than China’s dictators expected. To set up the story: After the 2008 crash the country borrowed about $15 trillion (an amount that dwarfs the US Fed’s quantitative easing programs) and spent the proceeds on history’s biggest infrastructure program.

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Currencies

Friday, July 24, 2015

USD Index Rebounds / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the initial jobless claims in the week ending July 18 dropped by 26,000 to 255,000, beating analysts' expectations for a 1,000 drop. In this environment, the USD Index bounced off session's lows and came back above 97. What impact did this move have on the euro, pound and Swiss franc?

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

US Dollar Breakout / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ed_Carlson

The previous Friday's expected cycle low was successful in starting a rally last week in which the US Dollar had its best week since May. DXY gained 1.89% to close at 97.99 above the June 1 high and printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

British Pound Still Rallying Against Swiss Franc / Currencies / British Pound

By: Richard_Cox

Forex markets have posted some significant trends so far in 2015.  But when we look at the overall value of the British Pound (GBP), the comparisons are generally made against either the Euro or the US Dollar.  There is a strong basis for this fact, as both of these currencies see much larger trading volumes than some of the other selections that are available in the currency markets. 

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Now that Greece is Guaranteed in the Euro, the Euro is Down / Currencies / Euro

By: Atlantic_Perspective

One of the mantras repeated to exhaustion over the last few months was “if Greece leaves the Euro, the Euro is over”. Is it? The charts say the opposite. When the prospect of Grexit reached its peak, the Euro didn´t crash. Quite the opposite, it got stronger. Now that Greece seems “secure” in the Euro, the Euro is down. Could the Grexit mantra be wrong?

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

After the Rally, What's Next? - Video / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

Get new forecasts for the euro from Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist

Think the recent rally in the euro was the result of "good news" from Greece? Think again.

Watch our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explain what's really behind the moves.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 11, 2015

Bitcoin Price Up on Probable Greek Deal / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Greece seems to have given in to its creditors’ demands for more austerity as the Greek government sent out a revised reform proposal yesterday which included substantial concessions on its part. Is this the end of the Greek drama? Most likely not.

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Currencies

Friday, July 10, 2015

USDJPY Correction Underway / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

The USDJPY currency pair has traded exactly as laid out in previous client analysis and a correction now appears underway. Let's analyse both the medium term and long term pictures using the weekly and yearly charts.

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Currencies

Monday, July 06, 2015

New Zealand Dollar Could Rally Double Digits in the Coming Months / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: DailyWealth

Brett Eversole writes: Major currencies are rising in value...

Since the U.S. dollar peaked on March 13, the Brazilian real is up around 8.5%. And the euro is up around 5.7%.

But two major currencies have lost value versus the dollar – the Japanese yen and the New Zealand dollar.

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