Saturday, March 04, 2017
SPX Uptrend continues to make New All-time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2367. On Monday the SPX rose to 2372, pulled back to 2359 on Tuesday, then gapped up on Wednesday hitting an all-time high of SPX 2401. Thursday and Friday saw the SPX pullback to 2375 before ending the week at 2383. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.80%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.50%. Economic reports for the week were mostly higher. On the downtick: pending home sales, construction spending, the WLEI and the Q1 GDP estimate. On the uptick: durable goods, consumer confidence, the Chicago PMI, personal income/spending, ISM manufacturing/services, the PCE, plus weekly jobless claims hit a 44-year low. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly payrolls, factory orders and export/import prices. Best to your weekend and week!
Saturday, March 04, 2017
Bitcoin Is Now As Good As Gold, Actually It’s Better / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
It wasn’t too long after I discovered bitcoin in 2011, trading at $3, that I became one of its biggest promoters.
I have even said on several different occasions, that if bitcoin reaches its ultimate potential it will be worth more than $1 million in today’s US dollar terms. Of course, if it did, we wouldn’t be talking about the price of bitcoin in dollars because dollars likely wouldn’t exist anymore.
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Saturday, March 04, 2017
Copper Confirms the Negative Outlook for Precious Metals and Crude Oil / Commodities / Copper
By: The_Gold_Report
Looking at the charts, technical analyst Clive Maund sees copper "riding for a fall."
We have already observed how oil and precious metals are looking set to turn lower, especially oil, and the medium-term bearish outlook for these commodities is confirmed by the negative setup that we will now examine on the latest charts for copper. Ordinarily we are not all that interested in copper, because there are few suitable trading vehicles we can use to play it, so our interest is mainly due to its implications for other markets.
Saturday, March 04, 2017
More Downside Potential in the Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
While we expected the gold stocks to correct and test GDX $22 and GDXJ $35, we did not expect it to happen so quickly. It literally took only three days! Gold stocks rebounded on Friday and managed to close the week above those key levels. While gold stocks could bounce or consolidate for a few days, we would advise patience as lower levels could be tested as spring begins.
Saturday, March 04, 2017
Oil Market - You Won't Get a Clearer Warning Than This One / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: The_Energy_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts changes that portend a "brutal decline" in both the oil and precious metals markets.
This quick update on oil is to point out that the latest oil COTs and Hedgers positions were at frightening extremes, as oil has struggled and failed, thus far, to break higher. This is viewed as meaning trouble—BIG TROUBLE—for the oil market, where we could see a precipitous drop as in 2014.
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Saturday, March 04, 2017
The Deep State’s Gold Scam And The Demonization Of Russia / Politics / Deep State
By: Stewart_Dougherty
As the Fiscal Year 2018 budget, and particularly its war component are floated, it has become clear that without continued, massive military spending, paid for with mass-produced electrons masquerading as money, U. S. GDP would collapse, taking the country’s financial and monetary systems with it. The nation, whose real economy has been hollowed out, for profit, by the Deep State plunderers, has become significantly reliant upon deliberately contrived wars and military tensions for its economic survival.
With systemic monetary risk now at an unprecedented level, intensified by a new, partisan, “politics of defeat,” scorched earth agenda being implemented by those displeased with the results of the 2016 election, there has never been a more dangerous time for people to denominate their wealth in unbacked, baseless, debt-drugged dollars.
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Saturday, March 04, 2017
Investment Lessons to Be Learned from Golf / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: David_Galland
Dear Paraders,
In my youth, I viewed golf as something only old people enjoyed. Make that OLD people.
While I was never much for sports, in my early forties I discovered polo, one of the most exhilarating sports on the planet, of which golf is pretty much the antithesis.
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Stock Market February Trading Channel Brokenm, Hi-Lo Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX appears to be on a stop hunt this morning to take out all the protection buyers that put stops on their hedges while the SPX weakened this morning. This move could also be an effort to stabilize stocks at the first trendline (see SPX below).
ZeroHedge observes, “The ubiquitous VIXtermination algo at the open did manage a modest jump in stocks, but that is fading fast now even as they push protection costs ever lower...”
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Stocks, Bonds, CRB and Gold Multi-Markets Summary / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
Using the most representative or notable index/ETF for each segment, let’s update the general status for a range of items (U.S. and global stocks, T bonds, commodities and gold) with a few informal thoughts.
As it’s older brother, the Dow, exceeds our target (21,000), the S&P 500 lurks just below its target of 2410. While the market can (and probably should) correct at any time, the lack of climactic volume (ref. yesterday’s post comparing the current Dow to Silver in 2011) along with over bullish sentiment that continues to resist becoming massively (as in ‘all in’) over bullish imply that such a correction would be a pit stop, not a bear market.
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Silver On Sale – 4% Fall On Massive $2 Billion of Futures Selling / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
Silver fell a very sharp 85 cents from $18.40 per ounce to as low as $17.65 per ounce yesterday for a 4.25% price fall soon after the London bullion markets closed yesterday despite no market news or corresponding sharp moves in other markets.
Friday, March 03, 2017
Rapid Decline in Demand for Wage Slaves - Go Long Chain Makers / Politics / Social Issues
By: Raul_I_Meijer
This is turning into a very rewarding series, it opens up vistas I could never have dreamed of. First, in “Not Nearly Enough Growth To Keep Growing”, I posited that peak wealth for the west, and America in particular, was sometime in the early ’70s or late ’60s of the last century.
That led to longtime Automatic Earth reader Ken Latta, who’s old enough to have been alive to see it all, writing, in “When Was America’s Peak Wealth?”, that in his view peak wealth for America was earlier, more like late ’50s to early ’60s, a carefree period for which Detroit provided the design, and the Beach Boys the soundtrack.
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Friday, March 03, 2017
The Next Financial Implosion Is Not Going To Be About The Banks! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: Gordon_T_Long
The Global Real Estate market dwarfs all financial markets by any comparison.
The Global Real Estate market being so large, it has always been stable and as such it is the favorite of institutions for long term investing - specifically Insurance companies, pensions, trusts endowments, small banks & credit unions etc. However, if it were to be destabilized only slightly it would have profound consequences globally, as well as in the US. The US Commercial Real Estate market presently approximates $13T or about one fifth the annual Global GDP.
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Macroeconomic Outlook and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
As everyone knows, the aftermath of the U.S. presidential election was a disastrous time for the yellow metal. However, gold rebounded at the beginning of 2017, gaining almost 6 percent in January and rising further in February, as one can see in the chart below.
Chart 1: The price of gold over the last year (London P.M. Fix).
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Trump... / Politics / US Politics
By: Michael_T_Bucci
...Follow the money, Sens. Collins and McCain.
“We are well past the time for any political niceties or benefits of the doubt. We need an independent and thorough investigation of Russia’s meddling in our democracy and its ties to the President and his allies,” wrote veteran CBS newsman Dan Rather on March 2. “We don’t know what we don’t know.”
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Is Trump Delirium Burning the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Alt-Reality President Trumps' election victory induced delirium rather than dissipating is clearly intensifying. Whilst personally having partially succumbed to the Trump delirium hot on the heels of Britains' Brexit which implied that the approaching 8 year Dow stocks bull market target of Dow 20k was far more probable than the highly vocally often repeated view by the crash is always coming crowd. So in the run up to the probable Trump election victory my view of Dow 20k as being the most probable outcome.
Friday, March 03, 2017
This Chart Reveals How China Is Faking Its Economic Growth Figures / Economics / China Economy
By: John_Mauldin
BY KEVIN BREKKE : China ended 2016 with 6.8% annualized GDP growth for Q4 that let it log 6.7% growth for the year. Among other things, Beijing’s data divas were eager to report that fixed-asset investment (FAI) had jumped 8.1% last year.
But a quick dissection of that number reveals that a surge in FAI by state-owned enterprises (SOE) saved the year.
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Time For African Economic Miracle / Economics / Africa
By: Dan_Steinbock
In the 20th century, Africa gained political independence but fell behind economic boom. In the 21st century, it is Africa’s turn – but not without stronger state and new external push.After struggle against corruption, lawlessness and terror, President Buhari’s administration has outlined an economic recovery plan targeting 7 percent GDP growth rate from 2017 to 2020. While many African economies are hoping for takeoff in the coming years, Nigeria represents the region’s greatest economic potential.
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Friday, March 03, 2017
How Trump Versus Fed Adds to Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Dan_Steinbock
To implement his $1 trillion dollar infrastructure plan, President Trump needs low rates, even though the Fed’s rate hikes will strengthen dollar. That means new uncertainty worldwide.In his Crippled America (2015), Trump argued that “our airports, bridges, water tunnels, power grids, rail systems—our nation's entire infrastructure is crumbling, and we aren't doing anything about it."
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Friday, March 03, 2017
Dow 19,20,21….Faster, Faster! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Doug_Wakefield
Aren’t you glad that the Dow leaped to 21,000 today. I mean, just three weeks ago its low for the day was 20,015. In fact, on November 22, 2016 the Dow crossed 19,000 for the first time.
Yet why the hurry to get in now? The 8 year US “QE assisted” bull market has yet to see a 20% decline since 2008. In fact, since the Feb 11, 2017 low, the S&P 500 hasn’t had a weekly decline (Fri to Fri close) of even 2.5%. Even based on Goldman Sachs’ recent research we know the S&P 500 has not seen a 1% decline over the last 96 days, a feat only topped 3 times since 1980, none since 2000.
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Thursday, March 02, 2017
Dow on Fire! Is Trump Debt Delirium Burning the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Alt-Reality President Trumps' election victory induced delirium rather than dissipating is clearly intensifying. Whilst personally having partially succumbed to the Trump delirium hot on the heels of Britains' Brexit which implied that the approaching 8 year Dow stocks bull market target of Dow 20k was far more probable than the highly vocally often repeated view by the crash is always coming crowd. So in the run up to the probable Trump election victory my view of Dow 20k as being the most probable outcome. Even going a little further could be rationalised to to 20,150 which is about as far as I could extend a rationale post Trump election trend in the face of growing alarm at the real world consequences of a 'Trump Reset' Presidency, namely one of literally the US trending towards WAR with China!