Monday, March 04, 2019
SPX: New All-Time Highs or Bust? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In my article last weekend, "Another Fibonacci Price and Time Intersection Approaches Heading into a Week Fraught with Headline Uncertainty," I discussed the importance of the intersecting time (Mon Feb 25) and price (2803.50 1% on the S&P 500) as a potential resistance area and reversal zone.
I noted that on Mon Feb 25, the rally from the Dec 26 low would equal 62% of the time spent in the Sep-Dec correction. And that the level of 2803.50 ( 1% = 2775 to 2832) represented the Fibonacci 76.4% recovery of the entire September-December decline.
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Monday, March 04, 2019
NASDAQ and DOW – Two Spectrum’s of the Stock Market / Politics / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers believe the NQ and YM chart illustrates a very different dynamic which is currently at play in the US Stock Markets. The NQ, the Technology heavy NASDAQ futures, appears to have stalled near the 75% Fibonacci price retracement level whereas the YM, the Blue Chip heavy DOW futures, has already rallied past this level and is setting up a “double top” formation near 26268. It is our belief that the US Stock Markets are already nearing an intermediate top rotation price area and that traders need to actively protect their long trades/profits right away. We believe a downside price rotation may take place very quickly over the next 5~10+ days and that the markets may rotate downward by a minimum of 4~6% in what we are calling a “momentum rotation setup”.
Monday, March 04, 2019
Gerald Celente Reveals Triggers for World Economic Blowup, Gold Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it's always a joy to speak with him.
Mr. Celente, thanks for the time again today and welcome back.
Gerald Celente: Oh, thanks for having me on, Mike.
Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, the Trends Journal is forecasting Economic 9/11 as one of the big trends for 2019. There are plenty of indicators which just support your thesis for a major slowdown. Debt levels – both public and private – have exploded, China is slowing down and all the stimulus in Europe has failed to generate results there. Higher interest rates are hurting, everything from real estate to auto sales, et cetera. But none of this is reflected in the stock markets, which are roaring higher. Once again, it looks like the Fed is up to its old tricks, promising to stop the rate hikes they had planned and end the program for selling bonds. The constant intervention of the Fed has always been one of the major wildcards when trying to predict where things are headed in recent years. What do you think? Can the central bankers kick the can one more time to avoid a recession, or are they finally going to lose control in the months ahead?
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Monday, March 04, 2019
Elliott Wave Analysis of the OEX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: WavePatternTraders
Short term whilst it remains above 1220 the current trend remains up. There a few short term ideas I am watching, but if a new high is seen, then it can suggest the end to wave [v] of an impulse wave (5 wave rally) to end wave C of a larger zigzag correction (3 wave advance) from the Dec 2018 low.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 04, 2019
UK House Prices, Immigration, and Population Growth Mega Trend Forecast - Part1 / Housing-Market / Immigration
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My latest analysis in a series aimed at arriving at a new multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices covers population growth which is one of the key primary drivers for UK house prices which since the Labour government of 1997 natural population growth net of births and deaths has been vastly supplemented by what has amounted to out of control immigration courtesy of Britain's membership of the European Union and the former Labour governments objective for the importation of millions of potential Labour voters from mostly new member states from across an impoverished eastern europe that resulted in near 5 million economic migrants settling in the UK by 2016, mostly in what were already over crowded British cities, thus putting severe pressure on services and infrastructure and the whole housing market as the likes of the rental sector soared with 1 million new buy to let landlords entering the market buying 4 million properties, forcing up house prices across the board where rents in large part are being funded by tax payers in the form of the soaring housing benefits bill.
Monday, March 04, 2019
Stock Market VIX Likely to Pop Before March 21 / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers believe price cycles and our proprietary Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting the US and Global stock markets may be entering a period of price rotation very soon. Our team of researchers has identified a date span of between March 5th to March 13 as a range of dates where we expect the VIX to form a bottom and begin to rise sharply.
Our researchers believe this current rally in the US stock market is a bit overextended, even though the markets appear to be drifting a bit higher currently. We believe the US stock market is due for a healthy price rotation/correction sometime near the middle of March that will allow new price valuation and momentum to build for a continued upside price move.
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Monday, March 04, 2019
Industrial ETF XLI Set to Make New All-Time Highs / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: ElliottWaveForecast
XLI Set to Make New Highs
The Industrial Sector ETF, XLI, is set to make new all-time highs above the January 2018 high at 80.96. From 80.96 Elliott wave analysis suggests XLI corrected lower on the daily chart in 7 swings to the 12/26/2018 low of 59.92. Within the final 3 waves of y (red label) we see a near perfect measurement of equality amongst the subwaves. From the red x high of 80.41 on 9/20/2018 the ETF dropped lower in 3 swings into the blue box range producing a reaction higher. We are labeling the 59.92 low as wave (IV) suggesting wave (V) of ((III)) is now progressing above 80.96. The Blue Box highlighted below in the daily chart are measured areas with a high probability of reaction in the next projected direction. Learn about this proprietary system here.
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Monday, March 04, 2019
How Online Gambling Stimulates Digital Payment Market Growth / Companies / Online Gambling
By: Submissions
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Monday, March 04, 2019
Union Pacific Railroad (NYSE:UNP) – Bullish Sequence Calling Higher / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Union Pacific Railroad (NYSE:UNP) is a publicly-traded railroad holding company that was established in 1969. Last year, revenues grew to $22.8 billion, while earnings was up in mid-single-digits to $10.8 billion. Revenue growth was led by strong gains in Intermodal, amid capacity constraints in the trucking industry and a higher industrial production for commodities shipments.
Union Pacific’s year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years and it outperformed the Transportation industry. Its earnings are expected to grow by 7.1% yearly and revenue is expected to grow by 4% yearly.
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Monday, March 04, 2019
Stock Market Trade Optimism Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Is the long-term trend resuming? Is this a B-wave? Too early to tell!
Intermediate trend – Initial rally is likely coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, March 03, 2019
Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market 2019 / Stock-Markets / Inverted Yield Curve
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Yield Curve Inversion
An inverted yield curve is basically when the yield on 2 year US government bond exceeds the 10 year US bond yield as worried investors opt to disinvest from risky assets in favour of safer longer term government bonds thus driving down long bond yields below that of nearer term bonds. And the closer the yield curve gets towards towards an inversion the greater the likelihood for a future recession. So far the yield curve inversion has successfully forecast the last 3 economic downturns in the United States. Though the YCI has proved less reliable elsewhere, especially for Australia.
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Sunday, March 03, 2019
The Looming UK Brexit Mess / Politics / BrExit
By: Dan_Steinbock
After the misguided referendum three years ago, the Brexit end-game is about to begin. In the UK, it means political division and fiscal erosion. Moreover, global growth prospects will not remain immune to turmoil in the world’s fifth largest economy.
Initially, London’s goal was to wheel and deal the best possible deal with Brussels. That became more difficult after mid-January when the House of Commons rejected PM May’s EU withdrawal agreement. The rejection compounded the odds for a risky and disorderly no-deal Brexit scenario.
The risks for volatility are also fueled by the impending European Parliament election in May 25-26, which is likely to strengthen Euroskeptics, anti-immigration forces, and radical right and left, at the expense of mainstream parties.
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Sunday, March 03, 2019
Zimbabwe Introduces A New Currency For Maxi-Devaluation / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Until February 20th, Zimbabwe produced a quasi-currency. It was dubbed a “Zollar.” On the 20th, the quasi-currency became Zimbabwe’s official currency. This new currency is called RTGS dollars and consists of bond notes and RTGS (electronic money).
The RTGS dollars possess legal tender status and will serve as the unit of account for the government’s books. The official exchange rate for Zollar quasi-currency had been set at a one-to-one rate with the U.S. dollar. But now, the RTGS dollar will trade at a managed floating exchange rate. The rate today is 2.50 per U.S. dollar, not par, as it used to be. So, Zimbabwe’s official exchange rate has experienced a maxi-devaluation of 60%.
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Sunday, March 03, 2019
Bitcoins And Bolivars: Two Hot Potatoes / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Steve_H_Hanke
It was just a little more than a decade ago when “Satoshi Nakamoto” ushered in what has become the era of private cryptocurrencies. Nakamoto’s vision was clearly laid out in a whitepaper: “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Cash System.”
Nakamoto’s bitcoin money machine—or as Larry White refers to it: a private “algorithmic central bank”—was going to wipe out the inflation risk and the accompanying loss of purchasing power that plague fiat monies issued by government-controlled central banks. Alas, bitcoin’s source code that predetermines its supply is set on a fixed-quantity path that is unresponsive to changes in demand. In consequence, bitcoin inhabits a demand-supply space in which supply is almost perfectly inelastic. So, to reach a demand-supply equilibrium, all the adjustment falls on the back of bitcoin’s price (read: purchasing power). As a result, bitcoin’s price is inherently volatile and unstable. Indeed, small changes in demand in the face of an inelastic supply create a price volatility storm. Furthermore, unless more demand can be attracted to bitcoin, there is no reason why its price should trend upwards, as many have been led to believe. If speculation wanes, bitcoin’s price could trend downwards. Indeed, bitcoin’s design guarantees volatility, which inhibits its widespread use. In short, it is very risky to hold bitcoins or accept them for deferred payments.
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Saturday, March 02, 2019
Is the Worst Behind for Crude Oil Bears? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Crude oil made yesterday another hesitant move higher. Also yesterday, we mentioned here the saying regarding gravity. Sometimes, it takes patience for the underlying forces to win out. Or, doesn't the oil market rather remind you more of a coiled spring actually? Accordingly, what is the position favored most by the odds right now?
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Saturday, March 02, 2019
Gold Stocks Spring Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks have been climbing higher on balance, enjoying a solid upleg that is gathering steam. That’s fueling improving sentiment, driving more interest in this small contrarian sector. This gold-stock upleg is likely to grow in coming months, partially because of very-favorable spring seasonals. The gold stocks’ second-strongest seasonal rally of the year typically unfolds between mid-March to early June.
Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year. While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals. We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions. The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.
Gold stocks exhibit strong seasonality because their price action mirrors that of their dominant primary driver, gold. Gold’s seasonality generally isn’t driven by supply fluctuations like grown commodities experience, as its mined supply remains fairly steady year-round. Instead gold’s major seasonality is demand-driven, with global investment demand varying dramatically depending on the time in the calendar year.
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Saturday, March 02, 2019
Global Clothing Trends: What’s Hot This 2019 / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: Dylan_Moran
Wondering what's the clothing trend this 2019 from around the globe?ELLE UK has listed down the seven fashion trends that they predict to be big in 2019. Other big labels and fashion houses also shared their predictions for the biggest international trends this year.
So, what will be the choice of clothing of a trendy individual this 2019?
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Saturday, March 02, 2019
Perception of Powell Put in Place – QE4 Looms / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: EWI
By Murray Gunn
For better or worse, the markets perceive that Fed chairman Powell has showed his hand.
The recent Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) minutes of the January meeting revealed almost unanimous agreement to announce a plan soon for ending the Fed's policy of balance sheet reduction. This is the first step in an inevitable march towards the fourth round of quantitative easing (QE4).
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Saturday, March 02, 2019
Natural Gas Bottom Rotation Sets Up New Opportunities / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our recent UGAZ trade returned over 30% in profits in just a few days for our members. We believe this continued price rotation below $3 will also setup new trading opportunities for skilled traders. Traders just need to be patient and understand when the opportunity exists in NG for an upside price swing.
The $2.50~2.60 price level has continued to drive historical support in price for over two years now. Until that level is substantially broken, we believe the opportunities for upside price rotation from near these levels is substantial. The immediate upside targets for NG are $2.90 and $3.15. These targets are enough for skilled traders to capture 25~30% returns in the 3x ETFs which is what we did this week in UGAZ. Larger upside opportunities exist with seasonal price pattern, but we are likely 7+ months away from another seasonal rally in NG at this point.
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Saturday, March 02, 2019
Cheap UK Theme Park Tickets 2019 Grown Ups & Mates Go FREE 2019 Legoland, Alton Towers With Kelloggs / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks
By: HGR
Now's that time to start planning your family day drips to Britains many theme parks, to keep their kids entertained during holidays. We'll here is some great news for you all as many breakfast serial and chocolate snack bar producers such as Kellogg's have started running promotions that allow entry into the UK's top theme parks for FREE for the whole of 2019! So plenty of time to use the vouchers to gain entry into Merlin's 14 UK theme parks that include Alton Towers, Legoland, Chessington, the Dungeon, Sea Life, Shreks Adventure and Madame Tussaud's etc...
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