Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Is this the Start of a Bear Market for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Is this the start of a bear market for stocks? That’s probably what you’re wondering right now, with the S&P 500 sitting right ontop of its 200 daily moving average.
Here’s our long term, medium term, and short term outlook for the U.S. stock market. We focus on the long term and medium term. As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.
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Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Federal Reserve And The Markets / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Kelsey_Williams
Analysis and opinions of the financial markets vary depending on who is doing the analyzing. The most critical element that affects the song is the singer.
There is nothing wrong with that. But we should be aware that our own prejudice clouds our perspective. However, there is more that is not so obvious. With that in mind, lets take a look at things.
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Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Chinese Economic Prospects Amid US Trade Wars / Economics / China Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
As US trade war damage is spreading, markets reflect an elusive calm before a potential storm. While Chinese prospects and reforms prevail amid challenging conditions, IMF's global outlook remains too optimistic for 2018-19.According to new data, China’s exports rose by 14.5% year-on-year in September, which is an acceleration from the previous month. However, growth in imports declined to 14.3%.
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Monday, October 15, 2018
2019’s Hottest Commodity Is About To Explode / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: OilPrice_Com
It’s the most critical economic resource you’ve never heard of.
Element “V”.
Without this unknown commodity, you can’t build as strong a bridge, factory or skyscraper. It’s used extensively in planes, trains and supertankers.
It could soon form the backbone of America’s $386 billion electrical grid.
Forget oil or gold. Wars could even be fought over this unusual metal.
The scary part? None of it is produced in the United States. China, Russia and South Africa control almost all of the global production, and we’re locked in the middle of a trade war.
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Monday, October 15, 2018
Keep A Proper Perspective About Stock Market Recent Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
There has been quite a bit of information and opinion in the news recently regarding the recent downside price action in the US Equities markets. We’ve seen everything from “The sky is falling” to “The markets will rally into the end of the year”. If you’ve been following our research and analysis, you already know what we believe will be the likely outcome and if not – keep reading.
There are a number of key components of the global economy that are of interest currently; US Treasuries, Precious Metals, Emerging Markets, the European Union, Trade Issues and Capital Shifts.
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Monday, October 15, 2018
Consider This Your Final Warning About Gold, For Bulls And Bears Alike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Sentiment is a funny bedfellow. When the metals market was at the lows back in August, everyone and their mother were again certain that we were going to break below $1,000 in gold. Yet, that exact sentiment is what kept us from doing so, no different than what we saw at the end of 2015.
Currently, the sentiment has been turning bullish again, with many thinking the current rally is the break out everyone has been awaiting. As for me, I am not quite so certain.
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Monday, October 15, 2018
Is the Stocks Bull Dead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Has the bear market started?
Intermediate trend – The correction has turned into a short-term debacle which may not be over.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Monday, October 15, 2018
Stock Market Bottoms are a Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
What a roller coaster day on Friday for the U.S. stock market. The S&P went up and down near its 200 day moving average, closing right on top of this line.
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Monday, October 15, 2018
US Bond market Yields Break 20-year Trends / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Donald_W_Dony
Bond yields have been in decline for a long time. In fact, throughout the last 20 years, the 10 and 20 year US Treasury bonds yields have dropped by almost 80 percent.
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Sunday, October 14, 2018
Here’s Where the Next Financial Crisis Begins / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2018
By: Harry_Dent
The 2008 financial crisis was well overdue, what with predictably slowing demographics, especially in the U.S. at first, and an unprecedented debt bubble in the developed countries.The trigger was the subprime crisis – a small, but high-risk sector of really bad loans that started to blow up when everyday households started to default on mortgages they could never afford in the first place. But that was only the trigger.
Since early 2009, we’ve seen unprecedented money printing to save the banking system and economy from a depression, and most of the new debt has accumulated in the third world. A McKinsey study shows that emerging markets have taken on $57 trillion in additional debt through 2014, with more to follow.
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Sunday, October 14, 2018
Fed is Doing More Than Just Raising Rates / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Rodney_Johnson
Over the past month the 10-year Treasury bond yield has jumped from under 3.00% to 3.23%, sending tremors through the equity markets. By now you’ve heard/read/thought about the usual suspects.As interest rates move higher, equity investors searching for income finally (finally!) have a viable alternative to stocks.
As interest rates move higher, consumers using borrowed funds to purchase homes, cars, and stuff on credit cards will have to pay more, which should curb their economic appetite.
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Sunday, October 14, 2018
Stock Markets Last Cheap Sector - Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The lofty stock markets suffered a sharp selloff this week that may prove a major inflection point. There was one lone sector that bucked the heavy selling to surge in the carnage, the gold miners’ stocks. They are the last cheap sector in these bubble-valued stock markets, long overlooked and neglected. Wildly undervalued today, the gold stocks have great potential to soar dramatically even if stock markets keep weakening.
Just several weeks ago, the US stock markets hit new all-time record highs stoking universal euphoria. The flagship S&P 500 broad-market stock index (SPX) closed at 2930.8 in late September, extending its monstrous bull to 333.2% over 9.5 years. That made for the 2nd-largest and 1st-longest in US stock-market history! It also left these markets dangerously overvalued, literally trading at bubble valuations.
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Sunday, October 14, 2018
Bitcoin Breakdown May Push Prices Below $5000 / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent market turmoil across the global stock markets has refocused investors on the concerns of global economics, trade, and geopolitical issues – away from cryptocurrencies. The biggest, Bitcoin, has been under extended pricing pressure recently and our research team believes Bitcoin will breach the $6000 level to the downside fairly quickly as extended global market downtrends continue.
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Saturday, October 13, 2018
Next Points for Crude Oil Bears / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Paul_Rejczak
Thanks to yesterday’s session crude oil lost 3% and approached the previously-broken barrier of $70. In this area oil bears met several other short-term supports, but are they stable enough to stop the sellers in the coming days?
Let’s take a look at the charts below (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Saturday, October 13, 2018
Ban Saudi Oil! / Politics / Saudi Arabia
By: Raul_I_Meijer
According to Middle East Eye, Richard Branson, Andrew Ross Sorkin, Economist editor-In-chief Zanny Minton Beddoes, World Bank president Jim Yong Kim, New York Times, Financial Times, Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshah, Viacom CEO Bob Bakish and AOL founder Steve Case have all withdrawn from Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative conference, to be held this month in Riyadh. Branson also put a $1 billion investment plan on hold.
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Friday, October 12, 2018
Stock Market Crash: Time to Buy Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
In yesterday’s market study I said that the U.S. stock market would probably fall a little more. Upon further analysis, I said that the S&P would probably fall below its 200 dma to at least 2729.
Lucky call or not, that’s exactly what the S&P did today.
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Friday, October 12, 2018
Has The Stocks Bear Market Begun? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
It seems the pundits have lost their way. The reasons for the market moves have now confounded most market participants and pundits to such an extent, and they are stretching so far to provide a reason for a market move, that we have moved from the ridiculous to the sublime.
In the last several years I have outlined how the market has completely ignored the dozens of negative geopolitical events that were supposed to have adversely affected our market as it has continued to rally towards our long-term targets.
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Friday, October 12, 2018
US Transportation Index Suggests Stock Market Bottom May Be Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, is alerting our members that the Transportation Index has reached its first level of support near 10,500 and this level may be the start of an extended bottoming formation. If you have been following our research posts, you already know that we predicted this recent downside price swing over 3 weeks ago with our Adaptive Learning Predictive Modeling systems. You will also understand that our modeling systems suggest this move may not end till early November (somewhere between November 8~12). Keeping this in mind, we are now alerting you to be prepared for the following.
Friday, October 12, 2018
Sheffield Best Secondary School Clusters for 2018-19 Place Applications / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
Firstly the deadline for making online secondary school Year 7 applications is noon 18th October 2018, that's in just 6 days time! Following which is the 31st October paper deadline.
Here is is your definitive answer to the question what are currently Sheffield's best secondary schools based on analysis which ranks the schools in terms of consistency of results, as results can vary from year to year. The graph represents Sheffield's Top 18 secondary schools out of a total of 38 rated in terms of consistency in attaining high rankings in the school league tables from 2001 to 2017 for 5 A-C GCSE's.
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Friday, October 12, 2018
Trump’s Tariffs Echo US Trade Policy That Led to the Great Depression / Economics / Protectionism
By: John_Mauldin
We all wonder if Trump’s trade actions are as random as they appear or if there is a broader strategy.Some of my contacts argue that the relatively strong US economy allows the administration to take a harder line than would normally be advisable. We can ride out a trade war better than China can, the thinking goes.
This only works if the US economy keeps prospering long enough for the tariffs to make China bend.
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