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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, October 03, 2018

Thorium, Uranium’s Ugly Stepsister for Nuclear Reactor Fuel / Commodities / Nuclear Power

By: Richard_Mills

Most junior resource investors know uranium, and many got in on the action when NexGen Energy and Fission Uranium made their discoveries in the Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan, the region with the highest grades of uranium in the world. Smart, or lucky, shareholders of NXE enjoyed a cumulative share price rise of around 430% between 2014 and 2016, while Fission Energy - famous for its Patterson Lake South property that yielded the open-pittable Triple R deposit - jumped from 91 cents in November 2013 to $1.62 a share in April 2014, for a gain of 78%.

Uranium is the fuel needed to create the nuclear reaction that can either create nuclear power or nuclear weapons. To make nuclear fuel from uranium ore, the uranium is first extracted from the rock, then enriched with the uranium-235 isotope, before being made into pellets that are loaded into assemblies of nuclear fuel rods. In a nuclear reactor, several hundred fuel assemblies containing thousands of small pellets of uranium oxide are in the reactor core. The nuclear chain reaction that creates energy starts when U-235 splits or “fissions”, which produces a lot of heat in a controlled environment.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 02, 2018

The Silver Exclamation Mark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Rallying mining stocks? Forget about them. Silver is the new cool kid in the neighborhood. Having rallied by almost 50 cents in just one day, silver stole the spotlight and seems to be ready to move much higher… Or much lower. Does anyone still fall for silver’s fake rallies? Based on the size of the rally and the corresponding volume, it certainly seems to be the case. But you don’t have to fall for it – that is if you prefer to analyze the market’s emotionality instead of acting on it. It’s not an easy thing to do, because each silver rally seems to be “it”. But what’s easy and what’s profitable is rarely the same thing.

Today’s analysis will be quite specific, because we already wrote about “the silver signal” several times in the past several days. We did emphasize our take on the silver market more than once, because the market itself provided us with the signal more than once.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 01, 2018

Gold and Silver: Bottoming is a Process / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Last Friday we examined the fact that gold has now fallen 6 months in a row. Historically, this suggests that gold is at a short term bottom.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 01, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2018 Current State / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here is an update to my crude oil price trend forecast for 2018.

Firstly a recap of my forecast for the crude oil price for 2018 which since the start of this year has been for the oil price to target a trend to $80.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 01, 2018

Gold: New Bull Or Same Old Bear? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Savage

There are two schools of thought right now, and both sides are firmly convinced they are correct.

The bullish case: Gold started a new cyclical bull market in late 2015.

The bearish case: The bounce out of the 2015 bottom was just a counter trend bear market rally, and at best gold is stuck in a long sideways channel similar to the 1980-2001 period.

While I have to admit there is a lot of compelling evidence to support the bearish scenario I’m not convinced that is correct.

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Commodities

Monday, October 01, 2018

The Cannabis Arbitrage Deal of the Decade / Commodities / Cannabis

By: OilPrice_Com

....

 


Commodities

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Gold And Silver – Still Weak, Qrtly, Mthly, Wkly Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Michael_Noonan

We did an interview with Rory from The Daily Coin, last week, and we mentioned how crypto currencies could be problematic for gold and silver. Their existence could replace the massive fiat debt and preclude any reason for gold and silver to rally.  You can find the interview here.

There has been a lot of discussion of a possible reset whereby gold and silver would eventually replace the failing fiats, and that potential scenario was how $10,000/oz gold and $400/oz silver came about, for the most part.

The pertinent question is, which country would want to have a gold and silver backed currency which would severely restrict the ability to issue increased amounts of the currency?  Also, every other nation would want to buy and take delivery of any and all available gold and silver.  That would not fly, at all.  Recall how Nixon closed the gold window back in the 1970s.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 29, 2018

Gold Investors: It Is Time for a Logic Lesson / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses distortions in the markets. Here is a question for any and all of you that have ever purchased a lottery ticket or played the slots or bet on a horse: If you had proof that the outcomes were all rigged, would you still play? If someone showed you a video of pit bosses stacking decks or tampering with dice, would you ever enter that establishment again? If your wife or mother or employer knew that you would constantly blow your paychecks in a rigged casino, would you ever be able to face them? The answer to all of the above-mentioned scenarios is a resounding "NO!" Yet millions of people (albeit that figure is rapidly shrinking) are still committing many hundreds of millions of dollars every week to the Crimex Casino, which has now proven that every single input into determining prices for gold and silver (Bitcoin, too) is completely controlled by the bullion banks, the Crimex bosses and the regulators.

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Commodities

Friday, September 28, 2018

Gold, Silver HUI Stocks Precious Metals Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

In honor of the men staring at silver’s daily chart, let’s highlight NFTRH 518’s Precious Metals segment this morning. We have 60% of the new trading week in the books and not much has changed for the PMs since this was written. You’ll notice that this man who stares at charts gets a little wordy at the end. There is much context that would-be gold bugs need to have in hand.

First, the intro per our anniversary series of posts…

To celebrate NFTRH’s 10 year anniversary (Friday, Sept. 28) I’d like to present one segment from this week’s report, NFTRH 518 each day until Friday. These excerpts will give you an idea of what it takes to provide a top tier, best of breed product. But there is much more to a single weekly report than will be shown here publicly. Oh and don’t forget the dynamic in-week market updates as events dictate.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 27, 2018

Gold Price Can Still See a Lower Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

The Fed controls the gold market. The manipulators control the gold market. The “swaps” control the gold market. The hedge funds control the market. Yes, I have heard about how everyone is controlling the gold market.

In fact, I even hear such ridiculous statements as, "The banks are pushing us down so that they can buy at lower prices." The problem with this is that the banks have been long for weeks - yet they are still pushing us down?

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Gold/Silver Ratio Back at Extremes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The gold/silver ratio, calculated by simply dividing the gold price by the silver price, may be signaling the end of the bear market in metals is drawing near. That could be good news for gold investors and great news for those who hold silver.

First, let's take a look at a long-term chart of the ratio:

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

The Final Silver Sign / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

We’ve seen myriads of signs pointing to lower precious metals prices in the past months, weeks, and days. We even discussed how ridiculously similar the current situation is to what happened in 2013, right before the $200+ decline in gold. But the final bearish confirmation usually comes from the silver market and this time is no different.

Let’s take a look at the charts for details (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Crude Oil Price $100 Is A Distinct Possibility / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

An oil price spike is starting to look increasingly possible, with a rerun of 2008 not entirely out of the question, according to a new report.

The outages from Iran are worse than most analysts expected, and bottlenecks in the U.S. shale patch could prevent non-OPEC supply from plugging the gap. To top it off, new regulations from the International Maritime Organization set to take effect in 2020 could significantly tighten supplies.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Gold – “Make Me Feel Good…Tell Me Anything” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

Most technical analysis of gold boils down to “what the charts tell us about gold’s next move”. The next move according to most seers of the trade – is “imminently bullish” and represents one, last chance for investors to save their financial souls.

The problem is that more people have lost more money by ‘investing’ in gold upon the advice of those who proffer it, than will likely ever be made up going forward.”…Kelsey Williams

There are several reasons for that. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, September 24, 2018

Gold and Miners are About to Explode Upward / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After many weeks of pricing pressure as the US Dollar extended a rally delivering nearly unending devaluation pricing in most commodities, Gold is setting up for a big upside rally and is likely to extend beyond $1240 in this initial run higher. We believe the immediate bottom has formed in Gold and we believe the upside move will consist of two unique legs higher. The first leg is likely to run to near $1240~1250 and end near the middle of November 2018. The second leg of this move will likely run to near $1310 and end near May 2019.

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Commodities

Monday, September 24, 2018

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Gold / US Dollar Inverse Trend Relationship Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my fourth video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, September 22, 2018

Trade War vs. Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: The_Gold_Report

Lobo Tiggre of the Independent Speculator discusses the trade war and its impact on commodities, and what that all means for resource investors. There is a widespread notion among investors, analysts and pundits that the escalating trade conflict between the U.S. and its trading partners is bad for the global economy. This is no stretch. The leap from there to it being bad for commodities is understandable, but less certain. Still, people who should know, like those running the world's largest mining company, are saying it's so.

Is it any wonder, then, that we've seen the rally in commodities that started in 2016 start to peter out?

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Commodities

Saturday, September 22, 2018

Gold Exodus to Reverse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Investors have pulled much capital out of gold in recent months in a major mass exodus.  Their sentiment waxed very bearish as gold was pounded lower by extreme record gold-futures short selling.  The latest record stock-market highs also suppressed the perceived need for diversifying portfolios with gold.  But this heavy investment gold selling is slowing, and should reverse sharply once stock markets roll over again.

Not too long ago in mid-June, gold was trading at $1302.  It looked fairly strong for the summer doldrums, its weakest time of the year seasonally.  But selling would soon return with a vengeance, pummeling gold 9.9% lower over the next 2.1 months into mid-August.  That major slide leading into a late-summer low of $1174 certainly cast a dark pall over psychology, fueling surging bearishness that remains ubiquitous today.

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