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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Gold Mining Stocks GDX ETF Decline Incomplete / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Despite the 40% decline in the Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF (AMEX: GDX) since March, the gold miners ETF does not exhibit the pattern of completion and likely still will hit one or both of my optimal lower targets derived off of the massive top formation we see on the enclosed daily chart. Let's expect a bounce from the vicinity of 33.50, but thereafter another loop to lower lows into the 30.00-28.00 area to complete the Jul-Aug (Sept?) decline.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Gold Rally Stalls Despite Record 27-Year Inflation in US and Germany / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES slipped once again after recovering half of a 2.3% overnight drop early in London on Tuesday, stalling as both the US and Germany reported a sharp jump in producer-price inflation.

Asian stock markets closed at a two-year low, and palladium traded in Tokyo fell to its lowest level since June 2006.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Technical Analysis of US Dollar and AMEX Gold BUGS Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis editorial focuses primarily on the US Dollar Index, with respect to how recent market actions have affected the present consolidation pattern underway since March 2008. The very last chart focuses on the HUI and how the sharp decline nullified the long-term count I was following due to the 0-II trend line being broken. One thing I have learned over the years is that fundamental analysis must be married to technical analysis. It is wrong for someone to assume that Elliott Wave patterns are “the be all end all”…they are a technical tool used to predict future market action based upon the surrounding wave structure. Glenn Neely's pattern base is extremely complicated, which makes tracking patterns even that more difficult.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Don't Believe the Gold and Silver "Bubble" Burst Hype! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York  yesterday at $ 800.50,  up $14.50 and silver was  up 33 cents to $13.19 .  Both  gold and silver have again fallen  in  European trading . Gold i s trading at $ 7 86 .00/7 86 .40 per ounce (10.30GMT).

Gold rebounded from very oversold levels yesterday but market weakness has resumed overnight in Asia  and early in London as the dollar has continued to rally (reaching a 6 month high at 1.4631 to the euro) .  Speculative interest in the precious metals has fallen dramatically as seen in the recent CFTC data and this usually presages a rally in the precious metals.

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2008

Gold Summer COLLAPSE Could Turn Into Autumn Seasonal BOOM / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...Might the seasonal shape of the gold price turn this summer's collapse into an autumnal boom...?"

THE SHARP DROP in world gold prices starting in late July knocked the cost of physical metal more than 20% off its record top of mid-March at last week's low point.

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2008

US Dollar and Gold Price Market Manipulation? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn his August 13th Commentary Steve Saville gave his thoughts on the US Dollar, gold, and currency manipulation. Steve gave me permission to repeat that letter in entirety.

Before I post Steve's thoughts, I need to state upfront that Steve's thoughts are similar to recent posts of mine that have stirred up quite a controversy. In case you missed them, here are my thoughts, in sequence.

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2008

Profit from Falling Gold Price by Trading DZZ Leveraged ETN / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDZZ Double Gold ETN is a relatively new way to take advantage of gold price action. This gold fund provides double the movement that the GLD ETF or the price of gold does, providing bigger opportunities in the gold sector. I have just recently started to use DZZ ETN for trading and have found it to be very useful, which you will see in the charts below.

A Couple of Benefits of the New DZZ Gold ETN

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2008

Gold Continues to Fall Despite Strong Seasonal Tendencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back a sharp 2% rally early in London on Monday, falling towards $790 per ounce as the US Dollar held flat on the currency markets.

Crude oil ticked up 25¢ to trade above $114 per barrel as Tropical Storm Fay threatened rigs in the Gulf of Mexico .

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2008

Gold and Silver Extremely Oversold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York on Friday at $ 786.00, down $ 22.30 and silver was down $1.42 cents to $12.81 . Both rallied strongly on the open in Asia but have given up some of their gains in European trading . Gold i s trading at $ 793.00/793.40 per ounce (1230 GMT).

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2008

Global Energy Sector Investing / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: Although consumers and businesses have gotten a bit of a reprieve at the gas pump as of late, the escalation in oil prices we've seen over the past year has led to some major changes in overall consumer behavior. Many car-owners have dumped their gas-guzzling pickup trucks and SUVs at the nearest used-car lot and used the proceeds to buy some gas-sipping rides. Companies with large distribution networks have redesigned their shipping schedules, crafting more efficient routes that accommodated larger truckloads.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Bye Bye to the Precious Metals Bull Market? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The face of the coin has been debased as fast as its value. First the faces of gods were on the coins. Then the faces of kings. Then of presidents. Today it's only paper. The miracle is that you can still buy things with it.”~Ian Fleming, From Russia With Love

If the recent meltdown in precious metals took you by surprise, you obviously haven't been reading this update. Since at least late 2007 this update has said the principal risk to precious metals was a dollar rally based on euro weakness. After calling the top in gold in March, targets in the low $800s and lower were immediately published. Since then, precious metals advances have been called a “sucker's rally”, and on June first I went as far as to suggest that gold could be “the short of the year.”

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Commodities

Sunday, August 17, 2008

How Low Will Gold Go? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

That's a silly question.

Gold doesn't go anywhere. What "goes" up or down are the dollar figures we have all been trained to attach to it - but we all know, for a fact, how illusory those are.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Gold and the Economy: Facts and Theories / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen we understand “what” is happening (the facts) then we might have a stab at “why” it is happening (the theories). In turn, this might throw some light on what we might expect to unfold in the foreseeable future.

We live in a cynical world and from a cynical perspective it is noteworthy that all I am reading with regard to the gold price is theories.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Gold Breaks Long-term Bull Market Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell I guess this past week will be remembered for both gold and silver, with silver declining twice as fast as gold. Stocks also took a bounding but they have been taking a bounding for some time now. What next? That's really the $64 question.

GOLD: LONG TERM
Here we are with that long term P&F chart. While surfing the ‘net I came across another analyst who uses a 2 unit reversal P&F chart for gold with $15 units (very rare). This analyst drew the trend line as one would normally draw on the normal bar charts, i.e. touching the lows of major reaction points. Although I have used this method on occasion, and it is a valid method of drawing a P&F trend line, I usually prefer the 45 degree lines for a variety of reasons. However, here is how the trend lines would have looked if drawn touching the lows. Not bad, eh!

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Commodities

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Gold and Silver Crushed by Unwinding US Dollar Shorts / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat's happening with gold should be no real surprise. Although I have stated many times that gold is money and gold should do well in deflation, and we are in deflation (see The Future Is Frugality and Implications of the Slowing Global Economy for the deflation case), in the initial stages of deflation, leverage in everything is reduced by force.

There are thousands of hedge funds, pension plans, and individuals over-leveraged in a massive bet against the US dollar and US assets in general. Many themes of the past 7 years are now being unwound. And one would expect leverage to be forced out in deflation as credit simply dries up. I call this the great unwind.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 16, 2008

US Dollar Seismic Shift Hits Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA month or so ago, we told subscribers that the USD appeared to be bottoming. Long term, the USD has big trouble on the horizon, but we mentioned the USD has 9 lives, even though the US is running terrible deficits, trade and fiscal.

 The Euro had strengthened so much since 2002, and the USD took such a hit, that gold and commodities became hot sectors that attracted lots of money for years. Right now, we are witnessing a big chunk of that speculator/investor froth coming out of gold and commodities. Oil is still relatively resistant. The perception that the USD can recover in a meaningful way is now out.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Review: Profit from the Peak Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: David_Shvartsman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAre we nearing the end of the Oil Age?

Is the end of a cheap fossil fuel era at hand? How will we make the transition from a world dependent on hydrocarbon energy to one powered by a mix of hydrocarbons and renewable energy, and can we profit from this coming shift?

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Commodities

Friday, August 15, 2008

Gold Approaching Short-term Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The hourly pattern argues that in and around the 77.00 area, the downleg in the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) from its 7/15 high "achieved" the look of completion. If that is the case, then in the hours directly ahead the GLD should reverse sharply, fill today's gap-down open at 79.20, and close above the top of the gap to signal that a very significant near-term low has been established. Beyond the gap, the GLD must hurlde and sustain 82.00 to confirm a more substantial upside reversal.

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Commodities

Friday, August 15, 2008

Crude Oil Demand Destruction Overdone? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMuch ado has been made of ‘demand destruction', an economic term that refers to declining demand for a good due to high prices. The past month or so the mainstream US press has latched onto demand destruction as a reason for the decline in oil prices much in the same way they blamed speculators for high oil prices just a few weeks earlier.

Also, when talking about demand destruction, they will refer to US numbers only; conveniently forgetting the rest of the world. The mindset here is still that the US is the top dog and the rest of the globe is irrelevant. So let's indulge them in their narrow-mindedness for a minute and look only at US consumption as presented by the Energy Information Administration.

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Commodities

Friday, August 15, 2008

Epic Gold Stocks Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe precious-metals stocks did not take kindly to gold's steep selloff this week. On Monday the flagship HUI gold-stock index plunged 6.0% at the climax of what can only be described as a crash. In this event's final 3 days, the HUI bled 13.1% of its value. In less than a month, it had plummeted 33.1% by the time the dust settled!

Although the HUI has a well-deserved reputation for extreme volatility, this selloff was still exceptional. Typically, sharp HUI declines emerge after major uplegs from high levels. But as you'll see in these charts, the HUI wasn't high technically when this heavy selling started battering it as August dawned. In fact it was already pretty beaten-up pre-crash , under both its summer support and 200-day moving average.

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