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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Gold Suckers Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“B waves can extend considerably and even appear impulsive, and … short term traders may very well try to continue their luck on the long side this week. We seem to have completed the minimum requirements for a 3-wave correction, but as shown in the chart, may need to see the wave subdivide further as drama in the currency and credit markets plays out. ~ Precious Points: Fool's Gold, May 10, 2008

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Commodities

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Silver Major Uptrend Breakout Alert / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

The technical condition of silver has continued to improve since the last bullish Silver Market update was posted a week ago. This is because it has held above the strong support in the $16 - $16.50 area, and by virtue of moving sideways during last week, it has broken out upside from the bullish Falling Wedge so that it is now in position to take off immediately, and is likely to, especially given that gold has started to lift off, rising strongly on Thursday on Friday.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Gold Triggers Short-term Bullish Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Friday looked like a break away but there is still some rough territory ahead to overcome. The $950/$960 area may be formidable.

GOLD : LONG TERM
The long term P&F chart is showing the direction of movement now on the up side but still some distance from reversing the P&F bear signal. That would need a move to the $960 level and then it would project only to the previous high for a mild move. My suspicions are that there will be more up and down volatility before any new reversal comes about. But time will tell, one should not be so set in one's view that one cannot change when the activity warrants.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 18, 2008

The Gold Price Fuse has been Lit and the Rocket is Rising! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week I wrote an article titled: “The Fuse Has Been Lit!” As a result of the article I received a number of E-mails from unbelievers.

It's amazing how many people out there still do not understand the basic bullish fundamentals of the gold market. Even a large number of analysts are providing their clients with erroneous advice, by telling them to ‘wait for a bottom'. Many of these clients could well be facing the problem of looking back ruefully at the bottom, long after it is in place.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Grain Markets Panic Buying, Export Controls, and Food Riots / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong term global demand and supply trends in the agricultural sector remain very favorable for investors. New and expanding biofuel facilities, growing global population, and the upgrading of diets in many Asian countries continues to increase demand for grains at a rapid pace.

Supply growth is constrained by export controls recently implemented by many large grain producing countries, drought in several producing regions, and the lack of readily available acreage suitable for expanding farming operations. Western agriculture methods are also incredibly energy intensive, which increases the cost of expanding supplies. The following developments occurred in the sector last month:

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Commodities

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Gold and GDX ETF Breaks Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Gold prices and the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) are higher this session in sympathy with the surge in energy prices. As of this moment, the price structure has broken above its prior rally peak at 46.68 on 5/09 as well as its March-May down trendline, which triggers upside follow-through to 48.00/30 next.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Gold Pushes Higher on Massive Government Mortgage Backed Junk Bond Swaps / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION prices rose sharply in London on Friday, gaining 1.1% to reach a three-week high of $894 per ounce as European stock markets pushed higher and US Treasury bonds slipped.

Crude oil regained more than 1.2% to trade above $125.60 per barrel.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 17, 2008

The Myth of Lower Oil Prices Ahead / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleConfusion reigns supreme as the mainstream financial press throw thoughts and headlines at you as they WISH THEM TO BE, instead of how they truly are. They do this to FLEECE you and get you to invest in products which serve their interests instead of yours. Never, ever invest based upon headlines splashed in front of you. They are almost always false. Daily activity in the markets provides lots of solid trading opportunities, but these opportunities rarely are consistently successful unless it is within the long-term trends and macro economic picture of the GLOBE, not just the G7. Invest based upon the picture within the US and you will be severely injured. The US must only be considered based upon the larger global economic pictures.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Why Gasoline Price Is Really Rising / Commodities / Gas - Petrol

By: Investmentscore.com

In an attempt to force lower gasoline prices we get many email forwards from frustrated consumers trying to organize a short term boycott against “greedy” oil companies. Consumers are clearly aggravated with these high prices, but the strategies for change that they suggest are flawed. This short article is designed to redirect this consumer frustration toward what we believe is the main cause of the problem and to offer a potential solution.

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Commodities

Friday, May 16, 2008

Uranium Stocks Continue Bearish Roller Coaster Ride / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

Note that the volume is an average volume of round lot sales for the 50 component stocks. For total volume, multiply by 5000.

The roller coaster continues. Today is an up day, tomorrow ?? Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, May 16, 2008

Mining Companies Leverage / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Morgan

This week I decided to look over some of our earlier reports and provide some information that can help to clarify some common misperceptions in valuing mining companies. The following is edited down considerably from a November 2007 Morgan Report. 

One of the best ways to gain leverage to the precious metals is still in the mining sector and specifically through both junior and senior mining stocks. One analytical method is to take the total resource (indicated and inferred) and determine how many ounces you as an investor are receiving per share or per dollar invested.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Gold Correction Near its End on Converging Signals from Bonds and Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe springtime corrections are really about done. They have gone on for a couple of months. The extent of the pullbacks have been tested and retested. The long-term trends are just about ready to asset themselves again. Grand deceptions have resumed to attempt to fool the public and the investment community that the worst is over for banks, housing, and mortgage bonds. That is not even remotely true. The deeply wounded banks, the sharply corrected home prices, and the badly damaged mortgage bonds have much more pain ahead. Nothing has been fixed. Many mortgage resets have yet to take place. The New Resolution Trust Corp to facilitate secondary mortgages, to bury dead mortgage bonds, and to renegotiate home loans is not even agreed upon, let alone installed. Its operation will be sometime in 2009 at the earliest.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Odds Favor Short-Term Crude Oil Downtrend / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYears ago when oil was $30 per barrel, we were laughed at when we suggested that it could trade over $100. Now it seems we were being a bit conservative.

That said, based on statistical tools we use to measure probabilities, we believe oil is currently overbought and due for a short-term correction of $20 to $35 before resuming a longer-term price climb that could well reach $200 per barrel.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Playing the Food Boom for Huge Profits / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: I'm long 5,000 bushels of corn in the futures market. I bought the contract at $6.22 (a bushel), near corn's record high price.

Why? Because I'm expecting the price of corn to more than double in the next 18 months, to well over $12 a bushel. And I'll be adding more corn to my portfolio when I see the next buy point.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Gold Slips on Queationable Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold was down  $ 3.60 to $8 6 5.40 yesterday  and silver was  down  18  cents to $1 6. 55 . Gold traded flat in Asia and has  risen marginally in early trading in Europe. While the dollar is down today, the dollar's short term bounce may continue and this could put further pressure on gold and result in further consolidation at these levels (the $850 to $890 range). But oil is up more than 0.5% again this morning to over $125 a barrel again and this should result in gold being well supported at these levels.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Commodities Correct after recent Strong Rallies / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Emanuel_Balarie

Grains
Corn fell for the fourth straight day, with the July contract settling 8.25 cents lower at $5.99 a bushel. Improving planting conditions in the U.S. Midwest with forecasts for no major storms before May 21st will accelerate plantings that have experienced extended delays due to wet weather.

Soybeans held firm today after gaining nearly 3-percent yesterday. The July contract settled unchanged at $13.79 ½ a bushel. New crop futures closed higher with the November contract gaining 7 1/4 cents at $13.33 a bushel. Favorable corn planting conditions, strong demand, and a farmer strike in Argentina sent soybeans steady to higher on the session.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Gold & Euros Bounce on Inflation Fears; Ex-Fed Volcker Warns of Return to 1970s Stagflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES turned higher alongside the Euro early Thursday, gaining 0.5% after strong economic data dashed short-term hopes of Eurozone rate cuts.

That dented the US Dollar's recent rally and capped Western stock markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Grain Exporting Countries of Africa to Mirror Crude Oil OPEC Boom / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat countries are truly the have and have nots of the world? Good friend and business partner Niels Jensen of Absolute Return Partners suggests we look at the old equation in a new way? Food and energy resources may be at least part of the definition in the future. In this week's Outside the Box we continue a them I mentioned a few weeks ago: agricultural needs are going to be a new and important force in the world and when coupled with energy may shift the balance of power in the world in strange a different ways.

When, as Niels points out, Afghanistan poppy farmers are shifting to wheat farming, the world is truly a different place. I think you will find the research he has done to be truly worth a few minutes of your thinking time.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Inflation Deflation Chaotic Trend Towards Stagflation / Commodities / Stagflation

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeeing the gold market correct, and oil in a speculation mania, and other commodities with speculation, then combining weakening US consumer demand, one wonders what the heck is going on. The markets are in a chaotic battle between inflation and deflation forces.

The USD is rising, from a bottom around 70. It fell for years since 02. At this 70ish number on the USDX (US dollar index heavily Euro weighted) the USD rebounded. The EU is screaming the Euro is too strong. Germany is the only one who is not screaming. Even so, the EU has a much better trade balance situation (on the whole) than the US.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Gold Bounces on Strong Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD BULLION fell at the opening in London on Wednesday, slipping to a 7-session low of $860.50 per ounce before bouncing almost 1.0% as New York opened for business and the US Dollar fell against the Euro.

Wall Street stock futures pointed lower as crude oil dropped 41¢ per barrel to $125.31.

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