Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, March 17, 2017

European Elections and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The most commonly cited bullish arguments in favor of gold right now are the problems faced by the Old Continent, mainly the elections in certain countries. So let’s analyze them individually to consider their potential impact on the gold market.

Thursday, March 16, 2017

Crude Oil Price Outlook 2017 - Video / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My crude oil in-depth analysis and concluding trend forecast for 2016 proved remarkably accurate, and so I get a lot of comments requesting a similar exercise for 2017. However my analysis has so far not lead me in the direction of the oil price, nevertheless my recent analysis on the SNP's latest call for a Scottish independence in an attempt at subverting BrExit, that eventually aim to convert into a video did include a brief look at the most probable prospects for the crude oil price for 2017 as being a significant factor with regards forecasting the outcome of the Scottish second referendum.

Thursday, March 16, 2017

Gold Up 1.8%, Silver Up 2.6% After Dovish Fed Signals Slow Interest Rate Rises / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold up 1.8%, silver up 2.6% – Fed signals slow rate rises
– Dollar sells off as Fed raises 0.25% to target range of 0.75 percent to 1 percent on inflation outlook and “ebullient” stocks
– Gold’s biggest 1 day percentage gain since September 2016
– Fed raises rates for only the third time since crisis
– Fade out Fed “jibber jabber” and focus on still ultra low rates (see chart)
– Rising rates bullish for gold as seen in 1970s and 2003 to 2007 (see table)
– Silver rose 26% in 2003, 14% in 2004, 29% in 2005 and 46.6% in 2006

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Gold and Silver Price Manipulation: The Biggest Financial Crime In History / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Stewart_Dougherty

According to the mainstream financial media (MFM), the biggest financial frauds in history are the Bernie Madoff Ponzi scheme, with roughly $20 billion in net investor losses, and the Bank State rigging of LIBOR, which resulted in 16 guilty banks paying $35 billion in fines, which supposedly equated to their theft.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Inflation + Populism = Soaring Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Rubino

Inflation is back, thanks to the past few years’ exuberant borrowing and currency creation. Meanwhile, populist politicians are gaining traction in Europe, threatening both the European Union and the eurozone.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Energy Stocks Preparing a Bounce / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

2016 was a good year for Energy Stocks as Oil & GAS price rose significantly helping the Energy sector to recover from the drop that started since 2014 . However since the recent peak early this year , Oil price stabilised in a tight range and failed to move higher before the recent 9% drop last week in both Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate .

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Gold, Oil, CRB, Bonds - Beware The Bearish Rising Wedge / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this report I would like to show you a chart pattern that seems to be showing up in a lot of different area’s of the markets, in particular the commodities complex. We looked at some of them in the last Weekend Report which were maturing, but in some cases hadn’t broken down yet. The chart pattern I’m referring to is the bearish rising wedge.

Some of the bearish rising wedges have a common theme which is the late 2015 low, when commodities and the PM complex finally bottomed out after that massive impulse move down. At a minimum the price objective for a rising or falling wedge is the first reversal point in which the wedge began to build out. Prices can go much lower, but the first reversal point is a good first price objective.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Gold and Silver Commercial Traders Begin to Cover Short Positions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jason_Hamlin

Does the trend change in the short position of commerical traders signal a bottom for precious metals?

Gold and silver posted a strong start to the year in 2017, despite the December rate hike. This was a repeat of last year, when the December 2015 Federal Reserve rate hike was followed by a massive rally in precious metals. However, both gold and silver have pulled back sharply over the past few weeks. Gold is down $60 or 4.5% to $1,200, while silver is down $1.40 or 7.5% to $17 per ounce.

Monday, March 13, 2017

Gold Bear Market Return? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Energy_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan sets forth data that signals the potential return of a bear market in the precious metals.

Monday, March 13, 2017

Crude Oil Prices Volatility May Drive Expanded Stock Market Volatility / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last weeks move in Crude Oil, down over 8.8% was triggered by new “Record High” US inventory data and news that OPEC production cuts are near 85% compliance have prompted a breakdown. We have been expecting a breakout move for a few weeks and suspected production would outpace demand, as it has been for many months.

Monday, March 13, 2017

Digital Gold On The Blockchain – For Now Caveat Emptor / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Bitcoin surpasses gold price – a psychological and arbitrary headline 

– Royal Mint blockchain gold asks you to trust in the UK government

– Royal Canadian Mint and GoldMoney blockchain product asks you to trust in government and the technology, servers, websites etc of the providers

Monday, March 13, 2017

Why 2017 Can be a Golden Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Submissions

Nandik Barbhaiya writes: The investment landscape is facing significant changes in 2017 on the back of an unpredictable and, at times, chaotic political environment in 2016. The extent of the repercussions of the ‘Leave’ vote in Britain’s EU referendum, the start of Donald Trump’s controversial Presidency, and Marie La Pen’s recent popularity ahead of France’s upcoming elections are all set to make a considerable impact on business and trading worldwide. Here, we look at alternative trading options for 2017 with a focus on gold investment.

Monday, March 13, 2017

The Number One Reason You Should Own Physical Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Mauldin

105 years ago, American financier J.P. Morgan testified before Congress. When asked if the control of credit involved a control of money, Morgan responded by saying, “Not always. [Credit] is an evidence of banking, but [credit] is not the money itself. Money is gold, and nothing else.”

Although they are not the same, “money” and “credit” are used interchangeably in our vocabulary today. Given the massive credit expansion over the past four decades, understanding the difference between the two has never been more important.

Sunday, March 12, 2017

Technical Update for Crude Oil: Brent and WTI / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: MarketsToday

Highlights: Brent Crude

• Brent has been progressing upwards in an ascending trend channel for a number of months
• Last week it broke down sharply from a tight symmetrical triangle or pennant pattern and through support of the 50-day exponential moving average (ema) before finding support around the 50-week ema and the 200-day ema. The low for the week was 51.18.
• Brent is now likely to either:
• bounce from here back up towards the breakdown level around 55.00 to test it as resistance, before turning back down, or
• relatively quickly continue the descent to lower support levels

Sunday, March 12, 2017

Insanity Still Rules: Bullish For Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_Noonan

The emergence of an unexpected BREXIT victory, followed by an even more unlikely event, a Trump presidential victory are the outgrowth of the global elites having far exceeded their [almost] unspoken, unchallenged rule of the world, accomplished mostly by controlling the world’s money.

Money.  One of the most common words in every language, yet the least understood, and by preference and design re the moneychangers.  We will address “money” solely from a US perspective, not out of arrogance, but because money has a lawful definition that has been turned upside down by the likes of Rothschilds and other banking elites.

Saturday, March 11, 2017

An Analog for the Gold Stocks Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The gold stocks bounced strongly today after the February jobs report confirmed the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates next week. While precious metals rallied strongly following the previous two hikes, I’m not so sure today marks the start of a big rebound. For one, the Federal Reserve could hike rates again in July. Second and more important, the technical setup argues for more back and forth action in the weeks and months ahead. While the current price action in the gold stocks is different from that in the previous cyclical bull markets, we do think we have found one viable comparison for the current correction.

Saturday, March 11, 2017

States Consider Removing Income and Sales Taxes from the Monetary Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals markets can certainly be volatile from week to week, but over time they are a more reliable store of value than Federal Reserve Notes. Gold and silver remain the world’s most enduring and most widely recognized form of money. And, as spelled out in the U.S. Constitution, gold and silver coins are legal tender. Individual states thus can formally recognize gold and silver coins as legal tender alternatives to Federal Reserve Note dollars.

Saturday, March 11, 2017

Gold Mining Stocks Q4 2016 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have corrected hard in recent weeks, hammered by a gold pullback driven by soaring Fed-rate-hike odds.  Like any considerable selloff, this has spawned serious bearish sentiment.  But the gold miners’ underlying operating fundamentals remain quite strong, proving the recent selling was purely psychological.  This sector’s just-reported fourth-quarter results are impressive, very bullish.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Required by securities regulators, these quarterly results are exceedingly important for investors and speculators.  They dispel all the sentimental distortions surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing the underlying hard fundamental realities.  They serve to re-anchor perceptions.

Friday, March 10, 2017

Trump's First Month and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Trump has been president for more than a month. What has he done so far and how will it affect the gold market? Trump's presidency has begun like no other - four weeks of conflict and chaos: travel ban, war with media and intelligence agencies, and the resignation of Flynn as a national security advisor. However, beneath the noise, Trump has been steadily fulfilling his campaign promises, or so it seems. The pace of actions has been very intense - so far, Trump has signed more than 20 executive orders or memoranda, submitted a few bills, nominated one Supreme Court justice, and talked to several foreign leaders. However, investors should be aware that there is a huge gap between what the new administration has said and what it has done in reality - most of Trump's orders have not changed the reality in any significant way (for example, take the order authorizing the construction of a border wall - without Congress' approval of funding for that purpose, the order is meaningless).

Friday, March 10, 2017

James Rickards: Gold Price $10,000 Long-Term Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

James Rickards: Long-Term Forecast For $10,000 Gold

James Rickards, geopolitical and monetary expert and best selling author of the ‘The New Case for Gold’ has written an interesting piece for the Daily Reckoning on why he believes gold will reach $10,000 in the long term.