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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Saudis Planning For A War Of Attrition In Europe With Russia's Oil Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Russia's central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. Russia sends 70 percent of its oil to Europe, but Saudi Arabia has been making inroads in the European market amid the oil price downturn.

The result is a heavier discount for Russia's crude oil, the so-called Urals blend. Bloomberg reported that the Urals typically lands in Rotterdam, a major European destination, at a discount to Brent of around $2 or less. But the discount has widened to $3.50 lately due to increased competition from Saudi Arabia. "Oil supplies to Europe from Saudi Arabia are probably adversely affecting Urals prices," the Russian central bank warned in a recent report.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Gold Stocks Buckle / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

There is absolutely nothing good that can be said about the mining stocks at this point. Then again, there has been little good to say about these things for a long, long time.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

A Half-Century of Gold, War, and Costs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

In round numbers, these wars (in today’s dollars) were tremendously expensive:

Vietnam War:  Estimated cost is $740 Billion

War on Drugs:  Estimated cost is $1,000 Billion

War on Terror, including Afghanistan and Iraq:  Estimated cost is $1,700 Billion and counting

War on Poverty:  Estimated cost is $22,000 Billion

Total estimated war costs – about $25 Trillion.  Really?  Value received?

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Three Shocking Charts That Prove Gold Price Rally Is Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: I thought I’d seen the most shocking gold chart this year. Turns out I was wrong.

Lately, I’m seeing one chart after another that paints a picture in stark contrast to current low prices in the metal.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Is COMEX the Center of World Silver Price Discovery? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

In our recent LIVE Q&A interview with renowned silver analyst, Ted Butler, the following question came up. Below is the transcript of Butler’s response.

Ted:       Its a great question. COMEX is the center of the gold and silver universe.

Technically, there is trading on these other exchanges. Take the LBMA for example.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Gold Price Hovering Above Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Just as the Euro is hanging by a thread above its chart support zone, so too is gold hanging by a thread above a critical chart support zone. The bottom of that zone is the July low near $1070 with the zone extending upward towards $1080.

Gold drew a bit of support in today’s session ( Monday) out of safe haven buying tied to the horrific carnage in Paris but as is always the case with gold, rallies that come from geopolitical events, generally do not last long, especially when the underlying fundamentals for gold are as poor as they currently are.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

What Every Investor Needs to Know About the Diamond Market / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: The_Gold_Report

Investing in diamond equities is quite different from investing in gold equities, explains Matthew O'Keefe, vice president and senior analyst with Dundee Capital Markets, one of a handful of Canadian analysts covering the diamond space. O'Keefe says diamond deposits require "an order of magnitude" greater study than gold deposits in order to properly determine grade, and says diamond prices are almost exclusively driven by consumer demand. In this interview with The Gold Report, O'Keefe sheds some light on two undervalued diamond producers, as well as three promising developers.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

The Final Gold Chapter / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

This is the final chapter of this intermediate gold Cycle, and it’s likely to get ugly.  If you’ve followed the blog these past few months, you would have been prepared for most of this move as it unfolded in real-time.  The first post back on October 1st was  Gold Cycle Running Out of Steam  and was then followed up (Nov 1st) with Don’t Trust Gold Here.  In both cases, I highlighted how the Weekly Cycle had topped and how similarly past Cycles behaved .  It was why I argued that this Cycle appeared to be no different to the preceding failed, bear market Cycles since 2011.  This is where gold finds itself today, standing on a ledge before a significant fall.  For the patient (and protected) bulls, it may well become the final chapter of this great bear market.

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Commodities

Monday, November 16, 2015

Undeniable Truths about Precious Metals (Don't Forget These...) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: From first to worst. Gold and silver were the best assets to own during the first decade of this century. During this second decade... not so much. Precious metals bulls have endured 4 years of prices drifting lower punctuated by periodic smash-downs and the occasional false-breakout.

What really gets the goat of gold and silver investors is that, throughout this time, there have been very good fundamental reasons to own metals. Somehow those fundamentals never show up in the price. The price action in recent years is enough to make bulls question reality.

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Commodities

Monday, November 16, 2015

Gold Remains “Best Insurance For A Crisis” – Ficenec / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- “Future is uncertain and gold is the most effective insurance against that”
– As fears grow about outlook for global economy – long term attraction of gold remains
– As “central banks race to devalue currency,” private individuals are buying record amounts of gold
– “Gold is simply the best insurance against inflation, or deflation”

Editor’s Note: The tragic events in Paris, terrorism and war throughout the world, show geopolitical risk remains high.  These risks will likely impact economies and financial markets and will see continuing safe haven demand for gold.

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Commodities

Monday, November 16, 2015

Why Gold Prices Could Bounce This Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Kirtley

Since the last US employment release and comments from Yellen suggesting a December hike is likely, gold has struggled to maintain its downward momentum. Whilst we believe that the Fed will increase rates in December and gold prices will move lower over the medium term, there is a strong case for a bounce in gold prices in the short term. Technically gold is oversold and holding support at $1080.  This is too low relative to market pricing for a Fed hike and should find support from weaker US data since NFP, lower stocks, lower oil as well as a safe haven bid from any escalation of issues related to ISIS and recent tragic events in Paris. 

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Commodities

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Silver Prices and The Fed Meetings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Hey guys it's Jeff here, stay right there, we are live, I'm really excited once again for two reasons: Number 1, I get to use this unique technology. When it works, it gives us the ability to create an immediate live replay or an encore replay, a transcript and also an audio version of this. The second reason why I'm excited is that we are continuing, this is our 7th episode in the series where we're covering what really determines the price of silver, the electronic price discovery versus the fundamental reality and during this time we've actually seen a complete turn of this cycle, this pattern, or this trading relationship between the big commercial banks and the managed money traders.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Gold And Silver Sellers Remain In Control / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

This week, we are ending our commentary portion, probably until January due to a pressing time commitment for the next several weeks. Starting from next week, we will post charts and chart comments only on this site. If you are not a subscriber and still want to read the chart comments, you will have to subscribe in order to follow the updates.

This is not an effort to increase subscribers, rather, it is the only viable way because the sites to which our articles are submitted prefer some accompanying commentary, in addition to the charts. We do not use subscriber e-mails for any purpose other than submitting our commentaries directly to them. Subscriber privacy is respected. Besides, from our point of view, the charts tell the most compelling story.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 14, 2015

US$ Breakout Could Unleash Capitulation in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last Friday we wrote that precious metals were very oversold and due for a bounce or a pause. We also argued that the overall prognosis remained very bearish. The technicals argue for more downside and sentiment indicators remain far from bearish extremes. The strength in the US$ index is another reason precious metals should remain under pressure. If the US$ index makes a strong break above 100 it could trigger a final wave of liquidation in Gold and Silver.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Gold Mining Stocks May Be The Buy Of The Century / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jeff_Berwick

The Dow Jones has been falling all week and continues lower today on this Friday the 13th.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Do Credit Spreads Move the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Although the bond prices do not drive the price of gold, the spreads between prices of bonds or yields - the different sides of one coin - with different risk level may be an important factor for the gold market. Why? Credit spread is a spread between two securities that are almost identical, except for quality rating. Because Treasuries are considered practically risk-free, they constitute a benchmark to which other bonds are compared. Thus, credit spread usually shows a spread between Treasury securities and identical (except rating) non-Treasuries. In other words, credit spread indicates the risk premium for investing in one (risky) security over another (considered to have almost no risk).

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Commodities

Friday, November 13, 2015

Absurd Gold Stock Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have suffered heavy collateral damage following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish surprise late last month, which ignited enormous gold-futures selling by American speculators.  This devastated sector has been battered back down near last summer’s deep secular lows.  But these gold-stock price levels are fundamentally absurd, the product of extreme and irrational sentiment that can’t persist for long.

Today’s gold-stock price levels are the greatest fundamental disconnect in the entire stock markets, an epic opportunity for contrarian investors and speculators!  The entire gold-mining industry is trading as if the price of gold, the overwhelmingly-dominant driver of its profits, was just a small fraction of prevailing levels.  Gold stocks are radically underpriced fundamentally based on their current and future earnings power.

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Commodities

Friday, November 13, 2015

The “Bloodbath” in Canada Is Far From Over / Commodities / Canada

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

The oil price crash continues to claim victims…and many of them are in Canada.

The price of oil hovered around $100 for most of last summer. Today, it’s trading for less than $45.

Weak oil prices have pummeled huge oil companies. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP), which tracks the performance of major U.S. oil producers, has declined 36% over the past year. The Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH), which tracks U.S. oil services companies, has declined 30% since last November.

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Commodities

Friday, November 13, 2015

Russia Sees Gold Reserves As “Additional Financial Cushion” In Face Of “External Uncertainties” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Gold and FX reserves are “additional financial cushion” for state in face of “external uncertainties”
– Russia bought another 77 tonnes of gold in Q3
– Ruble volatility does not create risks for financial stability in Russia
– Russia intends building fx and gold reserves to $500 billion in coming years
– Gold is a “100% guarantee from legal and political risks”

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Commodities

Friday, November 13, 2015

Crude Oil and Gold Daily Cycles / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Savage

Oil has confirmed a failed daily cycle. That's not good news and probably means the 3 year cycle low will now get stretched out to early spring.

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