Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

This “Pig” Just Made a Massive Bet on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Dan Steinhart

Stan Druckenmiller is going big on gold.

Druckenmiller is one of the world’s most successful and respected traders. As a hedge fund manager from 1986 to 2010, he generated an incredible average annual return of 30%.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Gold, No Interest! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Stronger than expected US retail sales data undercut some of the recent safe haven trades ( buying bonds, the yen and gold) sending all three lower in today’s session.

For the first two weeks of August, retails sales are up 1.7% versus a year ago and up 0.3% from July.

That got the “Fed is going to hike in September” talk starting up once more which of course send the Dollar higher and most commodities lower.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Silver Price Cycle Low – Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

The price of silver has been crushed during the last four years.  Prices are ready to reverse.  We will know soon enough after the High-Frequency-Traders have their way with prices for paper silver and gold on the CME.  But consider:

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Riding the Energy Wave to the Future / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: John_Mauldin

“Formula for success: rise early, work hard, strike oil.” – J. Paul Getty

This week’s yuan devaluation was big news, but it’s really part of a much bigger saga. Events around the globe are combining to create huge economic change over the next few years. We are watching giant, multidimensional chess games played by some master players.

Energy is the chessboard that connects all the players. What happens when the board changes shape in the middle of the game? If you don’t know the new energy landscape, you’ll have a hard time playing to a draw, much less winning.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Energy Demand Collapse Followed by Supply Collapse / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nicole_Foss

As we have noted many times, energy is the master resource, and has been the primary driver of an expansion dating back to the beginning of the industrial revolution. In fossil fuels humanity discovered the ‘holy grail’ of energy sources – highly concentrated, reasonably easy to obtain, transportable and processable into many useful forms. Without this discovery, it is unlikely that any human empire would have exceeded the scale and technological sophistication of Rome at its height, but with it we incrementally developed the capacity to reach for the stars along an exponential growth curve.

Monday, August 17, 2015

The Coming Silver Price Rally Will Outperform All Previous Ones / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

The Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) is a key indicator in the analysis of the silver and gold markets. This ratio (or chart of the ratio) is probably one of the most difficult to analyse. One has to take a real close look at the ratio in order to find what actually drives the ratio up or down.

For example, from about after the end of the Second World War to the early 70s there was an economic boom with the Dow rallying significantly during those years. During the same period the GSR actually kept falling significantly until it actually bottomed in 1968.

Monday, August 17, 2015

Why has Druckenmiller Dived in Gold and Copper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Four weeks after gold tumbled to 5-year lows on revelation of far lower Chinese gold holdings than previously anticipated, gold bulls find out that one of the world's greatest hedge fund managers made gold the biggest holding in his fund in Q2. He also loaded up on 2 large miners.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Gold And Silver Market Bottoming? Big Rally Imminent? Reality Check Says NO / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

The developing events over the past few months are so varied, seemingly unrelated but are all tied in, just not in a cognitive manner that makes sense, and almost all them are based upon lies by one government after another, the worst offender being the US.

We find it hard to make a cohesive explanation as to their impact. This increasingly maze of events is mean to confuse, to deflect. It is a key element of the elites creating problems, reactions [usually confusion or panic by the masses], and offering solutions. Cyprus and Greece are similar examples. The Ukrainian coup by the US, sanctions against Russia that have so badly backfired. China an added part of the SDR, then maybe not. The list is much longer.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

The World is Awash in Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

...But does that mean that oil prices will only go down from here?

In this new interview with Elliott Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, Steve Craig, you'll learn where he sees prices going next.

*Editor's note: this interview was recorded on August 12; the price low cited in the video was broken on August 13.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Gold and Silver Shaken, Not Stirred / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Submissions

Chart Freak write: After a solid 5 day rally, gold sold off on Thursday, and the precious metals miners were sold-off indescriminetly.   Both GDX and GDXJ were down almost 6%, leading many to be shaken out of position on the pullback.  For me, these events are expected and become opportunities, so lets examine the charts to see why.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Gold Miners’ $1200-Cost Fallacy / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The entire gold-mining sector was crushed last month, suffering a full-blown panic.  This was triggered by an extreme shorting attack on gold by American futures speculators.  As fear-blinded traders rushed for the gold-stock exits, they claimed their selling was rational because gold miners’ very existence was threatened by such low gold prices.  But that’s a total fallacy, this sector has no problem weathering sub-$1200 gold.

The recent pain in gold stocks has been excruciating.  This sector’s benchmark of choice these days is Van Eck Global’s Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF, better known by its symbol GDX.  It closely mirrors gold stocks’ long-time leading sector index, the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index that trades as HUI.  The carnage in these two gold-stock metrics has been incredible, shattering the resolve of most contrarian traders.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Gold and Silver Stocks Get a Reprieve / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The precious metals sector has held recent lows and a rebound is underway. Gold held $1080/oz for three straight weeks and has pushed as high as $1126/oz this week. The gold miners (GDX and GDXJ) surged the first half of the week and Silver has also gained. We believe that this move is more likely to be a relief rally before Gold ultimately tests $1000/oz rather than the start of a new bull market.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Crude Oil's Slippery Slope: How Far Will Prices Fall? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

One prominent analyst says oil prices will drop much further

Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Supply and Demand Will Rescue Gold Mining Stocks Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Money managers Doug Loud and Jeff Mosseri of Greystone Asset Management LLC. have some simple advice for gold investors: Relax. Supply and demand will reassert its reign quite soon, and, when that time comes, both gold and gold equities will appreciate quickly and significantly from their current levels. In this interview with The Gold Report, they highlight several producers and explorers with the management, cash and projects needed to spring forward when the market turns.

The Gold Report: The gold sector entered full-blown panic mode in July with the Bloomberg analysts forecasting a dip below $1,000 per ounce ($1,000/oz) this year, and Deutsche Bank forecasting $750/oz. Is this just fear feeding on fear, or is there something else going on?

Friday, August 14, 2015

Gold and Silver Offer The Most Profitable Secular Opportunity Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

July was a horrible month for precious metals prices. Sentiment reached levels never seen before. As metals and the miners broke through a long term support line, so did pessimism.

To get an idea of the level of pessimism, we are including a very long term chart going back to 1992 (courtesy of Sentimentrader). As readers can see, market sentiment in the last 2 years is worse than the bear market lows of 1998 – 2000.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Commodity Prices Weakness Persists / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: John_Mauldin

In today’s Outside the Box, good friend Gary Shilling gives us deeper insight into the global economic trends that have led to China’s headline-making, market-shaking devaluation of the renminbi. He reminds us that today’s currency moves and lagging growth are the (perhaps inevitable) outcome of China massive expansion of output for many products that started more than a decade ago. China was at the epicenter of a commodity bubble that got underway in 2002, soon after China joined the World Trade Organization.

As manufacturing shifted from North America and Europe to China –with China now consuming more than 40% of annual global output of copper, tin, lead, zinc and other nonferrous metal while stockpiling increased quantities of iron ore, petroleum and other commodities – many thought a permanent commodity boom was here.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Desolation Row: The Silver Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Silver peaked in 1980 and then crashed into “Silver Desolation Row” in 1999 – 2001, like now.

The 1970s decade was the time for commodity price increases and inflation.  The 1980s and 1990s saw a preference for paper assets and stocks, while commodities, gold, and silver prices collapsed.

Friday, August 14, 2015

The Fed, Exter’s Pyramid and Gold – When John Exter Met Paul Volcker / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold prices were USD 1,117.35, EUR 1005.54 and GBP 715.56 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold prices were USD 1,116.80, EUR 1003.23 and GBP 717.18 per ounce.
[LBMA AM prices]

Thursday, August 13, 2015

China's Yuan Devaluation Creates This Profit Play for U.S. Oil Investors / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: When the People's Bank of China (PBOC) cut the value of the yuan by 2% on Tuesday, it was the biggest one-day drop for the currency in more than 20 years.

Crude oil and stocks sank on Tuesday, as well, with oil scraping six-year lows.

Tuesday's action would have been enough… but then the yuan plunged all over again on Wednesday, despite PBOC efforts to prop it up, triggering even more volatility.

Thursday, August 13, 2015

Gold Price at a Crossroads / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Gold has had a nice run off the Chinese yuan devaluation news with short covering the dominant reason behind the buying.

Markets that have a decent sized speculative short position are always subject to bouts of sharp price rises as shorts scurry for cover. The question is not whether or not shorts are covering - they are. The question is, "Are there large numbers of specs who are willing and eager to assume NEW LONG positions?"