Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Gold Price Rally: The Bottom is In? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

As mentioned in an earlier post this morning, the TRIPLE THREE safe havens, the Yen, Bonds and Gold, are all getting a boost in today's session with the Bonds being the stand out performer as can be expected.

Gold, while moving higher, is also being weighed down by falling commodity prices with weakness in this sector a reason why many traders are selling into its rally.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Gold Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

Before the intermediate cycle can top gold needs to rally far enough to stop all the calls for $1000 & $800 gold. There are still way too many traders expecting lower prices. The job of an intermediate rally is to clear that sentiment. As long as we keep seeing multiple comments about this being a bull trap (it may be) and traders should short the bounce then the bounce will continue. That’s what counter trend rallies do. They rally far enough to knock all of the shorts out of the market. Once that is complete then the next leg down can start.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Copper Bear Market Rally Underway / Commodities / Copper

By: Austin_Galt

Copper has rallied recently and I believe this to be the start of a significant bear rally. Let's analyse the technicals of the daily, weekly and monthly charts.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Gold And Silver - Ufa. Why It Matters But Does Not / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

To almost all Americans mentioning Ufa will bring a blank response. What is Ufa? None would ask, "Where is it?" for there has been no mention of it anywhere in the mainstream media. Does Ufa matter? Yes, but in this country it does not.

Here is a primer on understanding many acronyms the average American has no clue even of their existence. First of all, Ufa is not an acronym, it is the capital and administrative center of Bashkortostan Republic, Russia. It is one of the largest Russian cities with a population over one million people. It was founded in 1574. Now you know more than 99.9% of the average American, with just two sentences.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

This Is What Needs To Happen For Crude Oil Prices To Stabilize / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

On September 10th the EIA reported a production decline in the Lower 48 -- essentially shale production -- of 208,000 BOPD. That is a staggeringly enormous number, approximately 10 percent of the estimated global over-supply. Additionally, it was a week-over-week number which makes it all the more impressive. Yet it received little attention through the week. Rather, Goldman Sachs was grabbing all the headlines with its $20 call on oil.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Gold and Gold Stocks Bull Trap or Bottom in? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

As we know, Gold and gold mining stocks have been trapped in a bear market that has been severe in both price and duration. It is seemingly a "forever" bear market as rebounds and recoveries have been followed by lower prices and more devastation. The Fed-induced strength of this week is giving bulls some hope. For the bulls, this strength needs to be duplicated in the weeks ahead or it would be another false alarm. While a new bull market is inevitable, we do not see it as imminent.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Commodities, CRB,WTIC,Copper - After The Long Dark Night, The Sun Starts to Rise... / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Clive_Maund

Commodities and Emerging Markets have been crushed over the past 15 months by the dollar's strong rally. It therefore follows that if the dollar starts down again, they are going to rally, and this will happen regardless of the state of economies. The dollar should start down again if the Fed fails to raise interest rates tomorrow, and maybe even if they do, as the ensuing chain of interest rate rises cannot extend far because of the magnitude of debt.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Time to Invest in Gold? Consider These Four Factors First / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: The market expects gold to go lower as the Fed raises interest rates. That’s because gold pays no interest, unlike bonds. In fact, more than $2.6 billion was wiped from the value of gold exchange-traded products (ETPs) in just three weeks as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s meeting. Ouch!

And in all, since gold entered a bear market in April 2013, a whopping $54 billion in value has bled out of gold ETPs. Holdings in bullion products fell to 1,508.2 metric tons on August 11.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Crude Oil Price Rises 29% in One Week... Here's What It Means / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: DailyWealth

Thursday, September 17, 2015

What Today’s Fed Decision Means for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: After nine years of historically low interest rates, the Fed is finally getting ready to remove the proverbial punchbowl from the easy-money party.

As it stands, Yellen & Company are only contemplating a mere 25 basis rate hike and even that now seems unlikely.

According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, the Fed Funds futures contracts are pricing in a below 25% chance of a rate hike later this afternoon.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Gold Price Up Before Fed Interest Rate Decision - Myth Of All Powerful Central Banker Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Gold rose 1.3% yesterday ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate announcement today. Markets remain divided and uncertain whether the Fed will increase rates by 25 basis points today (1900 GMT).

The Fed last raised interest rates in June 2006, by 25 basis points to 5.25%, shortly after that America’s central bank found itself reducing rates and since December 2008 the Fed’s benchmark interest rate has been set between 0.0% and 0.25%. Gold prices rose in the months after the interest rise and were 23% higher in 2006.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

The Shale Oil Delusion: Why The Party's Over For U.S. Tight Oil / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

The party is over for tight oil.

Despite brash statements by U.S. producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies.

Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Gold Price Bottom - 90% Of Traders Are Always Wrong At Major Turns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

For about the last year and a half I’ve been warning that gold was being driven down to test the last C-wave top ($1033). No one believed me.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Should You Actually Worry About Gold Confiscation? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Guy Christopher writes: Most gold owners are familiar with worries of forced government gold confiscation - that one day black-ops shock teams will toss homes to find that stash of coins and bars.

The sole historical source for the modern fear of "confiscation" was President Franklin Roosevelt's 1933 Executive Order 6102 telling America to cough up its gold in the midst of The Great Depression.

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

The Coming Grand Canyon of Uranium Supply Deficit and Three Ways to Profit by It / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

A Grand Canyon of supply deficit is opening up in the uranium markets, with 66 nuclear reactors under construction globally and more restarting in Japan. As Russia and China shore up their supply chains in Kazakhstan and elsewhere, the rest of the world could be scrambling for new sources to keep the lights on. In this interview with The Energy Report, Thomas Drolet, head of Drolet & Associates Energy Services, illuminates junior companies in the Athabasca Basin, southern Alberta and South America that could be strategic sources for countries shoring up domestic supply and for majors that need replacement resources.

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

How to Profit from Oil’s M&A Cycle / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The continuing swoon in crude oil prices combined with a rapidly advancing crunch in energy debt has once again ushered in expectations of a merger and acquisition (M&A) cycle among oil companies.

The first indication that such a cycle is underway came a week ago… in Australia.

One of that country’s leading oil producers proposed a merger with another in what would be one of the largest energy M&A deals ever seen “Down Under.” Woodside Petroleum Ltd. (OTC:WOPEY) announced an all-stock deal valued at more than US$8 billion (A$11.64 billion) for Oil Search Ltd. (OTC:OISHY). The merger would create one of the dominant players in the Australian market. Oil Search initially rebuffed Woodside’s offer but talks continue.

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Silver Price Route to $50 and Beyond / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

The Dow has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up a lot of the available value on global markets. There will be no significant silver and gold rally while we have a rallying or a "close to its high" Dow.

The Dow is up about 2.52 times from its low during the 2008/2009 crash. Based on the fact that silver has its great rallies when the Dow is weak (see here); it is no surprise that silver's performance during roughly the same time has not been what is expected during a bull market. Silver is only up about 1.7 times from its low in October 2008.

Monday, September 14, 2015

Ted Butler: The Coming Silver Shortage / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

From the very beginning of my epiphany 30 years ago about a silver price manipulation on the COMEX, was the unavoidable conclusion that if prices were artificially depressed as I believed, then at some point a physical shortage must develop. If the price of any commodity were set too low for too long a period of time, then the dynamics of the law of supply and demand would eventually crimp supply and encourage demand to such an extent that a physical shortage must develop and end the manipulation.

Monday, September 14, 2015

Silver Coins and Bars – “Potential From Today’s Levels Remains Enormous” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows.  After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal. 

Monday, September 14, 2015

Why Commodities And Precious Metals Are True Contrarian Opportunities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: SecularInvestor

Investors tend to make ‘contrarian’ investing choices too early in the cycle.

Basically, the price of an asset can be trending higher, lower or sideways. When an asset is declining in price, it remains in a downtrend until proven otherwise. The chance of a trend change is much smaller than the trend continuing. In other words, being ‘contrarian’ is difficult, and the pitfall is that an investor may be too early with his contrarian call.