
Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 13, 2014
Gold Price Recovery Faces Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
Gold is at the new highs after breaking out of a triangle at the start of the week. We see price now moving up in wave (c) of a second zigzag that may form a top in current 1290-1300 area. Keep in mind that despite higher highs and higher lows we think that move from 1181 is corrective, thus temporary recovery so we need to be aware of a bearish turning point in coming days. An impulsive fall back 1254 will suggest that highs are in.
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Thursday, February 13, 2014
Getting Positioned in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
 Before we get into tonight’s charts I would like to explain what my goal is right now for the precious metals complex. We never know 100% for sure when we have a bottom in place. All we can do is look at the charts and indicators and try to get the odds in our favor on when to make a move. For the short to intermediate term I think we have a decent bottom in place in which we can try to take advantage of a move higher.
Before we get into tonight’s charts I would like to explain what my goal is right now for the precious metals complex. We never know 100% for sure when we have a bottom in place. All we can do is look at the charts and indicators and try to get the odds in our favor on when to make a move. For the short to intermediate term I think we have a decent bottom in place in which we can try to take advantage of a move higher.
Thursday, February 13, 2014
Gold Stocks Picking Tools / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: The_Gold_Report
 According to Bob Moriarty, the force behind 321gold, the "fact that everyone hated gold in December is a good reason for rational people to love it now." While he recommends physical gold as an essential insurance policy in any portfolio, tax selloffs, low equity prices and low gold prices mean many companies, now selling for "peanuts," are the place to put investment dollars. And, as he tells The Gold Report, all you need to pick a winner is a blindfold and a dart.
According to Bob Moriarty, the force behind 321gold, the "fact that everyone hated gold in December is a good reason for rational people to love it now." While he recommends physical gold as an essential insurance policy in any portfolio, tax selloffs, low equity prices and low gold prices mean many companies, now selling for "peanuts," are the place to put investment dollars. And, as he tells The Gold Report, all you need to pick a winner is a blindfold and a dart.
The Gold Report: Bob, in the last few weeks, Argentina and Venezuela have devalued their currencies and the central banks in Turkey and South Africa hiked interest rates. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its monthly bond buying by another $10 billion ($10B). What do you make of all this happening in such a short timeframe?
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Gold as the Portfolio Choice for All Seasons / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_J_Kosares
 “An ounce of gold cost $271 in 2001. Ten years later   it reached $1,896—an increase of almost 700 percent. On the way, it   passed through some of the stormiest periods of recent history, when   banks collapsed and currencies shivered. The gold price fed on these   calamities. In a way, it came to stand for them: it was the   re-discovered idol at a time when other gods were falling in a heap of   subprime mortgages and credit default swaps and derivative products too   complicated to even understand. Against these, gold shone with the   placid certainty of received tradition. Honored through the ages, the   standard of wealth, the original money, the safe haven. The value of   gold was axiomatic. This view depends on a concept of gold as unchanging   and unchanged—nature’s hard asset.” – Matthew Hart, Vanity Fair,   November, 2013
“An ounce of gold cost $271 in 2001. Ten years later   it reached $1,896—an increase of almost 700 percent. On the way, it   passed through some of the stormiest periods of recent history, when   banks collapsed and currencies shivered. The gold price fed on these   calamities. In a way, it came to stand for them: it was the   re-discovered idol at a time when other gods were falling in a heap of   subprime mortgages and credit default swaps and derivative products too   complicated to even understand. Against these, gold shone with the   placid certainty of received tradition. Honored through the ages, the   standard of wealth, the original money, the safe haven. The value of   gold was axiomatic. This view depends on a concept of gold as unchanging   and unchanged—nature’s hard asset.” – Matthew Hart, Vanity Fair,   November, 2013
Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Why Bitcoin Will Never Trump Gold as a Sound-money Alternative / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Douglas_French
 For the first time ever, the majority of Americans are scared of their own federal government. A Pew Research poll found that 53% of Americans think the government threatens their personal rights and freedoms.
For the first time ever, the majority of Americans are scared of their own federal government. A Pew Research poll found that 53% of Americans think the government threatens their personal rights and freedoms.
Americans aren't wild about the government's currency either. Instead of holding dollars and other financial assets, investors are storing wealth in art, wine, and antique cars. The Economist reported in November, "This buying binge… is growing distrust of financial assets."
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Gold Price Runs Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jesse
 Janet Yellen's testimony was a bit painful at times, but perhaps it will improve as she becomes more familiar with dancing in the lions' den. Her answer about raising the minimum wage shows her to be a tried and true economic General Pétain, well versed in failure and capitulation to the forces of neo-liberalism.   At least le Maréchal de Vichy had a few moments of greatness, although much earlier in life.
Janet Yellen's testimony was a bit painful at times, but perhaps it will improve as she becomes more familiar with dancing in the lions' den. Her answer about raising the minimum wage shows her to be a tried and true economic General Pétain, well versed in failure and capitulation to the forces of neo-liberalism.   At least le Maréchal de Vichy had a few moments of greatness, although much earlier in life.
Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Two Reasons to Consider Gold Investments Right Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: “Why would someone be bullish on gold right now? Stocks have the momentum. Let me warn: you will be better off buying stocks than buying gold bullion.” These were the “wise” words of my good old friend Mr. Speculator, when I met him over the weekend.
Not too long ago, he was afraid about what would happen to his stock position. Now, his opinion has changed. Mr. Speculator thinks key stock indices will hit new highs and gold bullion—which provides safety against the backdrop of a weak economy—will go down further. He said, “It will be a bad year for gold investors.”
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Tuesday, February 11, 2014
The Golden Age of Gas, Possible Says Head of IEA / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: OilPrice_Com
 The potential for a golden age of gas comes along with a big "if" regarding  environmental and social impact. The International Energy Agency (IEA)--the "global  energy authority"--believes that this age of gas can be golden, and that unconventional  gas can be produced in an environmentally acceptable way.
The potential for a golden age of gas comes along with a big "if" regarding  environmental and social impact. The International Energy Agency (IEA)--the "global  energy authority"--believes that this age of gas can be golden, and that unconventional  gas can be produced in an environmentally acceptable way.
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Gold Questions That Deserve Answers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
 
      Germany requested that the NY Federal Reserve return the gold that Germany shipped to the United States decades ago. If the gold were physically in the vaults, it would be relatively simple to ship the gold back to Germany. It has not been returned, which begs the question, where is Germany's gold?
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Gold an Asset, Cash or Both? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
As we sit ahead of a future inflation or deflation or both, still to come, we need to understand how gold will perform in these sets of conditions. Much has been written on gold being an inflation hedge but not so much on its value in deflation. But gold is not so easy to slot into a pre-defined category like this. In history it has performed well in several other situations. In uncertainty, whether it has been in wartime, economic uncertainty or simply national uncertainty it has performed well. When confidence in currencies seeps away gold prices in those lands reflect the fall of the currency as it rises.
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Monday, February 10, 2014
Gold International Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jeff_Clark
 As a gold investor in North America, it sometimes feels like I'm living in some far-off land where everyone believes in fairy tales and unicorns.
As a gold investor in North America, it sometimes feels like I'm living in some far-off land where everyone believes in fairy tales and unicorns.
Most people around me don't seem to see anything wrong with the Fed creating $65 billion a month out of thin air—hey, it's not $85 billion anymore, what a relief! It's business as usual for the US government to spend billions more than it takes in, and a public debt hovering at $17.2 trillion—up from $7 trillion just 10 years ago—seems no more alarming than a rainbow.
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Monday, February 10, 2014
Crude Oil Trading Alert: Oil Price Hits Fresh Monthly High / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
 Trading position (short-term): In our opinion no positions are  justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Trading position (short-term): In our opinion no positions are  justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil gained 2.27% as the U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies after a monthly U.S. employment report came in weaker than expected. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude extended gains and rose above $100 per barrel for the first time in more than a month.
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Sunday, February 09, 2014
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Fizzle, Gold and Silver Held in Check / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jesse
 Friday was an exceptionally interesting day, with a lot of things going on from the very start.
Friday was an exceptionally interesting day, with a lot of things going on from the very start.
    
    The premiere event was the US Non-Farm Payrolls Report, which pretty much sucked out loud, coming in with an underestimated 113,000 jobs versus a 175,000 expected. This was mitigated a bit by the 'private jobs' added of 142,000 which was closer to estimates. And it could make some feel good because it was in 'government jobs' that much of the shortfall occurred.  
Saturday, February 08, 2014
Gold And Silver - NWO 'Problem-Reaction' Ploy Stronger Than Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
 The fundamentals for gold and silver worsen with each passing week, it seems, yet the price for gold and silver still languish in down trends. If everything is as precarious as is depicted in so many other articles citing how PMs are in dire straights, for the same deteriorating reasons presented with pinpoint numbers, as in reduced stocks of deliverable metals, increased transfers from West to East, why are gold and silver still near recent lows for the past two years?
The fundamentals for gold and silver worsen with each passing week, it seems, yet the price for gold and silver still languish in down trends. If everything is as precarious as is depicted in so many other articles citing how PMs are in dire straights, for the same deteriorating reasons presented with pinpoint numbers, as in reduced stocks of deliverable metals, increased transfers from West to East, why are gold and silver still near recent lows for the past two years?  
Saturday, February 08, 2014
How Gold is Currently Being Priced / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Richard_Mills
 Gold's Price
Gold's Price
  Ahead of the Herd readers know I believe gold's price is being driven by rising, or falling, real interest rates.
Real interest rates are the level of annual yield paid to savers and investors over and above the pace of inflation.
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks Moving Average Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
 The gold and silver stocks have rebounded nicely but have consolidated in recent weeks. Where is this going and how do we know? Well, a few weeks ago we publicly said that a major bottom is in. Thus, we believe the trend will go higher. Beyond belief, we need real confirmation that the sector will continue higher. Enter moving average analysis. By using a few simple moving averages we can better understand the current context and get confirmation that the sector will continue to move higher. GDX, GDXJ and SIL could soon test moving averages which have been resistance for the past 13 months.
The gold and silver stocks have rebounded nicely but have consolidated in recent weeks. Where is this going and how do we know? Well, a few weeks ago we publicly said that a major bottom is in. Thus, we believe the trend will go higher. Beyond belief, we need real confirmation that the sector will continue higher. Enter moving average analysis. By using a few simple moving averages we can better understand the current context and get confirmation that the sector will continue to move higher. GDX, GDXJ and SIL could soon test moving averages which have been resistance for the past 13 months.
Friday, February 07, 2014
2014 Y-T-D: Gold 1 Fantasies 0 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
 As we welcomed the beginning of 2014 the advice from "gurus" was rather straight  forward. Gold was going to $1,060. At the same time the stock markets would  continue to advance. So our life would be financially happy if we sold our  Gold and bought the favorites fantasies in the NASDAQ/technology group, such  as TWTR. Well, seems the real world was to hold some disappointment for those  strategists.
As we welcomed the beginning of 2014 the advice from "gurus" was rather straight  forward. Gold was going to $1,060. At the same time the stock markets would  continue to advance. So our life would be financially happy if we sold our  Gold and bought the favorites fantasies in the NASDAQ/technology group, such  as TWTR. Well, seems the real world was to hold some disappointment for those  strategists. 
Friday, February 07, 2014
Silver Price Outperforming Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Since Monday financial markets have consolidated following the emerging market currency shocks of the previous week. Safe-haven bonds were strong initially, before tailing off yesterday. Equities started the week badly but steadied yesterday, and gold spiked at $1274 on Wednesday before being knocked back $20 subsequently. The result is gold was more or less unchanged on the week by last night, though early indications London time are for better prices today.
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Friday, February 07, 2014
Gold, Silver and The Fed's Total Mandate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
 The errors of financial policy, led by the world's central banks have once  again created the makings of a massive crisis. Blind to risk, and completely  captured by politics and ideology, it is as if the Federal Reserve and it's  counterparts have been awarded a total mandate. All of the misplaced and mis  priced  risk is poised to flood toward precious metals.
The errors of financial policy, led by the world's central banks have once  again created the makings of a massive crisis. Blind to risk, and completely  captured by politics and ideology, it is as if the Federal Reserve and it's  counterparts have been awarded a total mandate. All of the misplaced and mis  priced  risk is poised to flood toward precious metals.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 07, 2014
Gold, Silver And The Gathering Crypto Currency Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
 Much controversy surrounds comparisons between precious metals and the growing  number of crypto currencies. In some ways an ideological wedge has formed  between hard asset investors and the most vocal of  electronic currency  advocates.
Much controversy surrounds comparisons between precious metals and the growing  number of crypto currencies. In some ways an ideological wedge has formed  between hard asset investors and the most vocal of  electronic currency  advocates.While both investment options remain relatively sequestered from the mainstream spotlight, they both offer fascinating perspectives for understanding the ongoing monetary and financial crisis.
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