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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Shrinkflation In UK – Real Inflation Much Higher Than Reported / Economics / Inflation

By: GoldCore

  • Shrinkflation – Real inflation much higher than reported and realised
  • Shrinkflation is taking hold in consumer sector
  • Important consumer, financial, monetary and economic issue being largely ignored by financial analysts, financial advisers, economists, central banks and the media.
  • Food becoming more expensive as consumers get less for price paid
  • A form of stealth inflation, few can avoid it
  • Brexit is the scapegoat for shrinkflation by the media and companies
  • Consumers blame retailers rather than central banks
  • Gold hedge has doubled in value since 2007 
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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Are the UK Elections a Forgone Conclusion? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Submissions

....

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Stock Market Direction Update and What I Have Been Up To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: David_Petch

I had a number of people email requesting what I have been up to (did I die, am I ill) so here it is...

Back in April 2016, after being a part of TreasureChests for 13 years I decided to hang up my pen and pursue other things. As many know or do not know, TreasureChests is shutting the doors at the end of this month. It was a pleasure working with Captain Hook and we still keep in contact on a regular basis to discuss what is going on with the stock markets. Since I have been busy the past year with a side project that is morphing into something bigger, I miss not writing…so here is an update.
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Currencies

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

USDCAD Broke Below Channel Support On Weekly Chart / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

USDCAD’s fall from the May 5 high of 1.3793 extended to as low as 1.3137 and broke below the bottom support trend line at 1.3230 of the price channel on its weekly chart, suggesting that the uptrend from the May 2016 low of 1.2460 had completed at 1.3793 already.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Is the Tech Stock Market Bloodbath is Finally Here? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Graham_Summers

Tech is ready to implode.

The NASDAQ ETF (QQQ) has broken its bull market trendline. Even worse, it has failed to reclaim this line despite a strong bounce. This is a MAJOR warning that the upwards momentum is gone.

The next leg down should be a doozy (the target is the red circle on the chart below).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Is the Stock Market About to Post a Major Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The market has been sending “topping” signals for weeks now.

They include:

1)   Fewer and fewer companies participating in the rally.

2)   High yield credit, which leads stocks, rolling over.

3)   Weakening momentum.

4)   Dwindling volume.

5)   Market leaders (the big 5 Tech) beginning to correct.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

China’s First Half of 2017: Growth amid Deleveraging  / Economics / China Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

Despite seemingly mixed messages, China’s great shift from easing to tightening has begun. While growth will continue to decelerate, it can still remain on the deceleration track, even as deleveraging has begun.

In May, Moody’s Investor Service downgraded China’s credit rating. But it took less than a day for Chinese financial markets to recover from the downgrade. Recently, index giant MSCI announced the partial inclusion of China-traded A-shares in the MSCI Emerging Market Index. After all, China is currently under-represented in global equity indices relative to its economic influence. The inclusion is predicated on a long and gradual move.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Crude Oil Sinks 20%: Why "Oversupply" Isn't the Half of It / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

Oil prices have defied bullish efforts to curb oversupply. Here's our take on why.

I have a friend... let's call him Larry. Let's just say, Larry is not a fan of taking risks. He likes his reflexes fast, his cars slow, and his financial markets secure for the long haul.

So, when Larry called me up at the beginning of this year to say he's boarding the highly-volatile crude oil market, I was appropriately stunned. But here's the thing. He was still being "wary Larry," meticulously weighing the risks. It just so happens they seemed to pale in comparison to the overwhelming rewards.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Important Money Management Tips For Teenagers / Personal_Finance / Student Finances

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Financial literacy among teenagers is much lower than it should be. This is, in part, because money management education is not properly taught in schools. Most of the teens have no idea what personal finance is and why it is important. Parents are the ones that need to teach teens about money management. Obviously, this is much more difficult than it seems. The good news is that raising financially literate teenagers can be done. Follow these tips to do exactly that.
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Companies

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

The Coming Battery Bonanza / Companies / Lithium

By: The_Energy_Report

James Dines, author of The Dines Letter, discusses the importance of graphite in the manufacture of lithium-ion batteries and highlights one graphite company he expects to have an edge.

Lithium Batteries for Autos and Home Storage

Someday, as sneaky years whisper past, batteries will be seen to have been a crucial wave of the investing future. Uses for lithium ion batteries (LIB) are expanding and will be the main technology for mobility and stationary storage for many years to come. LIB's have been improved over the last 25 years, but it might take that long for any new battery design to pass through the development process to ensure they are safe for consumer use. Electrification of vehicles and the storage of green energy is driving massive growth in LIB cell manufacturing, forecast to increase 170% from today's current capacity of 103 GwH to 278 GwH by 2021 to meet the demands of electrification of automotive vehicles. Also, lithium batteries will be used for stationary storage in houses; they would charge with wind or sunlight present, to be consumed later. Many will buy rooftop solar along with batteries. The 2015 world market value of lithium ion batteries was $18 billion and is forecast to double to $36 billion by 2025—which we personally believe will be much larger.

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Companies

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Overlooked Stock Investments To Keep An Eye On in 2017 / Companies / Investing 2017

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

The best returns in stock investment rarely come from the highly publicized companies. Fund managers are always looking for hidden or overlooked opportunities. This is exactly what we will talk about below. While many are focused on Donald Trump’s gold rally, companies that may or may not go public and defense industry predictions are just some of the areas where money is to be made. With that mind, here are some possible investments in overlooked stocks for 2017.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Here’s Why Robots Should Take the Fed’s Job / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates again last week.

Higher rates aren’t entirely bad. They might help savers holding cash—though I wonder why anyone would still hold cash after almost a decade of punishment. The Fed has forced Americans into riskier assets, using every tool but horsewhips.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

We Are Witnessing the Largest Twin Bubbles in History / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : In the coming years, we will have to deal with the largest twin bubbles in history. It’s global debt (especially government debt) and the even larger bubble of government promises.

Together, these twin bubbles make up what John Mauldin calls “The Great Reset.” Nobody can tell how this crisis will play out, but one thing is for sure, it will affect everyone in a big way.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

The Ultimate Regulatory Reform: Abolish Fractional Reserve Banking! / Politics / Fiat Currency

By: Antonius_Aquinas

The Trump Administration has presented the first part of its plan to overhaul a number of Wall Street financial regulations, many of which were enacted in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis. The report is in response to Executive Order 13772 in which the US Treasury Department is to provide findings “examining the United States’ financial regulatory system and detailing executive actions and regulatory changes that can be immediately undertaken to provide much-needed relief.”*

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

USDCNH Broke Above Key Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

USDCNH’s bullish movement from the June 1 low of 6.7210 extended to as high as 6.8583 and broke above the key resistance at the March 15 low of 6.8450, suggesting that the long term uptrend from the January 2014 low of 6.0152 has resumed.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

The Federal Reserve And Drug Addiction – A Prediction / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

The Federal Reserve Bank was established in 1913. Its stated purpose was to control the economic cycles; more specifically to avoid panics and crashes by smoothing out the variances in the stages (prosperity, inflation, recession, depression) of the economic cycle.

The plan centered around control (expansion and contraction) of the money supply and exertion of any influence it could muster regarding direction (up, down, or stable) of interest rates. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Charts Show Why Emerging Markets Will Be an Essential Part of Your Portfolio Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : A major theme at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference was the shift in economic power from developed markets to emerging markets (EMs).

For example, in 1960, the combined GDP of China and India made up only 5% of global GDP; today, it’s 30%.

In 1970, the G7 bloc made up half of global trade; now it makes up just 30%. It’s no wonder emerging markets are growing at almost three times the rate as the G7.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Former Lehman Brothers Trader: I Bet My Reputation That Stocks Bubble Will Pop In A Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.

In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.

In 2007, we had the housing bubble.

In 2017, we have the everything bubble.

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Local

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Sheffield Broomhall Hanover Tower Block Fails Safety Test, Cladding Removal Today / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The first Sheffield tower block to be tested has failed a fire safety test that has prompted the city council to in a panic start to remove cladding from the Broomhall Hanover Tower Block today, though at the same time the council is reassuring residents that it is safe to remain in the block whilst the emergency removable of the cladding is underway. Whilst it could take upto 3 weeks for the cladding to ve removed and so the Council have offered temporary accommodation for those who want to move out.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Crude Oil In A New Bear Market? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The newest bear market is in crude oil. The definition of a bear market is when an ‘asset class’ is down more than 20% from its recent high: (Bear Market Rally Definition Investopedia).  It has been more than five years since the market fell so hard so fast from its’ high. Two months later, it was even lower. During the past 20 years, the SPX has struggled when oil fell into a bear market!

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