Sunday, July 16, 2017
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Calm Before the Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
“In truth, however, nothing is inevitable and very little is new. And tech is no more the root of the problem than are trade or globalization. Many of our most vaunted innovations are simply methods -- electronic or otherwise -- of pulling off some age-old profit-maximizing maneuver by new and unregulated means.” Thomas Frank
“It is my purpose, as one who lived and acted in these days, first to show how easily the tragedy of the Second World War could have been prevented; how the malice of the wicked was reinforced by the weakness of the virtuous.” Winston S. Churchill, The Gathering Storm
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Sunday, July 16, 2017
The Technical Failure That Could Clear The Oil Glut In A Matter Of Weeks / Commodities / Crude Oil
OPEC exports have come under pressure this week from technical threats to oil fields, with Saudi Arabia’s Manifa problems grabbing the headlines.
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser, while addressing the World Petroleum Congress in Istanbul, stated that the outlook for oil supplies is “increasingly worrying”, due to a loss of $1 trillion ($1000 billion) in investments last year. The skepticism shown by a majority of financial analysts and oil commentators about the real threat to global oil (and gas) production volumes was countered by the news that the production at Saudi Aramco’s main offshore oil field, Manifa, has been hit by technical problems. News sources reported that the output from Saudi Aramco's massive Manifa oilfield has been hit by a technical problem.
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Sunday, July 16, 2017
Emerging Markets & Basic Materials Stocks Breaking Out Together / Commodities / Resources Investing
While most members are focused on the precious metals ,I’ve been waiting patiently for two other sectors to setup a long term buy signal which I believe happened last week. I know you are well aware of my mantra that big consolidation patterns lead to big impulse moves. What’s pretty amazing is these 2 sectors have an almost identical long term consolidation pattern and are breaking out at the same time. It stands to reason that if the Emerging Markets are going to be strong then the Basic Materials sector should benefit as well.
Most like to look at the EEM, emerging market index, but there is another emerging market index which trades with much more volume, VWO which I will use in this post. Lets start with just a simple daily line chart for VWO which shows a H&S bottom in place and a breakout yesterday of the blue bullish rising flag. Keep those two patterns in the back of your mind when we look at the longer term charts.
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Saturday, July 15, 2017
Stock Market SPX Uptrending Again After Microscopic Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started the week at SPX 2425. After a rally to SPX 2432 on Monday, the market pulled back to 2413 on Tuesday before reversing in the afternoon. Wednesday’s gap up opening rally continued into Friday, when the SPX hit a new all-time high at 2464. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.20%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.90%. Economic reports were mostly positive. On the downtick: the Q2 GDP estimate, retail sales, consumer sentiment, plus the budget deficit widened. On the uptick: consumer credit, business/wholesale inventories, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, plus jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the NY/Philly FED and housing.
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Saturday, July 15, 2017
COT Report Gets Even More Favorable For Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Just a quick, happy update on the gold/silver COT reports. See last week’s post for a little more background.
Speculators are running scared in the paper precious metals markets. And that’s a good thing.
The past few months’ correction has finally led hedge funds and other technical/momentum traders to shed their long positions and load up on short bets. Meanwhile the Commercials, which tend to be right at big turning points, are becoming much more bullish.
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Saturday, July 15, 2017
Bitcoin, All Cryptocurrencies Are Collapsing! We Are Witnessing End of Blockchain! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Just kidding, again.
We are continuing to see bitcoin and most other cryptocurrencies sell-off, however, just as we said they should and would do after such a parabolic spike higher in the last few months.
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Saturday, July 15, 2017
GOLD Bullish Price Action - DOW Contracting Triangle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: Empire State Manufacturing Index.
Saturday, July 15, 2017
Is the Stock Market All Knowing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
“The tape tells all” is a Wall Street bromide we’re all familiar with. It neatly summarizes the belief that the major averages discount everything pertaining to the business outlook. It’s also a basic tenet of Dow Theory.
Writing a century ago, Richard Wyckoff was one of the very first market pundits to put this belief in writing. “The tape tells the news minutes, hours and days before the news tickers or newspapers and before it can become current gossip,” he wrote. “Everything from a foreign war to the passing of a dividend; from a Supreme Court decision to the ravages of the boll-weevil is reflected primarily upon the tape.”
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Bubble Update: Stocks Are Now at 1999 Bubble Levels (Guess What’s Next) / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Remember the 2007 Bubble?
Remember how everyone said that it really wasn’t that big of a bubble because stocks weren’t as expensive as they had been during the previous bubble (the Tech Bubble).
We all remember how that turned out: the bubble burst leading to the greatest financial crisis in 80 years.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Yellen’s Shocking Announcement:The $USD is TOAST / Currencies / US Dollar
Fed Chair Janet Yellen just announced that the Fed will be kicking the $USD off a cliff.
She didn’t use those words, but the words she did use weren’t all that different.
But first a little context…
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Global Currency Reserve At Risk / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Within the US borders, the population remains largely ignorant of the true significance of the global currency reserve concept. It is of paramount importance, yet almost never discussed in the financial press. The public within the United States simply assumes the country operates with the USDollar as its currency, with near blindness to its global role in trade and banking. The end of an era is coming, as the change will be powerful in its effect. The shock wave could hit this year in some form, in a manner to highlight its importance.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Picking Great Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
One of the primary keys to success in investment and speculation is picking the right stocks to trade. That’s no mean feat, as it takes great effort, expertise, and time to winnow the whole field down to the likely winners with the best fundamentals. Although deeply out of favor now in the summer doldrums, the small contrarian gold-stock sector has generated truly epic gains for investors and speculators over the years.
I’ve been in the financial-newsletter business for 17 years now, after founding my company Zeal LLC way back in early 2000. I needed to do extensive markets and individual-stocks research to support my own personal speculation and investment, so I figured why not share it so others can benefit as well. Since then I’ve researched and written 765 web essays, 204 monthly newsletters, and 748 weekly newsletters.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
BBC Tree Expert's Verdict on Sheffield Amey / Labour City Council Tree Felling's / Local / Sheffield
Amey / Labour city council's objective is to kill and remove at least 6,000 of Sheffield's biggest and best tree's in support of which Amey use excuses such as that the trees are displacing curb stones. Here tree expert Jeremy Barrell for the BBC One Show takes a close look at many of Sheffield's trees marked for death, and gives his damning verdict that none of the trees he has looked at need to be felled. In stark contrast to Amey / Labour city council that is determined to kill at least 6,000 of Sheffield's street trees so as to avoid annual tree maintenance costs such as pruning and installation of solutions such as flex-paving.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
SPX Cycles, Fed Funds and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
This “amateur cyclist’s” chart (I am anything but a cycles analyst) of the S&P 500 shows that the 12 month marker (C12) meant exactly nothing as the market remained firmly on trend, after brief pokes down in April and May. We noted that C12 was a lesser indicator than the 30 month cycle, which has coincided with some pretty significant changes ( a few months). That cycle (C30) is coming due at the end of the summer. Will it mean anything? Well, this market eats top callers for breakfast, lunch, dinner and midnight snacks. But it is worth knowing about to a lucid and well-armed market participant.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Trump’s Trade Policies Are Provoking A Global Trade War— How to Hedge Your Portfolio / Politics / Global Economy
BY PATRICK WATSON :Removing barriers to international trade has both upside and downside. Donald Trump is now president in part because he focused on the downside: lost US jobs, closed factories, blighted communities.
Even more important, he's fundamentally changing the way government looks at trade policy.
Trade negotiations have long had the implicit goal of promoting peace. It’s a fact that nations with active business relationships rarely attack each other, though the security aspect used to stay mostly unspoken.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Should Platinum Be More Expensive Than Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Platinum is one of the rarest elements in the world, much rarer than gold. This is why historically the white metal has been more valuable – just think of platinum credit cards which offer greater privileges and prestige than the gold ones. However, the ‘little silver’ has recently been traded at a discount to gold, as one can see in the chart below.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Subprime Auto Loans Up, Car Sales Down: Why This Could Be Good for Gold / Interest-Rates / Auto Sector
The latest monthly motor vehicle sales report released on July 3 paints a grim picture for US car sales. Overall June sales dropped by 3% compared to June of last year—the sixth successive month of lower year-over-year sales.
General Motors, Ford, and Fiat Chrysler were among the greatest losers with declines between 4.7% and 7%. Japan’s top sellers fared a little better, with Nissan seeing 2% growth and Toyota a 2.1% gain.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Clarion House Social Housing for Grenfell Fire Residents / Politics / Social Issues
BWTUC CALLS ON CLARION HOUSING (Formerly Affinity Sutton) TO BRING BACK INTO USE 159 SOCIAL HOUSING UNITS IN CHELSEA LYING EMPTY AND OFFER THEM AS HOMES FOR GRENFELL TOWER FIRE RESIDENTS
If Kensington and Chelsea Council won't use its powers to force action on this it should be ordered to bring back into commission these flats that the Sutton Trust/Affinity Sutton itself vandalised in 2015 after decanting the residents says BWTUC
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Thursday, July 13, 2017
Financial Markets - 3 Videos + 8 Charts = Opportunities You Need to See / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Dear Investor,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) regularly put out great free content on their site. If you've visited their site before, you may have seen "Chart of the Day," a featured series of videos that take a quick, but close examination of a chart from one of EWI's paid publications.
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Thursday, July 13, 2017
Can The Dow Trade to 30K or is it Just Another Pipe Dream / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Insanity in individuals is something rare, but in groups, parties, nations, and epochs it is the rule. Friedrich NietzscheOne group of experts state that the markets are ready to crash, another states the markets are ready to soar to new highs. Which group is one supposed to believe? For starters, the naysayers have the odds stacked against them as every so-called stock market crash has turned out to be a long-term buying opportunity. We view stock market crashes as once in a “lifetime buying opportunity” and frankly so should every self-respecting long term Contrarian investor. The smart money always swoops in and buys top quality stocks when there is blood on the streets, and the dumb money sells right at the bottom.
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